
Caribbean - Central America Weather
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- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145277
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Eastern Caribbean Thread=Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
The image is there Gusty so you did it! 

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- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145277
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Eastern Caribbean Thread=Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
Good morning fellow Caribbean friends.A hazy day is instore today with a few diurnal showers.
000
FXCA62 TJSJ 230840
AFDSJU
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
440 AM AST THU JUL 23 2009
.SYNOPSIS...A WEAK CUT OFF LOW REMAINS NORTHEAST OF THE LOCAL
AREA IN A BROAD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE UNTIL SUNDAY. DURING THE
FOLLOWING WEEK IT REDEVELOPS AS A NORTHEAST-SOUTHWEST TROUGH OVER
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND SHIFTS TO THE MONA PASSAGE ON
THURSDAY. UPPER LEVEL WINDS RANGE FROM 25 TO 50 KNOTS UNTIL MONDAY
MORNING EXCEPT FOR FRIDAY AND LESS THAN 35 KNOTS FOR THE REST OF
THE PERIOD.
AT MID LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE AREA DRIFTS OVER CUBA BY
SATURDAY AND A WEAK TROUGH FORMS OVER THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
THIS TROUGH MOVES TO THE WEST OVER THE WEEKEND AND STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC BY LATE SUNDAY. THE
HIGH PRESSURE WEAKENS BUT STILL LEAVES A FAIRLY SOLID EAST WEST
RIDGE ACROSS THE ATLANTIC IN ITS PLACE THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK.`
AT LOWER LEVELS...A WEAK WAVE WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA TODAY. A
WEAK TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH EARLY MONDAY WITH LITTLE OF
SIGNIFICANCE THROUGH THE FIRST OF NEXT MONTH.
&&
.DISCUSSION...A FEW SHOWERS MOVED ONSHORE FROM THE EAST OVER
PUERTO RICO...OTHERWISE ISOLATED SHOWERS WERE OBSERVED...MAINLY OVER
THE ATLANTIC NORTH OF PUERTO RICO. DRYER WEATHER IS EXPECTED
TODAY...EXCEPT THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY IN THE WEST DURING THE
AFTERNOON. SHOWERS IN THE VICINITY OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS ARE
ALL LIKELY TO BE DOWNSTREAM FROM THE ISLANDS WHERE THEY FORM AT
ALL. AT THIS TIME ALL FEATURES DEPICTED BY THE MODELS FOR THE NEXT
240 HOURS ARE RATHER SUBDUED AND NO SIGNIFICANT WET PERIODS OR
STRONG WAVES ARE DEPICTED. EXPECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
WEST AND INTERIOR AND DOWNSTREAM FROM THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS EACH
DAY WITH SOME VARIATIONS. MODELS SUGGEST A COOLING TREND BEGINNING
SATURDAY AND ENDING SUNDAY...BUT THIS SHOULD BE SLIGHT. WINDS AT
850 MB ARE FORECAST TO PEAK AT 33 KNOTS ON TUESDAY MORNING...BUT
SURFACE WIND RESPONSE IS WEAK.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT LOCAL TAF SITES THROUGHOUT
THE FORECAST PERIOD EXCEPT BETWEEN 23/16-24/00Z AT TJMZ WHERE
CONDITIONS WILL BE MVFR DUE TO CEILINGS. SOME MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATIONS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE SAME PERIOD ACROSS WESTERN
AND INTERIOR PUERTO RICO.
&&
.MARINE...WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE BEGINNING ON SUNDAY AND
REACHING A PLATEAU TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...BUT SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CONDITIONS...THOUGH POSSIBLE...ARE NOT FORECAST TO BE WIDESPREAD
DURING THIS TIME.
000
FXCA62 TJSJ 230840
AFDSJU
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
440 AM AST THU JUL 23 2009
.SYNOPSIS...A WEAK CUT OFF LOW REMAINS NORTHEAST OF THE LOCAL
AREA IN A BROAD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE UNTIL SUNDAY. DURING THE
FOLLOWING WEEK IT REDEVELOPS AS A NORTHEAST-SOUTHWEST TROUGH OVER
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND SHIFTS TO THE MONA PASSAGE ON
THURSDAY. UPPER LEVEL WINDS RANGE FROM 25 TO 50 KNOTS UNTIL MONDAY
MORNING EXCEPT FOR FRIDAY AND LESS THAN 35 KNOTS FOR THE REST OF
THE PERIOD.
