ACE 2008 numbers=ATL=144.505 / EPAC=81.6125

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RattleMan
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL / 128.385 / EPAC,80.73

#361 Postby RattleMan » Thu Oct 16, 2008 4:55 pm

16/2100z:

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   0.60%
   Bertha   28.3675   22.02%
BT   Cristobal   3.765   2.92%
   Dolly   5.3125   4.12%
   Edouard   1.5275   1.19%
   Fay   6.715   5.21%
   Gustav   18.455   14.33%
   Hanna   10.32   8.01%
   Ike   38.245   29.69%
   Josephine   2.79   2.17%
   Kyle   4.3725   3.39%
   Laura   0.8625   0.67%
   Marco   1.21   0.94%
   Nana   0.3675   0.29%
   Omar   5.725   4.44%
   TOTAL   128.8075   
         
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.03%
   Boris   7.025   8.70%
   Cristina   1.21   1.50%
BT   Douglas   0.6125   0.76%
BT   Elida   11.45   14.18%
   Fausto   10.125   12.54%
   Genevieve   5.76   7.13%
   Hernan   11.65   14.43%
   Iselle   1.295   1.60%
   Julio   1.1775   1.46%
   Karina   0.1225   0.15%
   Lowell   2.445   3.03%
   Marie   4.935   6.11%
   Norbert   19.3525   23.97%
   Odile   2.74   3.39%
   TOTAL   80.73   
         
   Atlantic   leads by   48.0775
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=128.8075 / EPAC=80.73

#362 Postby RattleMan » Thu Oct 16, 2008 9:57 pm

17/0300z:

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   0.60%
   Bertha   28.3675   21.96%
BT   Cristobal   3.765   2.91%
   Dolly   5.3125   4.11%
   Edouard   1.5275   1.18%
   Fay   6.715   5.20%
   Gustav   18.455   14.29%
   Hanna   10.32   7.99%
   Ike   38.245   29.61%
   Josephine   2.79   2.16%
   Kyle   4.3725   3.39%
   Laura   0.8625   0.67%
   Marco   1.21   0.94%
   Nana   0.3675   0.28%
   Omar   6.085   4.71%
   TOTAL   129.1675   
         
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.03%
   Boris   7.025   8.70%
   Cristina   1.21   1.50%
BT   Douglas   0.6125   0.76%
BT   Elida   11.45   14.18%
   Fausto   10.125   12.54%
   Genevieve   5.76   7.13%
   Hernan   11.65   14.43%
   Iselle   1.295   1.60%
   Julio   1.1775   1.46%
   Karina   0.1225   0.15%
   Lowell   2.445   3.03%
   Marie   4.935   6.11%
   Norbert   19.3525   23.97%
   Odile   2.74   3.39%
   TOTAL   80.73   
         
   Atlantic   leads by   48.4375
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=129.1675 / EPAC=80.73

#363 Postby RattleMan » Fri Oct 17, 2008 3:53 am

17/0900z:

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   0.60%
   Bertha   28.3675   21.92%
BT   Cristobal   3.765   2.91%
   Dolly   5.3125   4.10%
   Edouard   1.5275   1.18%
   Fay   6.715   5.19%
   Gustav   18.455   14.26%
   Hanna   10.32   7.97%
   Ike   38.245   29.55%
   Josephine   2.79   2.16%
   Kyle   4.3725   3.38%
   Laura   0.8625   0.67%
   Marco   1.21   0.93%
   Nana   0.3675   0.28%
   Omar   6.335   4.90%
   TOTAL   129.4175   
         
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.03%
   Boris   7.025   8.70%
   Cristina   1.21   1.50%
BT   Douglas   0.6125   0.76%
BT   Elida   11.45   14.18%
   Fausto   10.125   12.54%
   Genevieve   5.76   7.13%
   Hernan   11.65   14.43%
   Iselle   1.295   1.60%
   Julio   1.1775   1.46%
   Karina   0.1225   0.15%
   Lowell   2.445   3.03%
   Marie   4.935   6.11%
   Norbert   19.3525   23.97%
   Odile   2.74   3.39%
   TOTAL   80.73   
         
   Atlantic   leads by   48.6875
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=129.8 / EPAC=80.73

