SE TX/SW LA weather: Much cooler and WET after Tuesday

[srainhoutx]

What a great 4th. Good food and fun, then ended the evening with a fireworks extravganza of our own. Hope everyone had a Happy Independence Day.

[CajunMama]

Looking good for rain on Monday!

Monday: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 89. Heat index values as high as 97. West wind between 5 and 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

[BreinLa]

I am ready for Rain TODAY looks like storms to the north hopefully they won't go poof before they get here tonight

[PTrackerLA]

Decent breeze this morning with cloud cover streaming in from the storms in north Louisiana. The NWS mentions a possible nighttime MCS coming in from the north and if that doesn't happen tomorrow still looks wet as well as the rest of the week. It's been over a month since I've had more than just a wetting from the sky as we missed out majorly on the storms a few days ago. Let it RAIN, I'm patiently waiting .

[Yankeegirl]

We only have a 20-30% chance of rain here for the next week.... East Texas looks a little more lucky! We are going to West Texas, to the Frio River, later this week... I looked at the river levels online, but I cant understand a bunch of numbers... Does anyone think they can translate how the river water levels are? We are going tubing, well hopefully going tubing....

[southerngale]

60%? Wow. We had 50% but it's down to 40%. There were a few 50's in my forecast, but down to 40% and 30% now. It's still better than no chance, but I don't like the trend.

[CajunMama]

60%? Wow. We had 50% but it's down to 40%. There were a few 50's in my forecast, but down to 40% and 30% now. It's still better than no chance, but I don't like the trend.

Keep your trend away from my trend

[southerngale]

60%? Wow. We had 50% but it's down to 40%. There were a few 50's in my forecast, but down to 40% and 30% now. It's still better than no chance, but I don't like the trend.

Keep your trend away from my trend

Uh, well, umm, sorry. My forecast for tomorrow is now up to 50% and yours is now down to 50%.

[Yankeegirl]

You guys can come closer to my area and give me a better chance of rain here!!

[southerngale]

I spy some showers out in the gom moving ne. It looks like south central la (lafayette) would be in their path. I hope they don't dissipate but instead increase. Fourth of July or not I would welcome the rain.

On a side note my daughter and i exited the mall here yesterday and it was raining. We walked right out into the rain enjoying every drop of it while others huddled at the entrance. We were laughing at them. I live 5 miles from the mall and not a drop there.

I saw hail at that mall in late June, 1997. I was surprised. Nothing too big. But in June. (The mall on Ambassador, I assume).

I hope y'all get some beaucoup rain too, for the Fall crawfish season.

Do you have some kind of Timeline of Your Life software program? I've never seen someone spit out so many dates and places of where they've visited, lived, etc. in my life. I couldn't tell you what I saw in June of LAST YEAR or what year or month I last saw hail, and maybe not where I was when I saw it. hmmm, I think I was at home.



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[vbhoutex]

Gee, only 103ºf today and it felt every bit of it!!!! Official of 102ºf at IAH. Supposedly we are having a freeze tomorrow with the high only getting to 94ºf with rain. YEAH RIGHT!!

[Yankeegirl]

Ill believe it when i see it....rain?! whats that?

[Ed Mahmoud]

I spy some showers out in the gom moving ne. It looks like south central la (lafayette) would be in their path. I hope they don't dissipate but instead increase. Fourth of July or not I would welcome the rain.

On a side note my daughter and i exited the mall here yesterday and it was raining. We walked right out into the rain enjoying every drop of it while others huddled at the entrance. We were laughing at them. I live 5 miles from the mall and not a drop there.

I saw hail at that mall in late June, 1997. I was surprised. Nothing too big. But in June. (The mall on Ambassador, I assume).

I hope y'all get some beaucoup rain too, for the Fall crawfish season.

Do you have some kind of Timeline of Your Life software program? I've never seen someone spit out so many dates and places of where they've visited, lived, etc. in my life. I couldn't tell you what I saw in June of LAST YEAR or what year or month I last saw hail, and maybe not where I was when I saw it. hmmm, I think I was at home.

I didn't remember the exact day or anything.

That was the year I had an apartment of Feu Follete (sp?). Worked for BHI in Broussard. I got laid off, lost the V-8 Triton F-150 cmpany truck, moved to Houston in late 1998 during the oil bust, got lucky, hired on quickly with Halliburton in late 1998, but was transferred back to work in New Iberia. Then I lived next to Randals, across from Bobs and the new movie multiplex, on Kaliste Saloom.

But my girlfriend was back in Houston, HAL was not going to move me, I quit in September 2000, moved when it was outrageously hot, LFT had a tornado near the electric station the day I left, started work for a now defunct company called QC Data, got married shortly thereafter, and had our baby on August 4, 2001, and had a severe t-storm warning the day he came home, August 6th. Allison was back in June, of course, and the Christmas Eve snow miracle was 2004. December 10th snow miracle last year was even better, but Christmas Eve, who can ask for more.

But I was completely out of touch with the weather, no cable and internet not widely available, 1982 to late 1988. Missed Alicia, and Gloria, and Gilbert.

[Ed Mahmoud]

omigosh- storms on the outflow boundary firing up near Navasota to Huntsville!

[Ed Mahmoud]

omigosh- storms on the outflow boundary firing up near Navasota to Huntsville!

Fizzle action.


But I'm sure Western Louisiana doesn't mind the rain they are getting...

[Yankeegirl]

they need to share it...

[Yankeegirl]

look at all the storms in central texas.... those need to move this way, i am getting jealous!!

[Ed Mahmoud]

Looks like LFT, and other points East of a line from 7R4 to near LFT to HEZ are in a SLIGHT RISK area for damaging wind gusts.

...GULF COAST...
A VERY MOIST/UNSTABLE AIRMASS REMAINS ACROSS SRN PORTIONS OF GULF
STATES IN ADVANCE OF WEAK FRONTAL BAND. WITH DEWPOINTS WELL INTO
THE 70S...DAYTIME HEATING WILL QUICKLY DEVELOP A VERY UNSTABLE
AIRMASS WITH MLCAPES AOA 3000 J/KG. SUFFICIENT SHEAR OF 20-25 KT IN
THE SRN PORTION OF CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER ERN U.S TO SUPPORT COLD
POOL DEVELOPMENT/LINE SEGMENT FORMATION WITH CLUSTERS OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. HAVE ADDED A SLIGHT RISK FOR AN
INCREASED THREAT OF WIND DAMAGE GIVEN THESE CONDITIONS.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSW
7R4 20 S HEZ 15 NNE PIB 25 SSW TOI 25 WNW JAX 20 WSW GNV 65 SW CTY.

GFS sounding for 1 pm CDT shows a ten degree C spread dewpoint to temperature, which may favor evaporational cooling, and PWs over 2 inches suggest the possibility of precipitation loading.

Not a classic severe sounding, but worth paying attention to.

Note: I have flown from the Chevron heliport at 7R4

[southerngale]

Well, the radar looked very promising early this morning. A large line of storms stretching across Texas, headed this way.

It's all falling apart.

That 50% chance of thunderstorms is now down to 40% and I think that's being generous.

Similar to last night... radar showed a large complex of showers in TX/LA headed for LA and E TX with the western end growing. I thought it might make it here and likely would if the western edge kept building. I saw a lot of lightning to my north. Then poof... it all fell apart.



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[Ed Mahmoud]

There might be a disturbance over Colorado as seen on WV about 12 to 24 hours away (via loop eyeballing).