Caribbean - Central America Weather

[Gustywind]

000
AXNT20 KNHC 171108
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT MON AUG 17 2009

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND
RADAR.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE IS INLAND CENTERED NEAR XX.XN XX.XW AT
17/1200 UTC OR XXXX INLAND NEAR FORT WALTON BEACH FLORIDA MOVING
NW AT 10 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEE
LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCPAT4/WTNT34 KNHC AND THE FULL FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT4/WTNT24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION MOSTLY REMAINS OFF
SHORE COVERING THE AREA FROM N OF 28N TO THE COAST OF THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE BETWEEN 84W-87W.

TROPICAL STORM BILL WAS UPGRADED TO HURRICANE AT 17/0900 UTC.
HURRICANE BILL IS CENTERED NEAR 13.8N 44.0W AT 17/0900 UTC OR
ABOUT 1010 NM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES MOVING WNW AT 19 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. SEE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT3/WTNT23 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN
60/75 NM OF 13N FROM 42W-46W WITH SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
COVERING THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN
40W-47W.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA IS CENTERED NEAR XX.XN XX.XW AT 17/1200
UTC OR ABOUT XX NM WEST OF GUADELOUPE AND ABOUT XXX NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ST. CROIX. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE
IS 1008 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO
40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT2/ WTNT32 KNHC AND THE FORECAST/
ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT2/WTNT22 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION COVERS THE AREA FROM 15N-19N BETWEEN 62W-67W
INCLUDING THE ISLANDS BETWEEN THE LEEWARDS AND PUERTO RICO.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS 17N28W TO 9N24W MOVING W 10-15 KT. WAVE IS
BECOMING MORE TILTED NW/SE..BEING DISTORTED BY HURRICANE BILL.
WAVE REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN AN AREA OF MAXIMUM DEEP LAYERED
MOISTURE AS INDICATED BY THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY.
SMALL CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 250 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 93W S OF 22N MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. WAVE IS
EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE AS INDICATED
BY THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY AND REMAINS ON THE ERN
SIDE OF AN UPPER LOW THAT CONTINUES TO ENHANCE SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S OF 23N W OF 93W TO INLAND OVER
MEXICO.

...ITCZ...

THE ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 15N15W 9N31W 11N39W 11N48W 9N56W
10N62W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120
NM ALONG THE COAST OF W AFRICA BETWEEN 6N-11N...FROM 6N-8N
BETWEEN 24W-34W AND FROM 5N-11N BETWEEN 45W-52W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
THE GULF CONTINUES TO BE IMPACTED BY TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE
THAT IS MOVING THE GULF COAST AND A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 93W. IN
THE UPPER LEVELS IS AN UPPER LOW CENTERED ALONG THE COAST OF
MEXICO NEAR TUXPAN ENHANCING THE ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE
TROPICAL WAVE COVERING THE S PORTION OF THE GULF. AN UPPER HIGH
IS OVER THE NE GULF ALONG THE FLORIDA COAST NEAR T.S. CLAUDETTE.
MOIST TROPICAL UPPER AIR HAS MOVED OVER THE GULF GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 27N E OF 93W TO
JUST INLAND OVER THE NE GULF COAST STATES WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS
OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE CONTINUES
TO PUSH SE OF CLAUDETTE OVER THE S GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
T.D. ANA IS IMPACTING THE NE CARIBBEAN. A NARROW UPPER RIDGE
EXTENDS FROM E PANAMA NW TO THE NE YUCATAN PENINSULA JUST TO THE
E OF THE UPPER LOW OVER THE S GULF OF MEXICO PROVIDING
DIFFLUENCE ALOFT TO THE W TO GENERATE SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS SW FROM 12N-18N W OF 82W TO INLAND OVER CENTRAL
AMERICA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. AN UPPER LOW OVER THE W ATLC
EXTENDS S ACROSS THE GREATER ANTILLES TO 17N BETWEEN HAITI AND
W/CENTRAL CUBA GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 18N BETWEEN 72W-83W. OTHERWISE THE REMAINDER
OF THE CARIBBEAN IS UNDER A DEEP LAYER DRY AIR AND GENERALLY
FAIR WEATHER WITH FRESH TRADE WINDS USHERING IN LOW LEVEL FAST
MOVING ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS THE W AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN W OF
70W.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
TROPICAL ATLC IS BEING IMPACTED BY HURRICANE BILL. AN UPPER LOW
COVERS THE W ATLC CENTERED NEAR 24N75W AND SUPPORTS A SURFACE
TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM 31N66W TO THE TURKS AND CAICOS NEAR
22N72W WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS COVERING
THE AREA WITHIN 225 NM NW OF THE SURFACE TROUGH. TO THE E OF THE
UPPER LOW...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS GENERATING SCATTERED
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE FROM 21N69W TO
26N62W. A BROAD SURFACE RIDGE DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE
ATLC ANCHORED BY A 1023 MB HIGH CENTERED N OF BERMUDA AND A PAIR
OF 1024 MB HIGHS IN THE NE ATLC THUS GIVING THE CENTRAL AND ERN
ATLC GENERALLY FAIR WEATHER.

$$
PAW/MF

[msbee]

good morning everyone
Nothing significant to report from here. skies are cloudy and it is windy.
Airport Met Office reports
from the ESE (120 degrees) at 22 MPH (19 KT) gusting to 38 MPH (33 KT)

We had one heavy shower around 2:00 AM which gave us a little over an inch of rain, but that is all.

