ATL: TROPICAL STORM BILL (03L)

[cpdaman]

ya are these things supposed to pick up speed ever? later in forecast period?

also anyone have a TCHP map available......those graphs with current temps really don't paint the whole story.......i.e deepness of the warmth......

[Derek Ortt]

they typically pick up speed farther west

[Aric Dunn]

Latest ASCAT over lay showing a broad center still .. but convection is increasing and thats what it needed. It is a large system and they do take time to wrap up.

[HURAKAN]

That's right over me but it's quite far into the future

[wx247]

Looks to me as if the convection on the NW side is trying to start wrapping around.

[cpdaman]

is that giant blob to the far SE even connected to the circulation. it's just bubbling up

also does look like NW side is trying to wrap and the broad center seems to be trying to consolidate

[shah8]

That's a worse scenario than it looks. Only a 1938 would be worse.

[Vandymit]

What about the shear over this system? 20 kts?

[S.FLA STORM TRACKER]

is that giant blob to the far SE even connected to the circulation. it's just bubbling up

also does look like NW side is trying to wrap and the broad center seems to be trying to consolidate

I was asking about that a bit earlier, bog blow up of storms.

[JPmia]

That's right over me but it's quite far into the future

LOL I'm sorry, but that is just ridiculous! Not you Hurakan, the model. It's almost like it is teasing us. New Orleans one night...Miami the other...NYC the next...way too many unknowns regarding trough/ridge setup.

[Derek Ortt]

its south of you, Sandy

I wish one of these would just have Miami in the crosshairs. Then we'd probably be safe

[JPmia]

btw, that run is very close to what Florida's EOC Managers prepare for when planning for the worst case scenario storm hitting the state...Miami to Tampa.

[SEASON_CANCELED]

:uarrow: btw, that run is very close to what Florida's EOC Managers prepare for when planning for the worst case scenario storm hitting the state...Miami to Tampa.

Tampa when is it there turn? I wonder every year. The effect of a direct hit on Tampa bay/St Pete are would be worse than Katrina. The area is way more built up and entire areas of the city would become islands if a Cat 5 came through. Centcom HQ would be underwater! No way would MacDill surive

[HURAKAN]

Looking good. Lets see how it looks tomorrow morning before I leave for Cuba.

[rrm]

any chance this thing makes it to texas?

[SEASON_CANCELED]

Definately attempting to close off. upgrade sometime tommorrow.

[SEASON_CANCELED]

any chance this thing makes it to texas?

Doubt it. But be prepared for anything in the tropics lately. I mean remember humberto.

[rrm]

yes i do, i was just asking cause i hear about a high pressure ridge building in possibly pushing it west

[Hurricaneman]

imo, the final destination for this will not be found out till some time next week

[rrm]

does anyone one know about when will we know weather it will make it in the gom or not?