#364 Postby RattleMan » Fri Oct 17, 2008 1:04 pm

17/1500z, getting closer to the Atlantic leading by at least 50:

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   0.60%
   Bertha   28.3675   21.86%
BT   Cristobal   3.765   2.90%
   Dolly   5.3125   4.09%
   Edouard   1.5275   1.18%
   Fay   6.715   5.17%
   Gustav   18.455   14.22%
   Hanna   10.32   7.95%
   Ike   38.245   29.47%
   Josephine   2.79   2.15%
   Kyle   4.3725   3.37%
   Laura   0.8625   0.66%
   Marco   1.21   0.93%
   Nana   0.3675   0.28%
   Omar   6.695   5.16%
   TOTAL   129.7775   
         
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.03%
   Boris   7.025   8.70%
   Cristina   1.21   1.50%
BT   Douglas   0.6125   0.76%
BT   Elida   11.45   14.18%
   Fausto   10.125   12.54%
   Genevieve   5.76   7.13%
   Hernan   11.65   14.43%
   Iselle   1.295   1.60%
   Julio   1.1775   1.46%
   Karina   0.1225   0.15%
   Lowell   2.445   3.03%
   Marie   4.935   6.11%
   Norbert   19.3525   23.97%
   Odile   2.74   3.39%
   TOTAL   80.73   
         
   Atlantic   leads by   49.0475
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=129.8 / EPAC=80.73

#365 Postby cycloneye » Fri Oct 17, 2008 4:06 pm

ACE numbers update as of the 5 PM Advisory of Omar at 65 kts.

Code: Select all

[edit] Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arthur) Best track 0.7725
02L (Bertha) Operational 28.3675
03L (Cristobal) Best track 3.7650
04L (Dolly) Operational 5.3125
05L (Edouard) Operational 1.5275
06L (Fay) Operational 6.7150
07L (Gustav) Operational 18.4550
08L (Hanna) Operational 10.3200
09L (Ike) Operational 38.2450
10L (Josephine) Operational 2.7900
11L (Kyle) Operational 4.3725
12L (Laura) Operational 0.8625
13L (Marco) Operational 1.2100
14L (Nana) Operational 0.3675
15L (Omar) Operational 7.1175
16L (Sixteen) Operational 0.0000
Total  130.2
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=130.2 / EPAC=80.73

#366 Postby RattleMan » Fri Oct 17, 2008 9:44 pm

18/0300z:

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   0.59%
   Bertha   28.3675   21.74%
BT   Cristobal   3.765   2.89%
   Dolly   5.3125   4.07%
   Edouard   1.5275   1.17%
   Fay   6.715   5.15%
   Gustav   18.455   14.14%
   Hanna   10.32   7.91%
   Ike   38.245   29.31%
   Josephine   2.79   2.14%
   Kyle   4.3725   3.35%
   Laura   0.8625   0.66%
   Marco   1.21   0.93%
   Nana   0.3675   0.28%
   Omar   7.42   5.69%
   TOTAL   130.5025   
         
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.03%
   Boris   7.025   8.70%
   Cristina   1.21   1.50%
BT   Douglas   0.6125   0.76%
BT   Elida   11.45   14.18%
   Fausto   10.125   12.54%
   Genevieve   5.76   7.13%
   Hernan   11.65   14.43%
   Iselle   1.295   1.60%
   Julio   1.1775   1.46%
   Karina   0.1225   0.15%
   Lowell   2.445   3.03%
   Marie   4.935   6.11%
   Norbert   19.3525   23.97%
   Odile   2.74   3.39%
   TOTAL   80.73   
         
   Atlantic   leads by   49.7725
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=130.5025 / EPAC=80.73

#367 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 18, 2008 6:35 am

ACE updated numbers for the Atlantic as of the 5 AM EDT Advisory of Omar at 50 kts.

