C/S TX Weather: Seasonal with some rains

[Shoshana]

No complaints here! Another 1.5" overnight as of 11am and it's *still* raining.

Total so far in my $4 rain gauge, 2.9"!

[srainhoutx]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
104 PM CDT SAT SEP 12 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN COMAL COUNTY...
HAYS COUNTY...
WESTERN TRAVIS COUNTY...

* UNTIL 500 PM CDT.

* AT 100 PM CDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETERMINED THAT
INCREASING RAINFALL ESTIMATES FROM DOPPLER RADAR INDICATE FLASH
FLOODING FROM PERSISTENT SHOWERS OVER THE WARNED AREA.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO LAKEWAY...
LAGO VISTA...HENLY...FISCHER...DRIPPING SPRINGS AND BEE CAVE.

[srainhoutx]

000
NWUS54 KEWX 121832
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
132 PM CDT SAT SEP 12 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0111 PM FLASH FLOOD ANDERSON MILL 30.46N 97.80W
09/12/2009 WILLIAMSON TX EMERGENCY MNGR

VEHICLES STALLED IN HIGH WATER ON ROADWAY

[jasons2k]

CIVIL EMERGENCY MESSAGE
AUSTIN/TRAVIS COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
RELAYED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
251 PM CDT SAT SEP 12 2009

THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF THE
AUSTIN/TRAVIS COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT .

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

CITY FLOOD ENGINEERS ADVISE THAT THE PEDESTRIAN TRAILS ALONG
SHOAL, JOHNSON, AND WALLER CREEKS IN THE DOWNTOWN WILL SOON BE
FLOODED WITHIN THE NEXT 30 MINUTES. PEDESTRIANS SHOULD AVOID USING
TRAILS ALONG THESE CREEKS FOR THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON.

[Portastorm]

We've had between 2-4 inches since early this morning. Eh, no runners or dog walking today along the trails. No big deal.

Everyone should stay home and watch the Horns, who are currently struggling against Wyoming.

[Ptarmigan]

CIVIL EMERGENCY MESSAGE
AUSTIN/TRAVIS COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
RELAYED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
251 PM CDT SAT SEP 12 2009

THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF THE
AUSTIN/TRAVIS COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT .

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

CITY FLOOD ENGINEERS ADVISE THAT THE PEDESTRIAN TRAILS ALONG
SHOAL, JOHNSON, AND WALLER CREEKS IN THE DOWNTOWN WILL SOON BE
FLOODED WITHIN THE NEXT 30 MINUTES. PEDESTRIANS SHOULD AVOID USING
TRAILS ALONG THESE CREEKS FOR THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON.

How often you see that?

[Ptarmigan]

We've had between 2-4 inches since early this morning. Eh, no runners or dog walking today along the trails. No big deal.

Everyone should stay home and watch the Horns, who are currently struggling against Wyoming.

Texas won.

[srainhoutx]

SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 09/13/09 0030Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0015Z KUSSELSON
.
LOCATION...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN TEXAS...
.
ATTN WFOS...HGX...FWD...CRP...EWX...SJT...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
.
EVENT...ENTRAINED MOISTURE IN ANOMALOUS LOW/VORT AND DEVELOPMENT TO
THE SOUTH...
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...UPPER VORT/LOW STILL APPEARS CENTERED
OVER BASTROP COUNTY...HOWEVER NOW BEST TWIST IN THE IR CLOUDS WAS
MIGRATING FROM MILAM BACK TO THE WEST ACROSS FALLS TO BELL TO WILLIAMSON
COUNTY...WHERE OVERSHOOTING TOPS HAVE RAISED THEIR UGLY HEADS AND CAN
BE FURTHER ENHANCING RAINFALL AMOUNTS ON TOP OF ALREADY WET GROUND
FROM EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON. THINK MILAM TO WILLIAMSON COUNTY WILL BE
ABOUT AS FAR WEST AS HVY RAIN GETS IN SHORT TERM...BUT THERE WILL BE A
SHARP CUTOFF. DEFORMATION/DIFFLUENCE PLAYING AN ADDITIONAL INSTABILITY
FACTOR ALONG WITH ENTRAINED HIGH MOISTURE. AND ACTUALLY MAY HELP DELAY
MORE OF THE FOCUS TO THE NORTH TILL LATER THIS EVENING OR TONIGHT.
TO THE SOUTH...BASIC CELLS MOVING WITH CLOUD TOP COOLING PRODUCING HEAVY
RAIN AND THEN MOVING OFF TO ANOTHER SPOT OR SPLITTING...SO FF CONCERNS
HAVE LESSENED THERE.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...SEE SATELLITE ANALYSIS GRAPHIC ON HOME [AGE
AT ADDRESS BELOW...
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/

[srainhoutx]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
743 PM CDT SAT SEP 12 2009

.UPDATE...
UPDATE FOR NEW FLASH FLOOD WATCH AND TWEAKS TO POP/WX/QPF.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
WILL ISSUE A NEW FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH 7 PM CDT SUNDAY...BUT
EXCLUDE SOME OF THE WESTERN COUNTIES THAT WERE IN THE PREVIOUS
WATCH GIVEN DRY AIR MOVING IN UNDER THE UPPER LOW AND DECREASING
PWATS (1.68 IN. 00Z KDRT). ALSO INCREASED QPF GRIDS THROUGH SUNDAY
AND DROPPED MENTION OF THUNDER OVER MUCH OF THE CWFA TONIGHT.

[srainhoutx]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
836 PM CDT SAT SEP 12 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
EASTERN FAYETTE COUNTY...
NORTHERN LAVACA COUNTY...

* UNTIL 1130 PM CDT.

