ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA (02L)

[brunota2003]

Andddd...the weirdness of '09 continues.

[RL3AO]

UZNT13 KWBC 142201
XXAA 64222 99128 70494 04129 99011 26630 02014 00098 25828 02515
92781 21230 02509 85509 17430 04508 70149 09661 05505 50586 04199
04009 40758 16189 06015 30969 30965 10012 25095 41166 06508 20243
539// 18506 88999 77999
31313 09608 82133
61616 NOAA9 WXWXA TD2 OB 02
62626 SPL 1275N04942W 2148 MBL WND 02515 AEV 20801 DLM WND 06008
010159 WL150 02015 083 REL 1277N04939W 213356 SPG 1275N04941W 214
755 =
XXBB 64228 99128 70494 04129 00011 26630 11970 23210 22929 21432
33880 17204 44850 17430 55786 13834 66766 14061 77745 14064 88691
08860 99652 06667 11630 04858 22606 02863 33593 01458 44559 01769
55541 01582 66464 07398 77358 22582 88338 24961 99323 26567 11247
41566 22210 50965 33181 589// 44159 63143
21212 00011 02014 11955 03014 22910 04006 33850 04508 44668 04511
55619 33517 66576 32011 77556 36010 88545 04004 99379 06018 11336
09014 22308 08513 33299 10012 44206 14002 55194 19010 66180 13512
77167 12524
31313 09608 82133
61616 NOAA9 WXWXA TD2 OB 02
62626 SPL 1275N04942W 2148 MBL WND 02515 AEV 20801 DLM WND 06008
010159 WL150 02015 083 REL 1277N04939W 213356 SPG 1275N04941W 214
755 =

Location: 689 miles (1108 km) to the E (92°) from Bridgetown, Barbados.

[Derek Ortt]

one note about future recon flights

The P3s can fly much farther out than the AF planes because they are based at Barbados. Recon can reach as far as ~45W if the latitude is good

[MWatkins]

I don't think there is any question that this is atleast a TD at this point, and it may be a little stronger. Will be interesting to see if they send the research plane through the system just to check...

MW

[Derek Ortt]

I don't think there is any question that this is atleast a TD at this point, and it may be a little stronger. Will be interesting to see if they send the research plane through the system just to check...

MW

its the G-IV. No P3 until tomorrow evening

[MWatkins]

I don't think there is any question that this is atleast a TD at this point, and it may be a little stronger. Will be interesting to see if they send the research plane through the system just to check...

MW

its the G-IV. No P3 until tomorrow evening

Dooh! Oh well.

Best looking remnant low I've seen in a long time.

MW

[KWT]

I wouldn't be all that surprised if this was upgraded either to be honest Mike, but there ya go!

[JPmia]

I don't think there is any question that this is atleast a TD at this point, and it may be a little stronger. Will be interesting to see if they send the research plane through the system just to check...

MW

its the G-IV. No P3 until tomorrow evening

Dooh! Oh well.

Best looking remnant low I've seen in a long time.

MW

Though the G-IV could be helpful in other atmospheric data collection right? Barometric Pressure...steering currents....etc... and then plug into the models..I'm sure they will do that at least.

[brunota2003]

"Oops...we accidentally released that one right in the center of the LLC...oh well"

[Derek Ortt]

you do not fly the G-IV into a tropical cyclone. If they do, it is with a skeletal crew. There is not really any accidental dropping into the center

[Gustywind]

Continues to progress west churning near the Lesser Antilles...

[RL3AO]

Location: 950 miles (1529 km) to the E (82°) from Bridgetown, Barbados.

UZNT13 KWBC 142245
XXAA 64222 99151 70456 04155 99010 26215 02019 00086 25410 02520
92769 21211 04529 85501 17406 03523 70144 09837 05524 50586 05318
04023 40758 15528 04521 30969 29750 08014 25097 39958 07516 20245
523// 08520 88999 77999
31313 09608 82209
61616 NOAA9 WXWXA TD2 OB 03
62626 SPL 1504N04567W 2224 MBL WND 02523 AEV 20801 DLM WND 05519
009152 WL150 02020 088 REL 1509N04561W 220954 SPG 1504N04567W 222
415 =
XXBB 64228 99151 70456 04155 00010 26215 11850 17406 22725 12456
33659 06218 44577 00205 55522 03123 66473 07722 77452 09359 88410
13922 99338 23741 11274 34557 22213 48563 33202 51765 44152 66335
21212 00010 02019 11938 04029 22850 03523 33765 04017 44740 05520
55581 04539 66568 03531 77540 06020 88513 04518 99443 03027 11423
02024 22406 05522 33365 00514 44351 02513 55321 04012 66311 07511
77306 08512 88257 07018 99229 10019 11201 08520 22168 10532
31313 09608 82209
61616 NOAA9 WXWXA TD2 OB 03
62626 SPL 1504N04567W 2224 MBL WND 02523 AEV 20801 DLM WND 05519
009152 WL150 02020 088 REL 1509N04561W 220954 SPG 1504N04567W 222
415 =

