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JonathanBelles
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#2621 Postby JonathanBelles » Mon Oct 20, 2008 12:09 am

How long until the fronts actually start packing a punch?
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Re: Florida Weather Thread - Another front by the weekend

#2622 Postby tropicana » Mon Oct 20, 2008 8:10 am

WIth overnight lows dipping to 70F at Miami International Airport ... today was the coolest temperature at this location since:-

May 13th 2008 67F

Fort Lauderdale failed to fall below 77F though, with a constant ENE wind through the overnight. Miami's winds were light out of the North.

-justin-
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#2623 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Oct 20, 2008 10:43 am

My thermometer measured 65.6ºF!!!

Coolest this autumn.
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#2624 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Oct 20, 2008 1:51 pm

Image

Very quiet day across most of the U.S of A.
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Re:

#2625 Postby jinftl » Mon Oct 20, 2008 2:00 pm

Miami Intl Airport did get down to 70 deg last night based on prelim NWS numbers....still no 'below 70' reading though....it will be interesting to see if in fact a reading below 70 becomes the actual data for the day.

Fort Lauderdale (airport) only got down to 77 degrees....makes sense given the onshore flow from the 82 degree water....Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood Intl Airport is quite a bit closer to the beach than MIA.

At 5am, this morning, Miami Int'l reported 70 deg with a N wind at 5mph. At the same time, Fort Laud/Hollywood Airport was reporting 77 deg with a NE wind at 8mph. Winds out of the northeast are onshore...hence the warmer readings closer to the coast.


CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI, FL
721 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2008
...THE MIAMI CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR OCTOBER 20 2008...
VALID AS OF 0700 AM LOCAL TIME..................................

TEMPERATURE (F)
TODAY
MINIMUM 70 500 AM




THE FORT LAUDERDALE CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR OCTOBER 20 2008...
VALID AS OF 0700 AM LOCAL TIME.
.................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
TODAY
MINIMUM 77 1200 AM

HURAKAN wrote:Image

Very quiet day across most of the U.S of A.
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Re:

#2626 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Mon Oct 20, 2008 2:38 pm

fact789 wrote:How long until the fronts actually start packing a punch?
Probably next month. That is how I always remembered it being in central Florida. The first "strong" front (by Florida standards), capable of producing a sub-72F high and a sub-50F low, usually tends to arrive sometime after November 15th. If you're really lucky, you might even be able to squeeze out a sub-40F low before the month is through, but this tends to be very rare. The last time Orlando, FL hit the 30s in November was back in 2002 when the low fell to 39F on the 30th. The all-time record low for Orlando during the month of November is 29F, which was set in 1950, and the all-time record low for Tampa during the month of November is 23F ( :eek: ), which was set it 1970. It would sure be an interesting sight if something like that were to happen again today! Lows below freezing in Orlando and Tampa are hard to come by in mid-winter, so to trying to imagine them in November is pretty mind-boggling.
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#2627 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Oct 21, 2008 9:54 pm

Image

Change is coming!
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Re: Florida Weather Thread - Another front by the weekend

#2628 Postby dizzyfish » Wed Oct 22, 2008 5:44 am

:uarrow: Yes it is!

70% rain chance for us starting Thursday night. :D
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#2629 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Oct 22, 2008 12:07 pm

Image

Image

Closer and closer!
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Re: Florida Weather Thread - Another front by the weekend

#2630 Postby dizzyfish » Wed Oct 22, 2008 1:11 pm

They don't exactly sound confident in the way things will unfold. At least we should get some needed rain.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
156 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2008

