South Caribbean Sea

[HURAKAN]

Very interesting system

[vbhoutex]

I haven't looked at anything yet. Is there any suggestion of a low forming?

[HURAKAN]

I haven't looked at anything yet. Is there any suggestion of a low forming?

In the loop it looks like convection developing along a trough and the ULL over the WCAR appears to be providing some ventilation.

Loop: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/flash-avn.html

[clfenwi]

Watching the wide basin loop, it definitely jumps out at you after you take in 94L. Almost enough to put out a "code yellow" even if was to have the effect of saying "nothing to see here, move along".

Here's how the 12Z TWD described the area:

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW AROUND A 17N83W
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER COVERS THE AREA FROM PANAMA TO JUST
OFF CUBA INTO THE FLORIDA STRAITS. NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ON THE SOUTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF
THE CYCLONIC FLOW TO THE SOUTH OF 12N BETWEEN 76W AND 80W...

[Dean4Storms]

Needs to sit there for a day or two with deep convection and then maybe we would see something form.

[Macrocane]

A tropical wave is moving west on the Caribbean at this ime, if this disturbance interacts with the wave we may see more energy from them. If it persists and moves over Central America, we could have some nice rain here.

[Sanibel]

93L busted in the same setting. Nothing to pull it north.