East Pac Action- May 27th-Update- GFS depression in 4 days.

Ed Mahmoud · #1 Postby **Ed Mahmoud** » Wed May 27, 2009 12:54 pm

Hey, this poster is on to something...

Yowza

Loop

GFS and Canadian seem to develop a weak system from the low level vorticity in the general area.

Cyclone1 · #2 Postby **Cyclone1** » Wed May 27, 2009 1:50 pm

It's... stationary?

Hmm, not sure what I think of the organization, but the movement is interesting. Deserves watching.

#3 Postby **HURAKAN** » Wed May 27, 2009 4:18 pm

The NHC is not impressed.

#4 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu May 28, 2009 1:17 pm

Canadian is bullish now.

12z CMC Animation

#5 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu May 28, 2009 1:25 pm

KWT · #6 Postby **KWT** » Thu May 28, 2009 2:46 pm

There is a lot of convection there but it seems only the CMC is really bullish about it doing much. Still wouldn't be too surprising if it does go on to develop.

#7 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu May 28, 2009 2:51 pm

In three days it shows a low pressure forming. Also, the southern GOM and southern Caribbean Sea look interesting.

KWT · #8 Postby **KWT** » Thu May 28, 2009 2:55 pm

Yep that is quite interesting, will be interesting to see if anything does come out of this area, does look pretty convective.

#9 Postby **HURAKAN** » Fri May 29, 2009 10:23 am

#10 Postby **HURAKAN** » Fri May 29, 2009 11:57 am

A less festive Surface Forecast.

Ed Mahmoud · #11 Postby **Ed Mahmoud** » Sat May 30, 2009 12:12 am

GFS sees a closed low developing. Not an impressive closed low, but a closed low none the less...

KWT · #12 Postby **KWT** » Sat May 30, 2009 4:45 am

Nice area of convection that I suspect the GFS is picking up on in the Epac at the moment, looks quite interesting and does need watching.

#13 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sat May 30, 2009 5:49 am

Loop: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/epac/flash-vis.html

There is already some mid-level rotation.

#14 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat May 30, 2009 6:52 am

And NHC is taking notice of it.

057
ABPZ20 KNHC 301147
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SAT MAY 30 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN AREA
OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS
POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10
MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG/KIMBERLAIN

#15 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sat May 30, 2009 6:55 am

90E could be here soon. Weird that the Atlantic has already two invests and the EPAC is still looking for its first.

KWT · #16 Postby **KWT** » Sat May 30, 2009 7:05 am

This area does look pretty good, wouldn't be all that surprising to see an invest with this and possibly a tropical system.

#17 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat May 30, 2009 7:34 am

Is now invest 90E.Go to thread at active storms forum to continue the discussions there.Lock time!

Link to thread at Active Storms forum.

viewtopic.php?f=62&p=1881997#p1881997

East Pac Action- May 27th-Update- GFS depression in 4 days.

East Pac Action- May 27th-Update- GFS depression in 4 days.

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Re: East Pac Action- May 27th-Update- GFS depression in 4 days.

Re: East Pac Action- May 27th-Update- GFS depression in 4 days.

Re: East Pac Action- May 27th-Update- GFS depression in 4 days.

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