Arabian Sea: Invest 92A

[badkhan]

[badkhan]

1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 4.0N 79.5E,
APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA. PREVIOUS
MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES BROAD MID TO LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC
TURNING WITH MULTIPLE SMALLER EMBEDDED CIRCULATIONS. DISORGANIZED
CONVECTION HAS FLARED OVER THIS REGION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
ANALYSIS OF THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT SHOWS WIDE-SCALE DIFFLUENCE
ALOFT FUELING THE CONVECTION AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. DUE TO
THE DISORGANIZED NATURE OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, THE POTENTIAL
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.

[badkhan]

Dissipated....I guess it was too close to the equator.


1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.0N 79.5E,
APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA, HAS
DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.