17 Years Ago...South Florida
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17 Years Ago...South Florida
Just like in 2009, August 22 was a Saturday back in 1992. Almost to the minute, this was the Hurricane Andrew 8pm advisory back in '92...17 years ago. At 8pm on Saturday, the pressure was 974 mb. By 5am Sunday, that reading would drop to 947 mb....down 27mb in 9 hours! By 2pm Sunday, the pressure was down to 922 mb, down another 25 mb in just 7 hours!
HURRICANE ANDREW INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 24A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM EDT SAT AUG 22 1992
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS FROM ANDROS ISLAND AND ELEUTHERA ISLAND
NORTHWARD.
A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
FROM TITUSVILLE SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE FLORIDA KEYS INCLUDING DRY
TORTUGAS.
HURRICANE ANDREW CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD TOWARD THE BAHAMAS AND
FLORIDA. HURRICANE CONDITIONS COULD BE EXPERIENCED IN THE NORTHWEST
BAHAMAS LATE SUNDAY AND IN FLORIDA SOMETIME MONDAY.
AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF ANDREW WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.0 WEST OR ABOUT 575 MILES
...930 KM...EAST OF MIAMI FLORIDA.
ANDREW IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR... AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...AND
SOME FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 85 MILES...140 KM.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 974 MB...28.76 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 8 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL WITH DANGEROUS
WAVE ACTION IS POSSIBLE FOR SOME PORTIONS OF THE NW BAHAMAS.
REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION 25.8 N...71.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD
...WEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM EDT.
LAWRENCE
HURRICANE ANDREW INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 24A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM EDT SAT AUG 22 1992
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS FROM ANDROS ISLAND AND ELEUTHERA ISLAND
NORTHWARD.
A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
FROM TITUSVILLE SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE FLORIDA KEYS INCLUDING DRY
TORTUGAS.
HURRICANE ANDREW CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD TOWARD THE BAHAMAS AND
FLORIDA. HURRICANE CONDITIONS COULD BE EXPERIENCED IN THE NORTHWEST
BAHAMAS LATE SUNDAY AND IN FLORIDA SOMETIME MONDAY.
AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF ANDREW WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.0 WEST OR ABOUT 575 MILES
...930 KM...EAST OF MIAMI FLORIDA.
ANDREW IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR... AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...AND
SOME FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 85 MILES...140 KM.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 974 MB...28.76 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 8 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL WITH DANGEROUS
WAVE ACTION IS POSSIBLE FOR SOME PORTIONS OF THE NW BAHAMAS.
REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION 25.8 N...71.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD
...WEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM EDT.
LAWRENCE
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Re: 17 Years Ago...South Florida
SATURDAY AUGUST 22, 1992 5PM ADVISORY
ADVISORY NUMBER 24 HURRICANE ANDREW
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 MILES OF
LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT TUE AUG 25 1992
On Saturday evening, 8/22/92, the threat wasn't just to miami...there was still uncertainty about where Andrew would make landfall in florida....
MARATHON FL 19%
KEY WEST FL 18%
MIAMI FL 21%
W PALM BEACH FL 20%
FT PIERCE FL 18%
COCOA BEACH FL 16%
DAYTONA BEACH FL 13%
JACKSONVILLE FL 9%
And even by this time on 8/22. the threat of Andrew's 2nd landfall began to emerge:
ST MARKS FL 10%
APALACHICOLA FL 11%
PENSACOLA FL 9%
MOBILE AL 8%
GULFPORT MS 8%
BURAS LA 8%
NEW ORLEANS LA 7%
NEW IBERIA LA 5%
PORT ARTHUR TX 3%
GALVESTON TX 3%
ADVISORY NUMBER 24 HURRICANE ANDREW
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 MILES OF
LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT TUE AUG 25 1992
On Saturday evening, 8/22/92, the threat wasn't just to miami...there was still uncertainty about where Andrew would make landfall in florida....
