BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
728 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL LINCOLN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF BROOKHAVEN...
* UNTIL 815 PM CDT
* AT 728 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL.
THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CENTER POINT...OR 6
MILES NORTHWEST OF MCCOMB...AND MOVING NORTH AT 40 MPH.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
6 MILES EAST OF CENTER POINT BY 735 PM CDT...
BOGUE CHITTO BY 740 PM CDT...
WEST LINCOLN BY 745 PM CDT...
VAUGHN AND BROOKHAVEN BY 755 PM CDT...
LOYD STAR BY 800 PM CDT...
Severe Weather - March 25-28 - Mid/Deep South/OH Riv Valley
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Strong wind making storm here:
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
732 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL SIMPSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...PINOLA...MENDENHALL...
* UNTIL 830 PM CDT
* AT 731 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
PINOLA...AND MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
9 MILES WEST OF MENDENHALL AND 4 MILES EAST OF HARRISVILLE BY
750 PM CDT...
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
732 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL SIMPSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...PINOLA...MENDENHALL...
* UNTIL 830 PM CDT
* AT 731 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
PINOLA...AND MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
9 MILES WEST OF MENDENHALL AND 4 MILES EAST OF HARRISVILLE BY
750 PM CDT...
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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
737 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
EASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
* UNTIL 815 PM CDT
* AT 738 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
LITTLE SPRINGS...OR 19 MILES NORTHWEST OF MCCOMB...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
MCCALL CREEK BY 750 PM CDT...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
737 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
EASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
* UNTIL 815 PM CDT
* AT 738 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
LITTLE SPRINGS...OR 19 MILES NORTHWEST OF MCCOMB...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
MCCALL CREEK BY 750 PM CDT...
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34001
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 83
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
750 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 750 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH OF JACKSON
MISSISSIPPI TO 35 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY
LOUISIANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 78...WW 79...WW 80...WW
81...WW 82...
DISCUSSION...COMPLEX AND DANGEROUS SITUATION UNFOLDING ACROSS THE MS
DELTA REGION TONIGHT. TWO INTENSE CLUSTERS OF CONVECTION WITH
EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS ARE UNDERWAY ALONG RETURNING WARM
FRONT/OUTFLOW....ONE NOW NEAR ALLEN PARISH AND ANOTHER OVER AMITE
COUNTY MS. INCREASINGLY STRONG SLY LOW LEVEL FLOW IN ADVANCE OF
DEEPENING LARGE SCALE CYCLONE ACROSS THE ARKLATEX REGION WILL
CONTINUE TO AID WARM MOIST INFLOW INTO THIS CONVECTIVELY ACTIVE
REGION FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS. EARLIER EVENING SOUNDINGS SUGGESTED
THAT LOW LEVEL FLOW WAS RELATIVELY LIMITED TO SUSTAIN MORE INTENSE
UPDRAFT ROTATION. HOWEVER...NOT ONLY IS THAT EXPECTED TO CHANGE
DRAMATICALLY OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS BUT THE EARLIER SOUNDINGS
PROBABLY DID NOT ADEQUATELY SAMPLE THE LOW LEVEL SHEAR NEAR THE
FRONT AND WEAK SUB-SYNOPTIC LOWS COINCIDENT WITH THE MOST VIGOROUS
CONVECTION. THUS...STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE TORNADOES...ALONG WITH VERY LARGE HAIL. EVENTUALLY...EXPECT
ADVANCING COLD FRONT TO SUPPORT MORE SQUALL LINEAR DEVELOPMENT WITH
DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY LATER TONIGHT.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...CARBIN
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 83
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
750 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 750 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH OF JACKSON
MISSISSIPPI TO 35 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY
LOUISIANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 78...WW 79...WW 80...WW
81...WW 82...