AT MID LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE AREA DRIFTS OVER CUBA BY
SATURDAY AND A WEAK TROUGH FORMS OVER THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
THIS TROUGH MOVES TO THE WEST OVER THE WEEKEND AND STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC BY LATE SUNDAY. THE
HIGH PRESSURE WEAKENS BUT STILL LEAVES A FAIRLY SOLID EAST WEST
RIDGE ACROSS THE ATLANTIC IN ITS PLACE THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK.`
AT LOWER LEVELS...A WEAK WAVE WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA TODAY. A
WEAK TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH EARLY MONDAY WITH LITTLE OF
SIGNIFICANCE THROUGH THE FIRST OF NEXT MONTH.
&&
.DISCUSSION...A FEW SHOWERS MOVED ONSHORE FROM THE EAST OVER
PUERTO RICO...OTHERWISE ISOLATED SHOWERS WERE OBSERVED...MAINLY OVER
THE ATLANTIC NORTH OF PUERTO RICO. DRYER WEATHER IS EXPECTED
TODAY...EXCEPT THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY IN THE WEST DURING THE
AFTERNOON. SHOWERS IN THE VICINITY OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS ARE
ALL LIKELY TO BE DOWNSTREAM FROM THE ISLANDS WHERE THEY FORM AT
ALL. AT THIS TIME ALL FEATURES DEPICTED BY THE MODELS FOR THE NEXT
240 HOURS ARE RATHER SUBDUED AND NO SIGNIFICANT WET PERIODS OR
STRONG WAVES ARE DEPICTED. EXPECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
WEST AND INTERIOR AND DOWNSTREAM FROM THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS EACH
DAY WITH SOME VARIATIONS. MODELS SUGGEST A COOLING TREND BEGINNING
SATURDAY AND ENDING SUNDAY...BUT THIS SHOULD BE SLIGHT. WINDS AT
850 MB ARE FORECAST TO PEAK AT 33 KNOTS ON TUESDAY MORNING...BUT
SURFACE WIND RESPONSE IS WEAK.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT LOCAL TAF SITES THROUGHOUT
THE FORECAST PERIOD EXCEPT BETWEEN 23/16-24/00Z AT TJMZ WHERE
CONDITIONS WILL BE MVFR DUE TO CEILINGS. SOME MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATIONS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE SAME PERIOD ACROSS WESTERN
AND INTERIOR PUERTO RICO.
&&
.MARINE...WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE BEGINNING ON SUNDAY AND
REACHING A PLATEAU TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...BUT SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CONDITIONS...THOUGH POSSIBLE...ARE NOT FORECAST TO BE WIDESPREAD
DURING THIS TIME.
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- Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
Re: Eastern Caribbean Thread=Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
cycloneye wrote:The image is there Gusty so you did it!
Yeah Luis, yes I CAN, tkanks for your help!!!

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- Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
000
AWCA82 TJSJ 230907
RWSVI
WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
507 AM AST THU JUL 23 2009
VARIABLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS OVERNIGHT
INTO EARLY THIS MORNING. DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A FEW SPRINKLES
MAINLY OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...AS THE REGION CONTINUED TO DRY OUT
BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF THE TROPICAL WAVE ON TUESDAY INTO EARLY
WEDNESDAY. THE WIND WAS GENERALLY FROM THE EAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
DRY AND HAZY CONDITIONS WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA TODAY WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF A COUPLE OF ISOLATED
AFTERNOON SHOWERS. A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE EAST OF THE WINDWARDS
WILL PASS WELL SOUTH OF THE LOCAL AREA THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY...NO LOCAL IMPACTS ANTICIPATED.
