ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANNY (05L)
Moderator: S2k Moderators
- deltadog03
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 3580
- Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 6:16 pm
- Location: Macon, GA
- storms NC
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 247
- Age: 69
- Joined: Tue Sep 14, 2004 2:41 pm
- Location: Coast of NC & southwest coast of Fla
Re: ATL: Invest 92L
Blown_away wrote:Looks like the convection is wrapping around a broad area near 23.7N / 67 W.
I was thinking more like 64.5 and 23 .7 there about Is where I thought the low was to me. But like some one said wait 24 hours and see. It could be a TD now. They will let us know soon from recon. I don't think they will find it close.
Last edited by storms NC on Tue Aug 25, 2009 4:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes
-
- Category 2
- Posts: 583
- Age: 62
- Joined: Tue May 13, 2008 11:56 am
- Location: Southwest Louisiana
Re: ATL: Invest 92L
Though it lacks organization, the overall size of this disturbance is impressive.
0 likes
- gatorcane
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 23691
- Age: 47
- Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
- Location: Boca Raton, FL
Re:
Derek Ortt wrote:the yellow center has a very very very small surface circulation (I had to really blow up 1km visible imagery to see it). However, it is likely a local eddy due to the convection and not a TC
Thanks Derek.
0 likes
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145318
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL : Invest 92L - Recon Thread
More east winds and more 50kt winds at flight level and at SMFR.
URNT15 KNHC 252130
AF302 01AAA INVEST HDOB 17 20090825
212030 2431N 06449W 9768 00332 0148 +206 +151 098050 051 050 006 00
212100 2431N 06448W 9773 00328 0150 +207 +149 100052 053 049 005 00
212130 2431N 06446W 9765 00336 0151 +209 +147 100049 052 048 006 00
212200 2432N 06445W 9772 00330 0152 +204 +146 101045 048 046 007 00
212230 2432N 06444W 9781 00324 0153 +207 +144 100051 054 048 005 00
212300 2432N 06443W 9759 00342 0153 +207 +143 102047 048 045 007 00
212330 2433N 06441W 9782 00321 0153 +210 +143 101050 051 046 007 00
212400 2433N 06440W 9761 00342 0154 +208 +143 102049 053 046 006 00
212430 2433N 06439W 9768 00336 0153 +207 +143 100049 050 046 008 00
212500 2434N 06438W 9771 00334 0153 +210 +143 102049 050 047 007 00
212530 2434N 06436W 9778 00328 0155 +210 +143 099050 051 047 006 00
212600 2434N 06435W 9765 00341 0155 +211 +144 100049 052 045 006 00
212630 2435N 06434W 9762 00342 0155 +211 +145 100045 047 045 007 00
212700 2435N 06433W 9777 00330 0156 +213 +146 099048 049 044 006 00
212730 2435N 06431W 9765 00339 0156 +214 +147 099048 050 046 007 00
212800 2436N 06430W 9768 00338 0155 +214 +148 097049 052 045 009 00
212830 2436N 06429W 9764 00342 0155 +213 +149 097049 050 046 005 00
212900 2436N 06428W 9774 00333 0155 +215 +151 098052 055 052 003 00
212930 2437N 06426W 9770 00334 0154 +215 +152 099052 054 047 005 00
213000 2437N 06425W 9772 00335 0154 +214 +154 100052 054 050 005 00
URNT15 KNHC 252130
AF302 01AAA INVEST HDOB 17 20090825
212030 2431N 06449W 9768 00332 0148 +206 +151 098050 051 050 006 00
212100 2431N 06448W 9773 00328 0150 +207 +149 100052 053 049 005 00
212130 2431N 06446W 9765 00336 0151 +209 +147 100049 052 048 006 00
212200 2432N 06445W 9772 00330 0152 +204 +146 101045 048 046 007 00
212230 2432N 06444W 9781 00324 0153 +207 +144 100051 054 048 005 00
212300 2432N 06443W 9759 00342 0153 +207 +143 102047 048 045 007 00
212330 2433N 06441W 9782 00321 0153 +210 +143 101050 051 046 007 00
212400 2433N 06440W 9761 00342 0154 +208 +143 102049 053 046 006 00
212430 2433N 06439W 9768 00336 0153 +207 +143 100049 050 046 008 00
212500 2434N 06438W 9771 00334 0153 +210 +143 102049 050 047 007 00
