Atlantic=52.58 EPAC=99.9150 CPAC=24.575 WPAC=270.6725

[cycloneye]

ACE nearing 50 year low

Interesting data about how the ACE numbers haved fallen worldwide.



Read information at hyperlink below.

Source

[KWT]

Whats even more interesting is that its happening at the same time as a pretty lengthy solar min, shows a good link there it seems!

[HURAKAN]

2009 Northeast Pacific Accumulated Cyclone Energy

Tropical Depression One-E (01E) = 0.0000
Hurricane Andres (02E) = 3.0700
Tropical Storm Blanca (03E) = 0.1225

Season Total = 3.1925

[HURAKAN]

2009 Northeast Pacific Accumulated Cyclone Energy

Tropical Depression One-E (01E) = 0.0000
Hurricane Andres (02E) = 3.0700
Tropical Storm Blanca (03E) = 0.2825

Season Total = 3.3525

[RL3AO]

2009 Northeast Pacific Accumulated Cyclone Energy

Tropical Depression One-E (01E) = 0.0000
Hurricane Andres (02E) = 3.0700
Tropical Storm Blanca (03E) = 0.2825

Season Total = 3.3525

That is incorrect. You don't count the first advisory because it was a special advisory. You only count the ones at 3/9/15/21z. So Blanca is at 0.1600

[cycloneye]

I think you are right RL3AO.What is the number as of the 15z Advisory for the EPAC?

[HURAKAN]

I forgot that it was a special advisory. Then the correct number is 3.2300

[RattleMan]

The 06/2100z advisory:

Code: Select all

Adv #   Knots   ACE
1   35 (Sp.)   0
2   40   0.16
3   40   0.16


Code: Select all

   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
rBT   Andres   3.07   90.56%
   Blanca   0.32   9.44%

   TOTAL   3.39   
         
   East Pacific   leads by   3.39


[MGC]

But wait....I thought with all this global warming there would be more tropical cyclones....I don't understand. I has to be the sunspots. Those darn sunspots or lack thereof is at fault, not the computer models that predicted a warmer Earth.....MGC

[RattleMan]

07/0300z:

Code: Select all

Adv #   Knots   ACE
1   35 (Sp.)   0
2   40   0.16
3   40   0.16
4   45   0.2025


Code: Select all

   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
rBT   Andres   3.07   85.46%
   Blanca   0.5225   14.54%

   TOTAL   3.5925   
         
   East Pacific   leads by   3.5925


[RattleMan]

07/0900z:

Code: Select all

Adv #   Knots   ACE
1   35 (Sp.)   0
2   40   0.16
3   40   0.16
4   45   0.2025
5   45   0.2025


Code: Select all

   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
rBT   Andres   3.07   80.90%
   Blanca   0.725   19.10%

   TOTAL   3.795   
         
   East Pacific   leads by   3.795


[RattleMan]

07/1500z:

Code: Select all

Adv #   Knots   ACE
1   35 (Sp.)   0
2   40   0.16
3   40   0.16
4   45   0.2025
5   45   0.2025
6   40   0.16


Code: Select all

   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
rBT   Andres   3.07   77.62%
   Blanca   0.885   22.38%

   TOTAL   3.955   
         
   East Pacific   leads by   3.955


[RattleMan]

07/2100z:

Code: Select all

Adv #   Knots   ACE
1   35 (Sp.)   0
2   40   0.16
3   40   0.16
4   45   0.2025
5   45   0.2025
6   40   0.16
7   35   0.1225


Code: Select all

   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
rBT   Andres   3.07   75.29%
   Blanca   1.0075   24.71%

   TOTAL   4.0775   
         
   East Pacific   leads by   4.0775


[RattleMan]

08/0300z:

Code: Select all

Adv #   Knots   ACE
1   35 (Sp.)   0
2   40   0.16
3   40   0.16
4   45   0.2025
5   45   0.2025
6   40   0.16
7   35   0.1225
8   35   0.1225


Code: Select all

   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
rBT   Andres   3.07   73.10%
   Blanca   1.13   26.90%

   TOTAL   4.2   
         
   East Pacific   leads by   4.2


[RattleMan]

08/0900z downgrades to a depression.

The current operational ACE is still 1.13.

[cycloneye]

The first advisory on newly formed Tropical Storm Carlos brings the new EPAC ACE number up to 4.3225. (Numbers from Wikipedia)

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_Pacif ... ane_season

[KWT]

Carlos will very likely be a double figure system, so expect the ACE to leap up towards where it should be at this time of year in the EPAC, after a slow start.

[RL3AO]

2009 Northeast Pacific Accumulated Cyclone Energy

Tropical Depression One-E (01E) = 0.0000
Hurricane Andres (02E) = 2.8325
Tropical Storm Blanca (03E) = 1.1300
Tropical Storm Carlos (04E) = 0.1225

Season Total = 4.0850

The ACE on WP isn't correct this season. Normally its being kept up to date, but it isn't this season (I'm usually one of the people doing it).

Note: This data is from the operational advisories.

[cycloneye]

Thanks for updating correctly the numbers.And I wont follow Wiki,but waiting for the math gurus here.

[RL3AO]

The Wikipedia numbers included the best track stuff for Andres which I didn't. It looks like thats what Rattleman is using so I guess I will too.

2009 Northeast Pacific Accumulated Cyclone Energy

Tropical Depression One-E (01E) = 0.0000
Hurricane Andres (02E) = 3.0700 (best track)
Tropical Storm Blanca (03E) = 1.1300
Tropical Storm Carlos (04E) = 0.1225

Season Total = 4.3225