ATL: TROPICAL LOW ex-FRED (ex-07L)

[Brent]

How long do we think till we have a confirmed hurricane?

It has to be before i go to bed lol

I'm thinking 11pm ET. Might have the models and BT call it a hurricane around 8-9 though.

[alan1961]

How long do we think till we have a confirmed hurricane?

It has to be before i go to bed lol

True Hurricane enthusiasts stay up all night

[leanne_uk]

How long do we think till we have a confirmed hurricane?

It has to be before i go to bed lol

True Hurricane enthusiasts stay up all night

Haha alan i was up till 3am gmt waitin for fred to get his name and as soon as i logged off it appears a name was given.
Trust me i aint sleeping tonight till we got our confirmed hurricane

[HURAKAN]

Nice loop

[alan1961]

How long do we think till we have a confirmed hurricane?

It has to be before i go to bed lol

True Hurricane enthusiasts stay up all night

Haha alan i was up till 3am gmt waitin for fred to get his name and as soon as i logged off it appears a name was given.
Trust me i aint sleeping tonight till we got our confirmed hurricane

Haha, welcome to the party!

[Cryomaniac]

How long do we think till we have a confirmed hurricane?

It has to be before i go to bed lol

True Hurricane enthusiasts stay up all night

Haha alan i was up till 3am gmt waitin for fred to get his name and as soon as i logged off it appears a name was given.
Trust me i aint sleeping tonight till we got our confirmed hurricane

I have been known to stay up till like 4-5am following this site (For Ike most recently, I think), but I wasn't for Fred.

[HURAKAN]

A look at Fred's short life

[alan1961]

Yes cryomaniac, was up till 5am this morning just in time for Fred being named, will admit though it wasn't intentional as i dropped off on the sofa for a few hours but there ya go

[alan1961]

A look at Fred's short life

Nice one Hurakan

[HURAKAN]

What do you prefer, Mr. Fred or Sir Fred?

[coriolis]

What do you prefer, Mr. Fred or Sir Fred?

He looks like an evil villian giving a certain hand signal to the CONUS.

[HURAKAN]

Beautiful storm

[cycloneye]

Here is another loop.

[MGC]

In honor of our friends from the UK I think Sir Fred would be appropriate.

Fred looks well on his way to becoming a hurricane. Amazing how quickly Fred has organized since coming off Africa. Glad there is a weakness in the ridge and Fred will not become anyones nightmare....MGC

[ozonepete]

How long do we think till we have a confirmed hurricane?

It has to be before i go to bed lol

I'm thinking 11pm ET. Might have the models and BT call it a hurricane around 8-9 though.

I agree with you, Brent. This has a history of fast development so far. Since it's already at 60 knots it only needs 5 more knots. If you see a "visible" eye in the IR or SSMI by 10PM EDT then it's a done deal. A discernible eye usually shows up around 77 knots/89mph. But if it looks the same then as it does now and Dvorak numbers haven't come up, they'll probably wait 'til 5AM and you should call it a night, Leanne (and the rest of us)!

[wxman57]

Unlike many of you, I've spent many nights over the past 30 years having to work from 9pm to 6am (sometimes longer). I can wait until morning to find out.

[leanne_uk]

Unlike many of you, I've spent many nights over the past 30 years having to work from 9pm to 6am (sometimes longer). I can wait until morning to find out.

I think i am going to stick this one out as long as i can.
I am on the mobile keeping track now rather than the laptop which might make falling asleep a little easier lol.

Time will tell how long i last though

[caribepr]

I applaud you who are not pro mets following this one! Many say they have the interest but it often is about what concerns them personally and I will admit I am more than half way among that group. But I'm totally enjoying you all watching for the next development of what looks by all signs to be a fish but a very interesting BIG fish!

Good on ya! You may be few but you back up the talk (and of course a pro met can and should wait til morning!!! A life job like this has to be paced or insanity takes over).

That's my story, comfortable with the consensus of the models, and I'm stickin' to it (though I'll admit, deep somewhere in my rock brain I'm waiting until the north turn to let Fred stop being a potential Flint stone)

[ozonepete]

Unlike many of you, I've spent many nights over the past 30 years having to work from 9pm to 6am (sometimes longer). I can wait until morning to find out.

Then get your well deserved sleep! I've watched your forecasts for a long time and you are top notch.

[breeze]

You're all just having too much fun with Fred over here...lol