MARATHON FL 19%
KEY WEST FL 18%
MIAMI FL 21%
W PALM BEACH FL 20%
FT PIERCE FL 18%
COCOA BEACH FL 16%
DAYTONA BEACH FL 13%
JACKSONVILLE FL 9%
And even by this time on 8/22. the threat of Andrew's 2nd landfall began to emerge:
ST MARKS FL 10%
APALACHICOLA FL 11%
PENSACOLA FL 9%
MOBILE AL 8%
GULFPORT MS 8%
BURAS LA 8%
NEW ORLEANS LA 7%
NEW IBERIA LA 5%
PORT ARTHUR TX 3%
GALVESTON TX 3%
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Re: 17 Years Ago...South Florida
If you want to see the Andrew TV coverage, I posted the link to some YouTube videos in this thread:
viewtopic.php?f=31&t=106174
viewtopic.php?f=31&t=106174
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- srainhoutx
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 6919
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- Joined: Sun Jan 14, 2007 11:34 am
- Location: Haywood County, NC
- Contact:
Re: 17 Years Ago...South Florida
I was busy writing an SOP for my "employer". A dear friend worked Andrew for 10 months. Memories. It was amazing to see the scares while living in the Lower Keys.
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Re: 17 Years Ago...South Florida
Continuing the 'real-time' + 17 years chain...
HURRICANE ANDREW ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT AUG 22 1992
...ANDREW SLOWLY STRENGTHENING AND MOVING WESTWARD...
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE
NORTHWEST BAHAMAS FROM ANDROS AND ELEUTHERA ISLANDS NORTHWARD.
A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM
TITUSVILLE SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE FLORIDA KEYS INCLUDING DRY
TORTUGAS.
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ANDREW WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.9 WEST OR ABOUT 520 MILES
...840 KM...EAST OF MIAMI FLORIDA.
ANDREW IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH ...22 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS BRINGS
HURRICANE CONDITIONS TO THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS SUNDAY AND TO FLORIDA
ON MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW AT 110 MPH...175 KM/HR...AND THERE
CONTINUES THE POSSIBILITY FOR ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING ON SUNDAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 85 MILES...140 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 959 MB...28.32 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 10 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS WAVE ACTION IS EXPECTED IN THE NORTHWEST
BAHAMAS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM.
REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...25.6 N... 71.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD ...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 959 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY
ISSUANCE AT 5 AM EDT...SUNDAY.
LAWRENCE
HURRICANE ANDREW DISCUSSION NUMBER 25
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT AUG 22 1992
RECON AND SATELLITE INDICATE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW 265/12...NOT MUCH
OF A CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS ADVISORY. 12Z QLM AND THE THREE BAMS SHOW
A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST WHILE NHC90 KEEPS A DUE
WESTWARD MOTION WITH DECELERATION. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS
FOR DUE WESTWARD MOTION THROUGH 36 HOURS FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST WITHOUT DECELERATION. THIS IS A LITTLE
MORE IN AGREEMENT WITH THE AVIATION MODEL. THIS BRINGS THE
HURRICANE ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS IN 24 HOURS AND ACROSS
SOMEWHERE IN SOUTH FLORIDA IN 36 TO 48 HOURS AND INTO THE GULF OF
MEXICO AFTER THAT.
A RECON DROPSONDE MEASURED 959 MB SURFACE PRESSURE AND A PEAK 700 MB
WIND OF 121 KNOTS WAS REPORTED. THE OFFICIAL MAX WIND IS INCREASED
TO 95 KNOTS ON THIS BASIS AND IS FORECAST TO REACH 100 KNOTS IN 12
HOURS. IT COULD GO EVEN HIGHER BEFORE AFFECTING LAND BUT THIS IS
NOT REFLECTED IN THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME.
