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Tampa Bay Hurricane
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#3261 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sun Jan 11, 2009 10:12 pm

No Arctic Blast here:
While it will be a cold spell with 5 days of temperatures 5-12 degrees below normal, it will
not be arctic.

National Weather Service Saint Petersburg, Florida:

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... &map.y=156

Overnight: A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly after 1am. Patchy dense fog after 1am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. North northwest wind between 6 and 9 mph. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Monday: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65. Northeast wind between 7 and 9 mph.

Monday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Northeast wind around 7 mph becoming southeast. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Tuesday: A 50 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65. North northwest wind between 6 and 16 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 46. North northwest wind between 11 and 15 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.

Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 60. North northeast wind between 8 and 13 mph.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 47. North northeast wind around 7 mph.

Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 61. North northwest wind between 8 and 10 mph.

Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 49. North northwest wind between 13 and 18 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 57.

Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 44.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 61.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 46.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 64.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: cooler pattern

#3262 Postby frankthetank » Sun Jan 11, 2009 10:44 pm

Yeah.. Not looking that impressive for Miami. Probably chilly for the locals, but if the sun is out and its near 70F i'll be happy. Once i get down there i'll post my feelings on this "arctic" outbreak! :)

balmy 18F out here right now.
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#3263 Postby JonathanBelles » Sun Jan 11, 2009 10:48 pm

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
720 PM EST SUN JAN 11 2009

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-121200-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CEDAR KEY...CHIEFLAND...CRYSTAL RIVER...
INVERNESS...BUSHNELL...THE VILLAGES...BROOKSVILLE...SPRING HILL...
NEW PORT RICHEY...ZEPHYRHILLS...CLEARWATER...ST. PETERSBURG...
BRANDON...TAMPA...LAKELAND...WINTER HAVEN...BRADENTON...
WAUCHULA...SEBRING...AVON PARK...SARASOTA...VENICE...ARCADIA...
PORT CHARLOTTE...PUNTA GORDA...CAPE CORAL...FORT MYERS
720 PM EST SUN JAN 11 2009

...STREAK OF WARM WEATHER COMING TO AN END...

THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN IN THE UPPER LEVELS ACROSS THE U.S. IS
BEGINNING TO SHIFT ONCE AGAIN WITH A TROUGH EXPECTED TO SETUP
ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S. THIS WEEK AND CONTINUING INTO AT LEAST
NEXT WEEK. THIS IS IN CONTRAST TO THE OVERALL RIDGING THAT WE
HAVE SEE ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE LAST FOUR WEEKS WHICH HAS KEPT
TEMPERATURES NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF ONLY
THREE OR FOUR DAYS.

THIS SHIFT IN THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL BRING OUR STREAK OF
RATHER WARM WEATHER TO AN END AS A SERIES OF COLD FRONTS MOVES
SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION. BEHIND THESE FRONTS TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO DROP 10 TO AS MUCH AS 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL AT
NIGHT AND ABOUT 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL DURING THE DAY. AT
THIS TIME IT APPEARS THAT TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE THE
RECORD COLD LEVELS FROM SOME WINTERS IN THE PAST.

THE FIRST OF THESE FRONTS WILL ARRIVE TONIGHT...BUT WEAKEN AND
BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL FLORIDA DURING
MONDAY. SOME COOLER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
PORTIONS OF THE AREA BEHIND THIS FRONT ON MONDAY WITH DAYTIME
HIGHS ONLY CLIMBING INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S ACROSS THE NATURE
COAST AND TO NEAR 70 ACROSS THE TAMPA BAY AREA EASTWARD THROUGH
LAKELAND AND WINTER HAVEN.

