

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_084l.gif
Moderator: S2k Moderators
storm92405 wrote:Try this site. It has several models to look at. Hope you like. Besides more and more models are jumping on board now something is going to form but what when and where is the question.
http://weather.myfoxtampabay.com/maps/W ... s/gfs.html
Vortex wrote:This appears to be a system that is partly spawned as the monsoon trough lifts north from panama as well as enhanced by energy arriving from the east. We should expect a large and deep area of persistent convection over this general area beginning as early as tommorow. As wind shear slackens off a more consolidated and eventually LLC should form late Sunday/Monday. Much interest wll be focused on this ara in the coming days.
Vortex wrote:00Z GFS develops a fairly well organized system over the western carribean over the next 3-5 days..
With the continued consistency of the GFS and other models latching on to the sme sort of closed low over the Western carribean I have little doubt NOW that something of least TD in nature will be form early to middle part of next week.
H+120
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_120l.gif
H+138-Well organized
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_138l.gif
H+162 Continues to deepen [/color]and slowly move nrth towards central cuba
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_162l.gif
H+180 crosses cenral/western cuba as a stong TS/minimal hurricane and emerges in the Florida straits on a NNW heading typical of climatology.
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_180l.gif
Derek Ortt wrote:Vortex wrote:00Z GFS develops a fairly well organized system over the western carribean over the next 3-5 days..
With the continued consistency of the GFS and other models latching on to the sme sort of closed low over the Western carribean I have little doubt NOW that something of least TD in nature will be form early to middle part of next week.
H+120
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_120l.gif
H+138-Well organized
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_138l.gif
H+162 Continues to deepen [/color]and slowly move nrth towards central cuba
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_162l.gif
H+180 crosses cenral/western cuba as a stong TS/minimal hurricane and emerges in the Florida straits on a NNW heading typical of climatology.
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_180l.gif
it is still too soon to call for devleopment. I suspect, this will be a major bust on your part
need to stop hugging the GFS. If you can get your hands on the ECMWF ensemble, it is worth it
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