NWS Miami Discussions?
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- gatorcane
- S2K Supporter
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- Location: Boca Raton, FL
NWS Miami Discussions?
Where did they go? When I click "discussions" as I am used to doing, I keep getting a "Page Not Available." It's been this way for about 5 days now.
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Re: NWS Miami Discussions?
For some reason if you click on a location on the map on the home page, and then click on the Discussion link from the page that shows the local forecast, you can get to the Discussion. Clicking directly on Discussion on the home page isn't working properly.
AFDMFL
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
954 AM EDT WED APR 15 2009
.UPDATE...COLD FRONT ROUGHLY FROM VRB TO PGD AND GFS40 PUSHES THE
FRONT SLOWLY THROUGH SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH THE DAY. LOOKING AT THE
LOCAL WRF MODEL, A SEABREEZE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE EAST COAST
WHICH IS REASONABLE DUE TO LESSER GRADIENT FLOW. THIS MODEL STARTS TO
PAINT PRECIP OVER THE EAST COAST AROUND NOON WITH THE SEABREEZE
AND THE RAOB WAS MODIFIED TO REFLECT THE AFTERNOON CONDITIONS.
THERE IS QUITE A LOT OF DRY AIR ABOVE 15000` AND WITH AFTN TEMPS
NEAR 90 DEGREES AND DEW POINTS MODIFYING FROM THE LOWER 60S TO THE
UPPER 60S, HAVE DECIDED TO ADD GUSTY WINDS (POSSIBLE TO 40 MPH) TO
THE SOUTHEAST AREAS AND BOOSTED THE PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON. ADDED A SLIGHT RISK OF SMALL TORNADOES, CHANCE OF
HAIL AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF HIGH WINDS IN TSTMS IN THE HWO OVER THE
SOUTHEAST AND THE EVERGLADES. IF ANY CHANGES WILL BE MADE TO THE
CWF, THEY WILL BE MINOR. STAY TUNED FOR SPS`S OR ANY WARNINGS THAT
MAY BE ISSUED.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 727 AM EDT WED APR 15 2009/
AVIATION...A COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY PUSHING ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA,
AND A FEW SHOWERS AND EVEN POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM MAY OCCUR TODAY
ACROSS THE AREA, BUT MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON. CHANCES FOR TSRA NEAR
ANY IS FAIRLY LOW SO KEPT PRECIP MENTION TO JUST VCSH. LIGHT AND
GENERALLY WEST WINDS WILL BECOME NW BY NOON EVERYWHERE, HOWEVER
ALONG THE EAST COAST A SEA BREEZE MAY PUSH INLAND, BUT IT IS
DIFFICULT TO SAY HOW FAR. KEPT FLOW FROM WEST OR NW, BUT THIS MAY
NEED TO BE AMENDED THIS AFTERNOON PENDING ON SEA BREEZE PLACEMENT.
/TINGLER
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 423 AM EDT WED APR 15 2009/
DISCUSSION...WELL, MORE CONVECTION OCCURRED YESTERDAY THAN
PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT...SO THE CHALLENGE AGAIN TODAY IS HOW MUCH
CONVECTION WILL OCCUR. THE COMPLEX OF STORMS THAT EXPLODED THIS
TIME YESTERDAY OFF THE WEST CENTRAL FL COAST MOVED STEADILY S-SE
OVER THE PAST 24 HRS AND HAS NOW FINALLY DEPARTED THE KEY WEST
SERVICE AREA...LEAVING MORE STABLE LOW LEVELS IN ITS WAKE WITH
COOLING TEMPS AND LOWER DEWPOINTS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT
THE TROUGH AXIS ALOFT IS MOVING ACROSS THE AREA WITH THE UPPER
SUPPORT SHIFTING WELL EAST OF THE AREA. GFS FORECAST SOUNDINGS
INDEED SHOW THE MID/UPPER LEVELS WARMING THIS AFTERNOON AS
HEIGHTS INCREASE. SO...IT WILL NOT BE AS UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON.
EVEN SO...THE COLD FRONT (WHICH TAFB PLACES OVER CENTRAL FL) IS
STILL NW OF THE LOCAL AREA AND SO IT WILL BE ANOTHER VERY WARM
DAY...ESPECIALLY SE AREAS WHERE UPPER 80S IS EXPECTED...WITH EVEN
A SHOT AT 90F. THE FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY SOUTH AND ACROSS THE
AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...AND UNTIL IT DOES SO THERE WILL
BE THE POTENTIAL OF SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS DEVELOPING...ESPECIALLY
OVER THE SE HALF OF THE AREA. SO HAVE PLACED HIGHEST POPS THERE
AND JUST SLIGHT CHANCE POPS GULF COAST AND LAKE REGION.
