(SAL)Will this factor cause the CV season to be inactive?

[cycloneye]

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... round.html

For those who dont know what SAL or (SAHARAN AIR LAYER) is here is the whole explanation of it.This factor to me will be the wildcard to see an active CV season or not but time will tell what this SAL thing will do.Also in the link you can see what effects the sal had on systems in the past and that is interesting stuff to learn about this.

[Stephanie]

I'm getting a "Page Cannot be Displayed" message.

Can you give us a short lesson on it?

[Lindaloo]

Steph... did you try refreshing it? It displayed fine for me, unless it is a dial up problem.

[cycloneye]

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... l-atl.html

I thought the link I provided worked but here is another one and when you get there press product description and then you will see the explanation of what it is.

[Stephanie]

Steph... did you try refreshing it? It displayed fine for me, unless it is a dial up problem.

I didn't refresh but it proobably was a dial-up problem

I'm going to try the new link from Luis now.

[Stephanie]

Well, I did get both links up this time.

So, in short, the SAL helps to literally "suck up" the juice that helps to feed the tropical systems, thus keeping them weak and not aloowing them to develop?

[cycloneye]

Ok good Steph that you saw boths links and yes that is the bottomline of the sal but let's wait and see what will happen in the next couple of months when the cape verde season will be at it's prime..

[Stormsfury]

The SAL probably will be problem for at least another week ... but with the ITCZ showing signs of moistening up earlier today and we're heading towards the heart of the season...

Considering it is July, it's been very active, tropically speaking, and with that, there's always a timeframe where the activity will cease and have to reload, so to speak ...

[Steve Cosby]

Because it has already bumped down, I'll repost this:

I posed the question to Bastardi about whether the SAL was a factor and, if so, how. He responded with this:
-----
yes and no,. If tis to the north and leading it the wave is negatively
tilted and no, if near or south, yest
-----

Joe is obviously not the best typist around but the point is made: SAL to the north with a negatively tilted wave - no effect; SAL to the south or nearby, yes.

The question, I guess, is whether the SAL is that much more significant this year than in the past.

[JetMaxx]

I have a feeling that once late August rolls around....and on into September, we'll see at least a couple major Cape Verde hurricanes....SAL or no SAL.

This hurricane season is ahead of schedule....and I see no reason it won't continue fairly active into the peak months of August and September.

Just my .02 cents worth...

[Toni - 574]

Because it has already bumped down, I'll repost this:

I posed the question to Bastardi about whether the SAL was a factor and, if so, how. He responded with this:
-----
yes and no,. If tis to the north and leading it the wave is negatively
tilted and no, if near or south, yest
-----

Joe is obviously not the best typist around but the point is made: SAL to the north with a negatively tilted wave - no effect; SAL to the south or nearby, yes.

The question, I guess, is whether the SAL is that much more significant this year than in the past.

Your question above is what I would be most concerned about. I think the dust has always been around. Question is, are we dealing with more dust this season than ususal or is it comparable? That's the question that needs to be answered!

[cycloneye]

Agree Toni that is what I want to know if this year there is more dust for a reason in particular and what is causing it to be more predominant.There must be a good scientific explanation about this.I hope that someone brings the answer to this question.

[HURRICANELONNY]

Since SAL is a factor every year it would seem to have an influence but what magnitude is the problem. I here about African dust coming across the Atlantic every year especially in July/August. They are good graphics. Have to watch the SAL's progress during the height of the season.

[Derek Ortt]

There is still a lot yet to be discovered by the SAL. This is being researched a lot. So far, there have been no scientific papers published on the SAL (don't expect one from me as the only reason why I am looking into the SAL is to see if is specifically impacted a historic storm)


However, this can and does shut down the CV, even during the heart of the season, as it did in 2001 after Felix