* AT 834 PM CDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETERMINED THAT
RAINFALL ESTIMATES FROM DOPPLER RADAR INDICATE FLASH FLOODING
FROM SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WARNED AREA.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO ROUND
TOP...LA GRANGE...HALLETTSVILLE AND FAYETTEVILLE.

[Portastorm]

Appears to be drying out here in the AUS metro area this Sunday morning, although portions of Williamson County to our immediate north have received huge amounts of rain in the last 48 hours as noted in this thread. I think generally we have received 2-5 inches of rain across the metro area in the last 48 hours.

The grass, plants, and trees are singing a "Hallelujah" chorus this morning!

NWS says we may see more heavy rain today but I'm a bit skeptical based on radar and real weather trends. Looks like the bulk of action will be above our friends in north and northeast Texas.

[Shoshana]

Drove to Dallas @ 9pm Saturday. Rained the whole way, sometimes light, sometimes very heavy. I35 just north of downtown had some deep water flowing over it - and 2 multiple car wrecks at around 12:30am Sunday morning.

Rained the entire time I was there. I left @9 pm, got home a few minutes after midnight, rained or drizzled most of the way home.

I've never driven in that much rain in this car - it's a '07, bought after the start of the drought!!!

We're up to just shy of 3.5" in the rain gauge. It was dark and I had the pup on a leash so it was hard to read.

On a sidenote, haven't seen any skunks since 2 nights before the rain started when I sprinkled cayenne pepper along the fence line. The rain washed it away but the skunks don't seem to come out to play in the rain... hmmm

[Portastorm]

More rain on our horizon?

---------------------------
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
328 AM CDT WED SEP 16 2009

.DISCUSSION...
WV SAT IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR
ARKLATEX THIS MORNING. FORECAST MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT
THIS FEATURE WILL RETROGRADE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS
WILL ALLOW SHOWERS TO SPREAD BACK INTO THE NORTHEASTERN COUNTIES
STARTING THIS AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THIS AREA THROUGH FRI MAINLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS EACH DAY.

ON SAT THE UPPER PATTERN WILL BRING TROPICAL MOISTURE ACROSS
NORTHERN MEXICO INTO SOUTH TEXAS. THIS WILL MEAN A SLIGHT CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA SAT AND SUN. MON A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL DROP DOWN INTO NORTH TX AND RAIN CHANCES WILL
CONTINUE MON AND MON NIGHT AS THE FRONT MOVES SOUTHWARD. TUE THIS
SYSTEM WILL EXIT THE AREA BRINGING A RETURN OF DRY WEATHER.

[Shoshana]

Nice!

The cracks in our yard are starting to close up!

2 more hackberry trees fell next door on Saturday - live ones, I guess the rain caused that.

[horselattitudesfarm]

I guess we traveled from Tatooine to Dagobah in a couple of days! Not bad for not having to use a spaceship to do it.

[Shoshana]

Hopefully it's not just a JMT and it'll keep raining...

[Portastorm]

I guess we traveled from Tatooine to Dagobah in a couple of days! Not bad for not having to use a spaceship to do it.

I vote for a trip to Hoth by Christmas!

[Shoshana]

Hopefully the worst will be over soon! That dark red can leave anytime... I won't miss it! Still over our house tho.

[srainhoutx]

Looking very interesting concerning the drought parched areas, folks...

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
239 PM CDT SUN SEP 20 2009

TXZ229>234-239>247-211200-
LA SALLE-MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-WEBB-DUVAL-
JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COTULLA...CALLIHAM...CROSS...
LOMA ALTA...TILDEN...GEORGE WEST...THREE RIVERS...BEEVILLE...
GOLIAD...VICTORIA...LAREDO...FREER...BENAVIDES...SAN DIEGO...
ALICE...ORANGE GROVE...KINGSVILLE...CORPUS CHRISTI...PORTLAND...
INGLESIDE...ARANSAS PASS...SINTON...MATHIS...ROCKPORT...REFUGIO...
WOODSBORO...PORT LAVACA
239 PM CDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...WET WEATHER PATTERN AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED WITH A COLD
FRONT LATER THIS WEEK...

A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY NIGHT WHILE A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPS ACROSS NEW MEXICO AND COLORADO. NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AND A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
AT LEAST THROUGH THURSDAY GIVEN THE FAVORABLE POSITION OF THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTHWEST. SOME STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG
PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL MAINLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...BUT HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY BE THE GREATEST THREAT
FROM THESE STORMS GIVEN THE COMBINATION OF A SLOW MOVING
FRONT...DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE AND A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM TO THE NORTHWEST.

EARLY MODEL FORECASTS INDICATE 3 DAY RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY TIME FRAME AND
ISOLATED AMOUNTS COULD REACH 4 TO 8 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
THIS MAGNITUDE WOULD LIKELY LEAD TO A THREAT FOR FLOODING ACROSS
THE REGION...HOWEVER EXACT RAINFALL TOTALS WILL BE HIGHLY
DEPENDANT ON EXACT POSITIONING OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM TO THE NORTHWEST AND THE SPEED AT WHICH THE FRONT MOVES
THROUGH SOUTH TEXAS. RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR
FOR UPDATED FORECASTS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

[Portastorm]

Hoping for some good rain this week ...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
603 AM CDT MON SEP 21 2009

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-221100-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
603 AM CDT MON SEP 21 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY AND
TONIGHT. A FEW MAY HAVE STRONG WINDS APPROACH SEVERE LEVELS AND
LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE POSSIBLE.

.DAY TWO...TUESDAY...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON TUESDAY. SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY ALONG AND EAST OF A LLANO TO
FREDERICKSBURG TO HONDO TO DILLEY LINE.

.DAYS THREE THROUGH FIVE...WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE OVER A SHALLOW COOL
AIRMASS WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS SIX THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.