212530 2434N 06436W 9778 00328 0155 +210 +143 099050 051 047 006 00
212600 2434N 06435W 9765 00341 0155 +211 +144 100049 052 045 006 00
212630 2435N 06434W 9762 00342 0155 +211 +145 100045 047 045 007 00
212700 2435N 06433W 9777 00330 0156 +213 +146 099048 049 044 006 00
212730 2435N 06431W 9765 00339 0156 +214 +147 099048 050 046 007 00
212800 2436N 06430W 9768 00338 0155 +214 +148 097049 052 045 009 00
212830 2436N 06429W 9764 00342 0155 +213 +149 097049 050 046 005 00
212900 2436N 06428W 9774 00333 0155 +215 +151 098052 055 052 003 00
212930 2437N 06426W 9770 00334 0154 +215 +152 099052 054 047 005 00
213000 2437N 06425W 9772 00335 0154 +214 +154 100052 054 050 005 00
0 likes
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 6358
- Age: 62
- Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 1:01 pm
- Location: Miramar Bch. FL
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 1921
- Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 7:06 pm
Re: Re:
fci wrote:Derek Ortt wrote:this cannot be a TD. It's either a strong TS or an open wave
Which is sort of like being either a 68 yd touchdown pass or....... a 1 yard gain on a QB keeper.....
Ha! I like that analogy!

0 likes
- gatorcane
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 23691
- Age: 47
- Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
- Location: Boca Raton, FL
so its not possible that that ULL is working down to the surface here and that blob of convection NE of the ULL center is going to start wrapping around?
Or is that impossible? That would put the center at least a couple of hundred miles SW of where the invest center is currently located, closer to just east of the SE Bahamas.
I'm looking at the area NNE of the eastern tip of the Dominican Republic.
Maybe I am just seeing strange things today

Or is that impossible? That would put the center at least a couple of hundred miles SW of where the invest center is currently located, closer to just east of the SE Bahamas.
I'm looking at the area NNE of the eastern tip of the Dominican Republic.
Maybe I am just seeing strange things today


0 likes
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 1921
- Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 7:06 pm
Re: Re:
gatorcane wrote:deltadog03 wrote:That nam run looks a bit further west as well
Yep it is and slower:
12Z:
18Z:
Seems to be stalled at that point. Am I understanding that there are 6 hours in between those two images? If so there's not much movement at that point.
0 likes
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145318
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL : Invest 92L - Recon Thread
More east winds.
URNT15 KNHC 252140
AF302 01AAA INVEST HDOB 18 20090825
213030 2437N 06424W 9766 00337 0154 +215 +155 100050 051 048 005 00
213100 2438N 06423W 9773 00335 0155 +214 +155 102051 054 051 006 00
213130 2438N 06422W 9768 00340 0158 +210 +155 103048 051 046 007 00
213200 2438N 06420W 9779 00329 0158 +211 +155 100047 052 046 007 00
213230 2439N 06419W 9767 00341 0158 +211 +154 101046 051 044 007 00
213300 2439N 06418W 9765 00340 0156 +211 +153 099048 049 043 010 00
213330 2439N 06417W 9768 00339 0156 +210 +152 099046 047 043 010 00
213400 2440N 06415W 9771 00337 0158 +209 +151 098045 048 044 010 00
213430 2440N 06414W 9775 00336 0160 +208 +150 097042 044 043 010 00
213500 2440N 06413W 9767 00344 0161 +211 +149 098042 043 042 011 00
213530 2441N 06411W 9774 00337 0162 +210 +148 097041 042 040 012 00
213600 2441N 06410W 9770 00341 0162 +211 +147 099042 043 040 011 00
213630 2442N 06409W 9772 00339 0162 +211 +147 099040 041 039 011 00
213700 2442N 06408W 9769 00343 0162 +213 +148 098040 041 039 009 00
213730 2443N 06406W 9765 00347 0164 +211 +149 097041 042 999 999 03
213800 2444N 06407W 9771 00342 0163 +213 +151 096044 047 999 999 03
213830 2444N 06409W 9775 00337 0162 +216 +153 094044 046 045 006 03