THE FRONT CLEARS THE AREA TONIGHT. A FEW SHOWERS SE AREAS WILL
GIVE WAY TO DRY WEATHER OVERNIGHT. THE DRY WEATHER LOOKS TO HOLD
ALL THE WAY THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AS RIDGING BUILDS IN FROM
THE EAST. GFS/ECMWF ARE STILL IN AGREEMENT WITH ANOTHER SHORTWAVE
MOVING INTO THE SE STATES EARLY NEXT WEEK...SENDING ANOTHER COLD
FRONT ACROSS THE AREA. FLOW WILL VEER WITH MOISTURE RETURN MONDAY
ALONG WITH A RETURNING CHANCE FOR THUNDER. TIMING OF THE NEXT
FRONT LOOKS TO BE SOMETIME TUESDAY...SO KEPT WITH SLIGHT CHANCE
STORMS THROUGH LATE TUE...AND POPS CAN BE INCREASED DOWN THE ROAD
DEPENDING ON TRENDS.
MARINE...MESOSCALE HIGH WHICH THE AFOREMENTIONED COMPLEX OF
STORMS CREATED SEEMS TO BE STILL PLAYING A ROLE IN LOCALIZED WINDS
WITH FOWEY ROCKS CONTINUING TO BLOW OUT OF THE SOUTH AT 24
KT...BUT WHEN ADJUSTED FOR ANEMOMETER HEIGHT...PROBABLY CLOSER TO
19 KT AT THE SFC. SO WILL CARRY 15-20 KT EARLY OVER THE BAY AND
ATLANTIC WATERS OFF THE BROWARD/MIAMI-DADE COAST WITH A DOWNWARD
TREND THROUGH THE DAY. THIS IS VERY MESOSCALE SO WINDS COULD DROP
OFF QUICKLY...EVEN OVER THE NEXT FEW HRS. WINDS WILL TURN NW
BEHIND THE FRONT...THEN NE AND INCREASE LATE THU-FRI...LEADING TO
BUILDING SEAS ESPECIALLY IN THE GULF STREAM. STILL LOOKS LIKE A
SWELL TO AFFECT THE PALM BEACH WATERS BEGINNING FRI
EVENING...PERHAPS TO AROUND 4 FT AS IT LOOKS RIGHT NOW.
FIRE WEATHER...THE COLD FRONT WILL BRING DRIER AIR INTO THE AREA.
RIGHT NOW AM FORECASTING A FEW HR OF RH`S FALLING BELOW 35 PERCENT
NW INTERIOR FOR THU AFTERNOON. 30`S RH`S ARE EVEN EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY...WITH MODERATION THERE AFTER.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH 86 64 82 67 / 30 10 - 10
FORT LAUDERDALE 87 69 82 70 / 30 10 - 10
MIAMI 89 70 83 70 / 30 10 - 10
NAPLES 80 64 83 64 / 20 - - -
&&
.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&
AFDMFL
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
954 AM EDT WED APR 15 2009
.UPDATE...COLD FRONT ROUGHLY FROM VRB TO PGD AND GFS40 PUSHES THE
FRONT SLOWLY THROUGH SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH THE DAY. LOOKING AT THE
LOCAL WRF MODEL, A SEABREEZE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE EAST COAST
WHICH IS REASONABLE DUE TO LESSER GRADIENT FLOW. THIS MODEL STARTS TO
PAINT PRECIP OVER THE EAST COAST AROUND NOON WITH THE SEABREEZE
AND THE RAOB WAS MODIFIED TO REFLECT THE AFTERNOON CONDITIONS.
THERE IS QUITE A LOT OF DRY AIR ABOVE 15000` AND WITH AFTN TEMPS
NEAR 90 DEGREES AND DEW POINTS MODIFYING FROM THE LOWER 60S TO THE
UPPER 60S, HAVE DECIDED TO ADD GUSTY WINDS (POSSIBLE TO 40 MPH) TO
THE SOUTHEAST AREAS AND BOOSTED THE PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON. ADDED A SLIGHT RISK OF SMALL TORNADOES, CHANCE OF
HAIL AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF HIGH WINDS IN TSTMS IN THE HWO OVER THE
SOUTHEAST AND THE EVERGLADES. IF ANY CHANGES WILL BE MADE TO THE
CWF, THEY WILL BE MINOR. STAY TUNED FOR SPS`S OR ANY WARNINGS THAT
MAY BE ISSUED.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 727 AM EDT WED APR 15 2009/
AVIATION...A COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY PUSHING ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA,
AND A FEW SHOWERS AND EVEN POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM MAY OCCUR TODAY
ACROSS THE AREA, BUT MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON. CHANCES FOR TSRA NEAR
ANY IS FAIRLY LOW SO KEPT PRECIP MENTION TO JUST VCSH. LIGHT AND
GENERALLY WEST WINDS WILL BECOME NW BY NOON EVERYWHERE, HOWEVER
ALONG THE EAST COAST A SEA BREEZE MAY PUSH INLAND, BUT IT IS
DIFFICULT TO SAY HOW FAR. KEPT FLOW FROM WEST OR NW, BUT THIS MAY
NEED TO BE AMENDED THIS AFTERNOON PENDING ON SEA BREEZE PLACEMENT.
