ATL: TROPICAL STORM BILL (03L)

[HURAKAN]

441
URNT15 KNHC 221914
AF303 1203A BILL HDOB 39 20090822
190500 3617N 06856W 6970 02808 9612 +141 +140 328007 008 004 000 03
190530 3618N 06855W 6967 02812 9607 +144 +139 320006 008 004 002 03
190600 3619N 06853W 6967 02807 9608 +141 +140 253003 005 004 001 03
190630 3620N 06851W 6969 02806 9606 +140 +140 165007 009 010 001 00
190700 3621N 06849W 6965 02808 9605 +140 +140 158013 014 019 002 03
190730 3623N 06848W 6973 02798 9990 +127 +999 155019 021 021 007 01
190800 3624N 06846W 6974 02799 9613 +133 +133 155021 021 023 006 01
190830 3625N 06845W 6966 02810 9613 +137 +137 158025 027 030 007 00
190900 3627N 06843W 6970 02808 9990 +124 +999 156030 032 036 008 01
190930 3628N 06842W 6973 02807 9990 +125 +999 153035 037 041 009 01
191000 3629N 06840W 6963 02826 9623 +130 +130 153040 041 048 009 01
191030 3631N 06838W 6976 02811 9990 +116 +999 149050 055 057 008 01
191100 3632N 06837W 6967 02829 9643 +128 +128 142059 060 060 008 00
191130 3633N 06835W 6967 02834 9650 +122 +122 142062 064 065 010 01
191200 3634N 06834W 6968 02844 9990 +113 +999 141066 067 066 011 05
191230 3634N 06832W 6967 02849 9990 +111 +999 142063 064 999 999 05
191300 3633N 06832W 6965 02843 9990 +115 +999 141060 061 066 009 01
191330 3632N 06831W 6964 02840 9654 +125 +125 145060 060 068 009 00
191400 3631N 06831W 6971 02827 9653 +126 +126 150059 060 065 008 00
191430 3629N 06831W 6969 02832 9650 +127 +127 155058 059 066 006 00
$$
;

[HURAKAN]

[Iune]

Downgraded to a category 1
AL, 03, 2009082218, , BEST, 0, 360N, 689W, 80, 964, HU, 64, NEQ, 75, 30, 30, 30, 1012, 240, 30, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, BILL, D,

[WeatherWatcher1971]

Hi again everyone, just hoping someone can clear some stuff up for me.... I dug up some info regarding Jaun;

AT 6.00 AM ADT... TROPICAL STORM JUAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
48.0 N AND LONGITUDE 62.5 W... ABOUT 90 NAUTICAL MILES OR 165 KM
EAST SOUTHEAST OF GASPE.

JUAN MOVED THROUGH THE HALIFAX AREA SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. AT LEAST
ONE FATALITY WAS REPORTED. SOME BUILDINGS SUFFERED STRUCTURAL DAMAGE.
THERE WERE WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES AND NUMEROUS FALLEN TREE LIMBS.
WIND GUSTS TO 143 KM/H WERE REPORTED AT HALIFAX INTERNATIONAL
AIRPORT. IT STILL PACKED WINDS GUSTING TO 139 KM/H AS IT PASSED WEST
OF CHARLOTTETOWN SHORTLY AFTER 3 AM ADT.

This is the projected path it had or something.... km/h clocked at 102...

SEP 29 6.00 AM 48.0N 62.5W 997 55 102

This is what I'm wondering.....

bill's projected path or something.....

Aug 23 9.00 AM 42.1N 65.3W 980 75 139
Aug 23 3.00 PM 44.2N 62.6W 983 70 130
Aug 23 9.00 PM 46.1N 59.5W 987 65 120 transitioning

its max sustained winds are clearly stronger than what Juan had been projected for.... clearly... why are we not under a hurricane warning, is it because its not going to make landfall anywhere near NS and pass by Sable Island? Is that what is making the difference here or are we supposed to be preparing for another Juan? I am sooooooo confused

[HURAKAN]