LAWRENCE
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 23/0300Z 25.6N 71.9W 95 KTS
12HR VT 23/1200Z 25.5N 74.0W 100 KTS
24HR VT 24/0000Z 25.5N 76.8W 100 KTS
36HR VT 24/1200Z 25.5N 80.0W 100 KTS
48HR VT 25/0000Z 26.0N 83.0W 70 KTS
72HR VT 26/0000Z 27.5N 87.0W 85 KTS
HURRICANE ANDREW ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT AUG 22 1992
...ANDREW SLOWLY STRENGTHENING AND MOVING WESTWARD...
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE
NORTHWEST BAHAMAS FROM ANDROS AND ELEUTHERA ISLANDS NORTHWARD.
A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM
TITUSVILLE SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE FLORIDA KEYS INCLUDING DRY
TORTUGAS.
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ANDREW WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.9 WEST OR ABOUT 520 MILES
...840 KM...EAST OF MIAMI FLORIDA.
ANDREW IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH ...22 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS BRINGS
HURRICANE CONDITIONS TO THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS SUNDAY AND TO FLORIDA
ON MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW AT 110 MPH...175 KM/HR...AND THERE
CONTINUES THE POSSIBILITY FOR ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING ON SUNDAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 85 MILES...140 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 959 MB...28.32 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 10 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS WAVE ACTION IS EXPECTED IN THE NORTHWEST
BAHAMAS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM.
REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...25.6 N... 71.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD ...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 959 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY
ISSUANCE AT 5 AM EDT...SUNDAY.
LAWRENCE
HURRICANE ANDREW DISCUSSION NUMBER 25
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT AUG 22 1992
RECON AND SATELLITE INDICATE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW 265/12...NOT MUCH
OF A CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS ADVISORY. 12Z QLM AND THE THREE BAMS SHOW
A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST WHILE NHC90 KEEPS A DUE
WESTWARD MOTION WITH DECELERATION. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS
FOR DUE WESTWARD MOTION THROUGH 36 HOURS FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST WITHOUT DECELERATION. THIS IS A LITTLE
MORE IN AGREEMENT WITH THE AVIATION MODEL. THIS BRINGS THE
HURRICANE ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS IN 24 HOURS AND ACROSS
SOMEWHERE IN SOUTH FLORIDA IN 36 TO 48 HOURS AND INTO THE GULF OF
MEXICO AFTER THAT.
A RECON DROPSONDE MEASURED 959 MB SURFACE PRESSURE AND A PEAK 700 MB
WIND OF 121 KNOTS WAS REPORTED. THE OFFICIAL MAX WIND IS INCREASED
TO 95 KNOTS ON THIS BASIS AND IS FORECAST TO REACH 100 KNOTS IN 12
HOURS. IT COULD GO EVEN HIGHER BEFORE AFFECTING LAND BUT THIS IS
NOT REFLECTED IN THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME.
LAWRENCE
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 23/0300Z 25.6N 71.9W 95 KTS
12HR VT 23/1200Z 25.5N 74.0W 100 KTS
24HR VT 24/0000Z 25.5N 76.8W 100 KTS
36HR VT 24/1200Z 25.5N 80.0W 100 KTS
48HR VT 25/0000Z 26.0N 83.0W 70 KTS
72HR VT 26/0000Z 27.5N 87.0W 85 KTS
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Re: 17 Years Ago...South Florida
HURRICANE ANDREW ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SUN AUG 23 1992
...DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE HEADING FOR SOUTH FLORIDA...
HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST
BAHAMAS.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA
FROM VERO BEACH SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE FLORIDA KEYS TO THE DRY
TORTUGAS... AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH IS IN
EFFECT NORTH OF VERO BEACH TO TITUSVILLE FLORIDA. ALSO... A
HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM
SOUTH OF BAYPORT... WHICH INCLUDES THE GREATER TAMPA AREA...TO NORTH
OF FLAMINGO.
ALL PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY...INCLUDING EVACUATIONS
ORDERED BY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS...SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ANDREW WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.0 WEST OR ABOUT 330 MILES
...530 KM...EAST OF MIAMI FLORIDA.
