ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIKA (06L)

#3762 Postby **Dave** » Thu Sep 03, 2009 1:18 am

URNT15 KNHC 030617
AF307 0406A ERIKA HDOB 09 20090903
060730 1636N 06239W 8425 01577 0094 +184 +123 278004 004 999 999 03
060800 1637N 06239W 8429 01571 0094 +183 +124 313003 003 999 999 03
060830 1639N 06239W 8425 01577 0094 +181 +124 343004 005 999 999 03
060900 1641N 06239W 8426 01574 0095 +179 +124 358005 005 999 999 03
060930 1642N 06238W 8428 01572 0097 +175 +124 012005 005 999 999 03
061000 1644N 06238W 8428 01574 0096 +177 +123 003005 006 999 999 03
061030 1645N 06238W 8430 01571 0095 +180 +122 011006 006 999 999 03
061100 1647N 06238W 8431 01574 0096 +180 +121 009004 005 999 999 03
061130 1648N 06236W 8424 01581 0098 +178 +121 334004 005 999 999 03
061200 1647N 06235W 8434 01568 0094 +180 +121 316004 005 999 999 03
061230 1645N 06234W 8428 01574 0093 +179 +121 322004 006 999 999 03
061300 1644N 06233W 8426 01572 0092 +180 +121 321005 005 999 999 03
061330 1643N 06231W 8430 01571 0093 +180 +121 303004 005 999 999 03
061400 1642N 06230W 8427 01571 0092 +182 +120 290006 006 999 999 03
061430 1641N 06229W 8426 01572 0091 +180 +120 286007 007 999 999 03
061500 1639N 06228W 8429 01570 0090 +182 +120 279007 007 999 999 03
061530 1638N 06226W 8426 01573 0089 +186 +120 267006 007 999 999 03
061600 1637N 06225W 8426 01572 0095 +174 +121 282007 009 999 999 03
061630 1636N 06224W 8434 01565 0089 +186 +120 255007 007 999 999 03
061700 1634N 06223W 8428 01570 0087 +188 +118 245007 008 999 999 03
$$
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artist · #3763 Postby **artist** » Thu Sep 03, 2009 1:21 am

no smurf readings tonight?

artist · #3764 Postby **artist** » Thu Sep 03, 2009 1:23 am

dang. there are still 70 of us here this morning. Guess everyone is waiting to find out what recon has to say.

#3765 Postby **deltadog03** » Thu Sep 03, 2009 1:24 am

Hmmm...why did they go south?? I think we do have atleast a weak/broad LLC near antigua and barbuda

#3766 Postby **Dave** » Thu Sep 03, 2009 1:25 am

bahamaswx · #3767 Postby **bahamaswx** » Thu Sep 03, 2009 1:27 am

boo.. they're going the wrong way!

#3768 Postby **Dave** » Thu Sep 03, 2009 1:28 am

URNT15 KNHC 030627
AF307 0406A ERIKA HDOB 10 20090903
061730 1633N 06222W 8426 01570 0086 +187 +118 248008 009 999 999 03
061800 1632N 06220W 8428 01569 0086 +186 +119 253008 008 999 999 03
061830 1631N 06219W 8428 01572 0089 +187 +120 261008 008 999 999 03
061900 1630N 06218W 8428 01572 0090 +186 +121 265008 008 999 999 03
061930 1628N 06217W 8429 01570 0091 +185 +121 270008 008 999 999 03
062000 1627N 06215W 8427 01574 0091 +187 +122 276008 008 999 999 03
062030 1626N 06214W 8421 01581 0095 +181 +123 273007 008 999 999 03
062100 1625N 06213W 8429 01575 0095 +185 +122 278007 007 999 999 03
062130 1623N 06214W 8429 01576 0096 +186 +122 273005 005 999 999 03
062200 1624N 06216W 8427 01575 0095 +183 +123 268004 004 999 999 03
062230 1625N 06217W 8428 01576 0094 +185 +124 292004 005 999 999 03
062300 1626N 06218W 8429 01575 0093 +185 +124 286004 004 999 999 03
062330 1627N 06219W 8428 01573 0091 +185 +124 275004 004 999 999 03
062400 1629N 06220W 8426 01573 0090 +185 +123 263004 004 999 999 03
062430 1630N 06221W 8428 01571 0087 +186 +123 248005 005 999 999 03
062500 1631N 06223W 8429 01569 0086 +190 +123 234005 005 999 999 03
062530 1632N 06224W 8429 01568 0085 +189 +122 232005 006 999 999 03
062600 1634N 06225W 8428 01571 0085 +188 +123 247005 006 999 999 03
062630 1635N 06226W 8428 01571 0090 +182 +123 244004 004 999 999 03
062700 1636N 06227W 8428 01570 0092 +180 +123 255003 003 999 999 03
$$
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Hurricaneman · #3769 Postby **Hurricaneman** » Thu Sep 03, 2009 1:29 am

bahamaswx wrote:boo.. they're going the wrong way!

