
PAN PAN
HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 20/01/2009 AT
0600 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 009/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).
HURRICANE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 20/01/2009 AT 0600 UTC.
PHENOMENON: INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 7 (FANELE) 935 HPA
POSITION: 20.5S / 42.3E
(TWENTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL THREE DEGREES
EAST) AT 0600 UTC
MOVEMENT: NORTH-EAST 8 KT
THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP
TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT, AND UP TO 450 NM IN THE NORTHERN
SEMI-CIRCLE WITHIN PERIPHERAL BANDS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/95KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 40
NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER.
STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS
OF THE CENTRE.
GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM
RADIUS OF THE CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM
RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE
..
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.
FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2009/01/20 AT 18 UTC:
20.1S / 43.3E, MAX WIND = 110 KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL..
24H, VALID 2009/01/21 AT 06 UTC:
21.1S / 44.5E, OVERLAND.
OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM IS NOW TRACKING NORTHEASTWARDS. IT IS EXPECTED TO TRACK
EASTWARDS THEN EAST-SOUTHEASTWARDS DEEPENING IN THE WAKE OF THE SYSTEM
NR6.
IT COULD MAKE LANDFALL BEYOND TAU 18H ON THE WESTERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR
(IN THE MORONDAVE/MOROMBE AREA).