/TINGLER
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 423 AM EDT WED APR 15 2009/
DISCUSSION...WELL, MORE CONVECTION OCCURRED YESTERDAY THAN
PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT...SO THE CHALLENGE AGAIN TODAY IS HOW MUCH
CONVECTION WILL OCCUR. THE COMPLEX OF STORMS THAT EXPLODED THIS
TIME YESTERDAY OFF THE WEST CENTRAL FL COAST MOVED STEADILY S-SE
OVER THE PAST 24 HRS AND HAS NOW FINALLY DEPARTED THE KEY WEST
SERVICE AREA...LEAVING MORE STABLE LOW LEVELS IN ITS WAKE WITH
COOLING TEMPS AND LOWER DEWPOINTS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT
THE TROUGH AXIS ALOFT IS MOVING ACROSS THE AREA WITH THE UPPER
SUPPORT SHIFTING WELL EAST OF THE AREA. GFS FORECAST SOUNDINGS
INDEED SHOW THE MID/UPPER LEVELS WARMING THIS AFTERNOON AS
HEIGHTS INCREASE. SO...IT WILL NOT BE AS UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON.
EVEN SO...THE COLD FRONT (WHICH TAFB PLACES OVER CENTRAL FL) IS
STILL NW OF THE LOCAL AREA AND SO IT WILL BE ANOTHER VERY WARM
DAY...ESPECIALLY SE AREAS WHERE UPPER 80S IS EXPECTED...WITH EVEN
A SHOT AT 90F. THE FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY SOUTH AND ACROSS THE
AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...AND UNTIL IT DOES SO THERE WILL
BE THE POTENTIAL OF SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS DEVELOPING...ESPECIALLY
OVER THE SE HALF OF THE AREA. SO HAVE PLACED HIGHEST POPS THERE
AND JUST SLIGHT CHANCE POPS GULF COAST AND LAKE REGION.
THE FRONT CLEARS THE AREA TONIGHT. A FEW SHOWERS SE AREAS WILL
GIVE WAY TO DRY WEATHER OVERNIGHT. THE DRY WEATHER LOOKS TO HOLD
ALL THE WAY THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AS RIDGING BUILDS IN FROM
THE EAST. GFS/ECMWF ARE STILL IN AGREEMENT WITH ANOTHER SHORTWAVE
MOVING INTO THE SE STATES EARLY NEXT WEEK...SENDING ANOTHER COLD
FRONT ACROSS THE AREA. FLOW WILL VEER WITH MOISTURE RETURN MONDAY
ALONG WITH A RETURNING CHANCE FOR THUNDER. TIMING OF THE NEXT
FRONT LOOKS TO BE SOMETIME TUESDAY...SO KEPT WITH SLIGHT CHANCE
STORMS THROUGH LATE TUE...AND POPS CAN BE INCREASED DOWN THE ROAD
DEPENDING ON TRENDS.
MARINE...MESOSCALE HIGH WHICH THE AFOREMENTIONED COMPLEX OF
STORMS CREATED SEEMS TO BE STILL PLAYING A ROLE IN LOCALIZED WINDS
WITH FOWEY ROCKS CONTINUING TO BLOW OUT OF THE SOUTH AT 24
KT...BUT WHEN ADJUSTED FOR ANEMOMETER HEIGHT...PROBABLY CLOSER TO
19 KT AT THE SFC. SO WILL CARRY 15-20 KT EARLY OVER THE BAY AND
ATLANTIC WATERS OFF THE BROWARD/MIAMI-DADE COAST WITH A DOWNWARD
TREND THROUGH THE DAY. THIS IS VERY MESOSCALE SO WINDS COULD DROP
OFF QUICKLY...EVEN OVER THE NEXT FEW HRS. WINDS WILL TURN NW
BEHIND THE FRONT...THEN NE AND INCREASE LATE THU-FRI...LEADING TO
BUILDING SEAS ESPECIALLY IN THE GULF STREAM. STILL LOOKS LIKE A
SWELL TO AFFECT THE PALM BEACH WATERS BEGINNING FRI
EVENING...PERHAPS TO AROUND 4 FT AS IT LOOKS RIGHT NOW.
FIRE WEATHER...THE COLD FRONT WILL BRING DRIER AIR INTO THE AREA.
RIGHT NOW AM FORECASTING A FEW HR OF RH`S FALLING BELOW 35 PERCENT
NW INTERIOR FOR THU AFTERNOON. 30`S RH`S ARE EVEN EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY...WITH MODERATION THERE AFTER.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH 86 64 82 67 / 30 10 - 10
FORT LAUDERDALE 87 69 82 70 / 30 10 - 10
MIAMI 89 70 83 70 / 30 10 - 10
NAPLES 80 64 83 64 / 20 - - -
&&
.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&
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- jasons2k
- Storm2k Executive
- Posts: 8240
- Age: 51
- Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:32 pm
- Location: The Woodlands, TX
Here's a backup when the local NWS sites are having issues:
http://www.weather.gov/view/states.php?state=fl&map=on
http://www.weather.gov/view/prodsByStat ... discussion
http://www.weather.gov/view/states.php?state=fl&map=on
http://www.weather.gov/view/prodsByStat ... discussion
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- wall_cloud
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 401
- Age: 48
- Joined: Sun Dec 04, 2005 7:32 am
- Location: Bartlett, TN
- Contact:
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