WTNT32 KNHC 161800
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 18A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022009
200 PM AST SUN AUG 16 2009
...AIRCRAFT FINDS ANA POORLY ORGANIZED...BARELY A TROPICAL STORM...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...MONTSERRAT...
ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANGUILLA...ST. MAARTEN...ST.
MARTIN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...DOMINICA...GUADELOUPE...AND ST.
BARTHELEMY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE NORTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA. ADDITIONAL
WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS
LATER TODAY.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES
...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA
OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
AT 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.8 WEST OR ABOUT 240
MILES...385 KM...EAST OF THE DOMINICA.
ANA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 25 MPH...40 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST TONIGHT. ON THIS TRACK ANA SHOULD REACH THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...AND LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
INDICATE THAT ANA IS POORLY ORGANIZED AND COULD DISSIPATE AS A
TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
ANA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER
THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...INCLUDING PUERTO RICO...AND THE U.S. AND
BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES
OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
...SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...14.9N 57.8W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 25 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.
$$
Caribbean - Central America Weather
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
-
Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
000
AWCA82 TJSJ 161531
RWSVI
WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1131 AM AST SUN AUG 16 2009
ISOLATED SHOWERS DEVELOPED THIS MORNING OVER THE WEST COAST OF ST
THOMAS AND THE WATERS WEST OF THAT ISLAND AND ST CROIX. WINDS INCREASED
TO AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH FROM THE SOUTHEAST.
AT 11 AM AST...TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8
NORTH...55.8 WEST OR ABOUT 430 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST FROM THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS AND IS MOVING WEST AT 23 MPH. ANA IS FORECAST TO
TRACK JUST SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS LATE
MONDAY AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCED WINDS WILL BE MOST LIKELY
OVER SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO AND THE CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE URGED TO MAKE
PRELIMINARY PREPARATIONS FOR INCLEMENT WEATHER.
SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS...UNTIL
MONDAY...AT WHICH TIME SEAS AND WINDS WILL INCREASE WITH THE ONSET
OF TROPICAL STORM ANA.
$$
AWCA82 TJSJ 161531
RWSVI
WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1131 AM AST SUN AUG 16 2009
ISOLATED SHOWERS DEVELOPED THIS MORNING OVER THE WEST COAST OF ST
THOMAS AND THE WATERS WEST OF THAT ISLAND AND ST CROIX. WINDS INCREASED
TO AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH FROM THE SOUTHEAST.
AT 11 AM AST...TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8
NORTH...55.8 WEST OR ABOUT 430 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST FROM THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS AND IS MOVING WEST AT 23 MPH. ANA IS FORECAST TO
TRACK JUST SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS LATE
MONDAY AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCED WINDS WILL BE MOST LIKELY
OVER SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO AND THE CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE URGED TO MAKE
PRELIMINARY PREPARATIONS FOR INCLEMENT WEATHER.
SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS...UNTIL
MONDAY...AT WHICH TIME SEAS AND WINDS WILL INCREASE WITH THE ONSET
OF TROPICAL STORM ANA.
$$
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Re: E.Carib Thread=Web Cams / Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
News Release : St. Maarten
Written by Roddy Heyliger, Government Information Service (GIS), Ennia Bldg., Longwall Rd., Philipsburg, St. Maarten D.W.I. Tel. 00-..., 542-4119, Fax: 543-1169; Email: gis at sintmaarten.net;
For Immediate Release: Sunday, August 16 2009/N137 EOC Advisory #3 – 3.00pm
EOC meeting decides Schools Closed on Monday as precautionary measure; Tropical storm conditions anticipated from Tropical Storm Ana; St. Maarten remains under Tropical Storm Watch;
GREAT BAY, St. Maarten (GIS) – A meeting of emergency management officials chaired by Governor Franklyn Richards, chairman of the Emergency Operations Center (EOC), took place Sunday afternoon at the Government Administration Building, to review the approach of Tropical Storm Ana to the islands and to get a status report of national preparations.
During the meeting it was decided as a precautionary measure to keep schools closed on Monday, August 17. According to the Netherlands Antilles & Aruba Weather Service, weather conditions are expected to deteriorate in the early morning hours of Monday.
Rainfall expected is 20 to 40 mm which can cause flooding in low laying areas which could cause poor road conditions due to lingering weather conditions on Monday as the system passes.