619
URNT15 KNHC 221925
AF303 1203A BILL HDOB 40 20090822
191500 3628N 06830W 6969 02829 9645 +129 +129 161057 057 064 005 00
191530 3627N 06830W 6970 02824 9642 +130 +130 162058 059 064 005 00
191600 3626N 06829W 6969 02826 9634 +135 +132 164057 058 059 005 00
191630 3625N 06828W 6969 02822 9627 +139 +139 168056 057 055 005 00
191700 3623N 06828W 6967 02821 9624 +141 +133 168055 056 054 004 00
191730 3622N 06828W 6969 02824 9623 +143 +136 169054 055 999 999 03
191800 3621N 06829W 6969 02812 9614 +142 +142 174046 051 044 002 00
191830 3621N 06831W 6971 02806 9606 +147 +134 183036 038 038 002 00
191900 3620N 06833W 6968 02808 9603 +146 +140 196029 032 034 003 00
191930 3619N 06834W 6971 02806 9605 +145 +145 207026 027 029 002 00
192000 3618N 06836W 6967 02806 9604 +144 +144 206026 027 029 003 00
192030 3617N 06837W 6970 02803 9603 +145 +141 212027 028 029 002 00
192100 3616N 06839W 6967 02808 9601 +146 +139 222024 025 030 001 00
192130 3615N 06840W 6970 02806 9599 +150 +139 226026 027 031 001 00
192200 3614N 06842W 6966 02812 9597 +151 +136 232026 027 031 001 00
192230 3613N 06843W 6966 02818 9603 +151 +126 243028 029 033 002 00
192300 3612N 06845W 6971 02809 9607 +149 +126 259034 038 032 001 00
192330 3611N 06846W 6968 02818 9607 +152 +124 260040 044 034 000 00
192400 3610N 06847W 6969 02819 9617 +150 +123 265048 049 035 001 00
192430 3610N 06849W 6965 02833 9623 +150 +120 268051 052 999 999 03
$$
;

[Derek Ortt]

WTH? They did not fly the NE quad?

[HURAKAN]

645
URNT15 KNHC 221934
AF303 1203A BILL HDOB 41 20090822
192500 3610N 06850W 6970 02818 9616 +149 +128 271048 051 035 001 00
192530 3611N 06851W 6971 02812 9615 +146 +132 282037 042 034 001 00
192600 3612N 06853W 6971 02821 9620 +146 +137 293032 033 032 003 03
192630 3613N 06853W 6965 02824 9621 +142 +139 287028 029 025 001 03
192700 3615N 06853W 6971 02809 9614 +145 +140 282027 027 026 002 03
192730 3617N 06852W 6969 02815 9608 +145 +135 280023 025 022 003 03
192800 3618N 06851W 6970 02808 9604 +149 +130 274019 020 023 003 00
192830 3620N 06851W 6970 02806 9604 +146 +139 277012 015 020 003 00
192900 3622N 06851W 6967 02807 9597 +149 +141 265008 008 013 004 03
192930 3624N 06851W 6966 02805 9603 +145 +145 252005 006 006 004 03
193000 3625N 06851W 6973 02799 9604 +143 +143 170003 003 014 004 03
193030 3627N 06852W 6967 02810 9606 +142 +142 131005 006 015 006 03
193100 3629N 06851W 6963 02812 9608 +141 +141 134006 006 999 999 03
193130 3630N 06850W 6971 02803 9603 +144 +144 137007 008 012 005 00
193200 3631N 06848W 6970 02806 9607 +141 +141 146012 014 019 005 00
193230 3632N 06846W 6970 02806 9605 +140 +140 147015 016 025 004 00
193300 3632N 06844W 6967 02809 9604 +144 +144 147018 019 032 004 03
193330 3633N 06842W 6970 02806 9608 +142 +142 145023 025 031 003 03
193400 3634N 06841W 6970 02808 9607 +146 +135 141032 034 039 005 00
193430 3635N 06839W 6970 02812 9616 +140 +140 138039 042 044 004 00
$$
;

[HURAKAN]

Weird moves continue

[HURAKAN]

