Caribbean - Central America Weather

U.S. & Caribbean Weather Discussions and Severe Weather Events

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

#2381 Postby Gustywind » Sat Sep 19, 2009 1:10 pm

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

#2382 Postby Gustywind » Sat Sep 19, 2009 1:37 pm

000
AXNT20 KNHC 191736
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT SAT SEP 19 2009

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
BROAD AREA OF LOWER PRESSURE IS ANALYZED AS A 1008 MB LOW
CENTERED ABOUT 1100 NM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS NEAR 13.5N42W
AND HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING. THIS SYSTEM HAS
THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT DAY
OR TWO AS IT MOVES TO THE WNW NEAR 10 KT. BROAD AREA OF
SCATTERED MODERATE WITH EMBEDDED CLUSTERS OF ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION COVERS THE AREA FROM 10N-17N BETWEEN 37W-45W.


...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 28W/29W S OF 17N MOVING W NEAR 10 KT.
SMALL BUT BROAD LOWER LEVEL CYCLONIC ROTATION IS OBSERVED ALONG
THE WAVE AXIS WHICH WILL BE DIFFICULT TO DISTINGUISH AT NIGHT.
SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 15N-17N BETWEEN
27W-29W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 93W/94W S OF 20N MOVING W NEAR 15 KT.
WAVE IS MOSTLY IN THE E PACIFIC REGION WITH A SMALL AREA OF
INVERTED TROUGH IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS IN THE
BAY OF CAMPECHE.

...ITCZ...

THE ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 17N15W 16N26W 14N32W 15N38W
13N47W 10N62W. AN ELONGATED MID LEVEL LOW IS N OF THE ITCZ NEAR
19N21W WITH SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE
FROM 22N20W TO 17N21W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
AT 1500 UTC...A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO
FROM A 1014 MB LOW OVER SW MISSISSIPPI ACROSS SE LOUISIANA NEAR
29N91W TO 25N95W WHILE A SECOND SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS S
FLORIDA INTO THE GULF NEAR NAPLES TO 25N84W. AT THE UPPER
LEVELS...AN UPPER RIDGE COVERS THE W GULF W OF 90W ANCHORED OVER
S/CENTRAL MEXICO WHILE A SECOND UPPER RIDGE COVERS MOST OF THE E
GULF S OF 28N E OF 87W ANCHORED IN THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA NEAR
24N81W. THIS IS INDUCING AN UPPER TROUGH S OVER THE CENTRAL GULF
FROM THE FLORIDA/ALABAMA BORDER TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.
DIFFLUENCE ALOFT IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO S OF 25N W OF 94W WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SE GULF S OF
28N E OF 87W WITH THE HIGHEST CONCENTRATION OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
FLORIDA BAY. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE NE GULF N OF 29N
BETWEEN APALACHEE BAY FLORIDA AND THE MISSISSIPPI/LOUISIANA
BORDER.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN INVERTED UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM PANAMA/COSTA RICA BORDER
NNE TO JAMAICA AS THE UPPER RIDGE IN THE SE GULF OF MEXICO
COVERS THE FAR NW CARIBBEAN PROVIDING DIFFLUENCE ALOFT TO
GENERATE CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS W
OF A LINE FROM THE ISTHMUS OF PANAMA TO SW HAITI TO INLAND OVER
CENTRAL AMERICA AND TO THE COAST OF CUBA. A SECOND UPPER RIDGE
ANCHORED OVER SOUTH AMERICA COVERS THE SE CARIBBEAN WITH AN
UPPER LOW JUST N OF THE NE CARIBBEAN PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
FROM GUADELOUPE TO THE VIRGIN ISLANDS WITH SHOWERS DEVELOPING
INLAND OVER PUERTO RICO. THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN IS
RATHER TRANQUIL THIS AFTERNOON.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AT 1500 UTC...A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NEAR 32N71W JUST N
OF NORTHERN BAHAMA ISLANDS ACROSS S FLORIDA NEAR FORT LAUDERDALE
INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE S OF 28N W OF 76W TO INLAND OVER S FLORIDA. AT
1200 UTC...A 1012 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF FRED IS CENTERED 26N70W
WITH A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM 31N69W THROUGH THE LOW TO
24N70W. HOWEVER...THE LOW IS BECOMING ELONGATED ALONG THE TROUGH
AXIS AS OF 1500 UTC. SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN
75 NM OF LINE FROM 27N70W TO BEYOND 32N67W. BROAD UPPER LOW
COVERS THE W/CENTRAL ATLC FROM 17N-28N BETWEEN 53W-69W
GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN
120 NM OF LINE FROM 15N58W 20N63W TO 23N67W INCLUDING THE
LEEWARD AND VIRGIN ISLANDS. THE REMAINDER OF THE ATLC N OF 20N E
OF 60W IS DOMINATED BY A SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A PAIR OF
1026 MB HIGHS...ONE NEAR 33N43W AND A SECOND NE OF MADEIRA
ISLANDS.