Businesses can operate as usual and all government offices will be open for business. Motorists are requested to exercise a level of caution due to the possibility of localized flooding in low lying areas. Residents living in hill side areas should be vigilant for rock falls due to heavy rains.
The Public Works Department is busy clearing waterways, gutters and drainage areas in preparation for any likely flooding. An artificial waterway will be created at the Great Bay beach near the Fresh Water Pond. Water levels in the Salt Pond are at a sufficient level to accommodate additional runoff water.
The Office of Disaster Management & Preparedness (ODMP) would hereby like to inform the community that St. Maarten remains under a Tropical Storm Watch according to the Netherlands Antilles & Aruba Weather Service (check http://www.meteo.an for weather information).
Tropical Storm Ana on Sunday at 2.00pm was located approximately 240 miles East of Dominica. Maximum wind speeds are near 40 miles per hour. Ana is rapidly moving Westward at 25 miles per hour.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that there is a possible threat of tropical storm conditions within the next 36 hours. The National Hurricane Center out of Miami has described Ana as poorly organized and barely a tropical storm at this point in time.
Tropical Storm Bill as of 11.00am this morning has strengthened further and is located about 1555 miles East of the island chain and has maximum wind speeds of 60 miles per hour. This system does not form any threat to the island at this point in time. Bill is moving West North West at 16 miles per hour.
Residents are strongly advised to continue to monitor radio and TV reports with respect to the progress of Tropical Storm Ana and Tropical Storm Bill.
Roddy Heyliger
St. Maarten Government Information Service (GIS)
Written by Roddy Heyliger, Government Information Service (GIS), Ennia Bldg., Longwall Rd., Philipsburg, St. Maarten D.W.I. Tel. 00-..., 542-4119, Fax: 543-1169; Email: gis at sintmaarten.net;
For Immediate Release: Sunday, August 16 2009/N137 EOC Advisory #3 – 3.00pm
EOC meeting decides Schools Closed on Monday as precautionary measure; Tropical storm conditions anticipated from Tropical Storm Ana; St. Maarten remains under Tropical Storm Watch;
GREAT BAY, St. Maarten (GIS) – A meeting of emergency management officials chaired by Governor Franklyn Richards, chairman of the Emergency Operations Center (EOC), took place Sunday afternoon at the Government Administration Building, to review the approach of Tropical Storm Ana to the islands and to get a status report of national preparations.
During the meeting it was decided as a precautionary measure to keep schools closed on Monday, August 17. According to the Netherlands Antilles & Aruba Weather Service, weather conditions are expected to deteriorate in the early morning hours of Monday.
Rainfall expected is 20 to 40 mm which can cause flooding in low laying areas which could cause poor road conditions due to lingering weather conditions on Monday as the system passes.
Businesses can operate as usual and all government offices will be open for business. Motorists are requested to exercise a level of caution due to the possibility of localized flooding in low lying areas. Residents living in hill side areas should be vigilant for rock falls due to heavy rains.
The Public Works Department is busy clearing waterways, gutters and drainage areas in preparation for any likely flooding. An artificial waterway will be created at the Great Bay beach near the Fresh Water Pond. Water levels in the Salt Pond are at a sufficient level to accommodate additional runoff water.
The Office of Disaster Management & Preparedness (ODMP) would hereby like to inform the community that St. Maarten remains under a Tropical Storm Watch according to the Netherlands Antilles & Aruba Weather Service (check http://www.meteo.an for weather information).
Tropical Storm Ana on Sunday at 2.00pm was located approximately 240 miles East of Dominica. Maximum wind speeds are near 40 miles per hour. Ana is rapidly moving Westward at 25 miles per hour.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that there is a possible threat of tropical storm conditions within the next 36 hours. The National Hurricane Center out of Miami has described Ana as poorly organized and barely a tropical storm at this point in time.
Tropical Storm Bill as of 11.00am this morning has strengthened further and is located about 1555 miles East of the island chain and has maximum wind speeds of 60 miles per hour. This system does not form any threat to the island at this point in time. Bill is moving West North West at 16 miles per hour.
Residents are strongly advised to continue to monitor radio and TV reports with respect to the progress of Tropical Storm Ana and Tropical Storm Bill.
