SIO: Invest 96S
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- HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 37
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.5S
83.5E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.6S 85.3E, APPROXIMATELY 680 NM EAST OF
COCOS ISLAND. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS A LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) NEAR THE NORTHERN EDGE OF DEEP FLARES OF
CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC IS LOCATED
SLIGHTLY NORTH OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS, WITH LOW TO MODERATE
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT IN THE VICINITY OF THE LLCC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR.
83.5E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.6S 85.3E, APPROXIMATELY 680 NM EAST OF
COCOS ISLAND. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS A LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) NEAR THE NORTHERN EDGE OF DEEP FLARES OF
CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC IS LOCATED
SLIGHTLY NORTH OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS, WITH LOW TO MODERATE
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT IN THE VICINITY OF THE LLCC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR.
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- HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 37
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.6S
85.3E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.0S 84.4E, APPROXIMATELY 780 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS FORMATIVE
BANDING WRAPPING INTO A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) WITH A DEVELOPING POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC IS LOCATED JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS, WITH LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT IN THE
VICINITY OF THE LLCC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE
NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR.
85.3E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.0S 84.4E, APPROXIMATELY 780 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS FORMATIVE
BANDING WRAPPING INTO A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) WITH A DEVELOPING POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC IS LOCATED JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS, WITH LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT IN THE
VICINITY OF THE LLCC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE
NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR.
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- HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 37
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
Re: SIO: Invest 96S
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- HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 37
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.0S
84.4E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.3S 82.8E, APPROXIMATELY 120 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS FORMATIVE
BANDING WRAPPING INTO A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) WITH A DEVELOPING POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC IS LOCATED JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS, WITH LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT IN THE
VICINITY OF THE LLCC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE
NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR.
84.4E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.3S 82.8E, APPROXIMATELY 120 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS FORMATIVE
BANDING WRAPPING INTO A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) WITH A DEVELOPING POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC IS LOCATED JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS, WITH LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT IN THE
VICINITY OF THE LLCC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE
NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR.
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- HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 37
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.0S
81.5E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.4S 80.0E, APPROXIMATELY 580 NM
SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES
THE PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS
STARTED TO BECOME LESS ORGANIZED WITH CONVECTION DISSIPATING TO THE
SOUTHEAST OF THE LLCC. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT IN THE VICINITY OF THE LLCC BUT POOR ORGANIZATION OF THE
LLCC AND THE INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ARE HAMPERING
DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO
25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATEDTO BE NEAR 1004 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR.
81.5E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.4S 80.0E, APPROXIMATELY 580 NM
SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES
THE PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS
STARTED TO BECOME LESS ORGANIZED WITH CONVECTION DISSIPATING TO THE
SOUTHEAST OF THE LLCC. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT IN THE VICINITY OF THE LLCC BUT POOR ORGANIZATION OF THE
LLCC AND THE INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ARE HAMPERING
DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO
25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATEDTO BE NEAR 1004 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR.
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