$$
WALLACE
0 likes   

User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

#2383 Postby Gustywind » Sat Sep 19, 2009 2:00 pm

Invest #98
:rarrow: http://tropics.hamweather.com/2009/atla ... est98.html
Tropical Disturbance Summary
Invest #98
Location: Central Atlantic Lat: 13.5N Lon: 42.5W Moving: WNW 8 mph (7 kts) Pressure: 29.77 in (1008 mb)

Invest #98 Track History
Date Position Moving Speed Pressure Winds
(UTC) Lat Lon mph (kts) in (mb) mph (kts)
1800 SAT SEP 19 13.5N 42.5W WNW 8 (7) 29.77 (1008) 29 (25)

0 likes   

jedsshed
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 16
Age: 80
Joined: Wed Aug 12, 2009 1:57 pm
Location: Anguilla, BWI

#2384 Postby jedsshed » Sat Sep 19, 2009 2:21 pm

I am happy to announce, that since this morning, we have a half inch of rain in the gauge!

If I could figure out how to post pictures, I would attach a rare photograph of a mud puddle here on Anguilla!
0 likes   

User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

Re:

#2385 Postby Gustywind » Sat Sep 19, 2009 2:23 pm

jedsshed wrote:I am happy to announce, that since this morning, we have a half inch of rain in the gauge!

If I could figure out how to post pictures, I would attach a rare photograph of a mud puddle here on Anguilla!

:) Glad to see that! Tkanks for all, we're waiting for... :D
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145327
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: E.Caribbean=Web Cams / Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather

#2386 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 19, 2009 2:30 pm

Hey fellow Caribbean members.To let all know that I was absent from this tent for 2 days as the internet went out but I am back again. :)
0 likes   

User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

Re: E.Caribbean=Web Cams / Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather

#2387 Postby Gustywind » Sat Sep 19, 2009 2:32 pm

cycloneye wrote:Hey fellow Caribbean members.To let all know that I was absent from this tent for 2 days as the internet went out but I am back again. :)

Be welcomed LUIS :)! :wink:
0 likes   

User avatar
msbee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3027
Joined: Wed Jun 11, 2003 10:11 am
Location: St. Maarten

Re: E.Caribbean=Web Cams / Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather

#2388 Postby msbee » Sat Sep 19, 2009 3:36 pm

cycloneye wrote:Hey fellow Caribbean members.To let all know that I was absent from this tent for 2 days as the internet went out but I am back again. :)


Hey Luis
I wondered where you were. welcome back. we missed you.
Barbara
0 likes   

User avatar
msbee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3027
Joined: Wed Jun 11, 2003 10:11 am
Location: St. Maarten

Re:

#2389 Postby msbee » Sat Sep 19, 2009 3:40 pm

jedsshed wrote:I am happy to announce, that since this morning, we have a half inch of rain in the gauge!

If I could figure out how to post pictures, I would attach a rare photograph of a mud puddle here on Anguilla!


That's funny.
yea, Anguilla and St. Maarten are pretty dry islands. We just got about 3/4 inches of rain. We had a heavy thunderstorm but it moved out of here fast.
We'll take what we can get though.

Barbara
0 likes   

User avatar
msbee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3027
Joined: Wed Jun 11, 2003 10:11 am
Location: St. Maarten

Re: E.Caribbean=Web Cams / Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather

#2390 Postby msbee » Sat Sep 19, 2009 6:17 pm

another nice rain storm and another 3/4 inches of rain here..much needed


Image
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145327
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: E.Caribbean=Web Cams / Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather

#2391 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 19, 2009 6:44 pm

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SAT SEP 19 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 1200 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS IS
CURRENTLY POORLY ORGANIZED. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM STILL HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO
AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT AROUND 10 MPH. THERE IS A
MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
0 likes   

User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

#2392 Postby Gustywind » Sat Sep 19, 2009 6:59 pm

:darrow: 98L
Code Orange
Image
0 likes   

User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

#2393 Postby Gustywind » Sat Sep 19, 2009 7:31 pm

Always keeping an eye on 98L to our east...