MARINE CONDITIONS REMAIN ROUGH ACROSS THE ATLANTIC OFFSHORE AND
ANEGADA PASSAGE BUT HAVE IMPROVED FOR OTHER AREAS. SMALL CRAFT
OPERATORS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION.
$$
AWCA82 TJSJ 230907
RWSVI
WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
507 AM AST THU JUL 23 2009
VARIABLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS OVERNIGHT
INTO EARLY THIS MORNING. DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A FEW SPRINKLES
MAINLY OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...AS THE REGION CONTINUED TO DRY OUT
BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF THE TROPICAL WAVE ON TUESDAY INTO EARLY
WEDNESDAY. THE WIND WAS GENERALLY FROM THE EAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
DRY AND HAZY CONDITIONS WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA TODAY WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF A COUPLE OF ISOLATED
AFTERNOON SHOWERS. A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE EAST OF THE WINDWARDS
WILL PASS WELL SOUTH OF THE LOCAL AREA THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY...NO LOCAL IMPACTS ANTICIPATED.
MARINE CONDITIONS REMAIN ROUGH ACROSS THE ATLANTIC OFFSHORE AND
ANEGADA PASSAGE BUT HAVE IMPROVED FOR OTHER AREAS. SMALL CRAFT
OPERATORS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION.
$$
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yes, the sun is back here too although it is very hazy.
It is still a little breezy, from the east at about 13 MPH
At least with the breeze, it doesn't feel quite as hot.
current temps
Temperature 86 F (30 C)
Heat index 93.4 F (34.1 C)
Dew Point 73 F (23 C)
Relative Humidity 66%
too humid for me.
Have a great day everyone!
It is still a little breezy, from the east at about 13 MPH
At least with the breeze, it doesn't feel quite as hot.
current temps
Temperature 86 F (30 C)
Heat index 93.4 F (34.1 C)
Dew Point 73 F (23 C)
Relative Humidity 66%
too humid for me.

Have a great day everyone!
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- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145277
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Eastern Caribbean Thread=Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
Noon observations from San Juan and Virgin Islands.Hot!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Code: Select all
000
ASCA42 TJSJ 231610
RWRPR
PUERTO RICO/U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS HOURLY WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1200 PM AST THU JUL 23 2009
PRZ001-004-231700-
PUERTO RICO
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
SAN JUAN LMM MOSUNNY 90 77 66 NE15G22 30.04S HX 102
PONCE MOSUNNY 91 77 62 SE12G21 30.00S HX 105
MAYAGUEZ CLOUDY 90 75 62 W6 30.00F HAZE HX 100
$$
PRZ006-007-231700-
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
CHARLOTTE AMA SUNNY 88 72 58 SE17G28 30.03S HX 94
CHRISTIANSTED MOSUNNY 90 75 62 SE18G28 30.04S HX 100
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Good afternoon! Weak tropical wave affecting us here down south. Grey skies and some on and off showers. From CDERA our forecast reads:
A tropical wave is approaching the island.
This Afternoon and Tonight: Generally cloudy with occasional scattered showers, periods of rain and possible isolated thunderstorms.
Sounds like a nice day to get some serious ...sleep done. If only...
A tropical wave is approaching the island.
This Afternoon and Tonight: Generally cloudy with occasional scattered showers, periods of rain and possible isolated thunderstorms.
Sounds like a nice day to get some serious ...sleep done. If only...
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- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145277
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Eastern Caribbean Thread=Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
000
FXCA62 TJSJ 231820
AFDSJU
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
220 PM AST THU JUL 23 2009
.DISCUSSION...MUCH DRIER AIRMASS EVIDENT ON TPW IMAGERY THIS
AFTERNOON AS TROPICAL WAVE MOVES INTO CARIBBEAN WATERS WELL SOUTH
OF LOCAL AREA WITH HAZY SKIES OVER ITS NORTHERN EDGE DOMINATING
LOCAL REGION. SURFACE HIGH OVER CENTRAL ATLC WILL MOVE LITTLE OVER
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...WITH TUTT LOW NORTH OF THE LEEWARDS AND JUST
WEAK PIECES OF LOWER LEVEL MOISTURE TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION
LATE TOMORROW. FORECAST GOING QUITE PERSISTENT WITH VERY LITTLE
SHOWING UP ON RADAR TODAY. WILL KEEP MOSTLY ISOLATED CHANCES FOR
MAJORITY OF 7 DAY PERIOD. COULD SEE A WAVE OR TUTT REFLECTION
MONDAY WITH WEAK MOISTURE ADVECTION IN THE LOW LAYERS UPPING
CHANCES A BIT...BUT NOTHING IMPRESSIVE. SHOULD BE AT OR BELOW
CLIMO VALUES WITH HI TEMPS CONTINUED ABOVE 90 FOR THE PERIOD.
