SE TX/SW LA weather: Much cooler and WET after Tuesday

[southerngale]

Once again...nada...

Same here. And here I stupidly thought rain might "mess up" any Labor Day (weekend) activities, since there were 3 days of pretty high rain chances. None here yesterday and today's and tomorrow's chances were dropped significantly (now only 20%). It'll be nice when we're in the pool tomorrow, but we really need rain!!

[vbhoutex]

Well, I have cleaned the gutters and washed both cars. We should have a monsoon this afternoon!

[Yankeegirl]

Too funny!! Yeah, the radar doesn't look like its getting excited over anything....

Happy Labor Day!!

[Flyinman]

Well you should feel guilty about the post Saw the rain coming, split again then the rain goeth. We did get about an hour of sprinlkles but the driveway was not even wet. The BOC looks interesting today and perhaps we can get in on some of that moisture.

[CajunMama]

Flyinman, i feel for ya in relation to the rain splitting and reforming around you. That happens quite a bit with lafayette parish. It seems the surrounding parishes get more rain than we do. But we've been lucky and have decent scattered showers but nws still says we're -9.89" for the year.

[Yankeegirl]

Getting a pretty good soaking right now... A little thunder and every so often some very vivid lightning.... Nice way to end the long weekend!!

[jasons2k]

I've still had nada.....the neighbors across the street moved, and all the plants/shrubs in the flower beds are starting to wilt really badly since nobody is there to water...we need some rain.

[vbhoutex]

Well you should feel guilty about the post Saw the rain coming, split again then the rain goeth. We did get about an hour of sprinlkles but the driveway was not even wet. The BOC looks interesting today and perhaps we can get in on some of that moisture.

We do need to be watching that and trying to give signals to bring that moisture(rain)North to Texas as long as it stays weak if it develops into more than a rain maker. Otherwise I don't want it!!

[southerngale]

Sunny and hot all day over here. It was nice for our outdoor activities, but we really need rain! The trees are whistling for the dogs again.

[vbhoutex]

I had another VERY NOISY thunderstorm this afternoon around 3 pm. Darn thing woke up my granddaughter from her nap! It didn't produce much rain, 0.21", but every little bit helps.

[srainhoutx]

We did some landscaping today. Nice thundershower in NW Harris County.

[southerngale]

Well, I finally got a good soaking! It really poured for quite a while. It ended shortly before Terminix arrived to treat my house and yard (they come quarterly for pest control - I don't like the critters!) - that kind of put a damper on the yard treatment. What timing, eh? I haven't been able to get a drop lately and it comes down in buckets just before they get here! Oh well, I sure can't complain... we really needed the rain! I left the house for several hours after the treatment and forgot to check the rain gauge, but radar estimates look like I'm in the 2 - 3 inch range. I'm not sure it was THAT MUCH, but there was standing water and the ditches were pretty full when we left. I'll try to remember to check it in the morning.

It looks like we might get quite a bit more this week!

[srainhoutx]

Morning e-mail from Jeff looks...wet...

Deep tropical moisture characterized by PWS of 2.1-2.3 inches has spread inland across most of SE TX. Local radar shows numerous thunderstorms ongoing early this morning along the coast from Matagorda Bay to Lake Charles. Storms are firing within the deep moisture and impulse moving NE in the sub-tropical flow extending from Baja to FL. Expect most folks S of I-10 are going to get wet in the next few hours as coastal storms march inland. We will likely see a break before additional development this afternoon as heating comes into play. Air mass is so tropical that little trigger is needed and rain could fall at just about any time.

Late Week-Weekend:

Forecast models continue to show a trough/surface low developing along the TX coast. Upper pattern with SW flow aloft does favor the formation of a coastal trough. GFS tries to close the feature off into a tropical system near KBRO and move it NNE toward K LCH over the weekend. Given 25-40kts of WSW shear forecasted across the TX coastal waters this weekend I see a better chance of the coastal trough remaining just a trough and not developing into a closed low. With that said…it is possible a surface center could spin up in all the convection off the coast. Still we are far better off than one year ago as Ike was leaving Cuba and entering the SE Gulf.

The impacts will be nearly the same as extremely moist air mass with PWS forecasted upwards of 2.3-2.5 inches streams into the area. Chance for heavy to excessive rainfall will be increasing especially along and S of I-10 where most favorable pattern of lift and moisture lie. Latest run of the GFS keeps the heaviest rainfall off the coast Friday and Saturday and this may be possible depending on the position of the trough and any surface low formation.

Early Next Week:

No change in the upper air pattern as we slide toward a very wet period. Gulf of Mexico remains wide open with PWS forecasted to remain above the magical 2.0 inches. GFS tries to spin up another surface feature early next week along the W Gulf surface trough. Wind shear may be slightly lighter for this period and it is possible that something could develop.

Point being the next 4-6 days look very wet with periods of tropical rains moving inland off the Gulf. For now will discard the threat of anything tropical and maintain just modest coastal winds and a building easterly swell under a longer fetch.

While the area continues in drought conditions…the amount of moisture available, warm air column, and light steering winds all point to excessive rainfall. Would not be surprised to see some areas erase their drought over the next 5 days and a few locations near the coast could see an easy 5-10 inches of rainfall through early next week.

[Yankeegirl]

Lets all do the rain dance!!

[southerngale]

Oh, btw... I didn't get anywhere near the 2-3 inch total that I mentioned above. I guess I don't know exactly where I am on the map yet. I knew the very pin dot before I moved. I dumped less than an inch from my rain gauge this morning. It's been so long since I had decent rain, it sure seemed like more.

[Flyinman]

We have received several inches at the office but 10 miles away at the house nada. Radar looks promising for the house if it can hold together.

[vbhoutex]

I have had a slow steady rain for at least the last two hours here at the house. But I don't think we are even up to 0.25" yet.

[southerngale]

I had some light rain for a little while earlier. Not much, but radar looks hopeful. I saw this storm just sitting over the same area for a while, but it wasn't over me.


Here we go with the start of some of those hefty totals.

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1204 PM CDT WED SEP 9 2009

TXC245-092000-
/O.NEW.KLCH.FA.Y.0025.090909T1704Z-090909T2000Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
JEFFERSON TX-
1204 PM CDT WED SEP 9 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
NORTH CENTRAL JEFFERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF BEAUMONT...

* UNTIL 300 PM CDT

* AT NOON CDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED A NEARLY
STATIONARY THUNDERSTORM OVER NORTHERN BEAUMONT TEXAS. THIS STORM HAS
PRODUCED 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE ELEVATED WATER LEVELS
ON SMALL CREEKS...STREAMS...AND BAYOUS. ADDITIONALLY...PONDING OF
WATER WILL OCCUR ON HIGHWAYS...STREETS...AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS
OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING AREAS.

TURN AROUND...DON`T DROWN... MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES.
NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE
FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE
ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN
AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 3018 9420 3016 9412 3003 9407 3002 9419

$$

MM

[Diva]

I guess Beaumont is getting hammered .....http://www.kfdm.com/news/rain-34018-flooding-forecast.html

[jasons2k]

Hallllllll-le-lu-jah! Hallllllll-le-lu-jah! Hallelujah! Hallelujah! Hallelujah-lujah!

It's here!! Seriously, I got rain

Unfortunately, one of my curious house guests left my rain guage laying sideways on the fence, so I don't have an exact amount...but the weather station ~1/4 mile to the east says .65" and the one a few miles to the west says .68" so I will go with .65" for now

The rain guage is back in the holster and ready to go.

Edit: P.S., because of this, I will use .65" as my baseline going forward to estimate my storm totals.