ANDREW IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE
CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD OVER THE NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS TODAY
...AND ON THE PRESENT COURSE SHOULD REACH THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF
FLORIDA IN THE PREDAWN HOURS ON MONDAY.
THIS IS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE
LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
30 MILES... 45 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT WAS 930
MB...27.46 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 14 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ARE
POSSIBLE FOR SOME LOCATIONS IN THE NW BAHAMAS...WITH UP TO 18 FEET
POSSIBLE FOR THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF ELEUTHERA ISLAND. STORM SURGES
OF 7 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE FLORIDA
COAST AND KEYS NEAR TO WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL IN SOUTH
FLORIDA...WITH POSSIBLE HEIGHTS OF 9 TO 13 FEET IN BISCAYNE BAY.
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...25.4 N... 75.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD
...WEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 930 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY
ISSUANCE AT 5 PM EDT.
MAYFIELD
HURRICANE ANDREW DISCUSSION NUMBER 28
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SUN AUG 23 1992
AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT PLANE CONTINUES TO REPORT LOWER
PRESSURE...DOWN TO 930 MB. ANDREW IS UPGRADED TO A CAT 4 HURRICANE
ON THIS ADVISORY. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A VERY SMALL EYE...AND WE
WILL PROBABLY SEE SOME FLUCTUATIONS BETWEEN NOW AND LANDFALL...BUT
THE INTENSITY FORECAST STILL CALLS FOR A CAT 4 HURRICANE AT LANDFALL
ON THE FLORIDA SOUTHEAST COAST. THE HURRICANE WILL LIKELY WEAKEN
ONE CATEGORY OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...BUT COULD AGAIN STRENGTHEN
IN THE GULF OF MEXICO.
INITIAL MOTION IS 270/14. NMC AVIATION MODEL SHOWS THE MID/UPPER
LEVEL LOW OVER THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WEAKENING WITH TIME...AND
A RIDGE CONTINUING TO THE NORTH OF ANDREW. THIS TRACK IS BASICALLY
AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK...WITH THE USUAL UNCERTAINTY AT THE
LONGER TIME PERIODS. BAM MODELS ARE TO THE RIGHT OF OUR OFFICIAL
TRACK AND NHC90 IS TO THE LEFT OF OUR OFFICIAL TRACK AT THE LONGER
TIME PERIODS.
MAYFIELD
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 23/1500Z 25.4N 75.0W 115 KTS
12HR VT 24/0000Z 25.4N 77.3W 120 KTS
24HR VT 24/1200Z 25.5N 80.3W 120 KTS
36HR VT 25/0000Z 26.1N 83.3W 100 KTS
48HR VT 25/1200Z 26.9N 86.2W 105 KTS
72HR VT 26/1200Z 28.5N 91.0W 110 KTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SUN AUG 23 1992
...DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE HEADING FOR SOUTH FLORIDA...
HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST
BAHAMAS.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA
FROM VERO BEACH SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE FLORIDA KEYS TO THE DRY
TORTUGAS... AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH IS IN
EFFECT NORTH OF VERO BEACH TO TITUSVILLE FLORIDA. ALSO... A
HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM
SOUTH OF BAYPORT... WHICH INCLUDES THE GREATER TAMPA AREA...TO NORTH
OF FLAMINGO.
ALL PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY...INCLUDING EVACUATIONS
ORDERED BY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS...SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ANDREW WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.0 WEST OR ABOUT 330 MILES
...530 KM...EAST OF MIAMI FLORIDA.
ANDREW IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE
CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD OVER THE NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS TODAY
...AND ON THE PRESENT COURSE SHOULD REACH THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF
FLORIDA IN THE PREDAWN HOURS ON MONDAY.
THIS IS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE
LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
30 MILES... 45 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT WAS 930
MB...27.46 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 14 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ARE
POSSIBLE FOR SOME LOCATIONS IN THE NW BAHAMAS...WITH UP TO 18 FEET
POSSIBLE FOR THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF ELEUTHERA ISLAND. STORM SURGES
OF 7 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE FLORIDA
COAST AND KEYS NEAR TO WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL IN SOUTH
FLORIDA...WITH POSSIBLE HEIGHTS OF 9 TO 13 FEET IN BISCAYNE BAY.