A SECOND STRONGER FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH DURING TUESDAY AND
THEN BE REINFORCED BY A THIRD FRONT THURSDAY NIGHT WITH ARCTIC
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE CENTRAL U.S. LATE IN THE WEEK.
BEHIND THESE BOUNDARIES SOME OF THE COLDEST AIR SINCE EARLY
DECEMBER WILL OVERSPREAD THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. TEMPERATURES WILL
LIKELY FALL BELOW FREEZING ACROSS INLAND PORTIONS OF THE NATURE
COAST EACH NIGHT FROM TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH
THE POTENTIAL FOR A HARD FREEZE IN SOME SPOTS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
AGAIN THURSDAY NIGHT. FURTHER SOUTH...TEMPERATURES COULD FALL TO
AROUND OR JUST BELOW FREEZING IN SOME OF THE NORMALLY COLDER
INLAND LOCATIONS AROUND THE TAMPA BAY AREA SOUTHWARD INTO INTERIOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA EACH NIGHT FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

RESIDENTS...ESPECIALLY THOSE NORTH OF THE TAMPA BAY AREA...SHOULD
BE PREPARED TO PROTECT VEGETATION AND PETS EACH NIGHT BEGINNING
TUESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING INTO THIS WEEKEND. PROLONGED
TEMPERATURES NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING MAY SEVERELY DAMAGE SENSITIVE
VEGETATION...AND CAN BE HARMFUL TO PETS. IN ADDITION...IF YOU PLAN
ON BEING OUTDOORS LATE EACH NIGHT INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS
BEGINNING TUESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING INTO THE WEEKEND...BE SURE
TO BUNDLE UP AND DRESS IN LAYERS. IF YOU PLAN ON USING SPACE
HEATERS PLEASE REMEMBER THEY CAN BE A FIRE HAZARD...AND YOU SHOULD
KEEP LINENS...BLANKETS...CURTAINS...AND OTHER FLAMMABLES AWAY FROM
THE HEATER AT ALL TIMES.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA SOURCE OR YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FOR THE LATEST DETAILS ON THIS UPCOMING COLD SPELL.

$$

PRC
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#3264 Postby psyclone » Sun Jan 11, 2009 10:51 pm

Thankfully this is looking much better for peninsular Florida. For awhile I was worried Frankthetank was going to bring us a souvenir from the upper midwest. Now it just looks like a few days (or perhaps more) of jacket weather which is typical this time of year. With all of our economic issues emanating from housing and tourism, the last thing we need is a big freeze resulting in an agricultural wipeout. I'm cheering on the strawberries & it looks like we're winning.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: cooler pattern

#3265 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Mon Jan 12, 2009 12:05 am

The 00z GFS MOS shows several mornings in the 30s for Orlando (MCO) this week. It shows 37F on Thursday morning, 35F on Friday morning, and 38F on Saturday morning.
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#3266 Postby JonathanBelles » Mon Jan 12, 2009 1:20 am

Looking at the Tally Forecast. Lows in the 20's begin on Tuesday night. Teens may not be out of the question on Friday night. What a climate change!
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#3267 Postby JonathanBelles » Mon Jan 12, 2009 2:44 am

With the clouds and bright full moon, it half looks like day time outside. Not good sleeping weather.
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Re:

#3268 Postby jinftl » Mon Jan 12, 2009 10:11 am

keep in mind the normal low in tampa is about 50 for this time of year...and record lows for this next 2 weeks or so....climatoligically the coldest the year.... are not easy ones to beat....in the low to mid-20s generally. Accuweather is even a little warmer overall for tampa then they were last night....instead of 3 days of the next 15 under 60 deg for high temps, they are now forecasting 1 (friday) with temps by next sunday approaching normal again (near 70).


Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:Well, that snow flurry is not gonna happen in Tampa, Accuweather going
with the mid 70s on that day. LOL.

Anyway, it might get down to around 45*F in Saint Petersburg
for next week, with several days in the upper 40s. Inland areas
are forecasted to be around 39*F next week at the coldest.

Cold snap not looking nearly as impressive as it was a few days ago
with the GFS bringing the freeze line south of Saint Petersburg on that
cold run; now appears it will be a regular cool spell with mid 40s in Saint Pete.
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#3269 Postby frankthetank » Mon Jan 12, 2009 10:13 am

In the store yesterday and noticed a new crop of strawberries from Plant City, FL...

Only thing i'm bringing is white skin :)

Miami says 74F on Sunday...Lows in the 50's will be fine for me, but thinking the locals may be chilled (in July, we have lows in the 50's some nights!).

What about NEXT week... any chance we get back to near or above 80F? in Miami? Looks like the whole country turns mild for a little while.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: cooler pattern

#3270 Postby jinftl » Mon Jan 12, 2009 2:40 pm

Upcoming airmasses like the one this week really lead to some wide-ranging forecasts across the state...forecasting for the state is sometimes like forecasting for the entire u.s. east coast!


