June 7 - 13 Severe Weather

[Dave]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
651 PM MDT THU JUN 11 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN BENT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO...
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN CROWLEY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO...
NORTHEASTERN OTERO COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO...

* UNTIL 745 PM MDT

* AT 650 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE STORM WHICH WAS RAPIDLY ROTATING AND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO 11 MILES NORTHWEST OF LAS ANIMAS...OR ABOUT 13 MILES
NORTHEAST OF LA JUNTA...WHICH WAS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST AT 20 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LAS ANIMAS.
JOHN MARTIN RESERVOIR.
HASTY.

[Dave]

Brunota, might want to re-title this thread to: Severe Weather - June - USA. Day 2 & 3 look like today..again.

[brunota2003]

Haha, June 7th to infinity!


And beyond!

[brunota2003]

Out in Colorado!:

La Junta Municipal
Lat: 38.05 Lon: -103.52 Elev: 4203
Last Update on Jun 11, 6:53 pm MDT

Thunderstorm Heavy Rain

64 °F
(18 °C)
Humidity: 65 %
Wind Speed: Vrbl 7 G 64 MPH
Barometer: 29.83" (1006.1 mb)
Dewpoint: 52 °F (11 °C)
Visibility: 0.75 mi.
More Local Wx: 3 Day History:

[srainhoutx]

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
754 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2009

TXC053-453-491-120130-
/O.CON.KEWX.TO.W.0017.000000T0000Z-090612T0130Z/
BURNET TX-WILLIAMSON TX-TRAVIS TX-
754 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2009

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM CDT FOR EXTREME
NORTH CENTRAL TRAVIS...WESTERN WILLIAMSON AND EAST CENTRAL BURNET
COUNTIES...

AT 752 PM CDT...NWS METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO DETECT A TORNADO.
THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED JUST NORTH OF LIBERTY HILL...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING AREA INCLUDE LEANDER...CEDAR PARK AND
GEORGETOWN DAM.

[Dave]

Looks like it may be way beyond!



MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1063
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0742 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/NORTHWEST TX

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 378...

VALID 120042Z - 120145Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 378 CONTINUES.

TORNADO WATCH 378 CONTINUES UNTIL 03Z...WITH PRIMARY/POTENTIALLY
WIDESPREAD SEVERE THREAT ACROSS CENTRAL TX NEARING THE I-35
CORRIDOR/HILL COUNTRY IN THE SHORT TERM INCLUDING THE AUSTIN
VICINITY.

WELL ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE COMPLEX WITH BOUTS OF EMBEDDED STORM SCALE
ROTATION WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY PROGRESS SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD
TOWARD THE I-35 CORRIDOR/HILL COUNTRY AND GEORGETOWN/AUSTIN AREAS
OVER THE NEXT HOUR. DISTINCT POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS
WILL CONTINUE...WITH TRANSIENT CIRCULATIONS AND A VOLATILE AIRMASS
FAVORABLE FOR AN ISOLATED/EMBEDDED TORNADO AS WELL. ALONG THESE
LINES...A 58 KT GUST WAS RECENTLY MEASURED IN BURNETT TX AS OF
0027Z...WITH REPORTS OF GOLFBALL TO BASEBALL SIZE HAIL IN LAMPASAS
COUNTY. ITS NOT ENTIRELY CLEAR HOW FAR SOUTH THIS COMPLEX WILL
SURVIVE SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD...BUT GIVEN ITS ORGANIZATION/EXISTING
COLD POOL AND MODEST LOW LEVEL/HIGHLY BUOYANT INFLOW...A SUSTAINED
THREAT AT LEAST THROUGH THE 02Z TIMEFRAME SEEMS PROBABLE. AS
SUCH...A LOCAL SOUTHWARD EXTENSION OF THE EXISTING WATCH AND/OR AN
ADDITIONAL WATCH ISSUANCE MAY BE WARRANTED.

ELSEWHERE...WITH FAILED ATTEMPTS AT DEEP CONVECTIVE INITIATION EAST
OF THE LUBBOCK AREA OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...POTENTIAL FOR
SURFACE BASED DEVELOPMENT SEEMS LOW ACROSS MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF
TORNADO WW 378. PENDING DEVELOPMENTAL TRENDS...SUCH PORTIONS OF WW
378 MAY ULTIMATELY BE CANCELLED PRIOR TO 03Z.

..GUYER.. 06/12/2009

[Dave]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1064
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0747 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN KY...NRN TN...FAR SWRN VA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 381...

VALID 120047Z - 120145Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 381 CONTINUES.

NEW WW WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED DOWNSTREAM OF WW 381 ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NRN TN/SERN KY/FAR SWRN VA BY 02Z.

