As you all know, I have put an experimental weather service site up called the Desert Southwest Weather Service. What I currently have right now is Model Discussion, Check to see where the storms are gonna be today and how bad. look at some factors on maps. The Storm Movement Link is a very neat one indeed. From the Model Discussions, I will pick out the Major spots for activity and put them on these maps. arrows will show the movement of these storms. 1 of my newest links is a useful one for knowing how hard it will rain in the time period that is shown on that page. sometimes it wont be updated for a few hours or so but other times, youll see the expired time. all is a 3 hour period. easy color codes determine the value of the rain amount. My favorite link and the most useful for you storm chasers out there is the 3 hour cloud to ground lightning strike potential. shown in percentages and it is also color coded. it will show the best area to get a good lightning storm in that 3 hr period through the expired time. More fun graphics will be added soon. If you would like to see a graphic on there that is not, please tell me on this thread or email me, my address is provided on the Main Page.
UPDATE: August 2nd, 2003 Storms have been updated for today. The discussions and Paths will be updated daily, while the Lightning and Precipitation maps will be updated every 3hrs or so. could take longer, need sleep like you all do,lol. I dont get much, so I dedicate my time to this site. enjoy for now, this is not permanent, this is only an experimental website to see what I can do in forecasting these events. Overtime, if enough people like the site, I will keep it, and update it more frequently.
Kevin Martin
DSW Weather Service thread
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
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weatherlover427
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MonsoonDude
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MonsoonDude
Todays Discussions and paths have been updated. here is part of it for you to see.
FINAL Discussion, where to chase? LOOK BELOW!
Will I put together all the information,and the Complex of Southern Arizona to the Mexican Border will have the most storms today. they will be a moderate rain producer, but good stand for some good lightning shows. some Direction shear is in place over there area, not enough to produce the Supercell, but just keep in mind, every bit of shear counts for good storms.
STORM FACTS
Southern Arizona/Mexican Border will be the Strongest storms today. They will be moving to the NNW at 9mph. they will be moderate rain and lightning producers. could see very small hail with it as well. Good lift, Moisture, Outflow boundries possible, and temperatures will make for this complex to be of moderate scale. any system that forms from here will move near Tucson but will dissipate before reaching the city. no lift and factors are in place there. Could see some action overnight though, but slight.
Eastern Arizona/New Mexico Border storms will be moving to the NNE today at 10mph. These storms could have Light to Moderate rain and some lightning as well. Dont expect these to be hail producers, a sufficiant updraft will not be in place.
The Mogollon Rim storms will be moving to the NNE at 10mph. These storms will remain confined to the mountains because the lift there is needed. any storms that come from this area will be high based, and barely a rain producer, and frequent lightning is possible with these storms. they will be classiefied DRY THUNDERSTORMS. no hail or severe winds will come from these at all. they will be the weakest of the day.
WATCHES AND WARNING PROBABILITIES
Flood Watch/Warning-(NONE)
Flash Flood Watch/Warning-(NONE)
Urban Small Stream Flood-(NONE)
Severe Thunderstorm Watch/Warning-(Extreme Southern Arizona)
Tornado Watch/Warning-(NONE)
Martin-DSWWS
FINAL Discussion, where to chase? LOOK BELOW!
Will I put together all the information,and the Complex of Southern Arizona to the Mexican Border will have the most storms today. they will be a moderate rain producer, but good stand for some good lightning shows. some Direction shear is in place over there area, not enough to produce the Supercell, but just keep in mind, every bit of shear counts for good storms.
STORM FACTS
Southern Arizona/Mexican Border will be the Strongest storms today. They will be moving to the NNW at 9mph. they will be moderate rain and lightning producers. could see very small hail with it as well. Good lift, Moisture, Outflow boundries possible, and temperatures will make for this complex to be of moderate scale. any system that forms from here will move near Tucson but will dissipate before reaching the city. no lift and factors are in place there. Could see some action overnight though, but slight.
Eastern Arizona/New Mexico Border storms will be moving to the NNE today at 10mph. These storms could have Light to Moderate rain and some lightning as well. Dont expect these to be hail producers, a sufficiant updraft will not be in place.
