Global economic crisis

Chat about anything and everything... (well almost anything) Whether it be the front porch or the pot belly stove or news of interest or a topic of your liking, this is the place to post it.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
gtalum
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4749
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Sep 07, 2004 3:48 pm
Location: Bradenton, FL
Contact:

Re: Re:

#141 Postby gtalum » Thu Oct 09, 2008 9:22 pm

Cryomaniac wrote:Maybe not, but it does show that the traders are worried that the economy as a whole is f-ed up...


No, it shows that stockholders are acting with irrational fear. Stockholders are no smarter than anybody else. In fact, when everybody is yelling "SELL SELL SELL!" that's almost always the time to start buying, and the opposite is true too.
0 likes   

User avatar
george_r_1961
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3171
Age: 63
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2002 9:14 pm
Location: Hampton, Virginia

Re: Re:

#142 Postby george_r_1961 » Thu Oct 09, 2008 9:34 pm

gtalum wrote:
Cryomaniac wrote:Maybe not, but it does show that the traders are worried that the economy as a whole is f-ed up...


No, it shows that stockholders are acting with irrational fear. Stockholders are no smarter than anybody else. In fact, when everybody is yelling "SELL SELL SELL!" that's almost always the time to start buying, and the opposite is true too.


This is a good time to buy???
0 likes   

JonathanBelles
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 11430
Age: 34
Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
Contact:

Re: Re:

#143 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu Oct 09, 2008 9:39 pm

george_r_1961 wrote:
gtalum wrote:
Cryomaniac wrote:Maybe not, but it does show that the traders are worried that the economy as a whole is f-ed up...


No, it shows that stockholders are acting with irrational fear. Stockholders are no smarter than anybody else. In fact, when everybody is yelling "SELL SELL SELL!" that's almost always the time to start buying, and the opposite is true too.


This is a good time to buy???


The next few weeks-months are a great time to buy. Low stock prices that can (in the long term) only get better. The more people that buy the quicker the stocks will increase in value.
0 likes   

User avatar
gtalum
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4749
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Sep 07, 2004 3:48 pm
Location: Bradenton, FL
Contact:

Re: Re:

#144 Postby gtalum » Thu Oct 09, 2008 9:43 pm

george_r_1961 wrote:This is a good time to buy???


For the long term, certainly it is. The DJIA is down nearly 40% in a year. A vast majority of those companies are still very sound and will rebound. It may not be for a few months or a year, but they'll start rebounding and I suspect they'll do it quickly once the trend starts.

For short term investors, well figuring out exactly when to buy is the hard part of short-term investing. I don't do any short-term investing and certainly wouldn't ever recommend it for anyone who can't dedicate full-time to stock trading.

But in general, the smart play is to buck the herd and do the opposite of what "everybody" does. When everyone is yelling to sell, it's often a good time to buy. When everyone are yelling to buy, it's often a good time to sell.

Disclaimer: I am not a financial professional.
0 likes   

RL3AO
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 16308
Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:03 pm
Location: NC

Re: Re:

#145 Postby RL3AO » Thu Oct 09, 2008 10:29 pm

george_r_1961 wrote:This is a good time to buy???


Sure. When ever it bottoms out.
0 likes   

User avatar
somethingfunny
ChatStaff
ChatStaff
Posts: 3926
Age: 36
Joined: Thu May 31, 2007 10:30 pm
Location: McKinney, Texas

Re: Global economic crisis: Worldwide stocks in freefall again

#146 Postby somethingfunny » Thu Oct 09, 2008 10:40 pm

If I had any extra money I would absolutely be buying stock right now.

The market does not respond rationally to "market pressures". It responds to fear, panic, and greed, and psychoanalysts. The economy did not grow by 80% between 2002 and 2007. But the stock market did. Makes you think everything was a bit overvalued to begin with, eh? It will be again soon enough, long before the underlying weaknesses actually straighten themselves up. The stock market has been a ridiculous house of cards ever since its' invention.
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 37989
Age: 36
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: Global economic crisis: Worldwide stocks in freefall again

#147 Postby Brent » Thu Oct 09, 2008 11:35 pm

Asian markets are suffering massive losses once again... Nikkei is down 9.69%, Hang Seng 7%.
0 likes   

User avatar
Dionne
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1616
Age: 73
Joined: Mon Jan 02, 2006 8:51 am
Location: SW Mississippi....Alaska transplant via a Southern Belle.

