ATL: TROPICAL STORM BILL (03L)

[craptacular]

URNT15 KNHC 211651
AF300 0903A BILL HDOB 21 20090821
164200 2826N 06618W 6967 02795 9608 +134 +084 142074 079 083 009 00
164230 2827N 06617W 6962 02811 9650 +108 +087 139086 091 082 014 00
164300 2828N 06615W 6984 02805 9679 +100 +083 139100 102 081 026 00
164330 2830N 06614W 6952 02862 9701 +097 +076 140100 101 076 022 00
164400 2831N 06613W 6972 02854 9725 +092 +069 142102 103 076 012 00
164430 2832N 06611W 6967 02876 9714 +118 +060 142103 104 074 004 00
164500 2833N 06610W 6966 02889 9729 +118 +054 144102 103 075 002 00
164530 2834N 06609W 6969 02899 9746 +116 +052 144099 099 074 004 00
164600 2835N 06607W 6963 02918 9755 +116 +051 148100 101 074 003 00
164630 2837N 06606W 6967 02923 9769 +115 +050 149099 100 073 002 03
164700 2838N 06605W 6969 02928 9783 +114 +050 149098 099 076 005 00
164730 2839N 06603W 6970 02938 9807 +100 +051 148098 099 073 002 00
164800 2840N 06602W 6963 02951 9821 +096 +051 148098 098 071 005 00
164830 2841N 06600W 6970 02952 9817 +108 +048 148097 098 074 004 00
164900 2843N 06559W 6967 02965 9834 +100 +047 151100 102 075 010 00
164930 2844N 06557W 6959 02979 9851 +092 +045 154105 107 077 014 00
165000 2845N 06556W 6979 02963 9871 +082 +045 147109 112 077 014 00
165030 2846N 06555W 6962 02992 9879 +080 +042 146103 105 076 018 00
165100 2847N 06553W 6967 02994 9894 +078 +040 147104 106 076 018 00
165130 2849N 06552W 6959 03013 9898 +083 +037 148110 111 075 012 00
$$

[Just Joshing You]

So far I haven't seen anyone ask if Bill was/is/will be an annular 'cane.

Sorry to burst your bubble Someone did.

[Just Joshing You]

in Halifax... I'd expect to be under a Hurricane Watch by tonight. Could be a cat 2 when it gets up that way

Completely my opinion but I have huge doubts about that. Bill is much weaker than it's peak and has some much cooler waters than 80+ degree tropic temps when it gets up that way. I'd say if it even does produce hurricane conditions on land in that area it would be minimal CAT1 Conditions. I doubt any conditions will be felt on any US soil outside of large swells, rip currents and things of such nature.

However this is only my OPINION! Not a forecast.

So, anytime a Cat. 1 is set to make landfall, there should only be Tropical Storm watches/warnings at max? Would it take a Cat 3 to get Hurricane Warning?

[craptacular]

000
URNT15 KNHC 211701
AF300 0903A BILL HDOB 22 20090821
165200 2850N 06551W 6967 03008 9905 +084 +035 147107 107 075 009 00
165230 2851N 06549W 6965 03019 9902 +094 +032 148105 106 071 008 00
165300 2852N 06548W 6971 03021 9917 +089 +030 149106 107 071 007 00
165330 2853N 06546W 6967 03031 9921 +092 +028 149105 106 067 009 00
165400 2855N 06545W 6965 03040 9924 +095 +027 152105 106 065 008 00
165430 2856N 06544W 6966 03047 9926 +099 +026 152102 104 064 007 00
165500 2857N 06542W 6969 03046 9933 +099 +027 150096 096 063 007 00
165530 2858N 06541W 6968 03055 9943 +095 +028 149097 097 062 007 00
165600 2859N 06539W 6970 03059 9967 +082 +029 144096 097 062 007 00
165630 2901N 06538W 6965 03066 9970 +083 +029 143093 093 061 008 00
165700 2902N 06537W 6961 03075 9980 +078 +028 143093 094 060 008 00
165730 2903N 06535W 6973 03065 9986 +077 +026 144093 093 058 006 00
165800 2904N 06534W 6969 03077 9975 +092 +025 144093 094 057 006 00
165830 2905N 06533W 6963 03089 9983 +090 +024 145090 092 057 007 00
165900 2906N 06531W 6965 03089 9989 +086 +024 146087 087 056 008 00
165930 2908N 06530W 6970 03087 9987 +093 +023 146087 088 057 005 00
170000 2909N 06528W 6968 03096 9986 +096 +023 147085 087 056 004 00
170030 2910N 06527W 6964 03103 9991 +095 +023 146086 087 055 006 00
170100 2911N 06526W 6969 03100 9999 +092 +024 146088 088 055 003 00
170130 2912N 06524W 6970 03103 0003 +093 +025 147084 085 055 002 00
$$