[perk]

I don't think there is any question that this is atleast a TD at this point, and it may be a little stronger. Will be interesting to see if they send the research plane through the system just to check...

MW

M Watkins it is truly good to here from, and i hope you will stick around and help guide us through what could be a busy couple of weeks.

[Aric Dunn]

Convection is or has wrapped around the center..and or re-developed under the convection .. it is still lopsided a little but it appears to be at least a TD or TS..
these were earlier images before this last burst that has at least somewhat wrapped around..

[RL3AO]

Location: 875 miles (1409 km) to the ENE (74°) from Bridgetown, Barbados.

UZNT13 KWBC 142256
XXAA 64222 99165 70470 04167 99013 26024 ///// 00117 25221 04522
92799 21026 06525 85529 18024 07023 70169 08820 07516 50588 05765
06519 40760 15788 07513 30970 31164 14505 25097 40763 15520 20245
53167 17516 88999 77999
31313 09608 82224
61616 NOAA9 WXWXA TD2 OB 04
62626 SPL 1651N04706W 2239 LST WND 013 MBL WND 05523 AEV 20801 DL
M WND 09512 012152 WL150 04520 087 REL 1652N04700W 222436 SPG 165
1N04706W 223926 =
XXBB 64228 99165 70470 04167 00013 26024 11931 21434 22869 17807
33850 18024 44667 06624 55602 02457 66559 01529 77550 01558 88528
03738 99515 04956 11506 05563 22498 05764 33487 05599 44478 06199
55443 10390 66394 16387 77319 28180 88280 35158 99268 36965 11200
53367 22152 65956
21212 00013 ///// 11012 04017 22984 05025 33945 06527 44872 05523
55850 07023 66760 06519 77557 09521 88506 07520 99494 05522 11431
03514 22405 07512 33370 05010 44318 08003 55283 18010 66263 15022
77236 16520 88215 15022 99191 18512 11159 16027
31313 09608 82224
61616 NOAA9 WXWXA TD2 OB 04
62626 SPL 1651N04706W 2239 LST WND 013 MBL WND 05523 AEV 20801 DL
M WND 09512 012152 WL150 04520 087 REL 1652N04700W 222436 SPG 165
1N04706W 223926 =

[RL3AO]

1. SATELLITE IMAGES AND DROPSONDE DATA FROM A NOAA HIGH ALTITUDE JET
INDICATE THAT FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO LOCATED ABOUT 1000
MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES IS REGENERATING AND COULD BECOME
ONCE AGAIN A TROPICAL CYCLONE TONIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY. UPPER-
LEVEL WINDS ARE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT AS
THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT 12 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A HIGH
CHANCE ...GREATER THAN 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

[Emmett_Brown]

A few casual observations:

1. Dry air is now less of a problem. It has a descent although not great envelop of moist air (looking at WV)
2. While the ball of convection is small, the circulation actually covers much of the area between 10 and 20 N, so the overall circulation is not tiny.
3. There is now almost 15 degrees of longitude between 02L and 90L, so there is less of a chance that 02L will be instantly vaporized by the organizing 90L's outflow.

[Aric Dunn]

can some one google earth the flight path ..

[Emmett_Brown]

1. SATELLITE IMAGES AND DROPSONDE DATA FROM A NOAA HIGH ALTITUDE JET
INDICATE THAT FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO LOCATED ABOUT 1000
MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES IS REGENERATING AND COULD BECOME
ONCE AGAIN A TROPICAL CYCLONE TONIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY. UPPER-
LEVEL WINDS ARE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT AS
THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT 12 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A HIGH
CHANCE ...GREATER THAN 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

Cool. Sounds like they dropped something into 02L after all.

[RL3AO]

The GE program isn't running the mission so I had to plot manually.