ATL SIXTEEN: Tropical Depression - Discussion

[HURAKAN]

Repeating the 200 PM EDT position...15.6 N...84.5 W. Movement
toward...west-southwest near 6 mph. Maximum sustained winds...30
mph. Minimum central pressure...1006 mb.

Now inland.

[HURAKAN]

Severe flooding likely occurring.

[wxman57]

Not much left of 16 now. Certainly wouldn't qualify for a TD upgrade, much less an upgrade to TS. This will never be Paloma.

[Blown Away]

Seems TD16 is starting to fall apart, I wonder if a new low will try to develop to the E under all the displaced convection?
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/loop-avn.html

[HURAKAN]

Best Track 18z:

AL, 16, 2008101518, , BEST, 0, 156N, 850W, 30, 1006, TD

30 knots ???

[HURAKAN]

SHIP S 1800 16.70 -86.80 143 292 80 33.0

In the area of convection, near TS winds.

Link: http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/radial_search.php?storm=at1

[Sanibel]

Overland toast. Drifting WSW in NE corner of Honduras.

[HURAKAN]

Repeating the 500 PM EDT position...15.5 N...85.4 W. Movement
toward...west near 7 mph. Maximum sustained winds...35 mph.
Minimum central pressure...1006 mb.

[wxman57]

Bones says "what kind of name for a TC would Paloma be, anyway"?:

[fci]

Is "Paloma" a kind of steak???

(oh; nice to see you Jim)

[HURAKAN]

Palomilla is a kind of steak (delicious).



Paloma is Spanish for dove.

[Sanibel]

Give me 36 hours to see if it bounces back out.

[AdamFirst]

That Paloma picture above would sound pretty good right now

DOA for TD 16...good luck to central America in terms of the flooding

[HURAKAN]

Repeating the 800 PM EDT position...15.3 N...85.6 W. Movement
toward...west-southwest near 7 mph. Maximum sustained winds...35
mph. Minimum central pressure...1006 mb.

Further into CA. Could this system pull a Mitch-like track? NOT INTENSITY-wise, of course.

[HURAKAN]

Convection now developing near and over LLC. Fay, is that you!?!?!

[HURAKAN]

Best Track 0z:

AL, 16, 2008101600, , BEST, 0, 153N, 856W, 30, 1006, TD

30 knots

[Sanibel]

Waiting to see if Oklahoma trough moves HIGH and pulls 16 N.

[LaBreeze]

So are we talking dove steak? Just kidding.

[HURAKAN]

Bye little friend!

Statement as of 11:00 PM EDT on October 15, 2008

Repeating the 1100 PM EDT position...15.3 N...85.9 W. Movement
toward...west-southwest near 7 mph. Maximum sustained winds...30
mph. Minimum central pressure...1006 mb.


This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.


$$
Forecaster Rhome

[Cainer]

OK, I have a question. I know that if an Atlantic storm crosses over into the EPac and retains its circulation, it'll keep it's name too. If TD 16 crosses over, retains its circulation, and develops into a TS, it would still be named Polo because it never actually developed in the Atlantic, right? Not saying that any of this is going to happen