Severe Weather - March 25-28 - Mid/Deep South/OH Riv Valley

[Dave]

Current @ Milan IN: 55 F; 51 DP; Overcast; Winds NE @ 6 mph

[Dave]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
148 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EASTERN BEN HILL COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF FITZGERALD...
IRWIN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF OCILLA...

* UNTIL 230 PM EDT

* AT 144 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
DEVELOPING TORNADO NEAR MYSTIC...OR 6 MILES WEST OF OCILLA...MOVING
EAST AT 45 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
OCILLA BY 155 PM EDT...
8 MILES SOUTH OF FITZGERALD BY 200 PM EDT...

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

[Dave]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0318
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1258 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF THE LOWER OH AND TN RIVER VALLEYS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

VALID 281758Z - 281930Z

SCATTERED TSTMS SHOULD DEVELOP BY 20-21Z ALONG A COLD FRONT
PROGRESSING EWD ACROSS THE LOWER OH AND TN RIVER VALLEYS. VERY
STRONG DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AMIDST MODEST SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY WILL
RESULT IN SUPERCELLS PRODUCING TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL...AND DAMAGING
WINDS. A TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED PRIOR TO 19-20Z.

17Z SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACED A 993 MB LOW NEAR SGF WITH AN ARCING
COLD FRONT FROM CGI TO TUP. BREAKS IN LOW-LEVEL STRATOCUMULUS AND
PRESENCE OF MID-LEVEL DRY SLOT HAS ALLOWED SURFACE TEMPERATURES TO
WARM TO AROUND 70 F ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY...WHILE DEW
POINTS HAVE RISEN TO AROUND 60 F GIVEN DOWNWARD MIXING/ADVECTION.
WITH CONTINUED INSOLATION...MODIFIED RUC FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST
MLCAPES OF 600 TO 1200 J/KG WILL BE COMMON.

AS THE CYCLONE OVER THE OZARKS PIVOTS NEWD...LARGE-SCALE FORCED
ASCENT WILL INCREASE AS AN INTENSE /90 KTS AT 500 MB/ S-SWLY
MID-LEVEL JET OVERSPREADS THE REGION. TSTM INITIATION SHOULD OCCUR
BY 21Z...WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY 00Z 4-KM WRF-NSSL AND 12Z GFS. WITH
BACKED S/SELY LOW-LEVEL FLOW...DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL BE QUITE STRONG
/AOA 60 KTS/ AND WILL PROMOTE SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT. FAVORABLE
LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS WITH 0-1 KM SRH AOA 200 M2/S2 WILL SUPPORT
POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES. WHILE RELATIVELY STEEP MID-LAPSE RATES /AS
SAMPLED UPSTREAM BY 12Z LZK RAOB/ AND THE VERY STRONG SHEAR WILL
PROMOTE HAIL DEVELOPMENT AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS.

..GRAMS.. 03/28/2009

[Dave]

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 91
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
220 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHERN ALABAMA
EXTREME SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS
PARTS OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY
MIDDLE TENNESSEE

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 220 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES NORTH OF FORT
CAMPBELL KENTUCKY TO 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HUNTSVILLE
ALABAMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 89...WW 90...

DISCUSSION...SURFACE HEATING HAS RESULTED IN DESTABILIZATION IN
ADVANCE OF A SURFACE COLD FRONT NOW MOVING EWD ACROSS WRN TN/MS...TO
THE SE OF THE SYNOPTIC CYCLONE APPROACHING SE MO AND S OF A WARM
FRONT LIFTING SLOWLY NWD TOWARD THE OH RIVER. THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT WILL BECOME MORE PROBABLE IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS
MLCAPE INCREASES TO THE 500-1000 J/KG RANGE AND CONVECTIVE
INHIBITION WEAKENS. AT THE SAME TIME...STRONG DEEP LAYER VERTICAL
WILL BE MAINTAINED OVER THE WARM SECTOR ON THE NOSE OF THE 80 KT MID
LEVEL JET...AND LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPH CURVATURE WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR
RIGHT-MOVING SUPERCELLS. THE COMBINATION OF MODEST INSTABILITY AND
STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR APPEARS FAVORABLE FOR A BROKEN BAND OF
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A FEW TORNADOES...ALONG WITH LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD INCREASE THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON...AND THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET AS THE
BOUNDARY LAYER STABILIZES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.


...THOMPSON

[Dave]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
358 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTH CENTRAL UNION COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...
SOUTHWESTERN WEBSTER COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...
NORTHEAST CRITTENDEN COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 430 PM CDT

* AT 356 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 12 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF STURGIS...OR NORTHEAST MARION...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
STURGIS BY 420 PM CDT...

[CrazyC83]

I'm not surprised by the lack of development - especially in the Southeast - as that overnight/morning MCS zapped all the energy as I had predicted.