Roddy Heyliger
St. Maarten Government Information Service (GIS)
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Re: E.Carib Thread=Web Cams / Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA ADVISORY NUMBER 19...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022009
500 PM AST SUN AUG 16 2009
CORRECTED TO INDICATE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR DOMINICA
...ANA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO CABO BEATA. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...MONTSERRAT...
ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANGUILLA...ST. MAARTEN...ST.
MARTIN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...GUADELOUPE...ST. BARTHELEMY...AND
DOMINICA.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE NORTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA. ADDITIONAL
WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS
LATER TODAY.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA
OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.8 WEST OR ABOUT 170
MILES...270 KM...EAST OF DOMINICA.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/HR. A
TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. ON
THIS TRACK THE DEPRESSION WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
TONIGHT AND ENTER THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ON MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
SHOWS THAT THE CIRCULATION OF ANA HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED TODAY.
IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...ANA COULD DEGENERATE INTO A TROPICAL WAVE
TONIGHT.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
ANA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER
THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...INCLUDING PUERTO RICO...AND THE U.S. AND
BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES
OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
...SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...15.1N 58.8W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 23 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/ROBERTS
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA ADVISORY NUMBER 19...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022009
500 PM AST SUN AUG 16 2009
CORRECTED TO INDICATE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR DOMINICA
...ANA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO CABO BEATA. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...MONTSERRAT...
ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANGUILLA...ST. MAARTEN...ST.
MARTIN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...GUADELOUPE...ST. BARTHELEMY...AND
DOMINICA.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE NORTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA. ADDITIONAL
WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS
LATER TODAY.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA
OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.8 WEST OR ABOUT 170
MILES...270 KM...EAST OF DOMINICA.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/HR. A
TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. ON
THIS TRACK THE DEPRESSION WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
TONIGHT AND ENTER THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ON MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
SHOWS THAT THE CIRCULATION OF ANA HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED TODAY.
IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...ANA COULD DEGENERATE INTO A TROPICAL WAVE
TONIGHT.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
ANA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER
THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...INCLUDING PUERTO RICO...AND THE U.S. AND
BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES
OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
...SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...15.1N 58.8W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 23 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/ROBERTS
0 likes
-
Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
000
WTNT42 KNHC 162042
TCDAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA DISCUSSION NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022009
500 PM AST SUN AUG 16 2009
AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING ANA DID NOT
FIND ANY WINDS TO SUPPORT TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY. IN FACT...ALL
OF THE STRONG WINDS WERE WELL NORTH OF THE PRESSURE MINIMUM IN THE
EASTERLY TRADE WIND FLOW. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 30 KT FOR
THIS PACKAGE. THE AIRCRAFT ALSO STRUGGLED TO CLOSE OFF A
WELL-DEFINED CENTER...HOWEVER...WE WILL CONTINUE ADVISORIES FOR NOW
SINCE THE AIRCRAFT WILL STILL BE IN THE SYSTEM UNTIL 0000 UTC. IF
A WELL-DEFINED CENTER CANNOT BE FOUND AT THAT TIME...ADVISORIES MAY
BE DISCONTINUED.
ANA CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD VERY QUICKLY...ALONG A HEADING OF
280/20. THIS QUICK MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST IS VERY CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE...EXCEPT A
LITTLE FASTER TO ACCOUNT FOR THE QUICK INITIAL MOTION.
THE INTENSITY FORECAST SHOWS LITTLE CHANGE...WITH A POSSIBILITY FOR
SLIGHT STRENGTHENING PRIOR TO THE CYCLONE REACHING HISPANIOLA. AFTER
THAT TIME...THE INTENSITY IS HELD AT 30 KT GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR
LAND INTERACTION WITH HISPANIOLA AND CUBA.
