Bocadude85 wrote:Derek Ortt wrote:same track as the CMC
Whats your thoughts on this?
isn't this the track I said all day yesterday if there is development? I always felt a track toward the US mainland was BS
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tolakram wrote:Looking at the visible loop http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-vis.html
I see what I drew below. Maybe two areas of poorly defined circulation and the organization does not appear to be getting any better.
vbhoutex wrote:tolakram wrote:Looking at the visible loop http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-vis.html
I see what I drew below. Maybe two areas of poorly defined circulation and the organization does not appear to be getting any better.
You are seeing what I saw and I looked at a couple of different sat loops on this. I'm not sure I can agree with a 50% chance of this becoming a TC anytime soon.
hurricanefloyd5 wrote:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-rb.html The center is under all that convection see it all!!!!!!
gatorcane wrote:The ECMWF shows a big trough in the Western CONUS and a big ridge in the Eastern CONUS but then has some kind of "backdoor" trough that digs down from Novia Scotia down into the Western Atlantic that sucks it up.
Usually with a large trough in the west you will have a large ridge in the east so not sure I buy this ECMWF bomb out recurve just before the Bahamas.
southerngale wrote:I thought there was supposed to be a building ridge, according to the Euro this morning.Now it recurves it. So this run is more plausible?
It's hard to keep up with the ever-changing model scenarios. Some of the others trended west.
hurricanefloyd5 wrote:when is recon flying into 94L
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