Florida Weather

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Very warm today. I don't expect any rain near the coast.

[gatorcane]

Looking at latest NWS Miami and Melbourne radars, looks like an August day out there with big thunderstorms blowing up along the spine of Florida where Atlantic and Gulf seabreezes are converging. Expect activity to affect inland and East Coast of Florida areas, while West coast stays dry.

[HURAKAN]

HIGH: 89.9ºF
HI: 101.0ºF

[HURAKAN]

[artist]

well, it has cooled down here considerably. I am just a tad west of where the funnel cloud was located. A friend saw it and was caught in the hail as well. It is raining here now.

[HURAKAN]

METROPOLITAN MIAMI DADE FL-INLAND MIAMI-DADE FL- 418 PM EDT TUE MAR 31 2009

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY...

AT 417 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR PENNSUCO... MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL AFFECT...

PENNSUCO...

AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH...PEA-SIZED HAIL... TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS...OR A COMBINATION OF THESE ARE POSSIBLE. LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED KILLER IN FLORIDA. TREES AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 50 MPH CAN DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

ALSO...THIS STORM IS DEVELOPING IN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES.

RESIDENTS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM SHOULD REMAIN ON THE ALERT FOR ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

LAT...LON 2578 8025 2582 8052 2596 8051 2596 8030 2597 8030 2598 8028 2597 8023 TIME...MOT...LOC 2017Z 274DEG 5KT 2590 8041

[JonathanBelles]

I got up to 87 here at my house. IT WAS HOT!!!! Way too hot for March.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Highs were in the mid to upper 80s and the heat index felt like the 100s
based on my "feeling" of it.

No chance of significant rain near the west coast of Tampa Bay until late June.
I might grow some cactuses just for the heck of it.

Honestly, it will take a very large slow moving tropical storm sitting on top of
Tampa Bay to stop the water shortage here. I have my hopes up for June- tropical
storms affecting us are common at that time.

[jinftl]

Where did Spring go? Turned into summer across the peninsula all of a sudden!

Excerpt from NWS Miami Discussion:

ASIDE FROM ANY PRECIPITATION LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING...
GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST THE REMAINDER
OF THE SHORT TERM PERIOD...AS MID-LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN A
PERMANENT FEATURE OVERHEAD COURTESY OF A VORT MAX PROGGED TO DIVE
SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND EMERGE OVER THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS FROM WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. AS THIS UPPER SYSTEM
BECOMES NEGATIVELY TILTED...DEEPENING SURFACE CYCLONE TRACKING
ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI/TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY REGION WILL
MAINTAIN STEADY SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH
WARM AND UNSEASONABLY HUMID CONDITIONS CONTINUING.

Even warmer and continued summertime humidity for the next several days:

NWS Forecast for: Miami, FL
Issued by: National Weather Service Miami - South Florida
Last Update: 9:53 pm EDT Mar 31, 2009
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Overnight: A 10 percent chance of showers before 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 76.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 87.
Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 75.
Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 89.
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 74.
Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 89.
Friday Night: A 10 percent chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 72.
Saturday: A 10 percent chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a high near 88.
Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 71.
Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 87.
Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 72.
Monday: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 86.

.

[JonathanBelles]

yea, the high here was much higher than forecasted. Still need the rain to move in a summerly pattern, but its close.

[gatorcane]

WRF High Res is trying to bring back the summer-time POPS for South Florida (interior) tomorrow. This model accurately predicted the thunderstorm development that happened today. Latest NWS Miami disco indicates it will let the night shift later on decide whether to raise the rain chances. Right now generally 30% from Palm Beach to Miami-Dade.

[jdray]

Most of North Florida under a flood watch until Friday.

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
453 AM EDT WED APR 1 2009

...EXTENDED PERIOD OF HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY...

FLZ020>025-030>032-035-036-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-011800-
/O.EXT.KJAX.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-090403T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-
GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-
WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-
CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JASPER...LIVE OAK...LAKE CITY...
MACCLENNY...FERNANDINA BEACH...JACKSONVILLE...LAKE BUTLER...
STARKE...GREEN COVE SPRINGS...TRENTON...GAINESVILLE...DOUGLAS...
HAZLEHURST...ALMA...BAXLEY...JESUP...PEARSON...WAYCROSS...
BLACKSHEAR...NAHUNTA...BRUNSWICK...STATENVILLE...HOMERVILLE...
FOLKSTON...WOODBINE...ST MARYS
453 AM EDT WED APR 1 2009

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...
INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA...
ALACHUA...BAKER...BRADFORD...CLAY...COLUMBIA...DUVAL...
GILCHRIST...HAMILTON...NASSAU...SUWANNEE AND UNION. IN
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...APPLING...ATKINSON...BACON...BRANTLEY...
CHARLTON...CLINCH...COASTAL CAMDEN...COASTAL GLYNN...COFFEE...
ECHOLS...INLAND CAMDEN...INLAND GLYNN...JEFF DAVIS...PIERCE...
WARE AND WAYNE.

* THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING

* A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN STATIONARY NEAR THE FLORIDA AND
GEORIA BORDER. LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AND
MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL BE CONDUCIVE
TO A PROLONGED RAIN EVENT ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND
MOST OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA. AREAS IN THE FLOOD WATCH ALREADY
RECEIVED BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE PAST
WEEKEND...AND ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES YESTERDAY. THE GROUND
REMAINS SATURATED IN SOME AREAS.

* ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES WILL LIKELY CAUSE
FLOODING IN THE WATCH AREA OR EXACERBATE FLOODING CONDITIONS.
RIVERS...STREAMS AND CREEKS MAY EXPERIENCE FLOODING IF MORE
RAINFALL OCCURS. IN ADDITION...DITCHES MAY FILL CAUSING DIRT
ROADS AND POORLY DRAINED ROADWAYS TO BECOME IMPASSIBLE.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
844 AM EDT WED APR 1 2009

.UPDATE...
LEFTOVER LIGHT TO MODERATE STRATIFORM RAIN IS EXITING THE REGION
AS NEXT BATCH OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL MOVE ALONG THE I-10
CORRIDOR AND IMPACT MAINLY NORTHEAST FLORIDA WITH ANOTHER
WIDESPREAD 1 TO 2 INCHES. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE THIS MORNING BUT WILL BE TOUGH TO BECOME SURFACE BASED
AND WILL MAINLY PROVIDE FOCUS FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS.
MAX TEMPS WILL REMAIN IN THE 60S ACRS SERN GA AND PUSH SLOWLY INTO
THE 70S ACRS NERN FL. 06Z MODEL SUITE STILL IN AGREEMENT WITH
ANOTHER STRONG WAVE OF WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITH HEAVY
RAIN WILL PUSH INTO THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY AND FLOOD
WATCH WILL NEED TO REMAIN IN PLACE. ADDITIONAL STORM TOTALS OF 4
TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
417 AM EDT WED APR 1 2009

.SHORT TERM...MOSTLY LIGHT RAIN REMAINS AS A SHORTWAVE PUSHES
OFFSHORE. WATER VAPOR SHOWS MASSIVE AREA OF UPPER DIVERGENCE IS
ALSO MOVING OFFSHORE AND CLOUD TOPS ARE WARMING ACRS THE REGION AS
ATMOSPHERE STABILIZES. MSAS ANALYSIS PLACES A SFC LOW NEAR
MAYPORT (NRB). THE FRONT WILL REMAIN STATIONARY ACRS THE LOCAL
AREA AND A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES WILL RIDE ALONG THE BOUNDARY
THRU THURSDAY NIGHT. GULF MOISTURE WILL FEED THE STORMS AND HEAVY
RAINS ARE EXPECTED ACRS MAJORITY OF OUR CWA. SOME AREA RECEIVED UP
TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN OVERNIGHT AND SIMILAR AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED
TODAY AND AGAIN ON THURS. A STRONG DISTURBANCE CURRENTLY OVER THE
ROCKIES WILL BECOME THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT WILL DRIVE A COLD
FRONT THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT. JET DYNAMICS WILL BECOME
FAVORABLE FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS LATE THURS. ENERGY HELICITY
INDEX FROM GFS/NAM SUGGEST POSSIBITIY OF TORNADOES MOVING INTO WRN
ZONES THURS EVENING AND CONTINUING THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT. THE COLD
FRONT WILL SWEEP THRU THE CWA FRIDAY FOLLOWED BY CLEARING SKIES
AND SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS FRI NIGHT. MIN TEMPS WILL BE MOSTLY
LOW/MID 60S NEXT COUPLE NIGHTS WHILE MAXES WILL BE MID 70S WITH
POCKETS NEAR 80 SOUTH PORTION.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Tampa Bay Desert should remain a desert for the foreseable future.

[jinftl]

Long Key (in the Middle Keys) is reporting the first 80 deg water temp of the season! Most areas in the Keys and SE FL have water in the upper 70's now....ah, won't be long until we go from talking fronts to talking tropics.

[JonathanBelles]

Lakeland hit 90F today. We are climatologically two months ahead of schedule! Storms have popped with some help, and temps are at the barrier or above (87-88F). rH is high, and dp's are high as well.

[jinftl]

excerpt on high heat the next few days...

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1040 AM EDT THU APR 2 2009

DISCUSSION...

.NEAR RECORD HIGHS METRO BROWARD AND MIAMI-DADE FRIDAY...

TODAY...FAR WESTERN SUBURBS...CORAL SPRINGS...WESTON...WESTERN
PEMBROKE PINES...AND AREAS ALONG/W OF THE FL TURNPIKE IN MIAMI-DADE
WILL LIKELY APPROACH 90 THOUGH WITH LESS INFLUENCE FROM THE WATER.

ON FRIDAY... IT WILL BE A WARM AND BREEZY DAY AHEAD OF
THE FRONT WITH SWRLY WINDS GUSTING 25-30 MPH IN A WELL-MIXED
ENVIRONMENT. THIS FLOW COULD LEAD TO NEAR RECORD HIGHS ACROSS THE
EAST COAST METRO AREAS...AND THINK MOS GUIDANCE IS TOO COOL BY
SEVERAL DEGREES...ESPECIALLY ACROSS BROWARD/MIAMI-DADE...WHERE TEMPS
CRACKING 90 SEEM PROBABLE. TEMPS WILL REMAIN ABOUT 5 DEGREES COOLER
ALONG THE GULF COAST ONCE AGAIN DUE TO THE ONSHORE FLOW.

RECORD HIGHS FOR FRIDAY ARE 91 DEGREES AT THE THREE EAST COAST
CLIMATE SITES...HAVING BEEN SET IN 1975 IN WEST PALM BEACH AND
MIAMI AND 1954 IN FORT LAUDERDALE.

[Sanibel]

72 dew point - Humidity in the 80% range. Mid 80's expected again.

Should warm up GOM.

Winds from S.

[HURAKAN]

Looks like Miami's high temp forecast will be easily surpassed.

[jinftl]

Water temps in the Gulf poised to really start warming...

72 dew point - Humidity in the 80% range. Mid 80's expected again.

Should warm up GOM.

Winds from S.

[JonathanBelles]

It was 87 today at 4:30 today, so it was probably closer to 90 today here, but it was a windy muggy day.