Florida Weather

U.S. & Caribbean Weather Discussions and Severe Weather Events

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
jinftl
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4312
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:47 pm
Location: fort lauderdale, fl

Re: Florida Weather Thread: Arctic air

#3821 Postby jinftl » Fri Feb 06, 2009 3:05 pm

Thanks for correction....i was both technically....and completely wrong on the name of the cloud type...lol

Latest NWS Miami Discussion....warmer (to above normal even) and continued on the mainly dry side through next week:

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...AN UPPER LVL RIDGE WILL
BUILD OVER GULF OF MEX/FLORIDA PENINSULA WHILE A SFC RIDGE OVR ERN
U.S. MOVES EAST OVER THE ATLANTIC...THE RESULT...A WARMING AND
CONTINUING DRYING TREND THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WE MAY SEE ONE MORE
"COOL" NIGHT TONIGHT OVER THE INTERIOR DUE TO RADIATIVE COOLING,
BUT EVEN THERE WE WILL SEE MORE SEASONAL VALUES COME SUNDAY. WL
NOT MENTION PRECIP AT ALL DURING THIS PERIOD.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...A SLIGHT INCREASE IN THE CHANCES FOR
RAIN MAY BE EXPECTED AS A RATHER VIGOROUS SHORT WAVE SHOVES THE
UPPER RIDGE OUT OF THE LOCAL AREA THEREBY DIMINISHING THE
SUBSIDENCE. WARM CONDITIONS (ACTUALLY A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL)
WILL CONTINUE DUE TO A PREVAILING SOUTHERLY FLOW, HOWEVER GFS SHOWS A
COLD FNT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORT WAVE MENTIONED ABOVE MAKING IT
AS FAR SOUTH AS JUST NORTH OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE BY FRIDAY. HOWEVER,
GFS THEN STALL THE FRNT AS MOST OF THE ENERGY IS TRANSFERED
NORTHEAST. WL INDICATE A 10-20% CHANCE OF RAIN DURING THIS PERIOD,
BUT THINK THAT 20% WL EVEN BE A STRETCH




gatorcane wrote:
jinftl wrote:Great image of onshore flow (with corresponding cirrus deck of clouds) starting to move over south florida....say goodbye to lows in the 30's and 40's and even 50's along the immediate coast tonight....forecast low in Miami is a more seasonable 60F tonight. Dewpoints across se fl have risen to the 45-50 deg range...and rising.



technically they are stratocumulus clouds (not cirrus) that are being generated from arctic air moving over relatively warmer waters. But you are right, now that the flow is onshore (and strong mind you), low temps will be 60+ near the coast for the forseeable future with mid 50s inland creeping up to the 60s by end of weekend.
0 likes   

Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10385
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

Re: Florida Weather Thread: Arctic air

#3822 Postby Sanibel » Fri Feb 06, 2009 5:32 pm

Low of 42* last night 5 degrees warmer than the night before.

66* high today.

Cold front rotating out.

Pressure was 30.54 this morning!

Mainland dewpoint was 12! yesterday.
0 likes   

jinftl
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4312
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:47 pm
Location: fort lauderdale, fl

Re: Florida Weather Thread: Arctic air

#3823 Postby jinftl » Sat Feb 07, 2009 11:51 am

Lows temps last night in south florida were the same as high temps on thursday...or warmer!!! What a difference a flow off the ocean can make...