It looks from the radar that VI and PR are getting hit this morning.
Stay safe and dry, everyone in that vicinity.

Barbara

[msbee]

report from PR correspondent on stormcarib.com

Bands of TD Ana over Puerto Rico

* From: Francisco Echegaray <fechegaray at hotmail.com>
* Date: Mon, 17 Aug 2009 11:41:59 +0000


Well I was expecting some rain today but really not until at least mid morning or noon....so I was surprised to see just a few minutes befor 7 A.M. some heavy showers accompanied by thunder and lightning here over Rio Piedras (San Juan). There were also some wind gusts, not too strong but noticeable, along with the heavy downpour. I checked on the satellite picture and what remains of Ana is already affecting the east of P.R.. It looks like it has strenghened some what judging from the picture. This TD is also traveling VERY fast. Yesterday the weatherpeople were saying that the TD would be at 2 PM in the position which it is NOW at 7:30AM so there is something weird here... As I am typing another band just got here and the rain has pick up strengh again....Well I hope TD Ana keeps her fast pace and leaves us very quickly as well... Best wishes to all.

Francisco

[Gustywind]

000
WTNT32 KNHC 171143
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 21A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022009
800 AM AST MON AUG 17 2009

...ANA MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN...COULD DISSIPATE
TODAY...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...
ANGUILLA...ST. MAARTEN...ST. MARTIN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...
GUADELOUPE...ST. BARTHELEMY...AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO
ENGANO WESTWARD TO CABO BEATA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA
OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 64.8 WEST OR ABOUT
70 MILES...115 KM...SOUTH OF ST. CROIX.

ANA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 28 MPH...45 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...ANA IS FORECAST TO
REACH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. HOWEVER...ANA COULD DEGENERATE INTO A TROPICAL WAVE LATER
TODAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

ANA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER
THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...THE U.S. AND BRITISH
VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.

...SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...16.7N 64.8W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 28 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN/CANGIALOSI

[caribepr]

28 miles per hour! Wow. Yeah, we wanted to at least have an excuse to not go anywhere...my friend and I were just on the phone looking at our local radar and the little tail that might affect us...it's gotten slightly windy again, we might get our wish

[Gustywind]

Claudette downgraded, Bill a hurricane
Mark Avery, Lead Meteorologists, The Weather Channel
Aug. 17, 2009 8:16 am ET
ATLANTIC


Elsewhere in the Atlantic, there are one tropical depression (Ana) and the first hurricane of the season (Bill).

Bill reached hurricane strength Monday morning in the Central Atlantic, and is now located about 1160 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. Bill currently has winds near 75 miles per hour.

Tropical Storm Bill is forecast to move west-northwest through the open tropical Atlantic over the next few days while steadily gaining strength. If fact, Bill may be a major hurricane (category three or higher) by midweek.

The current forecast track calls for Bill to miss the Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico to the north. However, these areas should still monitor this systems progress over the next several days due to the uncertainty in forecasts farther out in time. Even if Bill does in fact miss the islands to the north, rough surf and dangerous rip currents will be possible along the beaches of these islands in the coming days.
Residents and visitors of Bermuda should also monitor the progress of Hurricane Bill very closely.

There's a good chance that rough surf may also impact the East Coast of the United States this weekend and early next week if Bill follows its current forecast path.

Tropical Depression Ana (35 mile per hour winds)is located 70 miles south of St. Croix in the U.S. Virgin Islands.

Ana is very poorly organized at this time as it races westward. Ana could be reduced to a remnant low or a tropical wave sometime later today.

In the short term, expect increased rain and some gusty winds over Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands and into the Dominican Republic.

Tropical storm watches are in effect for the southern Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, and parts of the northern Leeward Islands.

http://www.weather.com/newscenter/hurri ... index.html

[cycloneye]

Finnally,rain has stopped after a little over 3 hours of nonestop.But radar shows a bit more to come.

[caribepr]

Crazy rain! All well in SJ, Luis?

[Gustywind]

Hey Huc hope you're ok.
What are your latest observations from yesterday night? Any "troubles/damages" in your area?
Tkanks...Gustywind .

