ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA (02L)

[jlauderdal]

Floater on it at http://www.nwhhc.com/satellite.html

A little less impatient today?

haha, ortt was rather frustrated yesterday

[HURAKAN]

Great circulation but it needs more convection

[HURAKAN]

Convection is weak but not nonexistent, it has a good circulation and we're in August. I ask the public to not give up on 99L just yet!

You need a lot of patience in the tropics!

[TexasSam]

Wow,what a surprise awaking in my birthday with this.

Feliz Cumpleaños

What would be really good for you is if we can get you an ANA for today. We have a ways to go for that but lets see what happens later.

Sounds like he ment he was naked ""in" my birthday".....

[Gustywind]

Tropics are heating up...
http://www.weather.com/newscenter/hurri ... ne_tracker

Felicia nearing Hawaii; TD 2 in the Atlantic
Mark Avery, Lead Meteorologist, The Weather Channel
Aug. 11, 2009 6:14 am ET

[size=150]In the Atlantic, an area of low pressure located west of the Cape Verde Islands has become Tropical Depression 2 this morning. It is located about 280 miles west of the southernmost Cape Verde Islands and has maximum sustained winds near 30 miles per hour. It could become a tropical storm tonight or early on Wednesday, in which case it would be named Ana. It is no threat to land over the next several days.[/size]

A tropical wave and an associated weak low pressure will pass through the Windward Islands. Showers and thunderstorms along with gusty winds will impact the islands overnight. Some slow development is possible.

Another tropical wave is located about 600 miles east of the Lesser Antilles and is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

[Emmett_Brown]

Still early, but seems like the models are trending a bit more W. 06z GFS backed down a bit on the weekness in the mid atlantic ridge, shows TD2 (as an open wave however) near the islands in 5 days, and the weekness is less pronounced than yesterday's runs:

[Gustywind]

Still early, but seems like the models are trending a bit more W. 06z GFS backed down a bit on the weekness in the mid atlantic ridge, shows TD2 (as an open wave however) near the islands in 5 days, and the weekness is less pronounced than yesterday's runs:

Yeah something to monitor Emmett, many incertitudes... us in the islands shoud continue to watch closely TD 2.

[jlauderdal]

Floater on it at http://www.nwhhc.com/satellite.html

A little less impatient today?

haha, ortt was rather frustrated yesterday

[jlauderdal]

Wow,what a surprise awaking in my birthday with this.

Feliz Cumpleaños

What would be really good for you is if we can get you an ANA for today. We have a ways to go for that but lets see what happens later.

Sounds like he ment he was naked ""in" my birthday".....

i dont know but the ANA i had in mind is alot more interesting than a bunch of clouds in that atlantic basin, back on topic before we get spanked

[Frank2]

Many of the models will try to move it westward at some point, but I'll go with the rule of thumb when it comes to a system that is near the CV islands, but already near 15N - something that far north and east usually is bound to recurve before 50W, so, it's nothing to get in a [cyclonic] spin over (LOL)...

Frank

[Frank2]

It looks like TD2 is entraining some cool air strato-cu, so perhaps not too much strengthening in the near future...

[Stormcenter]

I know anything is possible but this still has FISH written all over it.
This of course is good news for everyone.

[Frank2]

Wow - I just noticed how this system has really decreased in size since yesterday - it's a small swirl at this point:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/eumet/eatl/loop-vis.html

[Emmett_Brown]

It looks like TD2 is entraining some cool air strato-cu, so perhaps not too much strengthening in the near future...

Yup, conditions look pretty marginal. I was surprised it didn't go poof overnight. It will be interesting to see how this unfolds... if it remains weak, should move more westerly. GFS weakens it to a wave and brings it to the northern islands in 5 days.

[Evil Jeremy]

I went to sleep with a very week invest, and it really rebounded overnight. Dirunal Minimum prevails once more!

[Ed Mahmoud]

Barfing out an outflow boundary to the Southeast?

[jimvb]

To me, the storm to be concerned about is not TD2 but the one just leaving the African coast behind it. It is not a hurricane, tropical storm, depression, or even an invest so you can't get much info on it and you don't know what to call it (I call it the Bamako storm since I first saw it near Bamako). I see no thread on the storm so the closest I can get is TD2. But the 2009 Aug 11 6Z GFS shows the Bamako storm becoming a hurricane and affecting much of the US East Coast.

[Evil Jeremy]

To me, the storm to be concerned about is not TD2 but the one just leaving the African coast behind it. It is not a hurricane, tropical storm, depression, or even an invest so you can't get much info on it and you don't know what to call it (I call it the Bamako storm since I first saw it near Bamako). I see no thread on the storm so the closest I can get is TD2. But the 2009 Aug 11 6Z GFS shows the Bamako storm becoming a hurricane and affecting much of the US East Coast.

There is a thread for the system behind TD2 coming off of the African coast: viewtopic.php?f=31&t=106112

Also, I read through the NHC's discussion for advisory 1 and found it funny that they were saying that the more north the storm goes, the weaker it will be, and the more south it stays, the stronger it can become. Normally its the stronger the storm would be, the more it would be effected by the weaknesses to the north so it will move more north. Just found that funny.

[Gustywind]

To me, the storm to be concerned about is not TD2 but the one just leaving the African coast behind it. It is not a hurricane, tropical storm, depression, or even an invest so you can't get much info on it and you don't know what to call it (I call it the Bamako storm since I first saw it near Bamako). I see no thread on the storm so the closest I can get is TD2. But the 2009 Aug 11 6Z GFS shows the Bamako storm becoming a hurricane and affecting much of the US East Coast.

Are you sure about what you're are saying? We have open a thread speaking this possible feature that you call the Bamako Storm jimvb go on viewtopic.php?f=31&t=106112&hilit= to have more infos

[Gustywind]

To me, the storm to be concerned about is not TD2 but the one just leaving the African coast behind it. It is not a hurricane, tropical storm, depression, or even an invest so you can't get much info on it and you don't know what to call it (I call it the Bamako storm since I first saw it near Bamako). I see no thread on the storm so the closest I can get is TD2. But the 2009 Aug 11 6Z GFS shows the Bamako storm becoming a hurricane and affecting much of the US East Coast.

There is a thread for the system behind TD2 coming off of the African coast: viewtopic.php?f=31&t=106112

Also, I read through the NHC's discussion for advisory 1 and found it funny that they were saying that the more north the storm goes, the weaker it will be, and the more south it stays, the stronger it can become. Normally its the stronger the storm would be, the more it would be effected by the weaknesses to the north so it will move more north. Just found that funny.

Tkanks Evil Jeremy