ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion

[cycloneye]

The 2008 season wants to give us some more possible action before it ends.

BEGIN
NHC
invest_al942008.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
200811082228
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 94, 2008, DB, O, 2008110818, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL942008
AL, 94, 2008110718, , BEST, 0, 308N, 396W, 20, 1012, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 94, 2008110800, , BEST, 0, 312N, 391W, 20, 1012, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 94, 2008110806, , BEST, 0, 316N, 387W, 20, 1012, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 94, 2008110812, , BEST, 0, 321N, 383W, 20, 1012, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 94, 2008110818, , BEST, 0, 326N, 379W, 25, 1009, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 180, 0, 0, 0,

[Cainer]

It would be neat if this developed, those late-season Central Atlantic storms are always lots of fun.

[cycloneye]

000
ABNT20 KNHC 090001
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 PM EST SAT NOV 8 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON MAJOR
HURRICANE PALOMA...LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF CUBA NEAR
SANTA CRUZ DEL SUR.

AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAS DEVELOPED IN ASSOCIATION
WITH A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR
SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR TWO IF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY PERSISTS NEAR THE LOW
PRESSURE CENTER.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER ROBERTS/STEWART

[HURAKAN]

[CrazyC83]

This really came out of nowhere...

[cycloneye]

This really came out of nowhere...

It means that you haved not gone to Talking Tropics forum since last thursday.

[HURAKAN]

This really came out of nowhere...

Not really. There were two threads in Trackin' Tropics on Thursday about this system that were merged.

[HURAKAN]

[HURAKAN]

08/2345 UTC 33.1N 38.2W T1.0/1.0 94L -- Atlantic

[cycloneye]

00:00 UTC Best Track:

AL, 94, 2008110900, , BEST, 0, 331N, 383W, 30, 1009, DB

[Just Joshing You]

30 KT? Isn't that Depression strength?

[JonathanBelles]

30 KT? Isn't that Depression strength?

There is no technical 'Depression Strength'.

[AJC3]

30 KT? Isn't that Depression strength?

Since it's extratropical, it's not quite up to gale strength.

There is no such thing as "depression strength" as there is no minimum wind criteria for a system to be declared a TD. Operationally, you'll rarely find one initiated below 25KT.

[Chacor]

As fact said, there is no such thing as "depression strength". It would be a tropical depression if this was a TC right now, yes, but it's not at "depression strength".

[HURAKAN]

Convection decreasing at the moment.

[HURAKAN]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 AM EST SUN NOV 9 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
PALOMA...LOCATED INLAND OVER CUBA ABOUT 25 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
CAMAGUEY.

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A NON-TROPICAL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 675 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES HAS
DIMINISHED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
ARE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM BEFORE
UPPER LEVEL WINDS INCREASE IN COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER BERG

[cycloneye]

000
ABNT20 KNHC 091157
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 AM EST SUN NOV 9 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON
RECENTLY-DOWNGRADED TROPICAL STORM PALOMA...LOCATED INLAND NEAR
CAMAGUEY CUBA.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE NON-TROPICAL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES
HAVE DIMINISHED. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...IF ANY...WILL BE
SLOW TO OCCUR.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER BERG

[cycloneye]

Not much to look here except for a nice naked swirl.Unless it gains convection,this will not be named Rene.

[HURAKAN]

Not impressed at all!!

[HURAKAN]