FXCA62 TJSJ 231820
AFDSJU
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
220 PM AST THU JUL 23 2009
.DISCUSSION...MUCH DRIER AIRMASS EVIDENT ON TPW IMAGERY THIS
AFTERNOON AS TROPICAL WAVE MOVES INTO CARIBBEAN WATERS WELL SOUTH
OF LOCAL AREA WITH HAZY SKIES OVER ITS NORTHERN EDGE DOMINATING
LOCAL REGION. SURFACE HIGH OVER CENTRAL ATLC WILL MOVE LITTLE OVER
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...WITH TUTT LOW NORTH OF THE LEEWARDS AND JUST
WEAK PIECES OF LOWER LEVEL MOISTURE TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION
LATE TOMORROW. FORECAST GOING QUITE PERSISTENT WITH VERY LITTLE
SHOWING UP ON RADAR TODAY. WILL KEEP MOSTLY ISOLATED CHANCES FOR
MAJORITY OF 7 DAY PERIOD. COULD SEE A WAVE OR TUTT REFLECTION
MONDAY WITH WEAK MOISTURE ADVECTION IN THE LOW LAYERS UPPING
CHANCES A BIT...BUT NOTHING IMPRESSIVE. SHOULD BE AT OR BELOW
CLIMO VALUES WITH HI TEMPS CONTINUED ABOVE 90 FOR THE PERIOD.
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- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145277
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Eastern Caribbean Thread=Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
Wave at Eastern Atlantic.We have to start the watching to our east as we are closing in on the peak of the season.
000
AXNT20 KNHC 232341
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT THU JUL 23 2009
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.
BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS ALONG 19N29W TO 09N27W MOVING W 10-15
KT. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE A BROAD AREA OF LOW-LEVEL
CYCLONIC TURNING ABOUT THE WAVE AXIS WITH CLOUD MOTIONS
SUGGESTING A WEAK LOW NEAR 14N28W. AN EARLIER ASCAT PASS
INDICATED THAT THE CYCLONIC TURNING IS AT THE SFC...THOUGH WINDS
ARE GENERALLY WEAK. CONVECTION IS MINIMAL IN THE VICINITY OF THE
WAVE SUPPRESSED BY SAHARAN DUST.
000
AXNT20 KNHC 232341
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT THU JUL 23 2009
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.
BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS ALONG 19N29W TO 09N27W MOVING W 10-15
KT. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE A BROAD AREA OF LOW-LEVEL
CYCLONIC TURNING ABOUT THE WAVE AXIS WITH CLOUD MOTIONS
SUGGESTING A WEAK LOW NEAR 14N28W. AN EARLIER ASCAT PASS
INDICATED THAT THE CYCLONIC TURNING IS AT THE SFC...THOUGH WINDS
ARE GENERALLY WEAK. CONVECTION IS MINIMAL IN THE VICINITY OF THE
WAVE SUPPRESSED BY SAHARAN DUST.
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- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145277
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Eastern Caribbean Thread=Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
Hello to my Caribbean friends.Dont forget to stop by our tent thread when you can even if there is nothing of significance going on weatherwise.You can say hello and that is good enough.
This thread is a 365 day year around and 24/7 tent for all to post how is the weather in a daily basis.

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- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145277
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Eastern Caribbean Thread=Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
Good morning fellow Caribbean friends.Another hazy day here is instored.
000
FXCA62 TJSJ 240914
AFDSJU
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
514 AM AST FRI JUL 24 2009
.SYNOPSIS...AT UPPER LEVELS...A CUT-OFF LOW WILL REMAIN NORTH
NORTHEAST OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS THROUGH THE
WEEK END. AS IT WEAKENS INTO A WEAK TROUGH IT WILL DRIFT WEST
ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY AND LEAVE ONLY HIGH PRESSURE TO THE
NORTHWEST FOR MUCH OF THE REST OF THE WEEK. A WEAK LOW REDEVELOPS
LATE IN THE WEEK IN THE SAME AREA.