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE CONTINUED...GIVEN THAT THE CYCLONE IS NOT
FAR BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AND APPROACHING THE ISLANDS SOON.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 16/2100Z 15.1N 58.8W 30 KT
12HR VT 17/0600Z 15.7N 62.0W 30 KT
24HR VT 17/1800Z 16.7N 66.1W 30 KT
36HR VT 18/0600Z 17.8N 70.0W 35 KT
48HR VT 18/1800Z 18.8N 73.6W 30 KT
72HR VT 19/1800Z 21.5N 80.0W 30 KT
96HR VT 20/1800Z 23.5N 84.5W 30 KT
120HR VT 21/1800Z 25.0N 87.0W 30 KT
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/ROBERTS
WTNT42 KNHC 162042
TCDAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA DISCUSSION NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022009
500 PM AST SUN AUG 16 2009
AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING ANA DID NOT
FIND ANY WINDS TO SUPPORT TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY. IN FACT...ALL
OF THE STRONG WINDS WERE WELL NORTH OF THE PRESSURE MINIMUM IN THE
EASTERLY TRADE WIND FLOW. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 30 KT FOR
THIS PACKAGE. THE AIRCRAFT ALSO STRUGGLED TO CLOSE OFF A
WELL-DEFINED CENTER...HOWEVER...WE WILL CONTINUE ADVISORIES FOR NOW
SINCE THE AIRCRAFT WILL STILL BE IN THE SYSTEM UNTIL 0000 UTC. IF
A WELL-DEFINED CENTER CANNOT BE FOUND AT THAT TIME...ADVISORIES MAY
BE DISCONTINUED.
ANA CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD VERY QUICKLY...ALONG A HEADING OF
280/20. THIS QUICK MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST IS VERY CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE...EXCEPT A
LITTLE FASTER TO ACCOUNT FOR THE QUICK INITIAL MOTION.
THE INTENSITY FORECAST SHOWS LITTLE CHANGE...WITH A POSSIBILITY FOR
SLIGHT STRENGTHENING PRIOR TO THE CYCLONE REACHING HISPANIOLA. AFTER
THAT TIME...THE INTENSITY IS HELD AT 30 KT GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR
LAND INTERACTION WITH HISPANIOLA AND CUBA.
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE CONTINUED...GIVEN THAT THE CYCLONE IS NOT
FAR BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AND APPROACHING THE ISLANDS SOON.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 16/2100Z 15.1N 58.8W 30 KT
12HR VT 17/0600Z 15.7N 62.0W 30 KT
24HR VT 17/1800Z 16.7N 66.1W 30 KT
36HR VT 18/0600Z 17.8N 70.0W 35 KT
48HR VT 18/1800Z 18.8N 73.6W 30 KT
72HR VT 19/1800Z 21.5N 80.0W 30 KT
96HR VT 20/1800Z 23.5N 84.5W 30 KT
120HR VT 21/1800Z 25.0N 87.0W 30 KT
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/ROBERTS
0 likes
-
expat2carib
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 458
- Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2008 1:44 pm
- Location: Sint Maarten
Re: E.Carib Thread=Web Cams / Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
Happy its only a TD now.
Whatever she is...... she is sucking energy.
No wind.....Very humid...... And sucking all air..... Silence before the storm?
Who knows? It's a small eco system here on the nature island of the Caribbean.
Stay safe. I probably will be without power from tomorrow on
Let's see.
Whatever she is...... she is sucking energy.
No wind.....Very humid...... And sucking all air..... Silence before the storm?
Who knows? It's a small eco system here on the nature island of the Caribbean.
Stay safe. I probably will be without power from tomorrow on
Let's see.
0 likes
-
expat2carib
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 458
- Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2008 1:44 pm
- Location: Sint Maarten
Re: E.Carib Thread=Web Cams / Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
Dominica's Forecast valid for Sunday 16th and Monday 17th August, 2009.
Provided by the Barbados Meteorological Service
Observations:
Synopsis: At 5pm Tropical storm Ana located near 15.1N, 58.8W.
Weather:
Tonight: Partly cloudy with some showers.
Tomorrow: Cloudy with some scattered showers, isolated thunderstorms and some gusty winds.
Wind: ENE -NN E at 15 - 50 km/h. with higher gust near showers.
Sea: Slight to moderate in open water, swells 1.0 - 1.5 m.
High tides:
Low tides:
Meteorologist: David Bes
http://www.cdera.org/weather/dominica.php#
OK.... It's Sunday and Barbados is safe. 15 = 50 km/h with higher gusts.
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Re: E.Carib Thread=Web Cams / Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
doesn't sound too bad. Let's hope Ana only gives both Dominica and Guadeloupe a little rain
0 likes
-
expat2carib
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 458
- Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2008 1:44 pm
- Location: Sint Maarten
Re: E.Carib Thread=Web Cams / Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
msbee wrote:doesn't sound too bad. Let's hope Ana only gives both Dominica and Guadeloupe a little rain
Thanks msbee
We are the rainy island of the Caribbean
. We have a lot of rain forrest here. So rain is no problem. The ABC islands would love a system like this.