DISCUSSION...COMPLEX AND DANGEROUS SITUATION UNFOLDING ACROSS THE MS
DELTA REGION TONIGHT. TWO INTENSE CLUSTERS OF CONVECTION WITH
EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS ARE UNDERWAY ALONG RETURNING WARM
FRONT/OUTFLOW....ONE NOW NEAR ALLEN PARISH AND ANOTHER OVER AMITE
COUNTY MS. INCREASINGLY STRONG SLY LOW LEVEL FLOW IN ADVANCE OF
DEEPENING LARGE SCALE CYCLONE ACROSS THE ARKLATEX REGION WILL
CONTINUE TO AID WARM MOIST INFLOW INTO THIS CONVECTIVELY ACTIVE
REGION FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS. EARLIER EVENING SOUNDINGS SUGGESTED
THAT LOW LEVEL FLOW WAS RELATIVELY LIMITED TO SUSTAIN MORE INTENSE
UPDRAFT ROTATION. HOWEVER...NOT ONLY IS THAT EXPECTED TO CHANGE
DRAMATICALLY OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS BUT THE EARLIER SOUNDINGS
PROBABLY DID NOT ADEQUATELY SAMPLE THE LOW LEVEL SHEAR NEAR THE
FRONT AND WEAK SUB-SYNOPTIC LOWS COINCIDENT WITH THE MOST VIGOROUS
CONVECTION. THUS...STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE TORNADOES...ALONG WITH VERY LARGE HAIL. EVENTUALLY...EXPECT
ADVANCING COLD FRONT TO SUPPORT MORE SQUALL LINEAR DEVELOPMENT WITH
DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY LATER TONIGHT.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...CARBIN
Last edited by CrazyC83 on Fri Mar 27, 2009 8:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34001
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: Severe Weather - March 25-28 - Mid/Deep South/OH Riv Valley
SPC AC 280059
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0759 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009
VALID 280100Z - 281200Z
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS SRN AR...CNTRL/SRN MS AND
NRN/CNTRL LA...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS A LARGE PART OF THE
MID-SOUTH AND GULF COAST STATES...
...MID-SOUTH/GULF STATES...
STRONG UPR LOW WAS STARTING TO TURN E AND WILL REACH NE TX/SE OK BY
12Z SATURDAY. SYSTEM IS ACCOMPANIED BY A 100+ KT H5 JET THAT WILL
PUNCH EWD THROUGH THE ARKLATEX THIS EVENING AND INTO THE MID-SOUTH
OVERNIGHT.
997 MB LOW OVER SE OK IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG A WRMFNT INTO
SCNTRL AR BY 06Z...THEN INTO NWRN MS BY 12Z. TRAILING THE LOW...A
CDFNT/DRYLINE WILL SWEEP EWD...REACHING THE MS RVR BY DAYBREAK.
COMPLEX C0NVECTIVE SCENARIO CONTINUES ACROSS THE REGION. SLY LLJ
WAS BEGINNING TO RESPOND ACROSS THE SABINE RVR VLY AS THE SFC LOW
INTENSIFIES. THIS IN COMBINATION WITH ENHANCED ASCENT TIED TO THE
APCHG PV-ANOMALY WAS HELPING TO IGNITE BANDS OF TSTMS...BOTH ALONG
THE BENT BACK PORTION OF THE CDFNT FROM SERN OK INTO FAR E TX AND
NEAR A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH FROM SWRN AR SWD INTO THE SABINE RVR VLY.
FORMER BAND OF STORMS TIED TO THE OCCLUDED LOW/CDFNT WILL MOVE ENE
ACROSS CNTRL-NRN AR THIS EVENING. 00Z LZK HODOGRAPH WAS SUPPORTIVE
OF ROTATING STORMS...MAINLY WITH LARGE HAIL AND DMGG WIND RISKS.
AIR MASS BECOMES PROGRESSIVELY DRIER THROUGH CNTRL/NRN AR AND IT
APPEARS THE TORNADO THREATS WILL BE MINIMAL WITH THIS ACTIVITY.
STRONGER POTENTIAL FOR A MORE WIDESPREAD SVR EVENT SEEMS TO BE
UNFOLDING FROM SRN AR/LA EWD INTO MS TONIGHT. HP SUPERCELLS MOVING
EWD ALONG THE MARINE WRMFNT IN SRN LA WILL PROBABLY MODULATE NWD
RETURN OF RICHER THETA-E AIR MASS. PRIND THAT THIS BOUNDARY WILL
EVENTUALLY MOVE NWD INTO PORTIONS OF AT LEAST SRN MS AND PERHAPS WRN
AL AS THE UPSTREAM SLY LLJ BROADENS AND INCREASES OVERNIGHT ACROSS
THE CNTRL GULF COAST. STORMS THAT DEVELOP IN THIS CORRIDOR WILL
UNDERGO SUPERCELL TO BOW TRANSITIONS WITH DMGG WIND GUSTS/LARGE HAIL
AND TORNADOES /A COUPLE OF WHICH COULD BE STRONG/.
