ATL LAURA: Tropical Storm - Discussion

#81 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Sep 29, 2008 11:29 am

On its way to be fully tropical.

terrapintransit · #82 Postby **terrapintransit** » Mon Sep 29, 2008 11:35 am

cycloneye wrote:

On its way to be fully tropical.

"SHE" is impressively LARGE!!! :eek:

Category 5 · #83 Postby **Category 5** » Mon Sep 29, 2008 12:20 pm

Just Joshing You wrote:Painless sex change, don't worry. Procedure is quick and painless.

Whatever it was, it seems to be just what the doctor ordered. :lol:

#84 Postby **HURAKAN** » Mon Sep 29, 2008 12:28 pm

Sub quits, tropical stays in the race!!!

#85 Postby **CrazyC83** » Mon Sep 29, 2008 12:40 pm

Almost looks like a hurricane.

#86 Postby **HURAKAN** » Mon Sep 29, 2008 12:52 pm

She only gets better.

#87 Postby **CrazyC83** » Mon Sep 29, 2008 1:09 pm

Its intensity is only a guess as that is certainly unreachable by Recon.

#88 Postby **HURAKAN** » Mon Sep 29, 2008 1:13 pm

Looks more tropical than ever. I expect that to be confirmed by the NHC at 5 PM.

#89 Postby **CrazyC83** » Mon Sep 29, 2008 1:14 pm

Based on the looks, I'd put the intensity at 65 kt. It seems to be trying to close off an eyewall as well.

#90 Postby **HURAKAN** » Mon Sep 29, 2008 1:16 pm

Just Joshing You · #91 Postby **Just Joshing You** » Mon Sep 29, 2008 1:17 pm

Still sub-tropical.

#92 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Mon Sep 29, 2008 1:24 pm

looks tropical to me, but I would like to see a temperature profile to confirm.

#93 Postby **HURAKAN** » Mon Sep 29, 2008 1:29 pm

29/1745 UTC 37.8N 47.9W ST3.0 LAURA -- Atlantic Ocean

Best Track 18z:

AL, 12, 2008092918, , BEST, 0, 378N, 482W, 50, 995, SS

Same intensity, same classification.

Derek Ortt · #94 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Mon Sep 29, 2008 2:29 pm

this does not look like a hurricane.

we need deeper convection wrapping more around the center than we have

Category 5 · #95 Postby **Category 5** » Mon Sep 29, 2008 2:54 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:this does not look like a hurricane.

we need deeper convection wrapping more around the center than we have

Yes this still has a way to go, but it's looking better.

#96 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Sep 29, 2008 3:35 pm

Still Subtropical,but getting close to Tropical status.

WTNT42 KNHC 292032
TCDAT2
SUBTROPICAL STORM LAURA DISCUSSION NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122008
500 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008

AN ASCAT PASS AROUND 1326 UTC THIS MORNING INDICATED MAXIMUM WINDS
NEAR 45 KT...BUT THIS SENSOR USUALLY TENDS TO HAVE A SLIGHT LOW
BIAS SO AN INTENSITY OF 50 KT WILL BE MAINTAINED IN THIS PACKAGE.
LAURA CONTINUES TO ACQUIRE SOME TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...WITH THE
FSU PHASE SPACE DIAGRAMS AND AMSU DATA BOTH INDICATING A DEEP WARM
CORE. ON THE OTHER HAND...THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS NOT ALL
THAT DEEP AND THE 75 NM RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS IS IN THE GRAY ZONE
BETWEEN TROPICAL AND SUBTROPICAL. LAURA WILL CONTINUE TO BE
CLASSIFIED AS A SUBTROPICAL STORM FOR NOW ALTHOUGH THE TRANSITION
TO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IS LIKELY OCCURRING.

#97 Postby **HURAKAN** » Mon Sep 29, 2008 3:47 pm

#98 Postby **HURAKAN** » Mon Sep 29, 2008 4:17 pm

"Oh, crikey." RIP Steve Irwin.

#99 Postby **CrazyC83** » Mon Sep 29, 2008 4:49 pm

Is there a site that shows ship reports?

Ptarmigan · #100 Postby **Ptarmigan** » Mon Sep 29, 2008 7:27 pm

STS Laura is a huge storm in terms of TS wind extent.

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