AT MID LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE SPLIT APART NEAR 58 WEST BY A LOW WILL
JOIN TOGETHER INTO A STRONGER HIGH NEAR 31 NORTH 48 WEST BY LATE
SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES WEST DURING THE WEEK AND REMAINS A
STRONG INFLUENCE IN THE REGION`S WEATHER FROM THE WEST ATLANTIC.
AT LOWER LEVELS... LOW PRESSURE IN THE SOUTHWEST CARIBBEAN AND
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE ATLANTIC BETWEEN 30 AND 40 NORTH LATITUDE REMAIN
THE DOMINANT INFLUENCES IN THE REGIONS WEATHER. A WEAK TROPICAL
WAVE PASSES THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOLLOWED BY A WIND SURGE ON
TUESDAY MAINLY SOUTH OF THE AREA...WITH NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT WAVES OR
TROUGHS THROUGH THE FIRST SEVERAL DAYS OF AUGUST.
&&
.DISCUSSION...RADAR SHOWS FEW SHOWERS...ALL OF WHICH WERE OVER
WATER. MOSTLY DRY HAZY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY WITH EVEN THE
WEST HALF OF PUERTO RICO SEEING LESS THAN THE USUAL SHOWER
ACTIVITY. SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE SOMEWHAT OVER BOTH PUERTO
RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS SUNDAY AND MONDAY. MODELS ARE
SHOWING A WIND SURGE BEHIND THE WAVE WHICH IS EXPECTED TO PASS
THROUGH THE AREA ON MONDAY MORNING...SO THAT WINDS...BOTH ON AND
OFFSHORE...WILL INCREASE MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THEN A BAND OF MOISTURE
INCREASES SHOWERS SOMEWHAT ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT BEFORE
THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE ROLLS BY...PERHAPS ON THE SECOND OF
AUGUST. THAT WAVE IS EXPECTED TO ROLL OUT OF AFRICA BY MONDAY. ALL
OF THIS LEADS TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND TYPICAL
JULY SHOWER ACTIVITY FOR THE NEXT 10 DAYS.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT ALL LOCAL TAF SITES
THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.
&&
.MARINE...WINDS AND SEAS ARE HOLDING BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CRITERIA AT ALL LOCAL BUOYS DUE TO LOW PRESSURE IN THE SOUTHWEST
CARIBBEAN AND HIGH PRESSURE IN THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC. EXPECT THIS
REMAIN SO UNTIL AFTER THE NEXT WAVE PASSAGE ON MONDAY.
&&
.CLIMATE...THE CURRENT MINIMUM AT THE AIRPORT IN SAN JUAN STANDS
AT 81 DEGREES. THE RECORD WARMEST MINIMUM ON THIS DATE OF 80
DEGREES WAS SET IN 2006 AND 6 OTHER OCCASIONS. SHOULD THE CURRENT
MINIMUM HOLD...WE WILL EXCEED THE RECORD WARMEST MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
FOR THIS DATE.
000
FXCA62 TJSJ 240914
AFDSJU
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
514 AM AST FRI JUL 24 2009
.SYNOPSIS...AT UPPER LEVELS...A CUT-OFF LOW WILL REMAIN NORTH
NORTHEAST OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS THROUGH THE
WEEK END. AS IT WEAKENS INTO A WEAK TROUGH IT WILL DRIFT WEST
ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY AND LEAVE ONLY HIGH PRESSURE TO THE
NORTHWEST FOR MUCH OF THE REST OF THE WEEK. A WEAK LOW REDEVELOPS
LATE IN THE WEEK IN THE SAME AREA.
AT MID LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE SPLIT APART NEAR 58 WEST BY A LOW WILL
JOIN TOGETHER INTO A STRONGER HIGH NEAR 31 NORTH 48 WEST BY LATE
SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES WEST DURING THE WEEK AND REMAINS A
STRONG INFLUENCE IN THE REGION`S WEATHER FROM THE WEST ATLANTIC.