FARTHER N...SFC ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT MUCH OF THE AIR MASS ACROSS
SRN AR AND NRN LA REMAINED COMPARATIVELY COOL TODAY AND 00Z SHV
SOUNDING BEARS THIS REALITY WITH REDUCED CAPE. HOWEVER...VERY
STRONG DYNAMICS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING AND MAY
COMPENSATE SOMEWHAT. LLVL MOISTURE HAS REMAINED MODEST /MID-60S/
ACROSS THIS REGION...SO PRE-FRONTAL STORMS WILL REMAIN STG-SVR AS
THEY MOVE ENE ACROSS SRN AR...NRN LA AND INTO WCNTRL MS LATER
TONIGHT. WHILE DEEP LAYER WIND FIELD BACKS WITH TIME...SUPPORTING
LINEAR SEGMENTS...ANY STORM THAT DEVELOPS AHEAD OF THE LINE WILL BE
DISCRETE WITH THE HIGHER TORNADO POTENTIAL. OTHERWISE...AS THE LINE
MOVE EWD...CONSIDERABLE DMGG WIND POTENTIAL WILL EXIST AS THE 100+
KT H5 JET NOSES ACROSS THE REGION. ALSO...THIS EVENING...STRONGER
CELLS WILL BE CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE HAIL ALONG THE ERN EDGE OF THE
STEEPER MID-LVL LAPSE RATES.
..RACY.. 03/28/2009
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 0111Z (9:11PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0759 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009
VALID 280100Z - 281200Z
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS SRN AR...CNTRL/SRN MS AND
NRN/CNTRL LA...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS A LARGE PART OF THE
MID-SOUTH AND GULF COAST STATES...
...MID-SOUTH/GULF STATES...
STRONG UPR LOW WAS STARTING TO TURN E AND WILL REACH NE TX/SE OK BY
12Z SATURDAY. SYSTEM IS ACCOMPANIED BY A 100+ KT H5 JET THAT WILL
PUNCH EWD THROUGH THE ARKLATEX THIS EVENING AND INTO THE MID-SOUTH
OVERNIGHT.
997 MB LOW OVER SE OK IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG A WRMFNT INTO
SCNTRL AR BY 06Z...THEN INTO NWRN MS BY 12Z. TRAILING THE LOW...A
CDFNT/DRYLINE WILL SWEEP EWD...REACHING THE MS RVR BY DAYBREAK.
COMPLEX C0NVECTIVE SCENARIO CONTINUES ACROSS THE REGION. SLY LLJ
WAS BEGINNING TO RESPOND ACROSS THE SABINE RVR VLY AS THE SFC LOW
INTENSIFIES. THIS IN COMBINATION WITH ENHANCED ASCENT TIED TO THE
APCHG PV-ANOMALY WAS HELPING TO IGNITE BANDS OF TSTMS...BOTH ALONG
THE BENT BACK PORTION OF THE CDFNT FROM SERN OK INTO FAR E TX AND
NEAR A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH FROM SWRN AR SWD INTO THE SABINE RVR VLY.
FORMER BAND OF STORMS TIED TO THE OCCLUDED LOW/CDFNT WILL MOVE ENE
ACROSS CNTRL-NRN AR THIS EVENING. 00Z LZK HODOGRAPH WAS SUPPORTIVE
OF ROTATING STORMS...MAINLY WITH LARGE HAIL AND DMGG WIND RISKS.
AIR MASS BECOMES PROGRESSIVELY DRIER THROUGH CNTRL/NRN AR AND IT
APPEARS THE TORNADO THREATS WILL BE MINIMAL WITH THIS ACTIVITY.