0 likes
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145308
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: E.Carib Thread=Web Cams / Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 19A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022009
800 PM AST SUN AUG 16 2009
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY-ORGANIZED...
AT 800 PM...0000 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR DOMINICA HAS
BEEN DISCONTINUED.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO CABO BEATA AND FOR THE CARIBBEAN
ISLANDS OF PUERTO RICO...THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH
VIRGIN ISLANDS...MONTSERRAT...ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST. KITTS...
NEVIS...ANGUILLA...ST. MAARTEN...ST. MARTIN...SABA...ST.
EUSTATIUS...GUADELOUPE...AND ST. BARTHELEMY.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE NORTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA
OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE
60.0 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES...135 KM...EAST OF DOMINICA.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 25 MPH...41 KM/HR. A
TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. ON
THIS TRACK THE DEPRESSION WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
TONIGHT AND ENTER THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ON MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
SHOWS THAT THE CIRCULATION OF ANA HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED TODAY.
IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...ANA COULD DEGENERATE INTO A TROPICAL WAVE
TONIGHT OR EARLY TOMORROW.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
ANA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER
THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...INCLUDING PUERTO RICO...AND THE U.S. AND
BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES
OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
...SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...15.2N 60.0W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 25 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 19A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022009
800 PM AST SUN AUG 16 2009
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY-ORGANIZED...
AT 800 PM...0000 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR DOMINICA HAS
BEEN DISCONTINUED.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO CABO BEATA AND FOR THE CARIBBEAN
ISLANDS OF PUERTO RICO...THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH
VIRGIN ISLANDS...MONTSERRAT...ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST. KITTS...
NEVIS...ANGUILLA...ST. MAARTEN...ST. MARTIN...SABA...ST.
EUSTATIUS...GUADELOUPE...AND ST. BARTHELEMY.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE NORTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA
OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE
60.0 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES...135 KM...EAST OF DOMINICA.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 25 MPH...41 KM/HR. A
TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. ON
THIS TRACK THE DEPRESSION WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
TONIGHT AND ENTER THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ON MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
SHOWS THAT THE CIRCULATION OF ANA HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED TODAY.
IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...ANA COULD DEGENERATE INTO A TROPICAL WAVE
TONIGHT OR EARLY TOMORROW.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
ANA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER
THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...INCLUDING PUERTO RICO...AND THE U.S. AND
BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES
OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
...SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...15.2N 60.0W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 25 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH
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expat2carib
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 458
- Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2008 1:44 pm
- Location: Sint Maarten
Re: E.Carib Thread=Web Cams / Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
Results for Dominica (15.53N, 61.3W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 15.6N, 61.3W or about 2.6 miles (4.2 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 9.3 hours (Monday, August 17 at 2:18AM AST).
2.6 miles
Using the stormcarib 'Closest point of approach tool.
AT 800 PM...0000 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR DOMINICA HAS
BEEN DISCONTINUED.
AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE
60.0 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES...135 KM...EAST OF DOMINICA.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 25 MPH...41 KM/HR
edit: Was explained why in the Ana Thread. Thanks
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;. As usual we continue to monitor ex TS Ana.
Re: E.Carib Thread=Web Cams / Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
Glad that my prayers were answered for all my c'bean neighbours, looks like we will be able to breath a little easier for now...
Night folks and stay safe.
Night folks and stay safe.
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Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
Re: E.Carib Thread=Web Cams / Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
caribsue wrote:Glad that my prayers were answered for all my c'bean neighbours, looks like we will be able to breath a little easier for now...
Night folks and stay safe.
Oh yeah tkanks that's very pleasant what you say and i'm glad to see that we're blessed for this time too
. Hope that you're ok in Barbados my friend. I don't forget your beautiful island.Stay safe
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expat2carib
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 458
- Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2008 1:44 pm
- Location: Sint Maarten
Re: E.Carib Thread=Web Cams / Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
Ana arrived.
Thunder and lightning and rain. Not much wind yet.
Thunder and lightning and rain. Not much wind yet.
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Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
Re: E.Carib Thread=Web Cams / Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
expat2carib wrote:Ana arrived.
Thunder and lightning and rain. Not much wind yet.
Ok, let's see that in my island...tkanks for the info
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, winds are calm...
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