AT LOWER LEVELS... LOW PRESSURE IN THE SOUTHWEST CARIBBEAN AND
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE ATLANTIC BETWEEN 30 AND 40 NORTH LATITUDE REMAIN
THE DOMINANT INFLUENCES IN THE REGIONS WEATHER. A WEAK TROPICAL
WAVE PASSES THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOLLOWED BY A WIND SURGE ON
TUESDAY MAINLY SOUTH OF THE AREA...WITH NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT WAVES OR
TROUGHS THROUGH THE FIRST SEVERAL DAYS OF AUGUST.
&&
.DISCUSSION...RADAR SHOWS FEW SHOWERS...ALL OF WHICH WERE OVER
WATER. MOSTLY DRY HAZY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY WITH EVEN THE
WEST HALF OF PUERTO RICO SEEING LESS THAN THE USUAL SHOWER
ACTIVITY. SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE SOMEWHAT OVER BOTH PUERTO
RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS SUNDAY AND MONDAY. MODELS ARE
SHOWING A WIND SURGE BEHIND THE WAVE WHICH IS EXPECTED TO PASS
THROUGH THE AREA ON MONDAY MORNING...SO THAT WINDS...BOTH ON AND
OFFSHORE...WILL INCREASE MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THEN A BAND OF MOISTURE
INCREASES SHOWERS SOMEWHAT ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT BEFORE
THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE ROLLS BY...PERHAPS ON THE SECOND OF
AUGUST. THAT WAVE IS EXPECTED TO ROLL OUT OF AFRICA BY MONDAY. ALL
OF THIS LEADS TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND TYPICAL
JULY SHOWER ACTIVITY FOR THE NEXT 10 DAYS.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT ALL LOCAL TAF SITES
THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.
&&
.MARINE...WINDS AND SEAS ARE HOLDING BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CRITERIA AT ALL LOCAL BUOYS DUE TO LOW PRESSURE IN THE SOUTHWEST
CARIBBEAN AND HIGH PRESSURE IN THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC. EXPECT THIS
REMAIN SO UNTIL AFTER THE NEXT WAVE PASSAGE ON MONDAY.
&&
.CLIMATE...THE CURRENT MINIMUM AT THE AIRPORT IN SAN JUAN STANDS
AT 81 DEGREES. THE RECORD WARMEST MINIMUM ON THIS DATE OF 80
DEGREES WAS SET IN 2006 AND 6 OTHER OCCASIONS. SHOULD THE CURRENT
MINIMUM HOLD...WE WILL EXCEED THE RECORD WARMEST MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
FOR THIS DATE.
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- Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
000
AXNT20 KNHC 240634
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT FRI JUL 24 2009
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0500 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 20N33W TO 9N28W MOVING W NEAR 15
KT. THIS WAVE COINCIDES WITH A DEEP LAYER MOISTURE MAXIMUM
OBSERVED IN TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. SATELLITE IMAGES
INDICATE BROAD LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW IN THE VICINITY
OF THE WAVE AXIS. SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS ALSO INDICATE GOOD
CYCLONIC TURNING IN THE LOW-MID LEVELS. CONVECTION IS LIMITED
DUE TO THE THE PRESENCE OF A DRY SAHARAN AIR LAYER EXCEPT FOR A
SMALL PORTION OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EMBEDDED IN THE
ITCZ FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 29W-32W.
AXNT20 KNHC 240634
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT FRI JUL 24 2009
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0500 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 20N33W TO 9N28W MOVING W NEAR 15
KT. THIS WAVE COINCIDES WITH A DEEP LAYER MOISTURE MAXIMUM
OBSERVED IN TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. SATELLITE IMAGES
INDICATE BROAD LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW IN THE VICINITY
OF THE WAVE AXIS. SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS ALSO INDICATE GOOD
CYCLONIC TURNING IN THE LOW-MID LEVELS. CONVECTION IS LIMITED
DUE TO THE THE PRESENCE OF A DRY SAHARAN AIR LAYER EXCEPT FOR A
SMALL PORTION OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EMBEDDED IN THE
ITCZ FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 29W-32W.