775
URNT15 KNHC 221944
AF303 1203A BILL HDOB 42 20090822
193500 3637N 06838W 6969 02820 9623 +140 +134 137045 047 051 004 00
193530 3638N 06836W 6970 02822 9633 +137 +128 132048 048 053 004 00
193600 3639N 06835W 6970 02825 9637 +138 +124 131052 053 056 005 00
193630 3640N 06833W 6970 02830 9649 +132 +132 130055 057 060 007 00
193700 3641N 06832W 6966 02845 9662 +126 +126 133058 059 059 008 00
193730 3643N 06830W 6971 02840 9660 +133 +133 135058 058 061 007 00
193800 3644N 06829W 6969 02853 9667 +131 +131 136060 060 061 009 00
193830 3645N 06827W 6967 02859 9681 +125 +125 138062 063 061 010 00
193900 3646N 06826W 6970 02866 9690 +120 +120 140065 065 060 010 01
193930 3647N 06824W 6964 02876 9990 +112 +999 144067 068 060 014 01
194000 3649N 06823W 6973 02874 9990 +105 +999 149079 083 061 019 01
194030 3650N 06821W 6964 02885 9990 +102 +999 151084 087 061 020 01
194100 3651N 06820W 6976 02884 9990 +095 +999 143086 090 060 021 01
194130 3652N 06818W 6974 02893 9990 +092 +999 134077 080 059 022 01
194200 3653N 06817W 6965 02907 9990 +090 +999 132072 075 059 020 01
194230 3654N 06816W 6966 02913 9990 +090 +999 133072 072 058 020 01
194300 3656N 06814W 6969 02915 9990 +091 +999 134073 073 058 017 01
194330 3657N 06813W 6969 02922 9990 +095 +999 133073 075 056 013 01
194400 3658N 06811W 6967 02926 9782 +106 +106 132076 076 058 011 00
194430 3659N 06810W 6970 02932 9796 +099 +099 134076 077 060 010 00
$$
;

[HURAKAN]

[artist]

Hi again everyone, just hoping someone can clear some stuff up for me.... I dug up some info regarding Jaun;

AT 6.00 AM ADT... TROPICAL STORM JUAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
48.0 N AND LONGITUDE 62.5 W... ABOUT 90 NAUTICAL MILES OR 165 KM
EAST SOUTHEAST OF GASPE.

JUAN MOVED THROUGH THE HALIFAX AREA SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. AT LEAST
ONE FATALITY WAS REPORTED. SOME BUILDINGS SUFFERED STRUCTURAL DAMAGE.
THERE WERE WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES AND NUMEROUS FALLEN TREE LIMBS.
WIND GUSTS TO 143 KM/H WERE REPORTED AT HALIFAX INTERNATIONAL
AIRPORT. IT STILL PACKED WINDS GUSTING TO 139 KM/H AS IT PASSED WEST
OF CHARLOTTETOWN SHORTLY AFTER 3 AM ADT.

This is the projected path it had or something.... km/h clocked at 102...

SEP 29 6.00 AM 48.0N 62.5W 997 55 102

This is what I'm wondering.....

bill's projected path or something.....

Aug 23 9.00 AM 42.1N 65.3W 980 75 139
Aug 23 3.00 PM 44.2N 62.6W 983 70 130
Aug 23 9.00 PM 46.1N 59.5W 987 65 120 transitioning

its max sustained winds are clearly stronger than what Juan had been projected for.... clearly... why are we not under a hurricane warning, is it because its not going to make landfall anywhere near NS and pass by Sable Island? Is that what is making the difference here or are we supposed to be preparing for another Juan? I am sooooooo confused

Welcome weatherwatcher1971! Hopefully soon one of the mets will drop by and see your post and can give you an answer.
Also we have a thread where we would love for you to post your observations and conditions there as you can.
viewtopic.php?f=59&t=106305
Good luck to you all and stay safe!

[HURAKAN]