LEADING EDGE OF WEST-EAST ORIENTED QLCS EXTENDED ROUGHLY FROM 15 S
PAH TO 25 E BWG AS OF 0040Z. SUBSTANTIAL AIR MASS RECOVERY HAD
OCCURRED ACROSS WRN/MIDDLE TN IN THE WAKE OF CONVECTION EARLIER
TODAY...WITH 00Z SURFACE OBSERVATIONS STILL DEPICTING DEW POINTS IN
THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S WITH TEMPERATURES COOLING TO AROUND 80.
00Z BNA RAOB SAMPLES THIS DOWNSTREAM AIR MASS WELL WITH MLCAPE
AROUND 2500 J/KG. LOW/MID-LEVEL HODOGRAPH IS QUITE FAVORABLE FOR
CONTINUED MCS ORGANIZATION ALONG WITH OCCASIONAL SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES /EFFECTIVE SRH AROUND 180 M2/S2 IN 00Z BNA RAOB/. AS COLD
POOL LIKELY STRENGTHENS...OVERALL PROPAGATION SHOULD RESULT IN AN
OVERALL SELY MOTION INTO NRN PORTIONS OF TN AND PERHAPS SWRN VA.
DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD BECOME THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH TIME...BUT
ISOLATED TORNADO/SEVERE HAIL WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH EMBEDDED
SUPERCELLS.

..GRAMS.. 06/12/2009

[Dave]

Our Flood watch is being put to it's test now, rainfall rates between 1 & 2" per hour are happening around my area at this time. No wind, no hail, just heavy rain.

[Dave]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
713 PM MDT THU JUN 11 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL BENT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO...
EAST CENTRAL OTERO COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO...

* UNTIL 815 PM MDT

* AT 710 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE STORM WHICH WAS RAPIDLY ROTATING AND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO OVER EXTREME WEST CENTRAL BENT COUNTY...OR ABOUT 10 MILES
EAST OF LA JUNTA...WHICH WAS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL IMPACT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF CENTRAL BENT
COUNTY.

[brunota2003]

Yes, well, hopefully it will fail the test in terms of no flooding

[Dave]

Cells are training across the northern part of the county, problem is the area that is receiving the most rainfall right are the headwaters of both a creek that splits my county in half, Laughery, and the headwaters to the Whitewater River valley. The tracks are slowly sliding south, but maybe not fast enough, we'll know more in an hour or so. Creeks up north are bank full.

Other problem is the National Muzzle Loaders are having their spring convention at Friendship Indiana this week. Friendship sits on Laughery in a valley and is known for it's flooding each year. Right now there are around 20,000 people camped down in that 'hole'. We don't need much rain to push the creek to floodstage.

[brunota2003]

Hmm, that is dangerously close to being "overfilled".

/me sends wind to blow the storms away

[srainhoutx]

Stay safe folks and great job ai9d as usual.

[Dave]

Stay safe folks and great job ai9d as usual.

We'll do our best, just staying dry right now and waiting it out. thanks btw.

[Dave]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
827 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL TRAVIS COUNTY...
SOUTH CENTRAL WILLIAMSON COUNTY...

* UNTIL 900 PM CDT.

* AT 827 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR CEDAR
PARK...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE ANDERSON MILL...ROUND ROCK...
WINDEMERE...HUTTO AND PFLUGERVILLE.

[Dave]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
827 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL TRAVIS COUNTY...
SOUTH CENTRAL WILLIAMSON COUNTY...

* UNTIL 900 PM CDT.

* AT 827 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR CEDAR
PARK...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE ANDERSON MILL...ROUND ROCK...
WINDEMERE...HUTTO AND PFLUGERVILLE.

[brunota2003]

I did change the title

[Dave]

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 383
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
920 PM EDT THU JUN 11 2009

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY
MIDDLE AND EASTERN TENNESSEE

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 920 PM
UNTIL 100 AM EDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 120 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
CROSSVILLE TENNESSEE TO 60 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CROSSVILLE
TENNESSEE. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 378...WW 380...WW
381...WW 382...

DISCUSSION...WSW-ENE BAND OF STORMS IN SRN KY...INCLUDING EMBEDDED
SUPERCELLS...EXPECTED TO CONTINUE GENERALLY ESE INTO TN THROUGH LATE
EVE. STORMS WILL ENCOUNTER INCREASING DEEP WLY SHEAR RELATIVE TO
WHAT EXISTED DURING THEIR DEVELOPMENT IN NRN KY/SE IL. COUPLED WITH
VERY MOIST LOW LVL ENVIRONMENT...SETUP SUGGESTS A CONTINUED
POTENTIAL FOR EMBEDDED LEWP/BOW STRUCTURES WITH SVR WIND/HAIL AND
POSSIBLY ISOLD TORNADOES...DESPITE LOSS OF SFC HEATING.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28035.


...CORFIDI

Hazard Tornadoes EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood Moderate Low
Severe Wind 65 kt+ Wind
Moderate Low
Severe Hail 2"+ Hail
Moderate Low

[Dave]

I did change the title

Thanks!

[brunota2003]

I did change the title

Thanks!

Yep haha...I guess I'll change the question mark once we know when the end has come...seems MN is making up for all the recent quiet weeks.