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...25.4 N... 75.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD
...WEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 930 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY
ISSUANCE AT 5 PM EDT.
MAYFIELD
HURRICANE ANDREW DISCUSSION NUMBER 28
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SUN AUG 23 1992
AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT PLANE CONTINUES TO REPORT LOWER
PRESSURE...DOWN TO 930 MB. ANDREW IS UPGRADED TO A CAT 4 HURRICANE
ON THIS ADVISORY. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A VERY SMALL EYE...AND WE
WILL PROBABLY SEE SOME FLUCTUATIONS BETWEEN NOW AND LANDFALL...BUT
THE INTENSITY FORECAST STILL CALLS FOR A CAT 4 HURRICANE AT LANDFALL
ON THE FLORIDA SOUTHEAST COAST. THE HURRICANE WILL LIKELY WEAKEN
ONE CATEGORY OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...BUT COULD AGAIN STRENGTHEN
IN THE GULF OF MEXICO.
INITIAL MOTION IS 270/14. NMC AVIATION MODEL SHOWS THE MID/UPPER
LEVEL LOW OVER THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WEAKENING WITH TIME...AND
A RIDGE CONTINUING TO THE NORTH OF ANDREW. THIS TRACK IS BASICALLY
AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK...WITH THE USUAL UNCERTAINTY AT THE
LONGER TIME PERIODS. BAM MODELS ARE TO THE RIGHT OF OUR OFFICIAL
TRACK AND NHC90 IS TO THE LEFT OF OUR OFFICIAL TRACK AT THE LONGER
TIME PERIODS.
MAYFIELD
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 23/1500Z 25.4N 75.0W 115 KTS
12HR VT 24/0000Z 25.4N 77.3W 120 KTS
24HR VT 24/1200Z 25.5N 80.3W 120 KTS
36HR VT 25/0000Z 26.1N 83.3W 100 KTS
48HR VT 25/1200Z 26.9N 86.2W 105 KTS
72HR VT 26/1200Z 28.5N 91.0W 110 KTS
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Yes, just this morning the thought came to mind that the 2009 calendar is the same as the 1992, so it was 17 years ago this second that I was about to head over to my sister's sister-in-law's house in Kendall to help them with their plywood shutters...
Actually, though both of us were totally inexperienced at putting them up (they had a neighbor do all the cutting and pre-drilling), all of them held except one...
It turned out their house, built around 30 years ago, had a design flaw that permitted the dual front doors to open inward (also not good security-wise), so, since the house was facing east, during the west side of Andrew both doors burst open, and...
From what their neighbors told us when we returned 48 hours later, they could see their doors burst open, which caused a single sliding glass door panel to shatter from the tremendous air pressure, and off flew the one plywood shutter, and...
To their amazement, the entire contents of their living room - including their sectional couch - somehow managed to pass through that single opening at high speed, into their backyard...
In additon to finding everything in their backyard, we found about a ton of grass in their living room - including a large roof air vent that did not belong to their house...
Incredibly, as you sometimes hear with tornadoes, a small basket filled with newspaper coupons was left untouched on their counter top...
It was by God's grace that we evacuated on Sunday afternoon (since, being in an "inland" area, we were torn as to whether it was necessary), since my sister's in-laws probably would have been terrified by the experience.
The same could be said of myself and my rented house, 1.5 miles south-southeast of them and 3 miles north of Metrozoo, which was left with half a roof missing (my bedroom became part of the backyard, includidng the entire contents of the crowded attic, which managed to disappear into the Everglades), so, my advice is don't be too proud to evacuate - but give yourself as much time as possible...
Frank
Actually, though both of us were totally inexperienced at putting them up (they had a neighbor do all the cutting and pre-drilling), all of them held except one...