Re: Global economic crisis: Worldwide stocks in freefall again

#148 Postby Dionne » Fri Oct 10, 2008 6:10 am

The markets are in an adjustment period. It's been coming for a long time. Never invest in the market unless you can afford to lose the money. Just because you have witnessed huge drops the last few days does not mean it's time to start buying. Thats like saying nobody has won the Powerball in a month, I'm putting my entire paycheck in this week. At this time I would not sell or buy. If you have some money and this terrible itch to invest go with gold coins......the kind you can bring home and put in your safe. The gold will always retain some value, while any given stock could potentially collapse. We've learned from past experience that companies that appear to be viable could very well be calling a bluff with inflated numbers.
0 likes   

User avatar
gtalum
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4749
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Sep 07, 2004 3:48 pm
Location: Bradenton, FL
Contact:

Re: Global economic crisis: Worldwide stocks in freefall again

#149 Postby gtalum » Fri Oct 10, 2008 7:41 am

Dionne wrote:Never invest in the market unless you can afford to lose the money.


Good idea. A good rule of thumb is to only invest money you will not need in the next 5 years.

Just because you have witnessed huge drops the last few days does not mean it's time to start buying. Thats like saying nobody has won the Powerball in a month, I'm putting my entire paycheck in this week.


Not exactly. Right now, thanks to the irrational fear in the global stock markets, many companies' stock valuations are actually well below their intrinsic cash value, which can be determined by subtracting liabilities from assets. When a company's stock value is less than the company's true cash value and the company has a solid business model, it's always a good time to buy.

If you have some money and this terrible itch to invest go with gold coins......


Historically gold is a terrible investment. It's near 30 year highs, so its even worse right now.
0 likes   

User avatar
Dionne
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1616
Age: 73
Joined: Mon Jan 02, 2006 8:51 am
Location: SW Mississippi....Alaska transplant via a Southern Belle.

Re: Global economic crisis: Worldwide stocks in freefall again

#150 Postby Dionne » Fri Oct 10, 2008 8:04 am

Your replies sound reasonable. Although I don't think simply subtracting liabilities from assets and searching a business plan is something average investors are qualified to do......plus....do you trust their numbers?

While gold is now about the same price as in the 70's.....there is one good thing to remember......gold is tangible. You can bring it home. It's not a piece of paper. Also consider the numismatic value of gold coins, not just melt down value.

My coins are about 6 feet from me. The guy....Bernie Ebbers (WorldCom).....that took thousand from us is in a minimum security federal prison in Louisiana. He drove himself to prison in a Lexus. He is anticipating a presidential pardon when Bush leaves office.

I'll stick with gold and hope like hell there aren't any liars crunching numbers at PetMeds.

It's about trust. Lessons hard learned.
0 likes   

User avatar
gtalum
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4749
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Sep 07, 2004 3:48 pm
Location: Bradenton, FL
Contact:

#151 Postby gtalum » Fri Oct 10, 2008 8:34 am

Gold is a hedge, and it can make sense to keep some, though personally I don't.

Over the long run it generally will not build wealth, though. And now is certainly not the time to be buying more of it. A few years ago it was a better investment.

With the dollar surging, gold is likely to drop significantly in value.

On a side note, I find it interesting that the "haters" in Europe and the rest of the world are flocking back into the US Dollar in droves now that the financial world is getting a little scary. I guess we're still top dog after all.
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#152 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 10, 2008 9:33 am

0 likes   

lurkey
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2381
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:54 pm
Location: Raleigh, NC

Re: Global economic crisis: Worldwide stocks in freefall again

#153 Postby lurkey » Fri Oct 10, 2008 9:38 am

make sure you pay attention to your credit limits on your credit cards. . there are sporadic stories of banks drastically slashing credit limits
0 likes   

User avatar
Dionne
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1616
Age: 73
Joined: Mon Jan 02, 2006 8:51 am
Location: SW Mississippi....Alaska transplant via a Southern Belle.

Re: Global economic crisis: Worldwide stocks in freefall again

#154 Postby Dionne » Fri Oct 10, 2008 9:42 am

yeah man......two green places on the boards at yesterdays close....the dollar and gold.

The only problem I have with gold is that I have become a collector more than an investor. Big difference.