000
URNT12 KNHC 211706
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL032009
A. 21/16:36:50Z
B. 28 deg 12 min N
066 deg 32 min W
C. 700 mb 2720 m
D. 62 kt
E. 224 deg 32 nm
F. 315 deg 65 kt
G. 217 deg 13 nm
H. 956 mb
I. 15 C / 3054 m
J. 16 C / 3052 m
K. 7 C / NA
L. OPEN SW
M. C16
N. 12345 / 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF300 0903A BILL OB 05
MAX FL WIND 65 KT SW QUAD 16:33:00Z
MAX OUTBOUND FL WIND 111 KT NE QUAD 16:49:50Z

[vbhoutex]

in Halifax... I'd expect to be under a Hurricane Watch by tonight. Could be a cat 2 when it gets up that way

Completely my opinion but I have huge doubts about that. Bill is much weaker than it's peak and has some much cooler waters than 80+ degree tropic temps when it gets up that way. I'd say if it even does produce hurricane conditions on land in that area it would be minimal CAT1 Conditions. I doubt any conditions will be felt on any US soil outside of large swells, rip currents and things of such nature.

However this is only my OPINION! Not a forecast.

So, anytime a Cat. 1 is set to make landfall, there should only be Tropical Storm watches/warnings at max? Would it take a Cat 3 to get Hurricane Warning?

Curious as to where this question is coming from. Did I miss something in earlier posts? If Hurricane conditions are expected I would presume Hurricane Warnings will be posted as necessary.

[craptacular]

In case anyone is interested in picking this up, I'm outta here.

000
URNT15 KNHC 211711
AF300 0903A BILL HDOB 23 20090821
170200 2914N 06523W 6965 03113 0006 +093 +026 145083 084 055 003 00
170230 2915N 06521W 6965 03114 0012 +089 +027 147086 088 053 003 00
170300 2916N 06520W 6973 03106 0025 +083 +029 148087 087 054 005 00
170330 2917N 06518W 6969 03115 0028 +081 +029 148086 086 054 005 00
170400 2918N 06517W 6965 03125 0025 +086 +028 148087 088 050 007 00
170430 2920N 06516W 6970 03116 0026 +088 +027 149088 090 050 006 00
170500 2921N 06514W 6970 03121 0034 +086 +025 147092 093 049 005 00
170530 2922N 06513W 6967 03128 0034 +086 +024 146091 092 049 005 00
170600 2923N 06511W 6965 03137 0045 +082 +024 144088 090 049 011 03
170630 2924N 06510W 7000 03088 0061 +068 +025 148084 087 052 012 00
170700 2926N 06509W 6954 03148 0065 +066 +026 153080 082 053 012 00
170730 2927N 06507W 6984 03110 0079 +056 +026 157087 088 053 013 00
170800 2928N 06506W 6960 03140 0074 +061 +025 156085 088 052 015 00
170830 2929N 06504W 6980 03119 0080 +058 +024 153089 091 051 013 00
170900 2931N 06503W 6968 03143 0069 +070 +023 153089 090 050 007 00
170930 2932N 06501W 6966 03141 0054 +084 +022 152088 089 049 006 00
171000 2933N 06500W 6967 03144 0055 +086 +021 153086 088 051 003 00
171030 2934N 06458W 6957 03156 0060 +084 +020 153084 084 050 004 00
171100 2936N 06456W 6974 03139 0069 +080 +020 152085 085 048 004 00
171130 2937N 06455W 6965 03155 0063 +086 +021 152085 086 049 001 00
$$

[thetruesms]

Bermuda's Radar. http://www.weather.bm/radarLarge.asp

Is it bad that at first glance, I confused Bermuda with an echo, and wondered where the island was for a second or two? Nice to have this peek of at least a part of Bill on radar as it goes by.