It turned out their house, built around 30 years ago, had a design flaw that permitted the dual front doors to open inward (also not good security-wise), so, since the house was facing east, during the west side of Andrew both doors burst open, and...
From what their neighbors told us when we returned 48 hours later, they could see their doors burst open, which caused a single sliding glass door panel to shatter from the tremendous air pressure, and off flew the one plywood shutter, and...
To their amazement, the entire contents of their living room - including their sectional couch - somehow managed to pass through that single opening at high speed, into their backyard...
In additon to finding everything in their backyard, we found about a ton of grass in their living room - including a large roof air vent that did not belong to their house...
Incredibly, as you sometimes hear with tornadoes, a small basket filled with newspaper coupons was left untouched on their counter top...
It was by God's grace that we evacuated on Sunday afternoon (since, being in an "inland" area, we were torn as to whether it was necessary), since my sister's in-laws probably would have been terrified by the experience.
The same could be said of myself and my rented house, 1.5 miles south-southeast of them and 3 miles north of Metrozoo, which was left with half a roof missing (my bedroom became part of the backyard, includidng the entire contents of the crowded attic, which managed to disappear into the Everglades), so, my advice is don't be too proud to evacuate - but give yourself as much time as possible...
Frank
Last edited by Frank2 on Sun Aug 23, 2009 10:34 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Thanks for sharing your personal Andrew story.....puts a face on the 'science' of the storm. When I saw that the days of the week were the same in 1992 as in 2009, it really hit me that we are talking 17 years ago to the minute.
Frank2 wrote:Yes, just this morning the thought came to mind that the 2009 calendar is the same as the 1992, so it was 17 years ago this second that I was about to head over to my sister's sister-in-law's house in Kendall to help them with their plywood shutters...
Actually, though both of us were totally inexperienced at putting them up (they had a neighbor do all the cutting and pre-drilling), all of them held except one...
It turned out their house, built around 30 years ago, had a design flaw that permitted the dual front doors to open inward (also not good security-wise), so, since the house was facing east, during the west side of Andrew both doors burst open, and...
From what their neighbors told us when we returned 48 hours later, they could see their doors burst open, which caused a single sliding glass door panel to shatter from the tremendous air pressure, and off flew the one plywood shutter, and...
To their amazement, the entire contents of their living room - including their sectional couch somehow managed to pass through that single opening at high speed, into their backyard...
We found about a ton of grass in their living room - including a large roof air vent that did not belong to their house...
Incredibly, as you sometimes hear with tornadoes, a small basket filled with newspaper coupons was left untouched on their counter top...
It was by God's grace that we evacuated on Sunday afternoon, since my sister's in-laws probably would have been terrified at the experience.
The same could be said of myself and my rented house, 1.5 miles south-southeast of them, which was left with half a roof missing (my bedroom became part of the backyard, includidng the entire contents of the crowded attic, which managed to disappear into the Everglades), so, my advice is don't be too proud to evacuate - but give yourself as much time as possible...
Frank
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You're welcome - I'm sure many are reminded of this day, and it's important to share these painful memories, since they contain many stories that are of use to those who might face similar situations (per the Andrew Storm Stories episodes, etc.)...
It was the irony of ironies, since many of the HRD and NHC folks also ended up displaced, so it was a case of the Doctor needing a Physician (or something like that)...
Frank
It was the irony of ironies, since many of the HRD and NHC folks also ended up displaced, so it was a case of the Doctor needing a Physician (or something like that)...
Frank
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what is amazing is how much forecasting has advanced during that time
today, Andrew would be a bust of epic proportions. Less than 21 hours for a hurricane warning for a cat 5 would be unacceptable (the latest the warning would have been issued today likely would have been 0300 UTC Aug 23) and the track forecasts then were very good, today awful.