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- Gustywind
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000
AWCA82 TJSJ 240923
RWSVI
WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
523 AM AST FRI JUL 24 2009
CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WERE OBSERVED ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY THIS MORNING. CURRENT TEMPERATURES
WERE IN THE LOW 80S AND THE WINDS WERE GENERALLY FROM THE EAST AT
10 MPH OR LESS.
CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY AND HAZY SKIES WILL ONCE AGAIN PREVAIL
ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS TODAY. LIMITED AVAILABLE MOISTURE WILL
COMBINE WITH LOCAL EFFECTS...TO PRODUCE SOME CLOUDS AND A FEW
ISOLATED SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON...BUT FOR THE MOST PART...FAIR
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DOMINATE WITH A VERY SMALL
CHANCE OF RAIN.
FOR TODAY...ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS...MARINERS SHOULD EXPECT
WINDS OF 19 KNOTS OR LESS AND SEAS OF 6 FEET OR LESS. SMALL BOAT
OPERATORS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOCAL OFF
SHORE ATLANTIC WATERS THROUGH FRIDAY.
$$
AWCA82 TJSJ 240923
RWSVI
WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
523 AM AST FRI JUL 24 2009
CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WERE OBSERVED ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY THIS MORNING. CURRENT TEMPERATURES
WERE IN THE LOW 80S AND THE WINDS WERE GENERALLY FROM THE EAST AT
10 MPH OR LESS.
CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY AND HAZY SKIES WILL ONCE AGAIN PREVAIL
ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS TODAY. LIMITED AVAILABLE MOISTURE WILL
COMBINE WITH LOCAL EFFECTS...TO PRODUCE SOME CLOUDS AND A FEW
ISOLATED SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON...BUT FOR THE MOST PART...FAIR
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DOMINATE WITH A VERY SMALL
CHANCE OF RAIN.
FOR TODAY...ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS...MARINERS SHOULD EXPECT
WINDS OF 19 KNOTS OR LESS AND SEAS OF 6 FEET OR LESS. SMALL BOAT
OPERATORS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOCAL OFF
SHORE ATLANTIC WATERS THROUGH FRIDAY.
$$
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- cycloneye
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- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Eastern Caribbean Thread=Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
Another hot day.
Code: Select all
000
ASCA42 TJSJ 241610
RWRPR
PUERTO RICO/U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS HOURLY WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1200 PM AST FRI JUL 24 2009
PRZ001-004-241700-
PUERTO RICO
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
SAN JUAN LMM MOSUNNY 90 75 62 NE17 30.04S HX 100
PONCE MOSUNNY 91 77 62 S12 30.01S HX 105
AGUADILLA MOSUNNY 88 75 66 E18G24 30.05 HX 97
$$
PRZ006-007-241700-
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
CHARLOTTE AMA PTSUNNY 84 75 74 SE18 30.03F HX 92
CHRISTIANSTED MOSUNNY 88 73 62 SE18 30.04S HX 96
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- cycloneye
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Re: Eastern Caribbean Thread=Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
403 PM AST FRI JUL 24 2009
.SYNOPSIS...
FOR MOST OF THE WEEKEND...HIGH PRESSURE AND MOSTLY CLIMATOLOGICAL
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. HAZE CONTINUES TO PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY AND WILL LINGER TONIGHT...BUT IS EXPECTED TO EXIT THE REGION
BY SATURDAY.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
FAIRLY DRY AND STABLE CONDITION WILL PERSIST THROUGH MOST OF THE
WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE IS ESTABLISHED OVER THE REGION. BUT BY SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK
TROPICAL WAVE IS FORECAST TO PASS ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS WITH
AN INCREASE IN SHOWER ACTIVITY EXPECTED DURING THIS PERIOD.
HOWEVER...GENERALLY STABLE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST IN THE MID TO
UPPER LEVELS AND SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS NOT EXPECTED. HIGH
PRESSURE AND GENERALLY STABLE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL
THEREAFTER.
&&
.AVIATION...
THERE ARE ONLY A FEW LIGHT PASSING SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGIONAL
WATERS AND MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH
THE REMAINING AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.
&&
.MARINE...
WINDS IN THE 17 TO NEAR 20 KNOT RANGE ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
LOCAL WATERS TONIGHT...BUT MAINLY CONFINED TO THE OFF SHORE
ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN WATERS...WITH A PRECAUTIONARY STATEMENT IN
EFFECT FOR THESE AREAS.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
403 PM AST FRI JUL 24 2009
.SYNOPSIS...