[cycloneye]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1048 AM AST MON AUG 17 2009

PRC029-037-053-069-077-085-087-089-103-119-171745-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0217.090817T1448Z-090817T1745Z/
/00000.N..000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
JUNCOS PR-LAS PIEDRAS PR-LUQUILLO PR-NAGUABO PR-CEIBA PR-CANOVANAS
PR-FAJARDO PR-HUMACAO PR-LOIZA PR-RIO GRANDE PR-
1048 AM AST MON AUG 17 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
JUNCOS...LAS PIEDRAS...LUQUILLO...NAGUABO...CEIBA...CANOVANAS...
FAJARDO...HUMACAO...LOIZA AND RIO GRANDE

* UNTIL 145 PM AST

* AT 1043 AM AST DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN FROM
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE ADVISORY AREA. THE HEAVIEST
RAINFALL WILL OCCUR MAINLY ACROSS NAGUABO...MOVING EAST TOWARDS
CANOVANAS. OVER HALF INCH OF RAINFALL HAS ALREADY ACCUMULATED ACROSS
THIS AREA...AND AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL IS
POSSIBLE IN ISOLATED SPOTS THROUGH 145 PM AST. THIS RAINFALL WILL
LEAD TO THE FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS...LOW LYING
AREAS...AND ROADWAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1821 6590 1846 6593 1838 6562 1825 6556
1805 6579

$$

AAS

[HUC]

Absolutly no problem,gusty,just thunder and lighting infra clouds.
My "no no "of last night qas to regret the fact that i can send the Gpe radar.
Hope Luis and others had no problems in PRico...

[cycloneye]

Is over in San Juan.The rainfall totals in the NWS office was 2.46 inches.

[cycloneye]

000
WTNT32 KNHC 171731
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 22A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022009
200 PM AST MON AUG 17 2009

...POORLY ORGANIZED ANA MOVING SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC FROM PUNTA PALENQUE TO THE NORTHERN HAITI/DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA
OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA
WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.3 WEST OR
ABOUT 105 MILES...165 KM...SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND
ABOUT 165 MILES...265 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

ANA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 28 MPH...45 KM/HR. A
CONTINUED TRACK IN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION...WITH A REDUCTION IN
FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. HOWEVER...ANA COULD DEGENERATE INTO A TROPICAL WAVE LATER
TODAY. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL BE IN
THE AREA SHORTLY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

ANA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER
PUERTO RICO...THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OVER
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.

...SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...17.6N 67.3W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 28 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN/CANGIALOSI

[msbee]

Is over in San Juan.The rainfall totals in the NWS office was 2.46 inches.

that's a nice little amount of rain. any serious flooding?

[FireBird]

I know that there's posts on Ana from Caribbean members on another thread, so I'll take the opportunity to ask about Bill. I know what the mets and models are saying about Bill and its turn away from the islands, but I can't help that nervous feeling about its path. I think the margin is so close that this can go either way. Are you prepared my friends in the Northern Antilles (Lesser and Greater) to deal with this should it come your way? Please share your thoughts. Thanks.

[Gustywind]

Absolutly no problem,gusty,just thunder and lighting infra clouds.
My "no no "of last night qas to regret the fact that i can send the Gpe radar.
Hope Luis and others had no problems in PRico...

Ok HUC, glad to see that me too same things . Yeah for the others Luis Bvigal etc. seems that Ana is moving souther of PR briging some muscled tstorms, lightnings, rain and gusty winds. Stay safe my friends.
Whereas, let's see what pan's out finally from Bill. Maybe possible troubles with the swell given its huge size...if he crosses more to the west and less to the north.

[Gustywind]

I know that there's posts on Ana from Caribbean members on another thread, so I'll take the opportunity to ask about Bill. I know what the mets and models are saying about Bill and its turn away from the islands, but I can't help that nervous feeling about its path. I think the margin is so close that this can go either way. Are you prepared my friends in the Northern Antilles (Lesser and Greater) to deal with this should it come your way? Please share your thoughts. Thanks.

Yeah Firebird i understand your nervous feeling us in Guadeloupe too, the swell could pose indirect effects on the beaches, we never knows that's why we should to monitor closely the situation during the next 48-72H. We will keep you informed as usual Firebird, but for sure Bill is so large in size, that difficult to see how a monster like that could not bring indirect effects.
Friendly Gustywind .

[msbee]

FireBird
no matter what the models say, I never rest easy until these storms are actually West f us.
Everyone on the island has let their guard down after Ana didn't bother us and since the models say Bill is going North.
I have not let my guard down yet... still watching that cane...

Barbara

[FireBird]

Agreed my friend Gustywind and my dear MsBee.
We are expecting swells, perhaps to 4m. This usually causes flooding along coastal areas and in the past, has stranded some villages or has led to the deaths of fishermen who unfortunately went out into the sea to secure their boats.
The need for vigilance is all round.

[cycloneye]

Is over in San Juan.The rainfall totals in the NWS office was 2.46 inches.

that's a nice little amount of rain. any serious flooding?

No serious flooding here.Now to watch Bill.I dont watch the models but what Bill is doing trackwise.