STATE FORECAST FOR FLORIDA...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1205 PM EST MON JAN 12 2009

.THIS AFTERNOON...PARTLY CLOUDY AND COOL PANHANDLE. PARTLY TO MOSTLY
CLOUDY ELSEWHERE. CHANCE OF SHOWERS NORTHEAST TO BIG BEND. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS CENTRAL THROUGH KEYS. WIDESPREAD MORNING FOG SOUTH
CENTRAL AND SOUTH. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO AROUND 60 NORTH AND IN
THE 60S CENTRAL WITH 70S SOUTH...EXCEPT NEAR 80 SOUTHEAST COAST AND KEYS.

.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR WESTERN PANHANDLE...MOSTLY CLOUDY ELSEWHERE
NORTH AND WEST CENTRAL TO PARTLY CLOUDY ELSEWHERE. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY BIG BEND. CHANCE OF SHOWERS ELSEWHERE NORTH AND
CENTRAL PENINSULA. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS KEYS. AREAS OF FOG
SOUTH. LOWS IN THE 30S TO THE MID 40S NORTH...50S CENTRAL...AND
LOWER TO MID 60S SOUTH...EXCEPT UPPER 60S TO NEAR 70 SOUTHEAST COAST AND KEYS.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY PENINSULA AND KEYS AND MOSTLY CLEAR
ELSEWHERE. CHANCE OF SHOWERS PENINSULA AND KEYS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S NORTH...60S CENTRAL...AND 70S TO NEAR 80 SOUTH AND KEYS.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR EXCEPT PARTLY CLOUDY SOUTH AND KEYS.
COOLER. CHANCE OF SHOWERS SOUTH. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS KEYS.
BREEZY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO THE LOWER 30S NORTH AND NORTH
CENTRAL...LOWER TO MID 40S CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST...50S ELSEWHERE
SOUTH AND NEAR 60 KEYS.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR EXCEPT PARTLY CLOUDY KEYS. COOLER. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S NORTH...WITH 60S ELSEWHERE EXCEPT NEAR 70
SOUTHEAST COAST AND KEYS.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR NORTH. PARTLY CLOUDY CENTRAL AND SOUTH AND
MOSTLY CLOUDY KEYS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S TO THE 30S
NORTH...NEAR 40 TO THE LOWER 40S CENTRAL AND INTERIOR SOUTH...MID TO
UPPER 40S ELSEWHERE SOUTH...EXCEPT THE LOWER 50S SOUTHEAST COAST AND
NEAR 60 KEYS. HIGHS IN THE 50S PANHANDLE...LOWER TO MID 60S
ELSEWHERE NORTH AND CENTRAL AND AROUND 70 SOUTH AND KEYS.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR NORTH TO PARTLY CLOUDY SOUTH. LOWS IN THE MID
TO UPPER 20S TO THE 30S NORTH...NEAR 40 TO THE LOWER 40S CENTRAL AND
INTERIOR SOUTH...MID TO UPPER 40S ELSEWHERE SOUTH...EXCEPT THE LOWER
50S SOUTHEAST COAST AND NEAR 60 KEYS. HIGHS IN THE 50S NORTH AND
CENTRAL TO THE 60S SOUTH EXCEPT NEAR 70 SOUTHEAST COAST AND KEYS.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: cooler pattern

#3271 Postby jdray » Mon Jan 12, 2009 2:45 pm

Still on for NE Florida

000
FXUS62 KJAX 121936
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
235 PM EST MON JAN 12 2009

...NICE SHOT OF RAINFALL EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...
...MUCH COLDER CONDITIONS EXPECTED THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK...

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

REST OF THIS AFTERNOON...TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...CLASSIC COLD SEASON
OVERRUNNING RAIN EVENT ALREADY ONGOING ACRS NERN FL AND WILL
OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AT TIMES. RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH TUESDAY WILL BE AROUND AN
INCH IN MOST LOCATIONS EXCEPT LIGHTER AS YOU GO NORTHWEST THROUGH
INLAND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. RAIN INDUCED FOG EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
TONIGHT AND MAY BECOME DENSE ACRS PORTIONS OF THE I-75 CORRIDOR NEAR
OCALA AND GAINESVILLE. INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN WEAK ENOUGH TO
PRECLUDE TSTM ACTIVITY OVER THE LAND AREAS BUT A FEW ISOLD TSTMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE ATLC COASTAL WATERS ON TUESDAY.

