ACE 2008 numbers=ATL=144.505 / EPAC=81.6125

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RattleMan
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=140.9575 / EPAC=83.0875

#401 Postby RattleMan » Wed Nov 19, 2008 9:00 pm

Fausto and Odile's TCRs lower their total values:

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   0.55%
BT   Bertha   28.4   20.15%
BT   Cristobal   3.765   2.67%
   Dolly   5.3125   3.77%
BT   Edouard   1.6975   1.20%
   Fay   6.715   4.76%
   Gustav   18.455   13.09%
   Hanna   10.32   7.32%
   Ike   38.245   27.13%
   Josephine   2.79   1.98%
   Kyle   4.3725   3.10%
   Laura   0.8625   0.61%
BT   Marco   1.3175   0.93%
   Nana   0.3675   0.26%
   Omar   7.67   5.44%
   Paloma   9.895   7.02%
   TOTAL   140.9575   
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.01%
BT   Boris   7.675   9.32%
   Cristina   1.21   1.47%
BT   Douglas   0.6125   0.74%
BT   Elida   11.45   13.91%
BT   Fausto   9.5575   11.61%
   Genevieve   5.76   7.00%
BT   Hernan   12.145   14.75%
   Iselle   1.295   1.57%
   Julio   1.1775   1.43%
BT   Karina   0.245   0.30%
   Lowell   2.445   2.97%
BT   Marie   5.045   6.13%
   Norbert   19.3525   23.50%
BT   Odile   2.555   3.10%
   Polo   0.98   1.19%
   TOTAL   82.335   
         
   Atlantic   leads by   58.6225
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=140.9575 / EPAC=82.335

#402 Postby RattleMan » Thu Dec 04, 2008 1:02 pm

Lowell and Nana TCRs:

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   0.55%
BT   Bertha   28.4   20.13%
BT   Cristobal   3.765   2.67%
   Dolly   5.3125   3.77%
BT   Edouard   1.6975   1.20%
   Fay   6.715   4.76%
   Gustav   18.455   13.08%
   Hanna   10.32   7.31%
   Ike   38.245   27.11%
   Josephine   2.79   1.98%
   Kyle   4.3725   3.10%
   Laura   0.8625   0.61%
BT   Marco   1.3175   0.93%
BT   Nana   0.49   0.35%
   Omar   7.67   5.44%
   Paloma   9.895   7.01%
   TOTAL   141.08   
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.01%
BT   Boris   7.675   9.35%
   Cristina   1.21   1.47%
BT   Douglas   0.6125   0.75%
BT   Elida   11.45   13.95%
BT   Fausto   9.5575   11.65%
   Genevieve   5.76   7.02%
BT   Hernan   12.145   14.80%
   Iselle   1.295   1.58%
   Julio   1.1775   1.43%
BT   Karina   0.245   0.30%
BT   Lowell   2.175   2.65%
BT   Marie   5.045   6.15%
   Norbert   19.3525   23.58%
BT   Odile   2.555   3.11%
   Polo   0.98   1.19%
   TOTAL   82.065   
         
   Atlantic   leads by   59.015



And the current ranking again:

Code: Select all

Total Atl ACE  To Go Until Passing…            
            
(data 1950-2008)         (data 1851-1949)   
2005   107      1893   90
1950   102      1926   81
1995   86      1933   72
2004   83      1887   41
1961   64      1878   40
1955   58      1916   36
1998   41      1886   25
1999   36      1906   22
2003   34      1899   9
1964   29      1896   -5
1996   25      1932   -5
1969   17      1894   -6
1980   6      1880   -10
1966   4      1915   -23
1951   -4      1891   -25
1989   -6      1892   -25
1967   -19      1898   -28
1958   -20      1947   -29
1963   -23      1936   -33
2000   -25      1948   -35
1954   -28      1889   -37
2001   -35         
1953   -37         
            
            
1950-2008 rank:   15         
1851-2008 rank:   24         


The current Excel spreadsheet is also available here:

http://drop.io/2008ace

The filename is "ACE_Update_20081204_1756z.xls".
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=141.08 / EPAC=82.065

#403 Postby RattleMan » Fri Dec 05, 2008 7:18 pm

ACE updates with Josephine, Kyle, and Iselle TCRs:

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   0.54%
BT   Bertha   28.4   19.94%
BT   Cristobal   3.765   2.64%
   Dolly   5.3125   3.73%
BT   Edouard   1.6975   1.19%
   Fay   6.715   4.72%
   Gustav   18.455   12.96%
   Hanna   10.32   7.25%
   Ike   38.245   26.86%
BT   Josephine   3.07   2.16%
BT   Kyle   5.425   3.81%
   Laura   0.8625   0.61%
BT   Marco   1.3175   0.93%
BT   Nana   0.49   0.34%
   Omar   7.67   5.39%
   Paloma   9.895   6.95%
   TOTAL   142.4125   
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.01%
BT   Boris   7.675   9.34%
   Cristina   1.21   1.47%
BT   Douglas   0.6125   0.75%
BT   Elida   11.45   13.93%
BT   Fausto   9.5575   11.63%
   Genevieve   5.76   7.01%
BT   Hernan   12.145   14.78%
BT   Iselle   1.4075   1.71%
   Julio   1.1775   1.43%
BT   Karina   0.245   0.30%
BT   Lowell   2.175   2.65%
BT   Marie   5.045   6.14%
   Norbert   19.3525   23.55%
BT   Odile   2.555   3.11%
   Polo   0.98   1.19%
   TOTAL   82.1775   
         
   Atlantic   leads by   60.235
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=142.4125 / EPAC=82.1775

#404 Postby RattleMan » Fri Dec 12, 2008 10:51 pm

Polo TCR:

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   0.54%
BT   Bertha   28.4   19.94%
BT   Cristobal   3.765   2.64%
   Dolly   5.3125   3.73%
BT   Edouard   1.6975   1.19%
   Fay   6.715   4.72%
   Gustav   18.455   12.96%
   Hanna   10.32   7.25%
   Ike   38.245   26.86%
BT   Josephine   3.07   2.16%
BT   Kyle   5.425   3.81%
   Laura   0.8625   0.61%
BT   Marco   1.3175   0.93%
BT   Nana   0.49   0.34%
   Omar   7.67   5.39%
   Paloma   9.895   6.95%
   TOTAL   142.4125   
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.01%
BT   Boris   7.675   9.32%
   Cristina   1.21   1.47%
BT   Douglas   0.6125   0.74%
BT   Elida   11.45   13.91%
BT   Fausto   9.5575   11.61%
   Genevieve   5.76   7.00%
BT   Hernan   12.145   14.75%
BT   Iselle   1.4075   1.71%
   Julio   1.1775   1.43%
BT   Karina   0.245   0.30%
BT   Lowell   2.175   2.64%
BT   Marie   5.045   6.13%
   Norbert   19.3525   23.51%
BT   Odile   2.555   3.10%
BT   Polo   1.13   1.37%
   TOTAL   82.3275   
         
   Atlantic   leads by   60.085
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=142.4125 / EPAC=82.3275

#405 Postby RattleMan » Tue Dec 16, 2008 5:31 pm

Genevieve's TCR lowers the ACE a bit:

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   0.54%
BT   Bertha   28.4   19.94%
BT   Cristobal   3.765   2.64%
   Dolly   5.3125   3.73%
BT   Edouard   1.6975   1.19%
   Fay   6.715   4.72%
   Gustav   18.455   12.96%
   Hanna   10.32   7.25%
   Ike   38.245   26.86%
BT   Josephine   3.07   2.16%
BT   Kyle   5.425   3.81%
   Laura   0.8625   0.61%
BT   Marco   1.3175   0.93%
BT   Nana   0.49   0.34%
   Omar   7.67   5.39%
   Paloma   9.895   6.95%
   TOTAL   142.4125   
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.01%
BT   Boris   7.675   9.33%
   Cristina   1.21   1.47%
BT   Douglas   0.6125   0.74%
BT   Elida   11.45   13.92%
BT   Fausto   9.5575   11.62%
BT   Genevieve   5.675   6.90%
BT   Hernan   12.145   14.77%
BT   Iselle   1.4075   1.71%
   Julio   1.1775   1.43%
BT   Karina   0.245   0.30%
BT   Lowell   2.175   2.64%
BT   Marie   5.045   6.13%
   Norbert   19.3525   23.53%
BT   Odile   2.555   3.11%
BT   Polo   1.13   1.37%
   TOTAL   82.2425   
         
   Atlantic   leads by   60.17
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=142.4125 / EPAC=82.2425

#406 Postby RattleMan » Wed Dec 17, 2008 4:30 pm

Hanna TCR:

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   0.54%
BT   Bertha   28.4   19.93%
BT   Cristobal   3.765   2.64%
   Dolly   5.3125   3.73%
BT   Edouard   1.6975   1.19%
   Fay   6.715   4.71%
   Gustav   18.455   12.95%
BT   Hanna   10.4125   7.31%
   Ike   38.245   26.84%
BT   Josephine   3.07   2.15%
BT   Kyle   5.425   3.81%
   Laura   0.8625   0.61%
BT   Marco   1.3175   0.92%
BT   Nana   0.49   0.34%
   Omar   7.67   5.38%
   Paloma   9.895   6.94%
   TOTAL   142.505   
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.01%
BT   Boris   7.675   9.33%
   Cristina   1.21   1.47%
BT   Douglas   0.6125   0.74%
BT   Elida   11.45   13.92%
BT   Fausto   9.5575   11.62%
BT   Genevieve   5.675   6.90%
BT   Hernan   12.145   14.77%
BT   Iselle   1.4075   1.71%
   Julio   1.1775   1.43%
BT   Karina   0.245   0.30%
BT   Lowell   2.175   2.64%
BT   Marie   5.045   6.13%
   Norbert   19.3525   23.53%
BT   Odile   2.555   3.11%
BT   Polo   1.13   1.37%
   TOTAL   82.2425   
         
   Atlantic   leads by   60.2625
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=142.505 / EPAC=82.2425

#407 Postby RattleMan » Wed Jan 07, 2009 5:25 pm

Norbert's TCR brings a lower ACE:

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   0.54%
BT   Bertha   28.4   19.92%
BT   Cristobal   3.8125   2.67%
   Dolly   5.3125   3.73%
BT   Edouard   1.6975   1.19%
   Fay   6.715   4.71%
   Gustav   18.455   12.95%
BT   Hanna   10.4125   7.30%
   Ike   38.245   26.83%
BT   Josephine   3.07   2.15%
BT   Kyle   5.425   3.81%
   Laura   0.8625   0.61%
BT   Marco   1.3175   0.92%
BT   Nana   0.49   0.34%
   Omar   7.67   5.38%
   Paloma   9.895   6.94%
   TOTAL   142.5525   
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.02%
BT   Boris   7.675   9.45%
   Cristina   1.21   1.49%
BT   Douglas   0.6125   0.75%
BT   Elida   11.45   14.09%
BT   Fausto   9.5575   11.76%
BT   Genevieve   5.675   6.98%
BT   Hernan   12.145   14.95%
BT   Iselle   1.4075   1.73%
   Julio   1.1775   1.45%
BT   Karina   0.245   0.30%
BT   Lowell   2.175   2.68%
BT   Marie   5.045   6.21%
BT   Norbert   18.365   22.60%
BT   Odile   2.555   3.14%
BT   Polo   1.13   1.39%
   TOTAL   81.255   
         
   Atlantic   leads by   61.2975
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#408 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Jan 07, 2009 8:19 pm

Cristobal's is now 3.8125 after a BT revision.

Oops, just noticed it.
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=142.505 / EPAC=81.255

#409 Postby RattleMan » Thu Jan 22, 2009 2:31 pm

Dolly TCR is out:

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   0.54%
BT   Bertha   28.4   19.92%
BT   Cristobal   3.8125   2.67%
BT   Dolly   5.3625   3.76%
BT   Edouard   1.6975   1.19%
   Fay   6.715   4.71%
   Gustav   18.455   12.94%
BT   Hanna   10.4125   7.30%
   Ike   38.245   26.82%
BT   Josephine   3.07   2.15%
BT   Kyle   5.425   3.80%
   Laura   0.8625   0.60%
BT   Marco   1.3175   0.92%
BT   Nana   0.49   0.34%
   Omar   7.67   5.38%
   Paloma   9.895   6.94%
   TOTAL   142.6025   
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.02%
BT   Boris   7.675   9.45%
   Cristina   1.21   1.49%
BT   Douglas   0.6125   0.75%
BT   Elida   11.45   14.09%
BT   Fausto   9.5575   11.76%
BT   Genevieve   5.675   6.98%
BT   Hernan   12.145   14.95%
BT   Iselle   1.4075   1.73%
   Julio   1.1775   1.45%
BT   Karina   0.245   0.30%
BT   Lowell   2.175   2.68%
BT   Marie   5.045   6.21%
BT   Norbert   18.365   22.60%
BT   Odile   2.555   3.14%
BT   Polo   1.13   1.39%
   TOTAL   81.255   
         
   Atlantic   leads by   61.3475
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#410 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Jan 22, 2009 2:40 pm

That is correct since the 85 kt in the BT graphic was an intermediate point and not part of the ACE.
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Re:

#411 Postby RattleMan » Thu Jan 22, 2009 2:42 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:That is correct since the 85 kt in the BT graphic was an intermediate point and not part of the ACE.