Code: Select all

Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arthur) Best track 0.7725
02L (Bertha) Operational 28.3675
03L (Cristobal) Best track 3.7650
04L (Dolly) Operational 5.3125
05L (Edouard) Operational 1.5275
06L (Fay) Operational 6.7150
07L (Gustav) Operational 18.4550
08L (Hanna) Operational 10.3200
09L (Ike) Operational 38.2450
10L (Josephine) Operational 2.7900
11L (Kyle) Operational 4.3725
12L (Laura) Operational 0.8625
13L (Marco) Operational 1.2100
14L (Nana) Operational 0.3675
15L (Omar) Operational 7.6700
16L (Sixteen) Operational 0.0000
Total  130.7525
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=130.7525 / EPAC=80.73

#368 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 18, 2008 10:23 am

The final ACE numbers for Omar are 7.6700 as the last advisory was written.The 2008 Atlantic Season ACE numbers will stay at 130.7525.The question is if this was the last system of the 2008 Atlantic season,or still there will be more systems to add more ACE numbers.

RattleMan,how is the ranking now for the 2008 Atlantic season with the 130.7525?
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=130.7525 / EPAC=80.73

#369 Postby RattleMan » Sat Oct 18, 2008 1:00 pm

18/1500z, Omar became a low. However, just as Omar's numbers pushed 2008 AHS back up to 50 ahead of the EPAC, the Boris and Hernan TCRs came out and pushed the difference back down into the 40s:

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   0.59%
   Bertha   28.3675   21.70%
BT   Cristobal   3.765   2.88%
   Dolly   5.3125   4.06%
   Edouard   1.5275   1.17%
   Fay   6.715   5.14%
   Gustav   18.455   14.11%
   Hanna   10.32   7.89%
   Ike   38.245   29.25%
   Josephine   2.79   2.13%
   Kyle   4.3725   3.34%
   Laura   0.8625   0.66%
   Marco   1.21   0.93%
   Nana   0.3675   0.28%
   Omar   7.67   5.87%
   TOTAL   130.7525   
         
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.01%
BT   Boris   7.675   9.37%
   Cristina   1.21   1.48%
BT   Douglas   0.6125   0.75%
BT   Elida   11.45   13.98%
   Fausto   10.125   12.37%
   Genevieve   5.76   7.04%
BT   Hernan   12.145   14.83%
   Iselle   1.295   1.58%
   Julio   1.1775   1.44%
   Karina   0.1225   0.15%
   Lowell   2.445   2.99%
   Marie   4.935   6.03%
   Norbert   19.3525   23.64%
   Odile   2.74   3.35%
   TOTAL   81.875   
         
   Atlantic   leads by   48.8775


The ranking is still the same.

Code: Select all

Total Atl ACE  To Go Until Passing…            
            
(data 1950-2008)         (data 1851-1949)   
2005   117      1893   100
1950   112      1926   91
1995   96      1933   82
2004   93      1887   51
1961   74      1878   50
1955   68      1916   46
1998   51      1886   35
1999   46      1906   32
2003   44      1899   19
1964   39      1896   5
1996   35      1932   5
1969   27      1894   4
1980   16      1880   0.25
1966   14      1915   -13
1951   6      1891   -15
1989   4      1892   -15
1967   -9      1898   -18
1958   -10      1947   -19
1963   -13      1936   -23
2000   -15      1948   -25
1954   -18      1889   -27
2001   -25         
1953   -27         
            
            
1950-2008 rank:   17         
1851-2008 rank:   30         
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#370 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Oct 20, 2008 2:02 pm

Best Track for Bertha is out and by my calculations, the ACE of Bertha increases to 29.4875. RattleMan, could you confirm this?

Karina's increases to 0.2450.
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Re:

#371 Postby RattleMan » Mon Oct 20, 2008 3:35 pm

HURAKAN wrote:Best Track for Bertha is out and by my calculations, the ACE of Bertha increases to 29.4875. RattleMan, could you confirm this?

Karina's increases to 0.2450.


I got 29.61, but there were so many entries that I might have made a mistake. I'll doublecheck later.
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Re: Re:

#372 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Oct 20, 2008 4:02 pm

RattleMan wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:Best Track for Bertha is out and by my calculations, the ACE of Bertha increases to 29.4875. RattleMan, could you confirm this?

Karina's increases to 0.2450.


I got 29.61, but there were so many entries that I might have made a mistake. I'll doublecheck later.


