2009 TCRs

[Cainer]

North Atlantic
Tropical Depression One
Tropical Storm Ana
Hurricane Bill
Tropical Storm Claudette
Tropical Storm Danny
Tropical Storm Erika
Hurricane Fred
Tropical Depression Eight
Tropical Storm Grace
Tropical Storm Henri
Hurricane Ida

Tropical Storm Ana added by cycloneye
Hurricane Bill added by cycloneye
Tropical Storm Claudette added by cycloneye
Tropical Storm Danny aded by cycloneye
Hurricane Fred added by cycloneye
Tropical Storm Erika added by cycloneye
Tropical Depression Eight added by cycloneye
Tropical Storm Henri added by cycloneye
Tropical Storm Grace added by cycloneye
Hurricane Ida added by cycloneye

North Pacific
Tropical Depression One-E
Hurricane Andres
Tropical Storm Blanca
Hurricane Carlos
Tropical Storm Dolores
Tropical Depression Six / Tropical Storm Lana
Tropical Storm Enrique
Hurricane Felicia
Hurricane Guillermo
Tropical Depression Nine-E
Tropical Storm Hilda
Tropical Storm Ignacio
Hurricane Jimena
Tropical Storm Kevin
Hurricane Linda
Tropical Storm Marty
Tropical Storm Nora
Tropical Storm Olaf
Tropical Storm Patricia
Hurricane Rick

One-E added
Tropical Storm Enrique added by cycloneye
Hurricane Carlos added by cycloneye
Tropical Storm Kevin added by cycloneye
Tropical Depression Nine-E added by cycloneye
Hurricane Linda added by cycloneye
Tropical Storm Ignacio added by cycloneye
Tropical Storm Nora added by cycloneye
Tropical Storm Olaf added by cycloneye
Tropical Storm Patricia added by cycloneye
Tropical Storm Marty added by cycloneye
Tropical Storm Blanca added by cycloneye
Hurricane Rick added by cycloneye
Tropical Storm Dolores added by cycloneye
Hurricane Jimena added by cycloneye
Hurricane Felicia added by cycloneye
Tropical Storm Hilda added by cycloneye
Hurricane Guillermo added by cycloneye
Tropical Depression Six / Tropical Storm Lana added by cycloneye

[Cainer]

I guess no one noticed, but TD 1's TCR has been out for a couple days. Nothing really changed as far as I can tell; then again, I just skimmed it over.

[cycloneye]

Hurricane Andres report is up.The report is at first post of thread.

[brunota2003]

I think Andres was actually 75 knots at his peak.

Between the differences in sat imagery from peak to when Recon arrived, plus the fact the smurf recorded winds of 67 knots (with a drop of 66 knots confirming the 67) on the surface at 1800, well after the sat appearance had fallen apart...leads me to believe he was closer to 75 knots.

This underscores why Recon is so important. Why can't we figure out a way to make drones that fly permanently off of sunlight or something?

*Edit to change "she" to "he"

[HurricaneBill]

I think Andres was actually 75 knots at her peak.

Andres is a "he".

[brunota2003]

I think Andres was actually 75 knots at her peak.

Andres is a "he".

Oops...okay..."he"

[Cainer]

One-E added. Not much changed; pressure was increased by 2 millibars.

[CrazyC83]

Enrique just came out. Bumped up a bit to 55 kt. (Given the eye feature, the ADT and AMSU estimates, I would have gone a bit farther to 60 kt.)

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/TCR-EP072009_Enrique.pdf

[CrazyC83]

Carlos is out - peak intensity kept at 90 kt but a highly uncertain estimate. (I would have gone 95 kt/974mb, I think it was a bit stronger considering its size but not with enough confidence to bump to Cat 3)

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/TCR-EP042009_Carlos.pdf

[Cyclenall]

Carlos is out - peak intensity kept at 90 kt but a highly uncertain estimate. (I would have gone 95 kt/974mb, I think it was a bit stronger considering its size but not with enough confidence to bump to Cat 3)

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/TCR-EP042009_Carlos.pdf

When I review the images of Carlos when it was displaying the pinhole eye I'm inclined to believe this was a major micro-cane at least. 90 Knots is too low and seems to be a number that sticks on these types of TC's in the Epac (See Hurricane Sergio 2006 at 95 knots).

[CrazyC83]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/TCR-EP142009_Kevin.pdf

Kevin is now out. Intensity kept at 45 kt - seems reasonable as a blend of QuikSCAT and AMSU.

[cycloneye]

Tropical Depression Nine-E report is up and posted at the first post of thread.

[somethingfunny]

How incredible it is that the NHC is finding time to write their TCRs during September.

[RattleMan]

Ana TCR is out; achieved TS status on 12/1200z, held it until 12/1800z, then weakened into a TD then remnant low; picks up again where the operational advisories do.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/TCR-AL022009_Ana.pdf

Code: Select all

   02L.Ana   
Adv #   Knots   ACE
1   25   0
2   25   0
3   25   0
4   30   0
5   30   0
6   35   0.1225
7   35   0.1225
8   30   0
9   ---   0
10   ---   0
11   ---   0
12   ---   0
13   ---   0
14   ---   0
15   ---   0
16   30   0
17   35   0.1225
18   35   0.1225
19   35   0.1225
20   35   0.1225
21   35   0.1225
22   30   0


[CrazyC83]

Noticed they killed off Ana for the last time in the BT a lot sooner than they did operationally.

[RattleMan]

Bill TCR is out.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/TCR-AL032009_Bill.pdf

[CrazyC83]

Downgraded to TS at landfall. Peak intensity unchanged. All in all, it seems reasonable, although I would have bumped it to 120 kt at 20/0000 based on that 121 kt dropsonde measurement.

[cycloneye]

Atlantic=Hurricane Fred report is up and posted at first post of thread.

East Pacific=Hurricane Linda report is up and posted at the first post of thread.

[CrazyC83]

Linda downgraded from 75 to 70 kt. No real change with Fred, but that was all a guessing game due to lack of data.

[CrazyC83]

The Fred TCR has been delinked from the NHC page, but the online page is still active. Maybe changes are in store?