Disturbed Area East of SE Bahamas

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gatorcane
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Disturbed Area East of SE Bahamas

#1 Postby gatorcane » Mon Aug 31, 2009 6:38 am

Associated with a ULL maybe?

It kindaof popped out of nowhere but it is that time of year. Thoughts?

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Re: Disturbed Area East of SE Bahamas

#2 Postby tpr1967 » Mon Aug 31, 2009 7:38 am

Nothing currently at the surface. The NAM has some inverted trough or weak low forming in the bahamas in a few days.
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#3 Postby fci » Mon Aug 31, 2009 8:33 am

Local Met Saturday night forecasted a Tropical Wave for Wednesday/Thursday.
Maybe this little system was what he was referrring to.
Seemed a mystery at the time.
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HurricaneBelle
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Re: Disturbed Area East of SE Bahamas

#4 Postby HurricaneBelle » Mon Aug 31, 2009 9:22 am

It's a TUTT.

From this morning's San Juan AFD:

TUTT LOW NORTH OF PR WILL DRIFT TO THE WEST SOUTHWEST
AND SETTLE OVR HISPANIOLA BY TONIGHT.
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Re: Disturbed Area East of SE Bahamas

#5 Postby Sanibel » Mon Aug 31, 2009 9:40 am

RAMSDIS screwed up and put their Floater over this feature instead of 94L. Somebody must not have been awake or paying attention.
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#6 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Aug 31, 2009 10:21 am

Image

Looks interesting
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#7 Postby Dean4Storms » Mon Aug 31, 2009 10:39 am

Bears watching if that convection maintains!
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Re: Disturbed Area East of SE Bahamas

#8 Postby jpigott » Mon Aug 31, 2009 1:37 pm

got a floater on this now

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... _floater_1
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#9 Postby gatorcane » Mon Aug 31, 2009 5:50 pm

GFS develops it and it hits NC:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_072l.gif
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Re:

#10 Postby lonelymike » Mon Aug 31, 2009 8:54 pm

gatorcane wrote:GFS develops it and it hits NC:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_072l.gif



Rightyoooooooooooooooooooooo. :roll:
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Re: Disturbed Area East of SE Bahamas

#11 Postby tailgater » Wed Sep 02, 2009 12:31 pm

With most watching Erika this disturbance is starting to gets it's act together.
850mb vorticity increasing
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic2/real ... main.php?&
upper divergence, lower convergence and shear all look favorable for now
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#12 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Sep 02, 2009 12:34 pm

So far there is nothing at the surface:

Link: http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... _floater_1
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Re: Disturbed Area East of SE Bahamas

#13 Postby tailgater » Wed Sep 02, 2009 1:06 pm

:uarrow: Nothing eminent yet but some rotation @ 26.6N 75.5W
http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html
click a little east of northern most Bahamas and put into faster motion. just something to check back on later.
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#14 Postby somethingfunny » Wed Sep 02, 2009 2:15 pm

I'm not sure if it's this same feature per se or just a cutoff of the stalled out front, but the 12z CMC develops something off the East Coast and races it off into Canada.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation
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