Low temps last night:
West Palm Beach 60F
Fort Lauderdale 63F
Miami 61F

High temps last Thursday (2/5):
West Palm Beach 58F
Fort Lauderdale 62F
Miami 61F
0 likes   

User avatar
Tampa Bay Hurricane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5598
Age: 37
Joined: Fri Jul 22, 2005 7:54 pm
Location: St. Petersburg, FL

#3824 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sat Feb 07, 2009 12:26 pm

nice and warm
0 likes   

Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10385
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

Re: Florida Weather Thread: Arctic air

#3825 Postby Sanibel » Sat Feb 07, 2009 2:04 pm

Low last night 52*

Cold spell over. 75* tomorrow.
0 likes   

User avatar
tropicana
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8056
Joined: Sat Sep 27, 2003 6:48 pm
Location: Niagara Falls, Ontario, Canada
Contact:

Re: Florida Weather Thread: Arctic air

#3826 Postby tropicana » Sat Feb 07, 2009 3:16 pm

like a bout of flu, florida is recovering YAYAYAYAYA

-justin-
0 likes   

jinftl
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4312
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:47 pm
Location: fort lauderdale, fl

Re: Florida Weather Thread: Arctic air

#3827 Postby jinftl » Sat Feb 07, 2009 3:21 pm

NWS Tampa Bay issued an analysis of the upcoming weather expected...pdf file attached with full analysis/graphics issued.

excerpt from NWS Tampa Bay:

Chamber of Commerce Weather Expected for the Upcoming Week!

The upper level pattern across the United States has begun to shift again with the trough that plagued the region over the last few days moving out to the northeast as ridging builds in from the southwest.

Overall it looks like we will see generally fair and seasonably warm conditions through the week with daytime highs climbing into the mid 70s to lower 80s.


http://www.srh.noaa.gov/images/tbw/pdf/TopNews/WarmerWeatherAhead.pdf
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#3828 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Feb 07, 2009 10:30 pm

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

Re: Florida Weather Thread: Warming Up!

#3829 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Feb 07, 2009 10:46 pm

Image

HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE REGION WILL DOMINATE THROUGH MID-WEEK, WITH A WEAK FRONT APPROACHING THE REGION LATER IN THE WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY INCREASE OVER THE WEEKEND THROUGH MID-WEEK. MODERATE EASTERLY WINDS WILL RESULT IN HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG ATLANTIC COAST BEACHES THROUGH MID-WEEK.

Link: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/mfl/gcast/#
0 likes   

jinftl
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4312
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:47 pm
Location: fort lauderdale, fl

Re: Florida Weather Thread: Warming Up!

#3830 Postby jinftl » Mon Feb 09, 2009 10:45 am

Excerpt from latest extended outlook discussion from NWS Miami....

EXTENDED PERIOD...THU THROUGH SUN...MAX/MIN TEMPS REMAIN ABOVE
NORMS THROUGH THE PERIOD AS AFORE-MENTIONED COLD FRONTS BRING NO
COOLING TO S FLA. ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE ELEVATED SOME BUT SOME MID
LEVELING CAPPING PERSISTS AND CHANCES OF RAIN APPEAR MINIMAL.


By the middle of this week, last week's cold snap will be a distant memory with the temps forecast...

NWS Forecast for: Miami FL
Issued by: National Weather Service Miami - South Florida
Last Update: 10:39 am EST Feb 9, 2009
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 77.
Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 66.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 78.
Tuesday Night: Isolated showers after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 69.
Wednesday: Isolated showers. Partly cloudy, with a high near 81.
Wednesday Night: Isolated showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 68.
Thursday: Isolated showers. Partly cloudy, with a high near 82.
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 68.
Friday: A 10 percent chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a high near 81.
Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 68.
Saturday: A 10 percent chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a high near 85.
Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 67.
Sunday: A 10 percent chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a high near 81.
0 likes   

frankthetank
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 527
Joined: Mon Aug 09, 2004 6:16 pm
Location: La Crosse, WI

Re: Florida Weather Thread: Warming Up!

#3831 Postby frankthetank » Mon Feb 09, 2009 3:20 pm

12Z GFS for Miami...says winter isn't over! The horror!

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
Tampa Bay Hurricane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5598
Age: 37
Joined: Fri Jul 22, 2005 7:54 pm
Location: St. Petersburg, FL

#3832 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Mon Feb 09, 2009 10:58 pm

Brush Fire In Hillsborough County:
http://blogs.tampabay.com/breakingnews/ ... .html#more
February 09, 2009
Brush fire blazes in southeast Hillsborough County
TAMPA -- Firefighters are battling a 2,000- to 3,000-feet line of flames at a brush fire in southeast Hillsborough County tonight, according to Hillsborough County Fire Rescue.