FOR MOST OF THE WEEKEND...HIGH PRESSURE AND MOSTLY CLIMATOLOGICAL
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. HAZE CONTINUES TO PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY AND WILL LINGER TONIGHT...BUT IS EXPECTED TO EXIT THE REGION
BY SATURDAY.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
FAIRLY DRY AND STABLE CONDITION WILL PERSIST THROUGH MOST OF THE
WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE IS ESTABLISHED OVER THE REGION. BUT BY SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK
TROPICAL WAVE IS FORECAST TO PASS ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS WITH
AN INCREASE IN SHOWER ACTIVITY EXPECTED DURING THIS PERIOD.
HOWEVER...GENERALLY STABLE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST IN THE MID TO
UPPER LEVELS AND SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS NOT EXPECTED. HIGH
PRESSURE AND GENERALLY STABLE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL
THEREAFTER.
&&
.AVIATION...
THERE ARE ONLY A FEW LIGHT PASSING SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGIONAL
WATERS AND MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH
THE REMAINING AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.
&&
.MARINE...
WINDS IN THE 17 TO NEAR 20 KNOT RANGE ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
LOCAL WATERS TONIGHT...BUT MAINLY CONFINED TO THE OFF SHORE
ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN WATERS...WITH A PRECAUTIONARY STATEMENT IN
EFFECT FOR THESE AREAS.
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- cycloneye
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- Posts: 145277
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- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Eastern Caribbean Thread=Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT FRI JUL 24 2009
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.
BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2245 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 20N37W TO 14N34W TO 9N31W MOVING W
NEAR 15 KT. RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLONIC MOTION
OF LOW LEVEL CLOUDS IN THE VICINITY OF THIS WAVE. THE ASCAT PASS
AROUND 24/1230 UTC INDICATED CYCLONIC CURVATURE OF THE LOW LEVEL
FLOW NEAR THIS WAVE...WITH E WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KT WITHIN 180 NM
BEHIND THE WAVE AXIS AND NE WINDS OF AROUND 10 KT WITHIN 180 NM
AHEAD OF THE WAVE AXIS. THE PRESENCE OF LOW/MID-LEVEL DRY
SAHARAN AIR IS INHIBITING DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THIS WAVE.
HOWEVER...SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OCCURRING FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN
32W-36W.
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT FRI JUL 24 2009
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.
BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2245 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 20N37W TO 14N34W TO 9N31W MOVING W
NEAR 15 KT. RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLONIC MOTION
OF LOW LEVEL CLOUDS IN THE VICINITY OF THIS WAVE. THE ASCAT PASS
AROUND 24/1230 UTC INDICATED CYCLONIC CURVATURE OF THE LOW LEVEL
FLOW NEAR THIS WAVE...WITH E WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KT WITHIN 180 NM
BEHIND THE WAVE AXIS AND NE WINDS OF AROUND 10 KT WITHIN 180 NM
AHEAD OF THE WAVE AXIS. THE PRESENCE OF LOW/MID-LEVEL DRY
SAHARAN AIR IS INHIBITING DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THIS WAVE.
HOWEVER...SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OCCURRING FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN
32W-36W.
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- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145277
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Eastern Caribbean Thread=Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
Climatology for San Juan.Rainfall so far this year is above last years total for the July 24 date.
Code: Select all
000
CDCA42 TJSJ 242227
CLISJU
CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN, PR
626 PM AST FRI JUL 24 2009
...................................
...THE SAN JUAN/P.R. CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR JULY 24 2009...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0500 PM LOCAL TIME.
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1971 TO 2000
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1956 TO 2009
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR
NORMAL
..................................................................
PRECIPITATION (IN)
TODAY 0.00 1.71 1981 0.14 -0.14 T
MONTH TO DATE 4.61 3.11 1.50 1.15
SINCE JUN 1 14.98 6.63 8.35 6.68
SINCE JAN 1 32.08 23.09 8.99 26.06
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- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145277
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- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Eastern Caribbean Thread=Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
It looks like we will see more haze for the next few days.


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- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145277
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- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Eastern Caribbean Thread=Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
Good morning fellow Caribbean friends.Another hazy day for us with warm temperatures.The San Juan NWS discussion is not posted this morning because the link is not working.
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