Im thinking that they dont think theres a center up there

#3770 Postby **deltadog03** » Thu Sep 03, 2009 1:32 am

looks like they went back north

#3771 Postby **Dave** » Thu Sep 03, 2009 1:35 am

artist · #3772 Postby **artist** » Thu Sep 03, 2009 1:37 am

At 06:17:30Z (first observation), the observation was 16 miles (26 km) to the SW (217°) from Salem, Montserrat.
At 06:27:00Z (last observation), the observation was 18 miles (29 km) to the WSW (238°) from Salem, Montserrat.

#3773 Postby **Dave** » Thu Sep 03, 2009 1:38 am

URNT15 KNHC 030637
AF307 0406A ERIKA HDOB 11 20090903
062730 1637N 06228W 8427 01571 0092 +180 +123 285002 002 999 999 03
062800 1638N 06229W 8426 01571 0090 +181 +122 287003 003 999 999 03
062830 1640N 06231W 8429 01570 0090 +185 +122 285003 003 999 999 03
062900 1641N 06232W 8426 01575 0089 +185 +122 336003 003 999 999 03
062930 1642N 06233W 8429 01570 0090 +184 +123 009004 004 999 999 03
063000 1643N 06234W 8426 01572 0091 +180 +123 021005 005 999 999 03
063030 1644N 06235W 8429 01569 0091 +180 +123 018006 007 999 999 03
063100 1646N 06236W 8428 01571 0092 +180 +123 022007 007 999 999 03
063130 1647N 06238W 8428 01572 0092 +180 +122 024007 007 999 999 03
063200 1648N 06239W 8428 01569 0092 +179 +122 025007 007 999 999 03
063230 1649N 06240W 8429 01569 0094 +180 +123 027008 008 999 999 03
063300 1650N 06241W 8429 01570 0092 +182 +122 037009 010 999 999 03
063330 1651N 06243W 8428 01573 0091 +185 +122 034011 012 999 999 03
063400 1652N 06244W 8428 01572 0092 +183 +122 028012 013 999 999 03
063430 1654N 06245W 8427 01573 0093 +180 +123 038013 014 999 999 03
063500 1655N 06246W 8428 01573 0092 +184 +123 039014 015 999 999 03
063530 1656N 06248W 8428 01572 0093 +185 +123 043015 016 999 999 03
063600 1657N 06249W 8430 01571 0090 +185 +124 041015 016 999 999 03
063630 1658N 06250W 8427 01575 0090 +189 +124 044016 017 999 999 03
063700 1659N 06251W 8430 01572 0094 +183 +124 039018 019 999 999 03
$$
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#3774 Postby **jconsor** » Thu Sep 03, 2009 1:40 am

The recon data so far does suggest the center is somewhat north and perhaps east of where the NHC advisory indicated. West/NW winds all the way along 62-62.5W as far north as 16.7N, and they haven't gone further north than that yet.

artist · #3775 Postby **artist** » Thu Sep 03, 2009 1:45 am

so if this is true then we will have to start all over again. What would the implications be to the future track then? anyone have any ideas? I know you posted yours deltadog, and I hope it isn't correct, sorry. :cheesy:

We have had too much rain here already and where we live the ground is totally saturated.

artist · #3776 Postby **artist** » Thu Sep 03, 2009 1:45 am

At 06:27:30Z (first observation), the observation was 19 miles (30 km) to the WSW (243°) from Salem, Montserrat.
At 06:37:00Z (last observation), the observation was 23 miles (37 km) to the SSW (200°) from Basseterre, Saint Kitts and Nevis.

#3777 Postby **Dave** » Thu Sep 03, 2009 1:46 am

Hurricaneman · #3778 Postby **Hurricaneman** » Thu Sep 03, 2009 1:46 am

artist wrote:so if this is true then we will have to start all over again. What would the implications be to the future track then? anyone have any ideas? I know you posted yours deltadog, and I hope it isn't correct, sorry. We have had too much rain here already and where we live the ground is totally saturated.

I would think north of PR and Hispanola and into or near the Bahamas if I had to take a stab at it

artist · #3779 Postby **artist** » Thu Sep 03, 2009 1:47 am

000
URNT11 KNHC 030625
97779 06224 50164 62308 15300 99005 19129 /2502
RMK AF307 0406A ERIKA OB 02

#3780 Postby **Dave** » Thu Sep 03, 2009 1:47 am

000
UZNT13 KNHC 030645
XXAA 53078 99168 70626 04362 99008 27218 34507 00072 26611 36007
92759 22205 36008 85493 18639 01006 88999 77999
31313 09608 80631
61616 AF307 0406A ERIKA OB 04
62626 SPL 1678N06264W 0633 MBL WND 36007 AEV 20800 DLM WND 00507
007843 WL150 35506 077 REL 1679N06264W 063144 SPG 1678N06264W 063
348 =
XXBB 53078 99168 70626 04362 00008 27218 11873 19602 22850 18639
33843 18056
21212 00008 34507 11858 36005 22843 01507
31313 09608 80631
61616 AF307 0406A ERIKA OB 04
62626 SPL 1678N06264W 0633 MBL WND 36007 AEV 20800 DLM WND 00507
007843 WL150 35506 077 REL 1679N06264W 063144 SPG 1678N06264W 063
348 =
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ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIKA (06L)

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