You're correct. I only counted one 35-knot advisory and there were two.
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=130.7525 / EPAC=80.73

#373 Postby RattleMan » Mon Oct 20, 2008 6:28 pm

Thus, here are the newest stats with the Bertha and Karina TCRs:

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   0.59%
BT   Bertha   29.61   22.43%
BT   Cristobal   3.765   2.85%
   Dolly   5.3125   4.02%
   Edouard   1.5275   1.16%
   Fay   6.715   5.09%
   Gustav   18.455   13.98%
   Hanna   10.32   7.82%
   Ike   38.245   28.97%
   Josephine   2.79   2.11%
   Kyle   4.3725   3.31%
   Laura   0.8625   0.65%
   Marco   1.21   0.92%
   Nana   0.3675   0.28%
   Omar   7.67   5.81%
   TOTAL   131.995   
         
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.01%
BT   Boris   7.675   9.36%
   Cristina   1.21   1.48%
BT   Douglas   0.6125   0.75%
BT   Elida   11.45   13.96%
   Fausto   10.125   12.35%
   Genevieve   5.76   7.02%
BT   Hernan   12.145   14.81%
   Iselle   1.295   1.58%
   Julio   1.1775   1.44%
BT   Karina   0.245   0.30%
   Lowell   2.445   2.98%
   Marie   4.935   6.02%
   Norbert   19.3525   23.60%
   Odile   2.74   3.34%
   TOTAL   81.9975   
         
   Atlantic   leads by   49.9975


The Atlantic is so close to leading by 50.

Bertha has pushed the 2008 AHS up a rank:

Code: Select all

Total Atl ACE  To Go Until Passing…            
            
(data 1950-2008)         (data 1851-1949)   
2005   116      1893   99
1950   111      1926   90
1995   95      1933   81
2004   92      1887   50
1961   73      1878   49
1955   67      1916   45
1998   50      1886   34
1999   45      1906   31
2003   43      1899   18
1964   38      1896   4
1996   34      1932   4
1969   26      1894   3
1980   15      1880   -1.00
1966   13      1915   -14
1951   5      1891   -16
1989   3      1892   -16
1967   -10      1898   -19
1958   -11      1947   -20
1963   -14      1936   -24
2000   -16      1948   -26
1954   -19      1889   -28
2001   -26         
1953   -28         
            
            
1950-2008 rank:   17         
1851-2008 rank:   29         


My latest Excel spreadsheet with the full stats for Omar and including the Boris, Hernan, Bertha and Karina TCR calculations is located here:

http://drop.io/2008ace

The filename is "ACE_Omar_Release_20081020_2330z.xls"

Also, someone needs to change the Pacific ACE in the title; it's outdated.
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=131.995 / EPAC=81.9975

#374 Postby cycloneye » Mon Oct 20, 2008 6:51 pm

:uarrow: Updated both Basins numbers.Thanks for posting the changes.
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#375 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Oct 21, 2008 11:41 am

Don't forget the 110 kt peak intensity in Bertha was an intermediate point and is not part of the ACE.
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Re:

#376 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Oct 21, 2008 11:46 am

CrazyC83 wrote:Don't forget the 110 kt peak intensity in Bertha was an intermediate point and is not part of the ACE.


Code: Select all

07 / 2100 20.3 51.9 952 110


Very true.
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Re:

#377 Postby RattleMan » Tue Oct 21, 2008 2:17 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:Don't forget the 110 kt peak intensity in Bertha was an intermediate point and is not part of the ACE.


Didn't expect that to be in there. Why is it there; it's already listed under "minimum pressure" at the bottom =\

Thus, here are the new stats:

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   0.59%
BT   Bertha   28.4   21.72%
BT   Cristobal   3.765   2.88%
   Dolly   5.3125   4.06%
   Edouard   1.5275   1.17%
   Fay   6.715   5.13%
   Gustav   18.455   14.11%
   Hanna   10.32   7.89%
   Ike   38.245   29.24%
   Josephine   2.79   2.13%
   Kyle   4.3725   3.34%
   Laura   0.8625   0.66%
   Marco   1.21   0.93%
   Nana   0.3675   0.28%
   Omar   7.67   5.86%
   TOTAL   130.785   
         