TUESDAY NIGHT...LOW WILL DEVELOP OFF THE CAROLINA COAST AND PUSH TO
THE NORTHEAST AND QUICKLY CLEAR THE FORECAST AREA OF ANY LINGERING
RAIN TUE AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH CLEARING SKIES AND TEMPS FALLING
INTO THE 30S AREA WIDE BY WED MORNING. A FEW AREAS ACRS INLD SERN GA
WILL FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S WITH A LIGHT FREEZE POSSIBLE THERE.
WILL NEED TO MONITOR HOW QUICKLY ROADS DRY ACRS INLD SERN GA AS
THERE COULD BE SOME SLICK SPOTS IF UPPER 20S ARE REALIZED.

WED AND WED NIGHT...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE ALONG WITH CLEAR AND COLD
CONDITIONS WILL MAKE MAX TEMPS ONLY IN THE 50S THEN FALLING INTO THE
20S BY EARLY THU MORNING WITH A WIDESPREAD FREEZE EXPECTED IN ALL
AREAS AWAY FROM THE COAST AND LOCAL RIVERS. TOO EARLY FOR A FREEZE
WATCH BUT ONE WILL LIKELY BE POSTED ON TUE.

THU...STRONG BUT DRY COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE EXPECTED ON BLUSTERY
NWLY WINDS AND MAX TEMPS AGAIN ONLY IN THE 50S.

THU NIGHT...LARGE AND VERY COLD AIR ADVECTING INTO THE REGION ON
BRISK NLY WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR WIDESPREAD MIN TEMPS IN THE 20S ALONG
WITH SOME UPPER TEENS IN SHELTERED LOCATIONS
. WIND CHILL ADVISORY
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH INDICES FALLING INTO THE TEENS ACRS THE
REGION BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

FRI AND SAT...VERY COLD CONDITIONS WITH HIGHS ONLY ARND 50 ON FRIDAY
AND 55 ON SATURDAY WITH ANOTHER BITTER COLD NIGHT EXPECTED FRI NIGHT
WITH WIDESPREAD MIN TEMPS IN THE 20S AND UPPER TEENS ONCE AGAIN IN
COLDER LOCATIONS.


SUN AND MON...COLD AIRMASS IN PLACE WILL SLOWLY MODIFY WITH DRY
FRONTAL PASSAGE EXPECTED ON MONDAY WITH AIRMASS MORE OF PACIFIC
ORIGIN SO NOT AS COLD EARLY NEXT WEEK. ANOTHER FREEZE EVENT POSSIBLE
SAT NIGHT THEN MIN TEMPS BOUNCING UPWARDS INTO THE 30S BY EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
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#3272 Postby gatorcane » Mon Jan 12, 2009 2:52 pm

Even as far South as the Tampa Bay area, locations away from the immediate bay and Gulf could see lows in the 30s for 4 straight nights. But even along the water in the Tampa Bay its going to be downright chilly this week (lows in the lower 40s for several nights in a row) Impressive indeed:

Tampa forecast:

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 37. North northwest wind between 3 and 6 mph.

Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 62. North northeast wind between 6 and 10 mph.

Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 34. North northwest wind between 9 and 11 mph.

Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 59. North northeast wind around 11 mph.

Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 35.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 64.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 39.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 68.
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#3273 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Mon Jan 12, 2009 2:59 pm

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
240 PM EST MON JAN 12 2009

.DISCUSSION...
...RAIN CHANCES INCREASING INTO TOMORROW...
...MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES LATER IN THE WEEK...
...DRIER CONDITIONS WILL HEIGHTEN FIRE SENSITIVITY BEGINNING
WEDNESDAY...