[Stratusxpeye]

in Halifax... I'd expect to be under a Hurricane Watch by tonight. Could be a cat 2 when it gets up that way

Completely my opinion but I have huge doubts about that. Bill is much weaker than it's peak and has some much cooler waters than 80+ degree tropic temps when it gets up that way. I'd say if it even does produce hurricane conditions on land in that area it would be minimal CAT1 Conditions. I doubt any conditions will be felt on any US soil outside of large swells, rip currents and things of such nature.

However this is only my OPINION! Not a forecast.

So, anytime a Cat. 1 is set to make landfall, there should only be Tropical Storm watches/warnings at max? Would it take a Cat 3 to get Hurricane Warning?

Sorry, I was only referring to the strength mentioned in his post, not the Hurricane watches. I would agree that very soon they should post hurricane watches to be posted. Why is it so hostile in this thread this year? Maybe it's been so dull that people are all ramped up or frustrated that there has been nothing to track? We will wait and see but I don't see too many effects being felt there near halifax. Not as far as a land falling hurricane. And again this is not a pro met forecast, but my opinion. That area among may others will def feel beach effects from bill. This area will be on the NW and SW side of a very rapidly moving and weakening tropical/extra tropical cyclone. My original prediction holds true. I Would NOT expect a land falling CAT 2 in the area. I would not expect a land falling CAT 1 either. However watches and preparations should be taken soon just in case.

[KWT]

I'm just wondering how far north will recon be prepared to track it by the way?

Presentation seem pretty good to me at the moment, will see what happens over the next 24hrs as it gets further away from the warmest waters

[TYNI]

I seem to recall a thread (thanks Derek!) where we were warned not to focus on the intensity, per se, but the fact that a hurricane is bearing down on our location, with destructive wind, rain, and storm surge. In the 9AM CHC information statement, specific reference was made to peak "spring tide" and storm surge being a concern... from the statement:

Some of the largest spring tides of the year will be occurring
This weekend. This may combine with large waves and storm surge
Over the Atlantic coast of Eastern Nova Scotia late on Sunday..As
well as the South Coast of Newfoundland overnight into Monday.

Ty

[HURAKAN]

[HURAKAN]

000
URNT15 KNHC 211721
AF300 0903A BILL HDOB 24 20090821
171200 2939N 06453W 6968 03155 0067 +086 +023 152084 085 047 002 00
171230 2940N 06451W 6966 03162 0070 +086 +025 152082 083 048 001 00
171300 2942N 06449W 6967 03161 0079 +082 +028 152085 086 047 002 00
171330 2943N 06447W 6967 03163 0077 +085 +030 153084 085 046 001 00
171400 2945N 06446W 6969 03163 0076 +089 +034 152082 083 045 002 00
171430 2946N 06444W 6966 03171 0074 +094 +038 151081 081 045 000 00
171500 2948N 06442W 6968 03170 0080 +091 +042 151080 081 046 000 00
171530 2949N 06440W 6967 03176 0082 +091 +046 152079 079 045 001 00
171600 2951N 06439W 6970 03175 0085 +089 +049 152078 078 043 000 00
171630 2952N 06437W 6967 03180 0089 +090 +052 153078 079 041 002 03
171700 2954N 06435W 6969 03177 0088 +090 +054 152078 079 041 002 00
171730 2955N 06433W 6967 03182 0094 +088 +056 152076 077 041 000 00
171800 2957N 06431W 6967 03184 0096 +086 +057 150074 074 041 000 00
171830 2958N 06430W 6967 03188 0105 +081 +058 150072 073 040 002 00
171900 3000N 06428W 6967 03188 0107 +081 +058 152072 072 038 000 03
171930 3002N 06426W 6963 03198 0107 +086 +058 152071 071 999 999 03
172000 3004N 06428W 6967 03196 0116 +081 +058 150068 069 999 999 03
172030 3004N 06430W 6967 03190 0110 +082 +059 151066 067 036 002 03
172100 3004N 06433W 6963 03191 0107 +082 +059 149066 067 041 000 03
172130 3004N 06435W 6967 03183 0106 +081 +058 145067 068 041 001 00
$$
;