The Mogollon Rim storms will be moving to the NNE at 10mph. These storms will remain confined to the mountains because the lift there is needed. any storms that come from this area will be high based, and barely a rain producer, and frequent lightning is possible with these storms. they will be classiefied DRY THUNDERSTORMS. no hail or severe winds will come from these at all. they will be the weakest of the day.
WATCHES AND WARNING PROBABILITIES
Flood Watch/Warning-(NONE)
Flash Flood Watch/Warning-(NONE)
Urban Small Stream Flood-(NONE)
Severe Thunderstorm Watch/Warning-(Extreme Southern Arizona)
Tornado Watch/Warning-(NONE)
Martin-DSWWS
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MonsoonDude
Desert Southwest Weather Service Forecast Discussion
9amPDT August 7th, 2003
FINAL Discussion, where to chase? LOOK BELOW!
Will I put together all the information,and the Complex of Southern Arizona to the Mexican Border will have the most storms today. they will be a moderate rain producer, but good stand for some good lightning shows. some Direction shear is in place over there area, not enough to produce the Supercell, but just keep in mind, every bit of shear counts for good storms.
STORM FACTS
Southern Arizona/Mexican Border will be the Strongest storms today. They will be moving to the WNW at 3mph. they will be heavy rain and lightning producers. could see hail with it as well. Good lift, Moisture, Outflow boundries possible, and temperatures will make for this complex to be of moderate/High scale. any system that forms from here will move to the South and West of the Tucson Area. Tucson could get in on the action as well. As storms will fire over the Mexican Border to the South and East. Outflow from those storms can make tonight in Tucson a stormy night. Chase these storms today through tonight.
Eastern Arizona/New Mexico Border storms will be moving to the East today at 4mph. These storms will have Moderate rain and some lightning as well. Dont expect these to be hail producers, a sufficiant updraft will not be in place.
The Mogollon Rim storms will be moving to the NE at 7mph. These storms will drift off the mountains into the high country of Arizona. the humidity and very high lift is present. Hail and Heavy rains are possible from these storms as they move to the Northeast.
WATCHES AND WARNING PROBABILITIES
Flood Watch/Warning-(NONE)
Flash Flood Watch/Warning-(Northern Arizona, and Southern Arizona)
Urban Small Stream Flood-(NONE)
Severe Thunderstorm Watch/Warning-(Extreme Southern Arizona)
Tornado Watch/Warning-(NONE)
Martin-DSWWS
9amPDT August 7th, 2003
FINAL Discussion, where to chase? LOOK BELOW!
Will I put together all the information,and the Complex of Southern Arizona to the Mexican Border will have the most storms today. they will be a moderate rain producer, but good stand for some good lightning shows. some Direction shear is in place over there area, not enough to produce the Supercell, but just keep in mind, every bit of shear counts for good storms.
STORM FACTS
Southern Arizona/Mexican Border will be the Strongest storms today. They will be moving to the WNW at 3mph. they will be heavy rain and lightning producers. could see hail with it as well. Good lift, Moisture, Outflow boundries possible, and temperatures will make for this complex to be of moderate/High scale. any system that forms from here will move to the South and West of the Tucson Area. Tucson could get in on the action as well. As storms will fire over the Mexican Border to the South and East. Outflow from those storms can make tonight in Tucson a stormy night. Chase these storms today through tonight.
Eastern Arizona/New Mexico Border storms will be moving to the East today at 4mph. These storms will have Moderate rain and some lightning as well. Dont expect these to be hail producers, a sufficiant updraft will not be in place.
The Mogollon Rim storms will be moving to the NE at 7mph. These storms will drift off the mountains into the high country of Arizona. the humidity and very high lift is present. Hail and Heavy rains are possible from these storms as they move to the Northeast.
WATCHES AND WARNING PROBABILITIES
Flood Watch/Warning-(NONE)
Flash Flood Watch/Warning-(Northern Arizona, and Southern Arizona)
Urban Small Stream Flood-(NONE)
Severe Thunderstorm Watch/Warning-(Extreme Southern Arizona)
Tornado Watch/Warning-(NONE)
Martin-DSWWS
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