ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA (02L)

[cycloneye]

NHC may go with code red at 2 PM TWO.



http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/dan ... testBW.gif

[Cyclone1]

Funny how we've been following the blobs for weeks at a time, and then this little lady rolls off of Africa and immediately starts developing.

I'm watching.

[hurricanetrack]

So in Dr. Masters' update, he mentions the SAL possibly playing a role here in a day or two, if that is the case and this does not develop quickly, then it would not be as susceptible to turning out to sea. Still, 12.5 north this early is kind of up there. Anyone want to throw together some stats on other TCs that had a similar lat at their genesis this far east and where they ended up?

[Jevo]

I would definitly say this



Bears Watching

hahah i had to do it.... lord knows there have not been enough opportunities this season

[HURAKAN]

The train is ready to depart

[HURAKAN]

Latest

[BigA]

Nice Proto CDO, with what looks like another blowup of white (high) cloud tops near the center.

[SEASON_CANCELED]

The train is ready to depart

looks like we will busy 2 weeks from now. i think september will be pretty violent aswell. Alot of that energy from the pacific will have made its way back over to africa in mid september.

[HURAKAN]

For anyone interested this link updates every 15 minutes: http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/IPPS/html/la ... Africa.jpg

[cycloneye]

Good closeup visible image.I smell code red at 2 PM.

[vbhoutex]

So in Dr. Masters' update, he mentions the SAL possibly playing a role here in a day or two, if that is the case and this does not develop quickly, then it would not be as susceptible to turning out to sea. Still, 12.5 north this early is kind of up there. Anyone want to throw together some stats on other TCs that had a similar lat at their genesis this far east and where they ended up?

Maybe my skills(??) are a little rusty, but that seems about the right latitude to me for this time of year-maybe a few weeks early. Now if we're talking it making the Caribbean from that point that would definitely normally make it too high in latitude that far out.
I haven't even looked at the synoptics, etc. on this one yet, but am surprised at how it has held together and developed. Definitely going to be in all ATL basin TC watchers sights for a while.

[dixiebreeze]

09/1330 UTC 14.2N 21.8W T1.5/1.5 99L -- Atlantic

[Brent]

The train is ready to depart

Now we're talking.

Fully expect this to be a TD by the end of the day.

[KWT]

They may hold orange because seems like the convection has become a touch more shallow recently and less coverage, but equally they could go red because it has got a very good structure.

[cycloneye]

Off topic=Go to the models thread at talking tropics forum to see what the wave that will emerge Africa in 3 days does according to the long range GFS.

[cycloneye]

Looking more and more impressive as time goes on.

[cycloneye]

12z CMC takes 99L on a westward track.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation

[Aric Dunn]

I still see a linear cloud feature, probably the itcz that extends westward from the area which tells me that at the surface we dont quite have a closed circ. but the convection is doing what would be typical of a system. its pulsing up and down as it seemingly is warping around some sort of a center. very impressive midlevel circ though, going to interesting. we still have about 24 hours till we good sat images of it.

[jinftl]

Granted it is CNN....but caught the on-air meterologist's brief run down of the tropics...made mention that this disturbance is more than likely going to be Ana in the next few days and made the general comment that the quiet we have seen in the atlantic has many indications of coming to an end

[KWT]

Yeah its looking good, still could end up being a threat to the Cape Verde islands in some shape and form, will very likely see at least some rains in the southern islands if nothing else.

Well on its way to being a depression.