STRONGER POTENTIAL FOR A MORE WIDESPREAD SVR EVENT SEEMS TO BE
UNFOLDING FROM SRN AR/LA EWD INTO MS TONIGHT. HP SUPERCELLS MOVING
EWD ALONG THE MARINE WRMFNT IN SRN LA WILL PROBABLY MODULATE NWD
RETURN OF RICHER THETA-E AIR MASS. PRIND THAT THIS BOUNDARY WILL
EVENTUALLY MOVE NWD INTO PORTIONS OF AT LEAST SRN MS AND PERHAPS WRN
AL AS THE UPSTREAM SLY LLJ BROADENS AND INCREASES OVERNIGHT ACROSS
THE CNTRL GULF COAST. STORMS THAT DEVELOP IN THIS CORRIDOR WILL
UNDERGO SUPERCELL TO BOW TRANSITIONS WITH DMGG WIND GUSTS/LARGE HAIL
AND TORNADOES /A COUPLE OF WHICH COULD BE STRONG/.
FARTHER N...SFC ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT MUCH OF THE AIR MASS ACROSS
SRN AR AND NRN LA REMAINED COMPARATIVELY COOL TODAY AND 00Z SHV
SOUNDING BEARS THIS REALITY WITH REDUCED CAPE. HOWEVER...VERY
STRONG DYNAMICS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING AND MAY
COMPENSATE SOMEWHAT. LLVL MOISTURE HAS REMAINED MODEST /MID-60S/
ACROSS THIS REGION...SO PRE-FRONTAL STORMS WILL REMAIN STG-SVR AS
THEY MOVE ENE ACROSS SRN AR...NRN LA AND INTO WCNTRL MS LATER
TONIGHT. WHILE DEEP LAYER WIND FIELD BACKS WITH TIME...SUPPORTING
LINEAR SEGMENTS...ANY STORM THAT DEVELOPS AHEAD OF THE LINE WILL BE
DISCRETE WITH THE HIGHER TORNADO POTENTIAL. OTHERWISE...AS THE LINE
MOVE EWD...CONSIDERABLE DMGG WIND POTENTIAL WILL EXIST AS THE 100+
KT H5 JET NOSES ACROSS THE REGION. ALSO...THIS EVENING...STRONGER
CELLS WILL BE CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE HAIL ALONG THE ERN EDGE OF THE
STEEPER MID-LVL LAPSE RATES.
..RACY.. 03/28/2009
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 0111Z (9:11PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME
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Re:
CrazyC83 wrote:0100Z: MDT shifted southward
As for the watch, that is probably the strongest wording I have ever seen with only 40/20 probabilities. The words almost call for PDS yet 40/20 is pretty modest for a tornado watch.
As to the "complex" a.s.o... i thought so, too. + the outlook was delayed 10 minutes...
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34001
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0305
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0821 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SE LA...SRN MS...FAR SRN AL...FAR WRN FL
PANHANDLE
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 280121Z - 280245Z
THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS FAR SE LA...SRN
MS...FAR SRN AL AND THE FAR WRN FL PANHANDLE THIS EVENING. HAIL AND
ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE WILL BE POSSIBLE AS AN MCS MOVES INTO THE AREA
FROM THE WEST. A WW MAY BECOME NECESSARY ESPECIALLY LATE THIS
EVENING AS LOW-LEVEL FLOW AND INSTABILITY START TO INCREASE ACROSS
THE MCD AREA.
LATEST RUC DATA SHOWS A BROAD ZONE OF INCREASED LOW-LEVEL FLOW
EXTENDING EWD ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COASTS OF LA...MS...AL AND WRN FL
PANHANDLE. A LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN THIS AREA OF
ENHANCED ISENTROPIC LIFT. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CURRENTLY SHOWS A LEAD
SHORTWAVE TROUGH NEAR THE MS RIVER AND THIS FEATURE WILL MOVE EWD
INTO THE MCD AREA FROM THE WEST OVER THE NEXT 2 TO 4 HOURS. STRONG
VERTICAL SHEAR IS ALREADY IN PLACE WHICH COMBINED WITH INCREASING
INSTABILITY AND STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL HELP TO MAINTAIN
INTENSITY OF THE STORMS CURRENTLY IN SRN MS. HAIL AND ISOLATED WIND
DAMAGE WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD AS A
SECOND SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES THE AREA.
..BROYLES.. 03/28/2009
ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...JAN...LIX...