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT - FRIDAY)...COMPLEX WEATHER SITUATION SETTING UP BETWEEN NOW AND FRIDAY WITH ABOUT AS MANY SOLUTIONS AS THERE ARE COMPUTER MODELS. WITH A WARM FRONT TO OUR SOUTH...AND A DEEPENING UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MAKING ITS WAY TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...IT SEEMS REASONABLE TO BELIEVE THAT SOME SORT OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE WARM FRONT IN THE GULF AND MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ACROSS FLORIDA. MODELS ARE STRUGGLING WITH
WHERE THE LOW WILL DEVELOP...AND WHICH PART OF FLORIDA THE LOW WILL CROSS. THE LATEST GFS KEEPS THE WARM FRONT TRAPPED TO OUR SOUTH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...THEN FINALLY LIFTS IT NORTH TO NEAR TAMPA BAY BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WITH THE COLD FRONT CLOSE ON ITS HEALS IN THE EASTERN GULF. EARLIER RUNS HAD THE WARM FRONT MOVING UP THROUGH THE NATURE COAST THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. THE
STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY TO OUR NORTH WILL LIKELY KEEP THE FRONT SUPPRESSED TO OUR SOUTH UNTIL LOW PRESSURE ORGANIZES AND APPROACHES THE PENINSULA. THIS WILL ALSO MEAN THAT MOST OF OUR RAIN THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE FROM THE WARMER AIR ALOFT OVER-RUNNING THE COOLER BOUNDARY LAYER BENEATH. THIS WOULD KEEP THE SEVERE THREAT ON THE LOW SIDE...BUT IT WOULD ONLY TAKE A SLIGHTLY STRONGER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TO END UP WITH A MORE AGGRESSIVE WARM FRONT AND A HIGHER SEVERE RISK.

EITHER WAY...RAIN CHANCES INCREASE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH OVERNIGHT WITH THE BEST CHANCES OCCURRING AFTER MIDNIGHT IN LEE COUNTY. RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTH ON THURSDAY...WITH RAIN LIKELY EVERYWHERE BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING INTO FRIDAY. WE ARE NOT LOOKING FOR CONTINUOUS RAIN...BUT OVERALL POPS WILL RUN FROM 90 PERCENT FOR CHARLOTTE AND LEE COUNTIES THURSDAY AFTERNOON
DOWN TO 70 PERCENT FOR THE NATURE COAST THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. EVEN THERE...POPS MAY BE RAISED IN FUTURE FORECASTS AS THE EVENT UNFOLDS.
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#2631 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Oct 22, 2008 8:24 pm

Image
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#2632 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Oct 23, 2008 11:17 am

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#2633 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu Oct 23, 2008 6:49 pm

VERY breezy right now. E 26 G 32 (from the NWS) seems low.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread - Another front by the weekend

#2634 Postby jinftl » Thu Oct 23, 2008 7:30 pm

Latest wind observations from across the Sunshine State.....pretty much breezy from the Panhandle to the Keys....


FLORIDA REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
800 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2008

PENSACOLA NAS NE20G26
JAX NAS E14G26
ST AUGUSTINE E28G35
ORLANDO EXEC E20G29
MELBOURNE E20G26
VERO BEACH E16G24
FT PIERCE E18G24
CLEARWATER E17G24
ST PETERSBURG E24
FT MYERS E15G21
W PALM BEACH E22G30
FT LAUDERDALE E17G26
KEY WEST NAS E15G21
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#2635 Postby feederband » Thu Oct 23, 2008 7:35 pm

80 % chance of rain today...And I didn't get a drop... :cry:
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Re:

#2636 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Oct 23, 2008 7:49 pm

feederband wrote:80 % chance of rain today...And I didn't get a drop... :cry:


You got the other 20%!!! :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
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Re: Re:

#2637 Postby O Town » Thu Oct 23, 2008 8:20 pm

HURAKAN wrote:
feederband wrote:80 % chance of rain today...And I didn't get a drop... :cry:


You got the other 20%!!! :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:

LOL, us too............well maybe we got a trace because for about 15 seconds it drizzled. :P
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Re:

#2638 Postby jinftl » Thu Oct 23, 2008 8:23 pm

Don't put the umbrealla away quite yet....'wall' of rain just off the west coast of florida.....


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
800 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2008

...LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS OFFSHORE WILL SLOWLY MOVE TOWARDS THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...

DISCUSSION...DATA FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR IN
RUSKIN FL WAS SHOWING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS SOME 50 TO 60 MILES
OFFSHORE ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE LOW LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL GULF
WATERS.


Very impressive area of rain on the Tampa radar
http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?rid=tbw&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=no



feederband wrote:80 % chance of rain today...And I didn't get a drop... :cry:
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#2639 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Oct 23, 2008 8:30 pm

So far today, my rain gauge has received 0.48 inches. It rained heavier further down the county.

Image
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#2640 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Oct 23, 2008 9:16 pm

Image
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