303
URNT15 KNHC 211731
AF300 0903A BILL HDOB 25 20090821
172200 3004N 06438W 6971 03177 0101 +085 +058 144068 069 042 000 03
172230 3005N 06441W 6967 03183 0100 +082 +058 144069 070 041 001 00
172300 3005N 06444W 6967 03183 0098 +083 +058 144070 070 042 001 00
172330 3006N 06447W 6966 03181 0096 +084 +058 145072 073 043 001 00
172400 3006N 06449W 6967 03179 0095 +085 +059 145073 074 043 001 00
172430 3006N 06452W 6968 03180 0093 +085 +058 144072 073 043 000 00
172500 3007N 06455W 6965 03177 0090 +086 +059 143072 072 042 001 00
172530 3007N 06455W 6965 03177 0084 +090 +059 142072 072 043 000 00
172600 3007N 06500W 6966 03173 0080 +090 +059 142073 073 043 000 00
172630 3008N 06503W 6967 03171 0079 +088 +060 142073 074 044 002 00
172700 3008N 06506W 6966 03170 0081 +085 +060 142073 074 044 001 00
172730 3008N 06509W 6969 03166 0078 +085 +061 142074 075 045 003 00
172800 3009N 06512W 6968 03165 0077 +085 +061 142074 075 045 002 00
172830 3009N 06515W 6967 03163 0078 +085 +060 140073 074 046 001 00
172900 3010N 06517W 6967 03162 0074 +085 +059 139073 074 046 001 00
172930 3010N 06520W 6966 03161 0075 +083 +058 140074 075 047 001 00
173000 3010N 06523W 6969 03161 0078 +080 +058 136074 075 046 001 00
173030 3011N 06526W 6965 03161 0068 +085 +057 136074 075 046 002 00
173100 3011N 06529W 6967 03155 0068 +083 +056 136073 075 046 002 00
173130 3011N 06532W 6974 03147 0074 +077 +056 138071 072 047 002 00
$$
;

[HURAKAN]

860
WTNT33 KNHC 211735
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE BILL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 25A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032009
200 PM AST FRI AUG 21 2009

...HURRICANE BILL EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST LATER
TODAY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR
BERMUDA.

INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST OF NEW ENGLAND AND IN THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF BILL.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BILL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.8 WEST OR ABOUT 290 MILES...
465 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA AND ABOUT 695 MILES...1115 KM...
SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

BILL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTH IS EXPECTED
LATER TODAY AND SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF
HURRICANE BILL IS EXPECTED TO PASS OVER THE OPEN WATERS BETWEEN
BERMUDA AND THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES ON SATURDAY.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE PLANE CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING BILL SUGGEST
THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 110
MPH...175 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. BILL IS NOW A CATEGORY TWO
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN
INTENSITY ARE LIKELY TODAY AND SATURDAY.

BILL REMAINS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES...465 KM. RADAR
FROM BERMUDA SHOWS MORE RAINBANDS APPROACHING THE ISLAND.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR
FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 957 MB...28.26 INCHES.

BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3
INCHES OVER BERMUDA...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES.

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST THAT THE STORM TIDE WILL RAISE
WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE
COAST...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IN ADVANCE
OF BILL.

LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY THIS HURRICANE ARE AFFECTING PUERTO
RICO...HISPANIOLA...THE BAHAMAS...AND BERMUDA...AND SHOULD BEGIN
AFFECTING MOST OF THE U.S. EAST COAST AND THE ATLANTIC MARITIMES OF
CANADA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SURF AND LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS.

...SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...28.5N 66.8W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 18 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...957 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

[meandthestorm]

I was wondering if anyone could tell me what are the chances of hurricane Bill hitting VA? If this trough isnt stronger than they are predicting then wouldnt Bill just pass in to it and hit the east-coast? It looks like it will hit NC or VA head on if it doesnt turn, so please if anyone has any idea please let me know.....

