Disturbance fizzeled in Eastern Atlantic

[Sanibel]

Best looker in the belt this year so far.

[Macrocane]

Didn't El Salvador have a rare EPac tropical system last year or the year before?

I think you're asking about Adrian in 2005, a very rare track but thankfully it made landfall as a TD.

[gatorcane]

Personally I think we'll get a system this month, maybe a few. The reason I say this is because I see the environment becoming favorable in the Atlantic with each passing day. The waves are also looking impressive. I think a switch is going to turn on pretty soon.

Convection still increasing with the western wave (has been all day). Deep reds now blowing up west of the "center." We'll have to watch it closely as development looks possible at this point.

Expect it to be mentioned by NHC next update with code yellow or orange with wording such as "some slow development of this system is possible over the next few days as it moves westward at 15-20mph"

Good call cycloneye for sniffing out this area days in advance.

[Sanibel]

Strange retrograde surface feed-in on this one from the NW.

[hawkeh]

Been watching this one since yesterday and it seems to be holding its own so far. Should be our next INVEST, IMO.

[gatorcane]

Well the 18Z GFS is finally starting to bite on this area -- keeping it at in tact all the way through 144 hours -- this is noticeably different than previous runs which poofed it after only a couple of days.

[Derek Ortt]

Personally I think we'll get a system this month, maybe a few. The reason I say this is because I see the environment becoming favorable in the Atlantic with each passing day. The waves are also looking impressive. I think a switch is going to turn on pretty soon.

Convection still increasing with the western wave (has been all day). Deep reds now blowing up west of the "center." We'll have to watch it closely as development looks possible at this point.

Expect it to be mentioned by NHC next update with code yellow or orange with wording such as "some slow development of this system is possible over the next few days as it moves westward at 15-20mph"

Good call cycloneye for sniffing out this area days in advance.

and how are you going to get development when this is at a ridge in the wave train? I'd watch the one behind, it is at the trough where development almost always occurs

[gatorcane]

Derek the 18Z GFS is now latching onto the western wave showing a system that remains in tact through the MDR to a position ENE of the Leewards in 144 hours

[Derek Ortt]

it may not have the wave train correct.

[jasons2k]

it may not have the wave train correct.

And that's especially more the case early in the season, correct?

[Gustywind]

Shear and Dry air keep the Atlantic quiet
Last Update: 3-AUG-2009 5:45pm EDT
The Atlantic Tropical Basin remains void of any organized tropical systems and no tropical development is expected through at least Wednesday.
We continue to see too much shear across the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean and too much dry air across the Atlantic for tropical development. The shear is forecast to remain moderately strong over much of the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean through this week. The shear will be weakest east of Florida and the Bahamas and off the southeast coast of the United States. That might be a place to watch over the next several days for possible development. But we see no features showing up in that general area anytime soon. The dry air moving across the Atlantic between 25 north and 15 north between the African Coast and the northern Caribbean does not look as impressive as the past couple of weeks. However, there is still enough dry air and dust across that region of the Atlantic to suppress thunderstorm grow. Without persistent thunderstorms it's almost impossible for tropical development.
We are tracking tropical waves along 22 west, along 44 west, along 64 west and along 98 west. All four waves show some impact on the weather south of mostly 20 north. The waves are tracking west at about 6 degrees longitude per day. A large oval shaped area of high pressure to the north of these waves centered along 35 north will guide these waves on a west to west northwest course over the next few days. Moisture from the tropical wave along 64 west might end up enhancing thunderstorms over the Bahamas Wednesday into Thursday and over Florida Thursday into Friday.

By AccuWeather Expert Senior Meteorologist Dan Kottlowski
http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurric ... traveler=0

[Brent]

Wouldn't it be great if we made it to September without a named storm? Let's go for the record!

No, let's not.

This system continues to impress me.

[Rainband]

i agree lets go for the record.

[Sanibel]

Has the look and the center burst. I think they are just waiting for it to get further west.


(Good contender for Ana here)

[Night Tide]

Wouldn't it be great if we made it to September without a named storm? Let's go for the record!

lol I was thinking the same thing last month, but I think I've reluctantly changed my mind.

Since Southeast TX is suffering so badly from lack of rain, maybe a TS or some relatively weaker storm could hit them, and give them some rain. Although I know we should be careful what we wish for...

[Gustywind]

Convection has popped all the afternoon, healthy twave...

[cycloneye]

Here is a good image that has a panoramic view of all the Tropical Atlantic.



http://www.esl.lsu.edu/imagery/goes/RTAP/atlantic/

[Gustywind]

Here is a good image that has a panoramic view of all the Tropical Atlantic.

No image Cycloneye?

[Gustywind]

Ah ok this time we can see it (matter of time). Tkanks, very nice shoot:)

[cycloneye]

No image hmmm?? But I posted the link below the image so you can get it there.