Possible Subtropical Development in the North Atlantic

Category 5 · #21 Postby **Category 5** » Sat May 16, 2009 12:35 am

A man living on the sun is more likely then this becoming subtropical. Hell, if anything its LESS organized.

Just my two cents.

#22 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sat May 16, 2009 5:55 am

I agree. It looks less organized.

#23 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat May 16, 2009 7:52 am

A surface reflection of the upper low? Also you can see that the strongest winds are well away from that circulation,meaning its cold core.

Note=QuickScat was at 5:41 AM EDT.

#24 Postby **gatorcane** » Sat May 16, 2009 8:46 am

GFS slowly moves this system SE and weakens it over the next week. At this point I think this will not become warm core system.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... =Animation

jinftl · #25 Postby **jinftl** » Sat May 16, 2009 9:19 am

Very cool satellite pic...."looks" like a band of cirrus clouds pinwheeling out of the disturbance almost reaching the Outer Banks and Bahamas....great shot of nature's beauty...and "looks" can be deceiving, so best taken at face value only

#26 Postby **Evil Jeremy** » Sat May 16, 2009 10:09 am

I wouldn't be surprised if an invest comes out of this, but a sub-tropical storm? It has a long road ahead of it to achieve that.

#27 Postby **tailgater** » Sat May 16, 2009 10:52 am

Category 5 wrote:A man living on the sun is more likely then this becoming subtropical. Hell, if anything its LESS organized.

Just my two cents.

I would hold off on the death of this one till it starts moving Northward.
http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SAT_ATL/sat_24.gif
Clould tops near center are cooling a bit.
http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... cal/18.jpg

#28 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat May 16, 2009 11:14 am

12 UTC Analysis has a 1009 mb low

Umm,interesting!

#29 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sat May 16, 2009 11:25 am

#30 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sat May 16, 2009 11:32 am

#31 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sat May 16, 2009 12:48 pm

#32 Postby **tailgater** » Sat May 16, 2009 1:32 pm

72 hr Forecast

#33 Postby **tailgater** » Sat May 16, 2009 2:09 pm

post deleted.

#34 Postby **brunota2003** » Sat May 16, 2009 2:23 pm

it needs to wrap that convection more, and get more of it...otherwise that surface low may just go "poof"...

#35 Postby **WeatherLovingDoc** » Sat May 16, 2009 2:39 pm

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/loops/wxloop.cgi?vis_east+/48h/3h

Ready to attcack the job of posting my first image now!

#36 Postby **brunota2003** » Sat May 16, 2009 2:43 pm

That is certainly an interesting loop, watching how the low has changed over the last 48 hours

#37 Postby **RL3AO** » Sat May 16, 2009 3:20 pm

I found this to be pretty neat looking. You can see the cyclone develop over the past few days.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/tpw2/natl/anim/latest72hrs.gif

#38 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sat May 16, 2009 6:28 pm

#39 Postby **brunota2003** » Sat May 16, 2009 9:13 pm

Considering it's location right now, it looks good for May currently! Looks like it is trying to pull the convection in on itself and shake off the front associated with it.

#40 Postby **tailgater** » Sun May 17, 2009 9:25 am

Yehup
Winds tightening up closer to the center today.

Possible Subtropical Development in the North Atlantic

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