ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANNY (05L)

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

Re: ATL: TROPICAL STORM DANNY

#1041 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Aug 26, 2009 9:34 am

589
WTNT25 KNHC 261430
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052009
1500 UTC WED AUG 26 2009

INTERESTS IN THE BAHAMAS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANNY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 70.3W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 75SE 75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
0 likes   

User avatar
Hybridstorm_November2001
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2811
Joined: Sat Aug 21, 2004 2:50 pm
Location: SW New Brunswick, Canada
Contact:

Re: ATL: Invest 92L

#1042 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Wed Aug 26, 2009 9:34 am

Sanibel wrote:You can imagine the panic if the CV belt was more favorable and Danny was a category 4 barrelling down this Floyd-like track! :eek:


I worry just as much, and often times more so, about homebrew like Danny. These types of systems can really sneak up on an area, then explosively deepen.
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#1043 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Aug 26, 2009 9:35 am

Image

Image

Watch out NE.
0 likes   

User avatar
Hybridstorm_November2001
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2811
Joined: Sat Aug 21, 2004 2:50 pm
Location: SW New Brunswick, Canada
Contact:

#1044 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Wed Aug 26, 2009 9:36 am

Five day track has a hurricane right over my head. :eek:
0 likes   

User avatar
ConvergenceZone
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5194
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 1:40 am
Location: Northern California

Re: ATL: TROPICAL STORM DANNY

#1045 Postby ConvergenceZone » Wed Aug 26, 2009 9:41 am

Wow, looks like the USA might dodge yet another bullet. How lucky can we keep getting???
0 likes   

User avatar
HouTXmetro
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3949
Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2004 6:00 pm
Location: District of Columbia, USA

#1046 Postby HouTXmetro » Wed Aug 26, 2009 9:44 am

The East Coast Megalopolis cities are in the cone!!! This will make MAJOR headlines.
0 likes   

User avatar
vbhoutex
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 29113
Age: 73
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
Location: Cypress, TX
Contact:

Re: ATL: Invest 92L

#1047 Postby vbhoutex » Wed Aug 26, 2009 9:45 am

jenmrk wrote:
vbhoutex wrote:
jenmrk wrote:I just read at another forum that we now have Tropical Storm Danny, not sure if I am allowed to say what site.

Information coming in indicates that it will soon be named TS Danny, but nothing has been said officially yet that I am aware of.


I read it at Eastern Us Weather, I am sorry for jumping the gun, maybe I am better off lurking...lol!

No apologies needed. Don't just lurk. You just reported what you read. Stormm2k has a policy about not calling a storm by name until it is officially called, even if every indication says it should be called.
0 likes   

User avatar
ConvergenceZone
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5194
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 1:40 am
Location: Northern California

Re:

#1048 Postby ConvergenceZone » Wed Aug 26, 2009 9:45 am

HouTXmetro wrote:The East Coast Megalopolis cities are in the cone!!! This will make MAJOR headlines.



It's not like it's a hurricane.... :lol:
might be a good rain soaker though...
0 likes   

User avatar
HouTXmetro
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3949
Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2004 6:00 pm
Location: District of Columbia, USA

Re: Re:

#1049 Postby HouTXmetro » Wed Aug 26, 2009 9:46 am

ConvergenceZone wrote:
HouTXmetro wrote:The East Coast Megalopolis cities are in the cone!!! This will make MAJOR headlines.



It's not like it's a hurricane.... :lol:
might be a good rain soaker though...


But the NHC is forcasting it to become a Hurricane.
0 likes   

User avatar
vbhoutex
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 29113
Age: 73
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
Location: Cypress, TX
Contact:

Re:

#1050 Postby vbhoutex » Wed Aug 26, 2009 9:47 am

HouTXmetro wrote:The East Coast Megalopolis cities are in the cone!!! This will make MAJOR headlines.

I believe it is the CMC model that has this raking the whole East Coast all the way to NYC. It is the outlier to say the least. NOw that will bring major attention!!
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#1051 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Aug 26, 2009 9:48 am

Image

Heading to base
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#1052 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Aug 26, 2009 9:49 am

Image

If the wave in the African coast hurries, Erika can sneak in before August is out. Still, very productive month.
0 likes   

User avatar
ConvergenceZone
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5194
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 1:40 am
Location: Northern California

Re: Re:

#1053 Postby ConvergenceZone » Wed Aug 26, 2009 9:51 am

HouTXmetro wrote:
ConvergenceZone wrote:
HouTXmetro wrote:The East Coast Megalopolis cities are in the cone!!! This will make MAJOR headlines.



It's not like it's a hurricane.... :lol:
might be a good rain soaker though...


But the NHC is forcasting it to become a Hurricane.



I just think that with the shear and everything, it's not going to happen...
0 likes   

JPmia
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1070
Joined: Thu Jun 03, 2004 11:01 pm
Location: Fort Lauderdale, FL

Re: ATL: TROPICAL STORM DANNY

#1054 Postby JPmia » Wed Aug 26, 2009 9:51 am

what was all this discussion about a Florida threat?? seems to me it is already on a WNW track and following quite nicely along the model tracks as of this morning.
0 likes   

User avatar
Hybridstorm_November2001
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2811
Joined: Sat Aug 21, 2004 2:50 pm
Location: SW New Brunswick, Canada
Contact:

Re: Re:

#1055 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Wed Aug 26, 2009 9:51 am

ConvergenceZone wrote:
HouTXmetro wrote:The East Coast Megalopolis cities are in the cone!!! This will make MAJOR headlines.



It's not like it's a hurricane.... :lol:
might be a good rain soaker though...


I hope your right and it does not, oh say turn into a hurricane or even a cat 3 or 4 at some point.
0 likes   

User avatar
ConvergenceZone
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5194
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 1:40 am
Location: Northern California

Re: Re:

#1056 Postby ConvergenceZone » Wed Aug 26, 2009 9:57 am

Hybridstorm_November2001 wrote:
ConvergenceZone wrote:
HouTXmetro wrote:The East Coast Megalopolis cities are in the cone!!! This will make MAJOR headlines.



It's not like it's a hurricane.... :lol:
might be a good rain soaker though...


I hope your right and it does not, oh say turn into a hurricane or even a cat 3 or 4 at some point.


well, conditions would have to RAPIDLY change for that to happen. Not saying conditios can't change. , just a very unlikely scenerio... (in my opinion)
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

Re: ATL: TROPICAL STORM DANNY

#1057 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Aug 26, 2009 9:57 am

ConvergenceZone wrote:Wow, looks like the USA might dodge yet another bullet. How lucky can we keep getting???


Image

If Danny were to have this track, it will be a direct strike on US soil. No bullet was dodged.
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#1058 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Aug 26, 2009 9:58 am

Image

Houston, we have a problem!!!
0 likes   

User avatar
ConvergenceZone
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5194
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 1:40 am
Location: Northern California

Re: ATL: TROPICAL STORM DANNY

#1059 Postby ConvergenceZone » Wed Aug 26, 2009 9:59 am

You are right HURAKAN, I wasn't able to see that far out, sorry about that...
0 likes   

User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#1060 Postby KWT » Wed Aug 26, 2009 9:59 am

Very interesting cone, I think if the models are going to go one way its going to trend west not east so the cone can only come closer to the East coast IMO but we shall see.

Looks like by the time it gets upto the NE its well on its way to being a extra tropical system but still looks pretty potent from the looks of things, so still a pretty interesting to watch!!!
0 likes   


Return to “2009”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 2 guests