IR Invest on Floater now....

[dixiebreeze]

Wish I had stuck to my original Invest by Monday morning -- Not on NRL yet.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/float1.html

[dixiebreeze]

Anyone think this could be a future "Ana?"

[vacanechaser]

yea, its been on there since yesterday morning... and listed as invest... will be waiting to see if they give her a number... gonna be interesting this week...




Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research team

[Chacor]

It's not an actual INVEST until/unless NRL designates it as such.

[dixiebreeze]

Actually, I believe the NHC has the initial verification, but in any case, just a matter of time.

[Derek Ortt]

this is an SSD designation, not NHC

[dixiebreeze]

Posted by: JeffMasters, 1:03 PM GMT on May 18, 2009

An area of showers and thunderstorms is over the southeastern Bahamas and eastern Cuba, in association with a trough of low pressure. The latest 00Z and 06Z runs of the GFS, UKMET, NOGAPS, and ECMWF global dynamical computer models continue to forecast that this disturbance will develop into an extratropical low by Tuesday. The low should bring heavy rain and possible flooding problems to Florida and the Bahamas this week as it lifts northwestward over Florida. Up to nine inches of rain may fall over Florida by Friday (Figure 1), thanks also to a cold front expected to move over the state over the next two days. The exact timing and location of the rains over Florida are still uncertain, as the GFS model predicts development of the low over the Bahamas, while the ECMWF and UKMET models predict development over South Florida. At present, it appears wind shear will be too high to allow the extratropical storm to transition into a subtropical or tropical storm. However, if the storm's center emerges into the northern Gulf of Mexico late this week, wind shear may be low enough to allow a transition to a subtropical storm (10% chance).

Florida could use the rain--most of South Florida is under extreme drought, and Central Florida is under severe drought. The Lake Okeechobee water level is at 10.58 feet (Figure 2), which is about 3 feet below average. During the past week, the lake fell below the level that triggers water conservation measures for the first time since Tropical Storm Fay filled up the lake in August.

[dixiebreeze]

this is an SSD designation, not NHC

My error, Derek