[Dave]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
412 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN HOPKINS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...
NORTHWESTERN CHRISTIAN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
SOUTHEASTERN CALDWELL COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
EAST CENTRAL LYON COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
NORTHERN TRIGG COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 445 PM CDT

* AT 411 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR CADIZ...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
COBB BY 425 PM CDT...
7 MILES NORTHWEST OF HAWKINS BY 430 PM CDT...

[Dave]

[Dave]

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
524 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2009

SCC027-282200-
/O.CON.KCAE.TO.W.0002.000000T0000Z-090328T2200Z/
CLARENDON SC-
524 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT FOR CLARENDON
COUNTY...

AT 522 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A LIKELY TORNADO JUST SOUTHEAST OF
THE SUMMERTON AREA. MOVEMENT WAS NORTHEAST NEAR 30 MPH AND TOWARD
THE DAVIS STATION AND JORDON AREAS.

[Dave]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
534 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN LIBERTY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...
SOUTHEASTERN LONG COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...
NORTHERN MCINTOSH COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...

* UNTIL 615 PM EDT

* AT 535 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR TIBET...OR
ABOUT OVER TIBET...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE...
TIBET...
TOWNSEND...
JONES...CROSSROADS...
SOUTH NEWPORT...RETREAT...
SHELLMAN BLUFF...

[Dave]

SW of Evansville IN...

[Dave]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
437 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTH CENTRAL HENDERSON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 500 PM CDT

* AT 436 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 8 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF CORYDON...OR NEAR BRECKINRIDGE CENTER...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
CORYDON BY 450 PM CDT...
7 MILES NORTHWEST OF ROBARDS BY 500 PM CDT...

[brunota2003]

TOR Watch #92 just issued for NE SC and Eastern NC

[Dave]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
437 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN CHRISTIAN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
SOUTHEASTERN TRIGG COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 530 PM CDT

* AT 436 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 16 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF HOPKINSVILLE...OR 9 MILES WEST OF FORT CAMPBELL
NORTH...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
HERNDON.

[brunota2003]

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
535 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2009

SCC027-282200-
/O.CON.KCAE.TO.W.0002.000000T0000Z-090328T2200Z/
CLARENDON SC-
535 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT FOR CLARENDON
COUNTY...

AT 532 PM EDT...AN AMATEUR RADIO OPERATOR REPORTED A TORNADO ABOUT
3 MILES SOUTHEAST OF DAVIS STATION. MOVEMENT WAS NORTHEASTWARD
NEAR 30 MPH.

[Dave]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
442 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
HOPKINS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...
SOUTHEASTERN WEBSTER COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...
NORTHWESTERN CHRISTIAN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
EAST CENTRAL CALDWELL COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 530 PM CDT

* AT 440 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR DAWSON
SPRINGS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
EARLINGTON AND MADISONVILLE

[Dave]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
543 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN BRYAN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...
CHATHAM COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...
CENTRAL LIBERTY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...
SOUTHWESTERN BEAUFORT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...
SOUTHERN JASPER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 630 PM EDT

* AT 543 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR MIDWAY...OR
ABOUT 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF RICHMOND HILL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55
MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE...
MIDWAY...BELFAST...
RICHMOND HILL...BURROUGHS...
BURROUGHS...
GARDEN CITY...WHITE BLUFF...
SAVANNAH...THUNDERBOLT...

[brunota2003]

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 92
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
540 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2009

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON FROM 540 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MYRTLE
BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO 55 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF CAPE HATTERAS
NORTH CAROLINA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 89...WW 90...WW 91...

DISCUSSION...LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER SC WILL TRACK
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS WATCH AREA THIS EVENING. AIRMASS ACROSS
THE REGION IS RATHER MOIST AND SUFFICIENTLY UNSTABLE WITH A RISK OF
A FEW BOW/LEWP STRUCTURES AND SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS
AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...HART

[Dave]

Includes southern parts of Evansville Indiana..

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
448 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN HENDERSON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...
NORTHEASTERN UNION COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...
EAST CENTRAL POSEY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA...
SOUTHERN VANDERBURGH COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA...

* UNTIL 515 PM CDT

* AT 446 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 13
MILES WEST OF HENDERSON...OR 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF BRECKINRIDGE
CENTER...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
9 MILES NORTHWEST OF HENDERSON BY 505 PM CDT...

[brunota2003]

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
545 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2009

SCC027-282200-
/O.CON.KCAE.TO.W.0002.000000T0000Z-090328T2200Z/
CLARENDON SC-
545 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT FOR CLARENDON
COUNTY...

AT 541 PM EDT...AN AMATEUR RADIO OPERATOR REPORTED TWO TORNADOES ON
THE GROUND NEAR DAVIS STATION.

THIS STORM IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

RESIDENTS NEAR DAVIS STATION...JORDAN...MANNING...AND
FORESTON...NEED TO TAKE COVER NOW.