TONIGHT...
STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE NORTH ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AS
OVERRUNNING MOISTURE ALONG AND NORTH OF THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO
CREATE CONSIDERABLE CLOUD COVER AND GENERATE SCATTERED SHOWER
ACTIVITY MAINLY OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA. WILL CONTINUE TO UNDERCUT MOS
POPS AS THEY STILL SEEM TOO HIGH WITH HIGHEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
REMAINING OVER THE NORTH AROUND 30-40% AND SLIGHT CHANCE TO NIL POPS
FARTHER SOUTH. COULD SEE PATCHY FOG DEVELOP OVER THE AREA AS WELL AS
WIDESPREAD STRATUS DEVELOPING LATE TONIGHT. TEMPS WILL REMAIN MILD
SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY WITH LOWS IN THE LOW/MID 50S NORTH TO UPPER
50S/LOW 60S SOUTH.

TUESDAY...
DEEP 500MB TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES AS A
WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE
GULF. THIS WILL ACT TO MOVE THE LOW PRESSURE OVER FLORIDA
...DRAGGING THE FRONT SOUTHEASTWARD AND OVER THE CWA. HAVE
INCREASED POPS TO 60% (LIKELY) NORTH AND 50% (CHANCE) SOUTH.
THIS IS BELOW GUIDANCE AS MOS POPS CONTINUE TO LOOK TOO HIGH. NOT
EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF QPF (<.25") WITH LIMITED MOISTURE
OVER THE AREA. QUESTIONABLE INSTABILITY EXISTS AS WELL ON FORECAST
SOUNDINGS AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NOT ANTICIPATED. TEMPS
ACROSS THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO DISPLAY A LARGE RANGE WITH HIGHS
ONLY IN THE LOW/MID 60S NORTH TO UPPER 70S OVER THE FAR SOUTH.

TUE NIGHT-THU...STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CLEAR THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE FORECAST AREA TUE EVENING
WITH CLEARING CONDITIONS AND AN
END TO LIGHT PRECIP OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE AREA DURING
THE EVENING. GUIDANCE TEMPS SUGGEST UPR 30S NORTH OF INTERSTATE
FOUR WITH 40S ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA. BUBBLE HIGH
TRANSITING ACROSS REGION WED WILL SPELL ABNORMALLY COOL AND DRY
CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT WINDS. NEXT FRONT WILL BLAST SOUTHWARD
BRINGING VERY COLD ARCTIC AIR TO THE FL PENINSULA BY LATE THU. NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WILL ACCOMPANY FRONTAL PSG...HOWEVER WINDS
WILL PICK UP IN THE AFTERNOON AS STRONG COLD ADVECTION MOVES
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA.


FRI-SUN...LTST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A FREEZE OVER THE NORTHERNMOST
PORTION OF THE AREA FRI MORNING AND PERHAPS THE EXTREME NORTHWEST
SATURDAY MORNING WITH WIND CHILL ADVISORIES A LIKELIHOOD OVER THE
ENTIRE AREA EARLY FRIDAY.
A LARGE HIGH CENTER WILL CROSS THE MS VALLEY
AND SETTLE OVER THE SOUTHEAST ON FRI INTO SUN. ONSHORE FLOW
DEVELOPING ON FRIDAY WILL BEGIN A GRADUAL MODERATION IN
TEMPS/MOISTURE WITH COASTAL AREAS MOST AFFECTED BY CLOUDS AND
POSSIBLE LIGHT DRIZZLE LATE FRI AND INTO SAT. RIDGE WILL SETTLE
OVER CENTRAL FL SUNDAY WITH CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS. ANOTHER DRY
FRONTAL SURGE IS FORECAST TO WORK ACROSS FL EARLY MON.
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#3274 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Mon Jan 12, 2009 4:00 pm

Miami is now forecasted to break 50F on Thursday night...

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... =-80.2&e=1

Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 49. Breezy, with a north wind around 17 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
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Re:

#3275 Postby jinftl » Mon Jan 12, 2009 4:19 pm

What's interesting is that the NWS 'point click' forecast maps really do narrow the forecast down to smaller areas of a location...your forecast link and the one i pasted (and give link to) below...both forecasts issued at the same time...just a few miles apart...let's leave it at it will be a 'close call'.

50 deg is the new 40 deg in Miami this winter....usually dropping below 40 is a one time a year-type event, but several nights in the 40s are not unusual each season....except this one so far.