213900 2444N 06411W 9770 00341 0161 +215 +155 095043 045 043 008 00
213930 2444N 06413W 9772 00340 0161 +216 +156 097044 046 044 010 00
214000 2444N 06415W 9774 00336 0159 +216 +156 096047 049 045 007 00
URNT15 KNHC 252140
AF302 01AAA INVEST HDOB 18 20090825
213030 2437N 06424W 9766 00337 0154 +215 +155 100050 051 048 005 00
213100 2438N 06423W 9773 00335 0155 +214 +155 102051 054 051 006 00
213130 2438N 06422W 9768 00340 0158 +210 +155 103048 051 046 007 00
213200 2438N 06420W 9779 00329 0158 +211 +155 100047 052 046 007 00
213230 2439N 06419W 9767 00341 0158 +211 +154 101046 051 044 007 00
213300 2439N 06418W 9765 00340 0156 +211 +153 099048 049 043 010 00
213330 2439N 06417W 9768 00339 0156 +210 +152 099046 047 043 010 00
213400 2440N 06415W 9771 00337 0158 +209 +151 098045 048 044 010 00
213430 2440N 06414W 9775 00336 0160 +208 +150 097042 044 043 010 00
213500 2440N 06413W 9767 00344 0161 +211 +149 098042 043 042 011 00
213530 2441N 06411W 9774 00337 0162 +210 +148 097041 042 040 012 00
213600 2441N 06410W 9770 00341 0162 +211 +147 099042 043 040 011 00
213630 2442N 06409W 9772 00339 0162 +211 +147 099040 041 039 011 00
213700 2442N 06408W 9769 00343 0162 +213 +148 098040 041 039 009 00
213730 2443N 06406W 9765 00347 0164 +211 +149 097041 042 999 999 03
213800 2444N 06407W 9771 00342 0163 +213 +151 096044 047 999 999 03
213830 2444N 06409W 9775 00337 0162 +216 +153 094044 046 045 006 03
213900 2444N 06411W 9770 00341 0161 +215 +155 095043 045 043 008 00
213930 2444N 06413W 9772 00340 0161 +216 +156 097044 046 044 010 00
214000 2444N 06415W 9774 00336 0159 +216 +156 096047 049 045 007 00
0 likes
- Evil Jeremy
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5463
- Age: 32
- Joined: Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:10 pm
- Location: Los Angeles, CA
Re: Re:
otowntiger wrote:gatorcane wrote:deltadog03 wrote:That nam run looks a bit further west as well
Yep it is and slower:
12Z:
18Z:
Seems to be stalled at that point. Am I understanding that there are 6 hours in between those two images? If so there's not much movement at that point.
Those images are from two separate runs. Although, maybe we should compare with the 48 hour image from the 12z run with the 42 hour image from the 18z run. The comparison above is not completely fair.
0 likes
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 1921
- Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 7:06 pm
Re:
[quote="gatorcane"]so its not possible that that ULL is working down to the surface here and that blob of convection NE of the ULL center is going to start wrapping around?
Or is that impossible? That would put the center at least a couple of hundred miles SW of where the invest center is currently located, closer to just east of the SE Bahamas.
I'm looking at the area NNE of the eastern tip of the Dominican Republic.
Maybe I am just seeing strange things today
" end quote-
OTOWNTiger wrote:
There appears to definitely be a broad area of circulation centered close to the spot you are looking at, but whether or not that is the ULL or the beginning of the center of a developing TC, I couldn't say. I pro Met could though.
Or is that impossible? That would put the center at least a couple of hundred miles SW of where the invest center is currently located, closer to just east of the SE Bahamas.
I'm looking at the area NNE of the eastern tip of the Dominican Republic.
Maybe I am just seeing strange things today

OTOWNTiger wrote:
There appears to definitely be a broad area of circulation centered close to the spot you are looking at, but whether or not that is the ULL or the beginning of the center of a developing TC, I couldn't say. I pro Met could though.
Last edited by otowntiger on Tue Aug 25, 2009 4:46 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 7 guests