Last Significant ATL TC about a week away?

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Ed Mahmoud

Re: Last Significant ATL TC about a week away?

#41 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Fri Oct 10, 2008 12:33 pm

Canadian shows the Colombia system trying to develop, and the Lesser Antilles system developing, and GFS sort of shows something like this as well. 2 Caribbean systems at the same time. Seems unlikely, but ¿quien sabes?

Image
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Re: Last Significant ATL TC about a week away?

#42 Postby JonathanBelles » Fri Oct 10, 2008 12:51 pm

Seems unlikely, but ¿quien sabes?


What? :lol:
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Re: Last Significant ATL TC about a week away?

#43 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Fri Oct 10, 2008 12:59 pm

Everywhere else on the internet, ¿ would produce an upside down question mark. And an ñ would produce an enye.

BTW, in Catalunya, they use the letters n and y. Now, I ask, is that considered one letter? Is "ny" like the Spanish "ch"? Who knows? Just curious. Like our local Spanish speaking population. I'd always heard the letter "j" was pronounced like an "h" (whereas an "h" is pronounced at all, like parts of England), but the word mujer, woman, I hear prnounced not as moo-HAIR, but as mu-xHair, with a guttural component.


There are ways that require intense memorization, alt and 3 or 4 digits, to produce non-standard characters.

° Alt 1086 º for a degree sign is the only one I can bother to remember.
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Re: Last Significant ATL TC about a week away?

#44 Postby Blown Away » Sat Oct 11, 2008 10:04 am

Seems the GFS has lost this system, I think the chances the CONUS will be affected by a named system is very low now.
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtml
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#45 Postby x-y-no » Sat Oct 11, 2008 10:12 am

Yeah, I'm glad to see this losing model support, since I have to drive to Tampa and back next weekend.
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Re: Last Significant ATL TC about a week away?

#46 Postby Rainband » Sat Oct 11, 2008 1:46 pm

Great news :D
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Re: Last Significant ATL TC about a week away?

#47 Postby Sanibel » Sat Oct 11, 2008 4:29 pm

System possibly forming in east Caribbean. Ike also formed from lingering convection near Windwards.
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Re: Last Significant ATL TC about a week away?

#48 Postby captain east » Sat Oct 11, 2008 4:35 pm

Sanibel wrote:System possibly forming in east Caribbean. Ike also formed from lingering convection near Windwards.

Ya, I think they should just drop 97L back to code yellow and raise 98L to a code orange because this is looking better and condition should be favorable for cyclonic formation in that area in about a day or two. Soon though, there might not be any 97L, the thing is getting sheared to bits...
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#49 Postby wyq614 » Sun Oct 12, 2008 8:55 am

Euro latest forecast:

Image

Wish me a good luck....
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Re:

#50 Postby captain east » Sun Oct 12, 2008 9:03 am

wyq614 wrote:Euro latest forecast:

Image

Wish me a good luck....

How many hours away is that for the Euro model?
Last edited by captain east on Sun Oct 12, 2008 9:05 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re:

#51 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Sun Oct 12, 2008 9:04 am

wyq614 wrote:Euro latest forecast:

Image

Wish me a good luck....


But the Euro keeps pushing the day back, I don't even need to edit the thread title.

Things may not be perfect in the Marxist dictatorship, but one thing they do right there is civil defense, so I suspect you'd be safe in a shelter if the worst comes to past.
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Re: Last Significant ATL TC about a week away?

#52 Postby Sanibel » Sun Oct 12, 2008 9:40 am

The LOW you see in that Euro model could be the LOW 'Blown Away' pointed out in the Panama thread. Apparently the model takes that weak Panama LOW that entered Central America and brings it back out into the Caribbean. Our 98L LOW bumps up against the same feature and heads NE.
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Re: Last Significant ATL TC about a week away?

#53 Postby x-y-no » Sun Oct 12, 2008 9:49 am

Sanibel wrote:The LOW you see in that Euro model could be the LOW 'Blown Away' pointed out in the Panama thread. Apparently the model takes that weak Panama LOW that entered Central America and brings it back out into the Caribbean. Our 98L LOW bumps up against the same feature and heads NE.


Yes, that's exactly it.

98L departs to the NE. The low east of Nicaragua moves NNW into the NW Caribbean on day 6 and begins developing.
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Re: Re:

#54 Postby wyq614 » Sun Oct 12, 2008 2:05 pm

Ed Mahmoud wrote:
wyq614 wrote:Euro latest forecast:

Image

Wish me a good luck....


But the Euro keeps pushing the day back, I don't even need to edit the thread title.

Things may not be perfect in the Marxist dictatorship, but one thing they do right there is civil defense, so I suspect you'd be safe in a shelter if the worst comes to past.


Still +240, however, significant convection now can be seen to the east of Nicaragua!

I believe in Cuba's civil defense, so if Euro's right, let's meet one and half week later in the check-in thread :lol:
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Re: Last Significant ATL TC about a week away?

#55 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Sun Oct 12, 2008 2:53 pm

Special Sunday Joe Bastardi Big Dog, comparing current weather to when Hazel was in the Caribbean, and as an added bit of TMI, JB thinks he was conceived as Hazel passed inland while his parents honeymooned in Atlantic City...



If we did get something through the Greater Antilles and into the Carolinas, that would be something. JB didn't actually predict that, however.
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Re: Last Significant ATL TC about a week away?

#56 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Mon Oct 13, 2008 9:18 am

We got 99L closer to the week ago Euro prediction date. Not wishing any harm on Cuba, but I hope a certain Chinese student studying abroad has a digital camera available.
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Re: Last Significant ATL TC about a week away?

#57 Postby wyq614 » Mon Oct 13, 2008 10:47 am

Ed Mahmoud wrote:We got 99L closer to the week ago Euro prediction date. Not wishing any harm on Cuba, but I hope a certain Chinese student studying abroad has a digital camera available.


I have one. Almost all of my classmates take a camera with them. If it hits Cuba, I will record in a safe place.
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Re: Last Significant ATL TC about a week away?

#58 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Mon Oct 13, 2008 10:51 am

wyq614 wrote:
Ed Mahmoud wrote:We got 99L closer to the week ago Euro prediction date. Not wishing any harm on Cuba, but I hope a certain Chinese student studying abroad has a digital camera available.


I have one. Almost all of my classmates take a camera with them. If it hits Cuba, I will record in a safe place.



Are there ethnic Chinese Cubans there? Have you been able to find good Chinese food? I have heard there are Jamaicans of Chinese ancestry, just wondering if any made it to Cuba.
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Re: Last Significant ATL TC about a week away?

#59 Postby Sanibel » Mon Oct 13, 2008 11:25 am

Interesting lesson in the 'shape' of disturbances like the round burst north of Panama that has now become 99L.
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