NWS Forecast for: Miami FL
Issued by: National Weather Service Miami - South Florida
Last Update: 3:52 pm EST Jan 12, 2009

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 52. Breezy, with a north wind around 17 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=25.762793355586623&lon=-80.22354125976562&site=mfl&smap=1&marine=0&unit=0&lg=en

Extremeweatherguy wrote:Miami is now forecasted to break 50F on Thursday night...

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... =-80.2&e=1

Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 49. Breezy, with a north wind around 17 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: cooler pattern

#3276 Postby jinftl » Mon Jan 12, 2009 4:31 pm

As of now, forecasted cold is not likely to reach record low levels...

Jacksonville
Wednesday Night - Forecast low = 31, Record for Date = 23
Thursday Night - Forecast low = 28, Record for Date = 20
Friday Night - Forecast low = 27, Record for Date = 22 (maybe poss???)

Orlando
Wednesday Night - Forecast low = 38, Record for Date = 20
Thursday Night - Forecast low = 37, Record for Date = 26
Friday Night - Forecast low = 38, Record for Date = 30

Tampa
Wednesday Night - Forecast low = 39, Record for Date = 29
Thursday Night - Forecast low = 37, Record for Date = 27
Friday Night - Forecast low = 38, Record for Date = 28

Miami
Wednesday Night - Forecast low = 51, Record for Date = 37
Thursday Night - Forecast low = 49-52 (LOL), Record for Date = 34
Friday Night - Forecast low = 53, Record for Date = 39
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#3277 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Mon Jan 12, 2009 5:26 pm

Currently 67*F in the backyard, which is what it is in downtown
Saint Petersburg as well.

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... &map.y=157
For Saint Petersburg, near the Bay Waters:

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 46. North northwest wind between 9 and 13 mph.

Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 59. North northwest wind between 5 and 9 mph.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 47. North northwest wind around 7 mph.

Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 60. North northeast wind between 7 and 13 mph.

Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. North northeast wind between 11 and 14 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 57. North northeast wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. Northeast wind between 11 and 13 mph.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 62.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 48.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 51.

M.L.King Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65.
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Re:

#3278 Postby gatorcane » Mon Jan 12, 2009 5:34 pm

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:Currently 67*F in the backyard, which is what it is in downtown
Saint Petersburg as well.

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... &map.y=157
For Saint Petersburg, near the Bay Waters:

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 46. North northwest wind between 9 and 13 mph.

Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 59. North northwest wind between 5 and 9 mph.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 47. North northwest wind around 7 mph.

Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 60. North northeast wind between 7 and 13 mph.

Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. North northeast wind between 11 and 14 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 57. North northeast wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. Northeast wind between 11 and 13 mph.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 62.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 48.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 51.

M.L.King Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65.


Since the winds are going to stay up across coastal Tampa Bay and be mostly blowing across Tampa Bay (from the northeast) we would expect the low temperatures across peninsula Pinellas County to remain quite a bit warmer than nearby counties such as inland Hillsborough county. Temperature gradients will be as much as 10F degree difference between St. Petersburg and Northern suburbs of Tampa Thurs. night (even though the geographic difference of this gradient will be roughly 40 miles. However note that residents of Northern Pinellas County North of about Gulf-to-Bay Blvd will see quite a bit cooler lows due to the fact that the northern part of the county does not benefit from a NNE or NE wind which misses the bay. Note also no freezing temperaturs are expected in Pinellas County at this time.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: cooler pattern

#3279 Postby Scorpion » Mon Jan 12, 2009 6:29 pm

Well 4 straight nights of 30's is pretty impressive I guess, but definitely not arctic. I was hoping for 20's :(
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: cooler pattern

#3280 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Mon Jan 12, 2009 6:31 pm

Every time a big cold front comes through, a strong northeast wind
comes blowing in from across the Bay, keeping it windy and much warmer
overnight than inland areas. The only thing separating my house from the canals
of Tampa Bay are a line of thick mangrove trees. Water surged up through
these trees and partly flooded my back yard during Hurricane Ike's passage
through the Gulf back in September. Ground elevation of my house
is probably no more than 5 feet, which is what you expect living right
on a bay.

Right now it is rather balmy, around 66*F still.

More storms forming well out into the gulf:
Image
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