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.01%
BT   Boris   7.675   9.36%
   Cristina   1.21   1.48%
BT   Douglas   0.6125   0.75%
BT   Elida   11.45   13.96%
   Fausto   10.125   12.35%
   Genevieve   5.76   7.02%
BT   Hernan   12.145   14.81%
   Iselle   1.295   1.58%
   Julio   1.1775   1.44%
BT   Karina   0.245   0.30%
   Lowell   2.445   2.98%
   Marie   4.935   6.02%
   Norbert   19.3525   23.60%
   Odile   2.74   3.34%
   TOTAL   81.9975   
         
   Atlantic   leads by   48.7875
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=130.785 / EPAC=81.9975

#378 Postby RattleMan » Sun Nov 02, 2008 11:16 pm

03/0300z:

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   0.59%
BT   Bertha   28.4   21.72%
BT   Cristobal   3.765   2.88%
   Dolly   5.3125   4.06%
   Edouard   1.5275   1.17%
   Fay   6.715   5.13%
   Gustav   18.455   14.11%
   Hanna   10.32   7.89%
   Ike   38.245   29.24%
   Josephine   2.79   2.13%
   Kyle   4.3725   3.34%
   Laura   0.8625   0.66%
   Marco   1.21   0.93%
   Nana   0.3675   0.28%
   Omar   7.67   5.86%
   TOTAL   130.785   
         
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.01%
BT   Boris   7.675   9.35%
   Cristina   1.21   1.47%
BT   Douglas   0.6125   0.75%
BT   Elida   11.45   13.94%
   Fausto   10.125   12.33%
   Genevieve   5.76   7.01%
BT   Hernan   12.145   14.79%
   Iselle   1.295   1.58%
   Julio   1.1775   1.43%
BT   Karina   0.245   0.30%
   Lowell   2.445   2.98%
   Marie   4.935   6.01%
   Norbert   19.3525   23.57%
   Odile   2.74   3.34%
   Polo   0.1225   0.15%
   TOTAL   82.12   
         
   Atlantic   leads by   48.665
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=130.785 / EPAC=82.12

#379 Postby RattleMan » Mon Nov 03, 2008 3:50 pm

03/2100z:

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   0.59%
BT   Bertha   28.4   21.72%
BT   Cristobal   3.765   2.88%
   Dolly   5.3125   4.06%
   Edouard   1.5275   1.17%
   Fay   6.715   5.13%
   Gustav   18.455   14.11%
   Hanna   10.32   7.89%
   Ike   38.245   29.24%
   Josephine   2.79   2.13%
   Kyle   4.3725   3.34%
   Laura   0.8625   0.66%
   Marco   1.21   0.93%
   Nana   0.3675   0.28%
   Omar   7.67   5.86%
   TOTAL   130.785   
         
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.01%
BT   Boris   7.675   9.30%
   Cristina   1.21   1.47%
BT   Douglas   0.6125   0.74%
BT   Elida   11.45   13.88%
   Fausto   10.125   12.27%
   Genevieve   5.76   6.98%
BT   Hernan   12.145   14.72%
   Iselle   1.295   1.57%
   Julio   1.1775   1.43%
BT   Karina   0.245   0.30%
   Lowell   2.445   2.96%
   Marie   4.935   5.98%
   Norbert   19.3525   23.46%
   Odile   2.74   3.32%
   Polo   0.49   0.59%
   TOTAL   82.4875   
         
   Atlantic   leads by   48.2975
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=130.785 / EPAC=82.4875

#380 Postby cycloneye » Tue Nov 04, 2008 4:42 pm

Updated ACE numbers for EPAC as of 1 PM PST.

Code: Select all

Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01E (Alma) Best track 0.8300
02E (Boris) Best track 7.675
03E (Cristina) Operational 1.2100
04E (Douglas) Best track 0.6125
05E (NONAME) Best track 0.0000
06E (Elida) Best track 11.4500
07E (Fausto) Operational 10.1250
08E (Genevieve) Operational 5.7600
09E (Hernan) Best track 12.1450
01C (Kika) Operational (1.5925)
10E (Iselle) Operational 1.2950
11E (Julio) Operational 1.1775
12E (Karina) Best track 0.2450
13E (Lowell) Operational 2.4450
14E (Marie) Operational 4.9350
15E (Norbert) Operational 19.3525
16E (Odile) Operational 2.7400
17E (NONAME) Best track 0.0000
18E (Polo) Operational 0.9800
Total  82.9775
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