397
URNT15 KNHC 221954
AF303 1203A BILL HDOB 43 20090822
194500 3700N 06808W 6970 02936 9809 +093 +093 135077 077 061 009 00
194530 3701N 06807W 6971 02939 9811 +095 +095 135077 077 061 008 00
194600 3702N 06806W 6970 02948 9807 +098 +098 137078 081 063 010 00
194630 3703N 06804W 6980 02940 9990 +087 +999 138083 085 063 017 01
194700 3705N 06803W 6969 02959 9990 +088 +999 137083 084 061 021 01
194730 3706N 06801W 6966 02967 9990 +090 +999 137082 083 061 014 01
194800 3707N 06800W 6971 02974 9990 +101 +999 141081 082 999 999 05
194830 3709N 06801W 6967 02982 9838 +105 +105 140078 080 999 999 03
194900 3709N 06803W 6970 02970 9830 +105 +105 139076 076 058 006 03
194930 3709N 06806W 6967 02964 9819 +107 +107 136074 074 058 007 00
195000 3709N 06809W 6971 02960 9816 +107 +107 134077 078 058 007 00
195030 3709N 06811W 6967 02958 9810 +109 +106 130077 078 059 005 00
195100 3710N 06814W 6969 02956 9802 +113 +105 127078 078 059 005 00
195130 3710N 06817W 6926 03001 9801 +106 +105 124078 079 056 004 00
195200 3710N 06820W 6809 03138 9808 +089 +089 118072 074 057 008 01
195230 3710N 06823W 6677 03298 9794 +084 +084 113072 073 056 008 01
195300 3710N 06825W 6521 03504 9990 +073 +999 112073 075 056 012 01
195330 3710N 06828W 6439 03610 9795 +076 +076 109069 070 054 012 00
195400 3711N 06831W 6442 03610 9794 +080 +063 107068 068 053 007 00
195430 3711N 06834W 6447 03595 9791 +080 +064 105067 068 053 006 00
$$
;

[HURAKAN]

304
URNT12 KNHC 221956
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL032009
A. 22/19:06:00Z
B. 36 deg 19 min N
068 deg 53 min W
C. 700 mb 2769 m
D. 60 kt
E. 231 deg 99 nm
F. 311 deg 66 kt
G. 231 deg 68 nm
H. 961 mb
I. 13 C / 3043 m
J. 15 C / 3047 m
K. 13 C / NA
L. POORLY DEFINED
M. C50
N. 12345 / 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF303 1203A BILL OB 13
MAX FL WIND 83 KT SE QUAD 16:57:00Z
MAX OUTBOUND FL WIND 90 KT NE QUAD 19:40:50Z
MAX FL TEMP 16 C 233 / 20 NM FROM FL CNTR
;

[KWT]

Yep looks like Bill is probably going to be a category-1 hurricane at landfall. Its structure still is pretty decent IMO though obviously the convection is become slowly more shallow as it starts to reach the cooler waters. Will be interesting to see just how hard it hits Nova Scotia which is starting to look increasingly likely.

[HURAKAN]

Pressure remains low, 961 mb

But FL winds are down to 90 knots

[x-y-no]

Just barely warm core:

I. 13 C / 3043 m
J. 15 C / 3047 m
K. 13 C / NA

[HURAKAN]

345
URNT15 KNHC 222004
AF303 1203A BILL HDOB 44 20090822
195500 3711N 06837W 6447 03596 9791 +080 +066 101065 066 051 007 00
195530 3711N 06840W 6446 03599 9794 +077 +069 099064 064 050 007 00
195600 3711N 06843W 6445 03598 9790 +080 +070 097062 063 050 007 00
195630 3711N 06846W 6435 03612 9804 +070 +070 094061 061 050 010 00
195700 3711N 06849W 6445 03603 9810 +068 +068 090060 061 050 011 00
195730 3712N 06852W 6445 03612 9811 +069 +069 087059 060 048 011 00
195800 3712N 06855W 6439 03617 9799 +078 +074 083056 057 048 009 00
195830 3712N 06858W 6442 03615 9804 +080 +070 080055 056 047 008 00
195900 3712N 06901W 6443 03618 9805 +078 +071 076056 056 046 007 00
195930 3712N 06904W 6443 03621 9812 +080 +066 074055 055 045 005 00
200000 3712N 06907W 6443 03623 9815 +076 +069 072055 055 045 003 00
200030 3713N 06910W 6368 03720 9820 +071 +069 069054 056 045 005 00
200100 3713N 06913W 6229 03907 9816 +064 +059 066052 054 044 004 00
200130 3713N 06916W 5998 04194 9799 +050 +037 059049 050 042 004 00
200200 3713N 06919W 5784 04494 9791 +030 +022 055047 048 043 002 00
200230 3713N 06922W 5585 04787 9792 +016 -000 055045 046 042 002 00
200300 3713N 06925W 5407 05062 0072 +007 -007 049047 051 043 002 00
200330 3713N 06928W 5241 05323 0098 +002 -018 043051 052 043 002 00
200400 3713N 06930W 5081 05574 0122 -004 -033 042050 051 043 002 00
200430 3714N 06933W 4908 05865 0151 -018 -046 037048 049 043 002 03
$$
;