The fire apparently started southeast of Hartford and 50th streets near the Kinder Morgan Hartford Terminal.

At least 13 units are on scene, authorities said, and an additional 30 firefighters have been called. The area is difficult to access because of railroad tracks.

No injuries have been reported and the cause is not yet determined, although dry conditions led authorities to warn Bay area residents of fire risk today.

Elisabeth Parker, Times staff writer



La Nina Nightmare coming alive
0 likes   

jinftl
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4312
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:47 pm
Location: fort lauderdale, fl

Re: Florida Weather Thread: Warming Up!

#3833 Postby jinftl » Tue Feb 10, 2009 5:57 pm

Latest run not nearly as aggressive with bringing temps back down...and what is interesting is that temps in the 50s are shown in the same timeframe as winds are from the ne direction....not going to see 50's in Miami with an onshore flow...last weekend, for example, as soon as winds turned NE, temps stayed in the 60s overnight.

http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=KMIA



frankthetank wrote:12Z GFS for Miami...says winter isn't over! The horror!

Image
0 likes   

JonathanBelles
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 11430
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
Contact:

#3834 Postby JonathanBelles » Tue Feb 10, 2009 7:23 pm

Today was a very nice day weatherwise. It got a little too hot right around 1pm in the sun, but the rest of the day was great.
0 likes   

jinftl
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4312
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:47 pm
Location: fort lauderdale, fl

Re: Florida Weather Thread: Warming Up!

#3835 Postby jinftl » Wed Feb 11, 2009 10:40 am

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
921 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009

FOR THE SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRI.... TEMPS
WELL ABOVE NORMS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

EXTENDED FORECAST...SAT THROUGH TUE...TEMPS
ABOVE NORMS AGAIN SUN BUT "COOLING" TO NEAR NORMS MON AND TUE.


GFS 16-day trending even 'less cold' beyond next week...showing lowest temp of 58F in Miami in next 16 days....for low temp. What is distressing is that the 16-day total precip forecast in the lastest run is 0.20".

http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=KMIA
0 likes   

User avatar
Tampa Bay Hurricane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5598
Age: 37
Joined: Fri Jul 22, 2005 7:54 pm
Location: St. Petersburg, FL

Re: Florida Weather Thread: Warming Up!

#3836 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Wed Feb 11, 2009 3:18 pm

Warm and Windy
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#3837 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Feb 11, 2009 3:29 pm

80.4ºF was the high. First time in the 80s this month.
0 likes   

jinftl
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4312
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:47 pm
Location: fort lauderdale, fl

Re:

#3838 Postby jinftl » Wed Feb 11, 2009 4:12 pm

And the first of what looks to be quite a stretch of consecutive days at 80 or above.....at least through the forecast period (next Wednesday).

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?zoneid=FLZ074


GFS 16-day continues trend over last 2 days of backing off any major cooldowns...minimum temp now forecast through Day 16 is 63 deg in Miami....with a whopping 0.02" of rain in total during the 16 days.

http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=KMIA

HURAKAN wrote:80.4ºF was the high. First time in the 80s this month.
0 likes   

JonathanBelles
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 11430
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
Contact:

#3839 Postby JonathanBelles » Wed Feb 11, 2009 4:31 pm

Very summer like day today. Nice and breezy too. Currently 75 here.
0 likes   

jinftl
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4312
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:47 pm
Location: fort lauderdale, fl

Re: Florida Weather Thread: Warming Up!

#3840 Postby jinftl » Wed Feb 11, 2009 5:42 pm

Graphic shows the mean date of last 32F temperature....lifting north of I-4 corridor by this time in February.

Image
0 likes   


Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Cpv17, Stratton23, TomballEd and 53 guests