LAT...LON 30198746 30028849 29778930 29778996 30439034 31059005
31558896 31348707 30958628 30428637 30198746
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0821 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SE LA...SRN MS...FAR SRN AL...FAR WRN FL
PANHANDLE
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 280121Z - 280245Z
THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS FAR SE LA...SRN
MS...FAR SRN AL AND THE FAR WRN FL PANHANDLE THIS EVENING. HAIL AND
ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE WILL BE POSSIBLE AS AN MCS MOVES INTO THE AREA
FROM THE WEST. A WW MAY BECOME NECESSARY ESPECIALLY LATE THIS
EVENING AS LOW-LEVEL FLOW AND INSTABILITY START TO INCREASE ACROSS
THE MCD AREA.
LATEST RUC DATA SHOWS A BROAD ZONE OF INCREASED LOW-LEVEL FLOW
EXTENDING EWD ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COASTS OF LA...MS...AL AND WRN FL
PANHANDLE. A LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN THIS AREA OF
ENHANCED ISENTROPIC LIFT. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CURRENTLY SHOWS A LEAD
SHORTWAVE TROUGH NEAR THE MS RIVER AND THIS FEATURE WILL MOVE EWD
INTO THE MCD AREA FROM THE WEST OVER THE NEXT 2 TO 4 HOURS. STRONG
VERTICAL SHEAR IS ALREADY IN PLACE WHICH COMBINED WITH INCREASING
INSTABILITY AND STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL HELP TO MAINTAIN
INTENSITY OF THE STORMS CURRENTLY IN SRN MS. HAIL AND ISOLATED WIND
DAMAGE WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD AS A
SECOND SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES THE AREA.
..BROYLES.. 03/28/2009
ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...JAN...LIX...
LAT...LON 30198746 30028849 29778930 29778996 30439034 31059005
31558896 31348707 30958628 30428637 30198746
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Re: Severe Weather - March 25-28 - Mid/Deep South/OH Riv Valley
I usually just read and learn from all your great posts on here, esp. when we have nasty weather going on, but I have a question. I've been reading the info from SPC and it seems that they are saying the weather tonight is going to be worse than last night-- am I reading that correctly? That worries me because last night was pretty scary! The way that line was bowing out I was not surprised at all to hear about the wind damage and possible tornadoes around here. I'm just glad it wasn't right over our house. Now, it sounds like it's going to be another long, sleepless night with the weather radio sounding all night long!
I appreciate all the info y'all share. Thanks and please keep it coming!
I appreciate all the info y'all share. Thanks and please keep it coming!
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Dave
- Retired Staff
- Posts: 13442
- Age: 74
- Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
- Location: Milan Indiana
- Contact:
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
855 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA PARISH IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...
WESTERN WASHINGTON PARISH IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF FRANKLINTON...
SOUTHERN WALTHALL COUNTY IN SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...
* UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
* AT 854 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF MOUNT
HERMAN TO 6 MILES SOUTH OF WILMER...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
11 MILES NORTH OF FRANKLINTON TO 9 MILES EAST OF AMITE...AND MOVING
EAST AT 15 MPH.
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
FRANKLINTON BY 935 PM CDT...
FRANKLINTON BY 940 PM CDT...
DEXTER BY 945 PM CDT...
ENON BY 1000 PM CDT...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
855 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA PARISH IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...
WESTERN WASHINGTON PARISH IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF FRANKLINTON...
SOUTHERN WALTHALL COUNTY IN SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...
* UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
* AT 854 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF MOUNT
HERMAN TO 6 MILES SOUTH OF WILMER...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
11 MILES NORTH OF FRANKLINTON TO 9 MILES EAST OF AMITE...AND MOVING
EAST AT 15 MPH.
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
FRANKLINTON BY 935 PM CDT...
FRANKLINTON BY 940 PM CDT...
DEXTER BY 945 PM CDT...
ENON BY 1000 PM CDT...
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Dave
- Retired Staff
- Posts: 13442
- Age: 74
- Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
- Location: Milan Indiana
- Contact:
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
856 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SIMPSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...PINOLA...MENDENHALL...MAGEE...
* UNTIL 945 PM CDT
* AT 856 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
PINOLA...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
MENDENHALL BY 905 PM CDT...
SANATORIUM AND 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF MAGEE BY 910 PM CDT...
MARTINVILLE BY 915 PM CDT...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
856 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SIMPSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...PINOLA...MENDENHALL...MAGEE...