[Evil Jeremy]

I was wondering if anyone could tell me what are the chances of hurricane Bill hitting VA? If this trough isnt stronger than they are predicting then wouldnt Bill just pass in to it and hit the east-coast? It looks like it will hit NC or VA head on if it doesnt turn, so please if anyone has any idea please let me know.....

No chance at this point. Bill is going up and out of the area.

[HURAKAN]

430
URNT15 KNHC 211741
AF300 0903A BILL HDOB 26 20090821
173200 3012N 06535W 6976 03141 0062 +087 +054 140071 072 047 003 00
173230 3012N 06537W 6967 03152 0068 +082 +051 137073 076 048 003 00
173300 3012N 06540W 6968 03148 0068 +079 +048 132075 077 047 003 00
173330 3013N 06543W 6974 03139 0067 +079 +045 130078 078 047 003 00
173400 3013N 06545W 6967 03147 0050 +093 +042 131078 080 048 002 00
173430 3013N 06548W 6970 03146 0046 +096 +040 134075 076 048 002 00
173500 3014N 06551W 6967 03147 0041 +098 +041 135075 075 047 002 00
173530 3014N 06553W 6965 03150 0039 +097 +043 134076 077 046 003 00
173600 3014N 06556W 6967 03140 0043 +092 +046 130075 076 046 004 00
173630 3015N 06559W 6966 03143 0042 +093 +048 132077 077 047 002 00
173700 3015N 06602W 6967 03142 0039 +095 +049 132077 078 047 003 00
173730 3015N 06604W 6967 03142 0043 +091 +050 131077 078 046 004 00
173800 3016N 06607W 6971 03133 0041 +090 +050 128076 077 046 003 00
173830 3016N 06610W 6967 03140 0050 +083 +049 126074 076 048 004 00
173900 3016N 06613W 6967 03137 0056 +077 +046 124074 074 047 004 00
173930 3017N 06615W 6961 03143 0045 +083 +043 122074 074 049 006 00
174000 3017N 06618W 6965 03134 0050 +078 +040 120072 074 049 006 00
174030 3017N 06621W 6954 03148 0040 +085 +038 112074 075 049 006 00
174100 3018N 06624W 6967 03130 0042 +082 +037 112072 074 050 004 00
174130 3018N 06627W 6968 03125 0066 +061 +038 104065 068 048 008 00
$$
;

[HURAKAN]

[cycloneye]

Bill is now Cat 2

000
WTNT33 KNHC 211735
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE BILL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 25A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032009
200 PM AST FRI AUG 21 2009

...HURRICANE BILL EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST LATER
TODAY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR
BERMUDA.

INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST OF NEW ENGLAND AND IN THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF BILL.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BILL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.8 WEST OR ABOUT 290 MILES...
465 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA AND ABOUT 695 MILES...1115 KM...
SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

BILL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTH IS EXPECTED
LATER TODAY AND SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF
HURRICANE BILL IS EXPECTED TO PASS OVER THE OPEN WATERS BETWEEN
BERMUDA AND THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES ON SATURDAY.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE PLANE CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING BILL SUGGEST
THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 110
MPH...175 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. BILL IS NOW A CATEGORY TWO
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN
INTENSITY ARE LIKELY TODAY AND SATURDAY.

BILL REMAINS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES...465 KM. RADAR
FROM BERMUDA SHOWS MORE RAINBANDS APPROACHING THE ISLAND.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR
FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 957 MB...28.26 INCHES.

BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3
INCHES OVER BERMUDA...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES.

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST THAT THE STORM TIDE WILL RAISE
WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE
COAST...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IN ADVANCE
OF BILL.

LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY THIS HURRICANE ARE AFFECTING PUERTO
RICO...HISPANIOLA...THE BAHAMAS...AND BERMUDA...AND SHOULD BEGIN
AFFECTING MOST OF THE U.S. EAST COAST AND THE ATLANTIC MARITIMES OF
CANADA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SURF AND LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS.

...SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...28.5N 66.8W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 18 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...957 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

[cycloneye]

Downgraded to cat 2 at 2 PM advisory.

...SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...28.5N 66.8W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 18 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...957 MB

[HURAKAN]

Going down