Also, how much we learned about the surface winds compared to FL winds. Today, people would have went to be with a strong cat 3, not a cat 2 and woke up with a very strong cat 4, not a mid cat 3. Of course, once the winds reached 175 mph at 1800 UTC the level of panic may have been significantly greater than it was
today, Andrew would be a bust of epic proportions. Less than 21 hours for a hurricane warning for a cat 5 would be unacceptable (the latest the warning would have been issued today likely would have been 0300 UTC Aug 23) and the track forecasts then were very good, today awful.
Also, how much we learned about the surface winds compared to FL winds. Today, people would have went to be with a strong cat 3, not a cat 2 and woke up with a very strong cat 4, not a mid cat 3. Of course, once the winds reached 175 mph at 1800 UTC the level of panic may have been significantly greater than it was
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I have wondered that....do you think the nhc was too slow to put out warnings....there really wasn't much lead time.
I wasn't in south florida at the time, but correct me if i am wrong....wasn't the thinking of miami-dade/broward landfall at first....of course, with the typical margin of error, the actual landfall wasn't far off.....but due to the small size and huge strength, 30 miles made a difference. What was the surge like on South Beach? I used to work at the Port of Miami.....can't imagine how bad it would have been there in terms of surge inundation with landfall 20 or 30 miles north.
It's less interesting....but what was the storm like in broward in terms of wind? I take it, Wilma was quite a bit worse overall for Broward than Andrew?
I wasn't in south florida at the time, but correct me if i am wrong....wasn't the thinking of miami-dade/broward landfall at first....of course, with the typical margin of error, the actual landfall wasn't far off.....but due to the small size and huge strength, 30 miles made a difference. What was the surge like on South Beach? I used to work at the Port of Miami.....can't imagine how bad it would have been there in terms of surge inundation with landfall 20 or 30 miles north.
It's less interesting....but what was the storm like in broward in terms of wind? I take it, Wilma was quite a bit worse overall for Broward than Andrew?
Derek Ortt wrote:what is amazing is how much forecasting has advanced during that time
today, Andrew would be a bust of epic proportions. Less than 21 hours for a hurricane warning for a cat 5 would be unacceptable (the latest the warning would have been issued today likely would have been 0300 UTC Aug 23) and the track forecasts then were very good, today awful.
Also, how much we learned about the surface winds compared to FL winds. Today, people would have went to be with a strong cat 3, not a cat 2 and woke up with a very strong cat 4, not a mid cat 3. Of course, once the winds reached 175 mph at 1800 UTC the level of panic may have been significantly greater than it was
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I can answer that - I stayed at my sister's house in Boca Raton (southern Palm Beach County) and we only had two strong rain squalls (in other words, nothing really), and, we didn't really see any serious damage until we reached Bird Road in Dade County on Tuesday morning - that's when "winter" began, as seen from the Turnpike, since all trees were denunded and everything (including the buildings) seemed to be cut down to a height of 6-8 feet...
What was funny in an odd way were all of those green highway signs - they were blank because the letters were blown away!
From what I heard, there was damage on South Miami Beach, Key Biscayne and Coconut Grove, but, except for Cape Florida State Park (Key Biscayne) the very serious damage did not seem to begin until south of a Bird Road line - I really didn't hear of damage to the Port of Miami, though one yacht ended up on Main Highway in Coconut Grove (and a number of smaller vessels sank in Dinner Key Marina)...
Anyway, that's what I recall and was told by those at the HRD and other friends in Miami, but was very fortunate to return to Boca Raton until being relocated to Pembroke Pines, 10 days later, since many who did stay suffered the nighttime lawlessness of living in South Dade in the following weeks, which rivaled New Orleans after Katrina...
As Brian Norcross has often said, they are painful memories, but hopefully we've all learned something from the experience...
Frank
What was funny in an odd way were all of those green highway signs - they were blank because the letters were blown away!
From what I heard, there was damage on South Miami Beach, Key Biscayne and Coconut Grove, but, except for Cape Florida State Park (Key Biscayne) the very serious damage did not seem to begin until south of a Bird Road line - I really didn't hear of damage to the Port of Miami, though one yacht ended up on Main Highway in Coconut Grove (and a number of smaller vessels sank in Dinner Key Marina)...