Plane ascending

[HURAKAN]

[artist]

Hi again everyone, just hoping someone can clear some stuff up for me.... I dug up some info regarding Jaun;

AT 6.00 AM ADT... TROPICAL STORM JUAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
48.0 N AND LONGITUDE 62.5 W... ABOUT 90 NAUTICAL MILES OR 165 KM
EAST SOUTHEAST OF GASPE.

JUAN MOVED THROUGH THE HALIFAX AREA SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. AT LEAST
ONE FATALITY WAS REPORTED. SOME BUILDINGS SUFFERED STRUCTURAL DAMAGE.
THERE WERE WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES AND NUMEROUS FALLEN TREE LIMBS.
WIND GUSTS TO 143 KM/H WERE REPORTED AT HALIFAX INTERNATIONAL
AIRPORT. IT STILL PACKED WINDS GUSTING TO 139 KM/H AS IT PASSED WEST
OF CHARLOTTETOWN SHORTLY AFTER 3 AM ADT.

This is the projected path it had or something.... km/h clocked at 102...

SEP 29 6.00 AM 48.0N 62.5W 997 55 102

This is what I'm wondering.....

bill's projected path or something.....

Aug 23 9.00 AM 42.1N 65.3W 980 75 139
Aug 23 3.00 PM 44.2N 62.6W 983 70 130
Aug 23 9.00 PM 46.1N 59.5W 987 65 120 transitioning

its max sustained winds are clearly stronger than what Juan had been projected for.... clearly... why are we not under a hurricane warning, is it because its not going to make landfall anywhere near NS and pass by Sable Island? Is that what is making the difference here or are we supposed to be preparing for another Juan? I am sooooooo confused

Derek said to ask your question at this link and he will answer it for you-
viewtopic.php?f=29&t=106302&p=1910140#p1910140
Derek is a professional meteorologist.

[HURAKAN]

019
URNT15 KNHC 222014
AF303 1203A BILL HDOB 45 20090822
200500 3714N 06936W 4701 06207 0183 -033 -063 032049 050 999 999 03
200530 3714N 06938W 4589 06400 0199 -047 -071 026047 047 999 999 03
200600 3714N 06940W 4513 06525 0206 -055 -080 026045 046 043 003 03
200630 3714N 06943W 4444 06648 0212 -062 -088 025043 044 044 004 03
200700 3714N 06945W 4379 06758 0223 -069 -100 027043 044 044 004 00
200730 3714N 06948W 4329 06853 0234 -073 -109 027044 044 045 004 00
200800 3714N 06950W 4284 06937 0243 -075 -118 027044 045 044 004 00
200830 3714N 06953W 4238 07024 0251 -082 -124 026043 043 045 005 00
200900 3714N 06955W 4194 07106 0262 -087 -128 027041 041 046 006 00
200930 3715N 06958W 4150 07192 0269 -094 -128 026039 040 047 007 00
201000 3715N 07001W 4105 07277 0279 -100 -126 026037 038 049 012 00
201030 3715N 07003W 4064 07355 0286 -101 -109 027039 040 051 018 00
201100 3715N 07006W 4029 07435 0296 -102 -102 030039 040 050 022 00
201130 3715N 07009W 3993 07502 0307 -111 -113 038041 042 048 012 00
201200 3715N 07011W 3958 07571 0314 -115 -120 037039 040 044 008 00
201230 3715N 07014W 3938 07609 0320 -120 -123 035036 039 042 007 00
201300 3715N 07016W 3925 07640 0324 -123 -130 034034 036 041 003 00
201330 3715N 07019W 3925 07641 0323 -124 -136 034030 031 040 002 00
201400 3715N 07021W 3926 07638 0324 -123 -131 035030 031 045 009 00
201430 3716N 07024W 3926 07635 0324 -125 -128 033030 031 045 014 00
$$
;

Mission over