I will still buy gold, although not bullion/ingots. I prefer coins. I keep an ad running in the nearest local newspaper as a gold/silver coin buyer. Kind of surprised there haven't been any calls lately? I never consider spot when buying. I place value on a numismatic level and seldom pay more than 70%. Unless I need a specific coin to complete a set.....on those occasions I have been known to pay more than value.

Wow.....the opener in NY was a slam....it would be nice to see a rebound today. Heck, I'd be happy just to see everything settle down and accept the adjustment as necessary. It's so wild right now, the DOW could be in the green by the time I post this.....LOL.
0 likes   

User avatar
Nimbus
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5274
Joined: Mon Jul 19, 2004 10:54 am

#155 Postby Nimbus » Fri Oct 10, 2008 10:26 am

As a rule of thumb, usually when financial bubbles break there is a flat bottom that gives investors plenty of time to get back in. Precious metals in the 80,s and real estate meltdowns in the past have displayed flat bottoms that lasted for years.

The stock market recovered fairly quickly after 9/11 but we were not looking at higher interest rates at that time. Potentially a day trader could make some money as long as stocks keep making large swings intraday but aren't they still limiting computer trading when the market drops more than 50 points?
0 likes   

User avatar
Ptarmigan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5313
Joined: Wed Aug 16, 2006 9:06 pm

Re: Global economic crisis: Worldwide stocks in freefall again

#156 Postby Ptarmigan » Fri Oct 10, 2008 11:34 am

I think the stock market will be very volatile for the rest of the year. I would not be surprised to see it go below 8,000. I predicted it would drop below 10,000 and 9,000, which turned out to be right.
0 likes   

lurkey
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2381
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:54 pm
Location: Raleigh, NC

Re: Global economic crisis: Worldwide stocks in freefall again

#157 Postby lurkey » Fri Oct 10, 2008 12:17 pm

From the Drudge Report:


Italian Prime Minister Berlusconi said political leaders discussing idea of closing world's financial markets while they 'rewrite the rules of international finance'... MORE
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 37989
Age: 36
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: Global economic crisis: Worldwide stocks in freefall again

#158 Postby Brent » Fri Oct 10, 2008 12:18 pm

lurker_from_nc wrote:From the Drudge Report:


Italian Prime Minister Berlusconi said political leaders discussing idea of closing world's financial markets while they 'rewrite the rules of international finance'... MORE


Probably the only thing that will stop the slide... :roll:

Here we go AGAIN:

DOW
8159.6
-419.59
-4.89%
NASDAQ
1571.03
-74.09
-4.5%
S&P 500
860.9
-49.02
-5.39%
0 likes   

lurkey
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2381
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:54 pm
Location: Raleigh, NC

Re: Global economic crisis: Worldwide stocks in freefall again

#159 Postby lurkey » Fri Oct 10, 2008 12:37 pm

Brent wrote:
lurker_from_nc wrote:From the Drudge Report:


Italian Prime Minister Berlusconi said political leaders discussing idea of closing world's financial markets while they 'rewrite the rules of international finance'... MORE


Probably the only thing that will stop the slide... :roll:

Here we go AGAIN:

DOW
8159.6
-419.59
-4.89%
NASDAQ
1571.03
-74.09
-4.5%
S&P 500
860.9
-49.02
-5.39%


The US markets are closed Monday anyway, b/c of the Columbus Holiday, right?
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 37989
Age: 36
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: Global economic crisis: Worldwide stocks in freefall again

#160 Postby Brent » Fri Oct 10, 2008 1:17 pm

lurker_from_nc wrote:
Brent wrote:
lurker_from_nc wrote:From the Drudge Report:


Italian Prime Minister Berlusconi said political leaders discussing idea of closing world's financial markets while they 'rewrite the rules of international finance'... MORE


Probably the only thing that will stop the slide... :roll:

Here we go AGAIN:

DOW
8159.6
-419.59
-4.89%
NASDAQ
1571.03
-74.09
-4.5%
S&P 500
860.9
-49.02
-5.39%


The US markets are closed Monday anyway, b/c of the Columbus Holiday, right?


Nope, according to this the next holiday isn't til Thanksgiving:

http://www.rightline.net/calendar/market-holidays.html
0 likes   


Return to “Off Topic”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 46 guests