* UNTIL 945 PM CDT
* AT 856 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
PINOLA...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
MENDENHALL BY 905 PM CDT...
SANATORIUM AND 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF MAGEE BY 910 PM CDT...
MARTINVILLE BY 915 PM CDT...
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Dave
- Retired Staff
- Posts: 13442
- Age: 74
- Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
- Location: Milan Indiana
- Contact:
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
902 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN AMITE COUNTY IN SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHWESTERN PIKE COUNTY IN SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...
* UNTIL 930 PM CDT
* AT 900 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO OVER AMITE
COUNTY...OR 7 MILES EAST OF LIBERTY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
RURAL PIKE COUNTY NORTH OF SUMMIT AT 920 PM CDT
RURAL AMITE COUNTY AROUND THOMPSON COMMUNITY AT 920 PM CDT
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
902 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN AMITE COUNTY IN SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHWESTERN PIKE COUNTY IN SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...
* UNTIL 930 PM CDT
* AT 900 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO OVER AMITE
COUNTY...OR 7 MILES EAST OF LIBERTY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
RURAL PIKE COUNTY NORTH OF SUMMIT AT 920 PM CDT
RURAL AMITE COUNTY AROUND THOMPSON COMMUNITY AT 920 PM CDT
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Dave
- Retired Staff
- Posts: 13442
- Age: 74
- Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
- Location: Milan Indiana
- Contact:
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
903 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN AVOYELLES PARISH IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...SIMMESPORT...BUNKIE...
NORTHEASTERN EVANGELINE PARISH IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF TURKEY CREEK...
NORTHERN ST. LANDRY PARISH IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
* UNTIL 945 PM CDT
* AT 859 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM TURKEY CREEK TO PINE PRAIRIE...MOVING EAST AT
40 MPH.
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
BUNKIE BY 920 PM CDT...
COTTONPORT BY 935 PM CDT...
SIMMESPORT BY 945 PM CDT...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
903 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN AVOYELLES PARISH IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...SIMMESPORT...BUNKIE...
NORTHEASTERN EVANGELINE PARISH IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF TURKEY CREEK...
NORTHERN ST. LANDRY PARISH IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
* UNTIL 945 PM CDT
* AT 859 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM TURKEY CREEK TO PINE PRAIRIE...MOVING EAST AT
40 MPH.
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
BUNKIE BY 920 PM CDT...
COTTONPORT BY 935 PM CDT...
SIMMESPORT BY 945 PM CDT...
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Dave
- Retired Staff
- Posts: 13442
- Age: 74
- Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
- Location: Milan Indiana
- Contact:
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
910 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN RANKIN COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
EASTERN SIMPSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF MENDENHALL...
NORTHWESTERN SMITH COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
* UNTIL 1015 PM CDT
* AT 911 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR
MENDENHALL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
MARTINVILLE BY 930 PM CDT...
8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CATO BY 935 PM CDT...
8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF JOHNS BY 945 PM CDT...
WHITE OAK BY 955 PM CDT...
BURNS BY 1015 PM CDT...
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
910 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN RANKIN COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
EASTERN SIMPSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF MENDENHALL...
NORTHWESTERN SMITH COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
* UNTIL 1015 PM CDT
* AT 911 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR
MENDENHALL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
MARTINVILLE BY 930 PM CDT...
8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CATO BY 935 PM CDT...
8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF JOHNS BY 945 PM CDT...
WHITE OAK BY 955 PM CDT...
BURNS BY 1015 PM CDT...
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-
Dave
- Retired Staff
- Posts: 13442
- Age: 74
- Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
- Location: Milan Indiana
- Contact:
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
919 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN PIKE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS
MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN WESTERN ARKANSAS
* UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
* AT 918 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 11 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF NORMAN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
FANCYHILL AROUND 925 PM CDT...
NORMAN AROUND 940 PM CDT...
MOUNT IDA AROUND 955 PM CDT...
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
919 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN PIKE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS
MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN WESTERN ARKANSAS
* UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
* AT 918 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 11 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF NORMAN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
FANCYHILL AROUND 925 PM CDT...
NORMAN AROUND 940 PM CDT...
MOUNT IDA AROUND 955 PM CDT...
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