I learn from my mistakes (viewtopic.php?p=1843518#p1843518), and from then on I check for non-six hourly points before calculating the ACE. I found the 23/1400z and excluded it.
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=142.6025 / EPAC=81.255

#412 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jan 22, 2009 2:49 pm

Rattleman,I commend you for keeping us updated with the numbers about the 2008 season in terms of the ACE.You update and I edit in the title the numbers. :)
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=142.6025 / EPAC=81.255

#413 Postby RattleMan » Fri Jan 23, 2009 12:00 pm

Ike TCR:

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   0.54%
BT   Bertha   28.4   19.81%
BT   Cristobal   3.8125   2.66%
BT   Dolly   5.3625   3.74%
BT   Edouard   1.6975   1.18%
   Fay   6.715   4.68%
   Gustav   18.455   12.87%
BT   Hanna   10.4125   7.26%
BT   Ike   39.0075   27.21%
BT   Josephine   3.07   2.14%
BT   Kyle   5.425   3.78%
   Laura   0.8625   0.60%
BT   Marco   1.3175   0.92%
BT   Nana   0.49   0.34%
   Omar   7.67   5.35%
   Paloma   9.895   6.90%
   TOTAL   143.365   
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.02%
BT   Boris   7.675   9.45%
   Cristina   1.21   1.49%
BT   Douglas   0.6125   0.75%
BT   Elida   11.45   14.09%
BT   Fausto   9.5575   11.76%
BT   Genevieve   5.675   6.98%
BT   Hernan   12.145   14.95%
BT   Iselle   1.4075   1.73%
   Julio   1.1775   1.45%
BT   Karina   0.245   0.30%
BT   Lowell   2.175   2.68%
BT   Marie   5.045   6.21%
BT   Norbert   18.365   22.60%
BT   Odile   2.555   3.14%
BT   Polo   1.13   1.39%
   TOTAL   81.255   
         
   Atlantic   leads by   62.11
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=143.365 / EPAC=81.255

#414 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jan 23, 2009 12:40 pm

:uarrow: That was a good move upward on the ACE of Ike.
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=143.365 / EPAC=81.255

#415 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jan 26, 2009 12:44 pm

The latest ACE numbers with the Gustav and Paloma updated numbers.The number for the 2008 season goes from 143.65 down to 141.59.

Code: Select all

Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arthur) Best track 0.7725
02L (Bertha) Best track 28.4000
03L (Cristobal) Best track 3.8125
04L (Dolly) Best track 5.3625
05L (Edouard) Best track 1.6975
06L (Fay) Operational 6.7150
07L (Gustav) Best track 17.3725
08L (Hanna) Best track 10.4125
09L (Ike) Best track 39.0075
10L (Josephine) Best track 3.0700
11L (Kyle) Best track 5.4250
12L (Laura) Operational 0.8625
13L (Marco) Best track 1.3175
14L (Nana) Best track 0.4900
15L (Omar) Operational 7.6700
16L (NONAME) Best track 0.0000
17L (Paloma) Best track 9.2025
Total  141.59
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=141.59 / EPAC=81.255

#416 Postby RattleMan » Mon Jan 26, 2009 1:57 pm

Why must the TCRs be released when I have little time to do these updates?

Anyway, I think the Gustav numbers are wrong. Crazy, I checked your work on WP; you transcribed the numbers correctly but I think you must have added wrong.

My Gustav number is 18.275, bringing the total to 143.185.

I'll do Paloma later when I have more time.
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=141.59 / EPAC=81.255

#417 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jan 26, 2009 2:06 pm

RattleMan wrote:Why must the TCRs be released when I have little time to do these updates?

Anyway, I think the Gustav numbers are wrong. Crazy, I checked your work on WP; you transcribed the numbers correctly but I think you must have added wrong.

My Gustav number is 18.275, bringing the total to 143.185.

I'll do Paloma later when I have more time.


Thank you for posting the correct numbers.
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=141.59 / EPAC=81.255

#418 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Jan 26, 2009 2:44 pm

RattleMan wrote:Why must the TCRs be released when I have little time to do these updates?

Anyway, I think the Gustav numbers are wrong. Crazy, I checked your work on WP; you transcribed the numbers correctly but I think you must have added wrong.

My Gustav number is 18.275, bringing the total to 143.185.

I'll do Paloma later when I have more time.


That's possible, it can be hard to remember sometimes when I do the addition.
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#419 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Jan 26, 2009 3:18 pm

My Paloma ACE Calculations:

Image
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#420 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Jan 26, 2009 3:26 pm

Same numbers that I got. Paloma was easier as had a far shorter lifespan and was straight up, straight down (it didn't fluctuate a lot like Gustav did at first).
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