east coast residents
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hurricanedude
- Military Member
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- Location: Virginia Beach, Virginia
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JetMaxx
It's okay Tom...you may be right. I just didn't like the sarchastic tone of Kevin_Gould's post...especially it being his first.
Maybe I'm wrong and misjudged him, but it almost appeared to me he joined Storm2K to attack you....and that kind of crap doesn't happen here...this isn't GoPBI.
Take care Tom,
Perry
Maybe I'm wrong and misjudged him, but it almost appeared to me he joined Storm2K to attack you....and that kind of crap doesn't happen here...this isn't GoPBI.
Take care Tom,
Perry
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wxman57
- Moderator-Pro Met
- Posts: 22979
- Age: 67
- Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
- Location: Houston, TX (southwest)
99L
Taking a look at the latest satellite loops, 99L appears to be about dead. Convection has reached 34N and extends for about 800 miles to the SSW. This convection is streaming off to the NNE-NE - moving farther away from the east coast. Note that a pre-frontal line of showers is developing about 150 miles off the east coast in the past few hours. 99L is just a very disorganized are of scattered showers and thunderstorms, lacking any central mass. And without a stable core of thunderstorms, it just can't develop. It did have that stable core of sqaulls and a mid-level circulation 2 days ago - that was its chance for development, but it didn't take it.
Pressures are quite high in the area as well. So even if conditions are/were favorable for development, there's nothing there to develop today. I don't know why the NHC keeps mentionining a recon plane. But notice they always say "if necessary". It certainly doesn't look like a recon flight will be necessary today. This thing is still at the very least 36-48 hours away from any potential TD development (assuming it ever develops a stable core of storms), and it'll be well out to sea by then (looking at lower to mid-level wind flow). I think that the only reason the NHC keeps mentioning it is that the public are watching it, and they are a bit leery after their poor handling of Claudette.
I'd give it about a 1% chance of development now - lower than most disturbances. Time to look elsewhere.
Pressures are quite high in the area as well. So even if conditions are/were favorable for development, there's nothing there to develop today. I don't know why the NHC keeps mentionining a recon plane. But notice they always say "if necessary". It certainly doesn't look like a recon flight will be necessary today. This thing is still at the very least 36-48 hours away from any potential TD development (assuming it ever develops a stable core of storms), and it'll be well out to sea by then (looking at lower to mid-level wind flow). I think that the only reason the NHC keeps mentioning it is that the public are watching it, and they are a bit leery after their poor handling of Claudette.
I'd give it about a 1% chance of development now - lower than most disturbances. Time to look elsewhere.
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I'm sure he didn't mean to cause any trouble, but thanks for giving him a "warning." 
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ColdFront77
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