Anyway, that's what I recall and was told by those at the HRD and other friends in Miami, but was very fortunate to return to Boca Raton until being relocated to Pembroke Pines, 10 days later, since many who did stay suffered the nighttime lawlessness of living in South Dade in the following weeks, which rivaled New Orleans after Katrina...
As Brian Norcross has often said, they are painful memories, but hopefully we've all learned something from the experience...
Frank
Last edited by Frank2 on Sun Aug 23, 2009 11:41 am, edited 4 times in total.
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Re: 17 Years Ago...South Florida
i remember today in 1992 i was working at publix supermarket as bagboy manger told me to be at work early so will have alot bagboy when door open their was people already waiting for store to open it was real cazy that day people were parking at hialeah drive blocking road and cross street were ever their was space i during my break i remember checking on hurr andrew their saying hurr was still getting stronger everyone eye open up when heard that customer were radio my radio their close publix at 7pm i want home one hour and want to my family house that mom/dad felt more safer at
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Re:
I came down here in 1995 to go to UM...i remember looking at some places to live in Kendall and seeing "Andrew trees" everywhere....twisted and contorted skeletons of their former glory....even 3 years later.
Frank2 wrote:I can answer that - I stayed at my sister's house in Boca Raton (southern Palm Beach County) and we only had two strong rain squalls (in other words, nothing really), and, we didn't really see any serious damage until we reached Bird Road in Dade County on Tuesday morning - that's when "winter" began, as seen from the Turnpike, since all trees were denunded and everything (including the buildings) seemed to be cut down to a height of 6-8 feet...
What was funny in an odd way were all of those green highway signs - they were blank because the letters were blown away!
From what I heard, there was damage on South Miami Beach, Key Biscayne and Coconut Grove, but, except for Cape Florida State Park (Key Biscayne) the very serious damage did not seem to begin until south of a Bird Road line - I really didn't hear of damage to the Port of Miami, with the exception of the yacht that ended up on Main Highway in Coconut Grove (and a number of smaller vessels that sank in Dinner Key Marina)...
Anyway, that's what I recall and was told by those at the HRD and other friends in Miami, but was very fortunate to return to Boca Raton until being relocated to Pembroke Pines, 10 days later, since many suffered the nighttime lawlessness of living in South Dade in the weeks following, which rivaled New Orleans after Katrina...
As Brian Norcross has often said, they are painful memories, but hopefully we've all learned something from the experience...
Frank
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That's probaby looking south on SW 127 Avenue (from Bird Road), since the powerlines are along the east side of that road when going south...
Yep, Bird Road seemed to be the dividing line between minor (Wilma-type) damage and more serious damage, though it was not until south of Kendall Drive (SW 88 Street) that the "fun" really began, since the northern edge of the eyewall reached Kendall Drive...
P.S. Look at that "classic" car!
Frank
Yep, Bird Road seemed to be the dividing line between minor (Wilma-type) damage and more serious damage, though it was not until south of Kendall Drive (SW 88 Street) that the "fun" really began, since the northern edge of the eyewall reached Kendall Drive...
P.S. Look at that "classic" car!
Frank
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Re: 17 Years Ago...South Florida
Oops - the caption says SW 107 Avenue - it's been 17 years!!!
LOL
LOL
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Re: 17 Years Ago...South Florida
[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ma3r-zhny3k[/youtube]
Classic video
Classic video
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Re: 17 Years Ago...South Florida
For those not from the area, HWY 41 becomes SW 8th street as it runs east into downtown miami...downtown and points north dodged the worst....barely. The headquarters for Burger King (since rebuilt closer to Miami Airport) didn't fare so well.

Burger King headquarters post-Andrew....definition of the word 'gutted'


Burger King headquarters post-Andrew....definition of the word 'gutted'

Last edited by jinftl on Sun Aug 23, 2009 12:19 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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