000
AXNT20 KNHC 200002
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT SAT SEP 19 2009

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS NEAR 13N43W.
THE LOW HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER
THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES TO THE WNW NEAR 8 KT. ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS N IF THE CENTER FROM 13N-17N BETWEEN
40W-44W. SCATTERED SHOWERS COVERS A LARGE AREA FROM 9N-20N
BETWEEN 36W-45W.


...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 29W S OF 17N MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. A SMALL
SWIRL IS EMBEDDED ON THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 16N. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS W OF THE AXIS FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 31W-33W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 95W S OF 20N MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. WAVE IS
MOSTLY OVER SOUTH MEXICO AND IN THE E PACIFIC REGION WITH A
SMALL AREA OF INVERTED TROUGH IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. A LARGE
AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM 16N-21N BETWEEN 88W-91W.

...ITCZ...

THE ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 5N9W 6N20W 15N30W 11N50W 10N63W.
BESIDES THE CONVECTION MENTIONED ON THE SPECIAL FEATURES AND
TROPICAL WAVE SECTIONS...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
IS ALONG THE COAST OF WEST AFRICA FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 11W-16W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
AS OF 2100 UTC...A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM S LOUISIANA NEAR
29N91W TO THE NW GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 25N93W. SCATTERED SHOWERS
ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE TROUGH AXIS. FURTHER E...SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM 30N-32N
BETWEEN 84W-86W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS OVER S FLORIDA FROM
25N-27N BETWEEN 80W-82W. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL
HIGH IS CENTERED OVER MEXICO NEAR 20N100W. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL
HIGH IS OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA NEAR 24N81W. CONSIDERABLE
UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE COVERS THE GULF OF MEXICO. EXPECT... LITTLE
CHANGE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
MODERATE TO FRESH TRADEWINDS ARE OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND
CENTRAL AMERICA. PATCHES OF WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
ARE OVER THE W CARIBBEAN W OF 78W...OVER THE N CARIBBEAN N OF
18N... AND OVER SOUTH AMERICA S OF 12N. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN. AN UPPER LEVEL
LOW IS N OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS NEAR 20N66W. WIDELY SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 18N-21N BETWEEN 60W-65W. EXPECT...
CONTINUED CONVECTION OVER THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN CARIBBEAN
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE N BAHAMAS FROM 26N-28N
BETWEEN 77W-80W. FURTHER E...A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE W
ATLANTIC FROM 31N70W TO 23N70W. AN EMBEDDED 1014 MB LOW IS ON
THE TROUGH AXIS NEAR 28N70W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 25-27N BETWEEN 69W-71W. A 1025 MB HIGH
IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 33N41W PRODUCING FAIR WEATHER.
IN THE UPPER LEVELS... A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS OVER THE E
ATLANTIC NEAR 30N27W. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS OVER THE
TROPICS NEAR 1N28W PRODUCING MAINLY UPPER LEVEL EASTERLIES S OF
10N BETWEEN 10W-50W.

$$
FORMOSA
0 likes   

User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

#2394 Postby Gustywind » Sun Sep 20, 2009 5:13 am

Good morning fellow Caribbean members :). We continue to keep an eye an on 98L. Seems for the moment that it should not pose a threat to our islands and crossed far away, but let's continue to monitor it...
Image
0 likes   

User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

#2395 Postby Gustywind » Sun Sep 20, 2009 5:14 am

000
FXCA62 TJSJ 200731
AFDSJU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
331 AM AST SUN SEP 20 2009

.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW COMBINED WITH AMPLE LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE...WILL RESULT IN SHOWERY CONDITIONS ACROSS PUERTO RICO
AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.


&&

.DISCUSSION...A TUTT LOW TO THE NORTH OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS HAS
BEEN SINKING SOUTHWARD AND ENHANCING SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE
LOCAL COASTAL WATERS SO FAR THIS MORNING. WITH THE WINDS EXPECTED
TO SHIFT TO A MORE EAST SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION BY MID-
DAY AND PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE...EXPECT AFTERNOON
SHOWER DEVELOPMENT OVER THE INTERIOR OF PR TO DRIFT TOWARDS THE
NORTHWEST...AFFECTING MUCH OF THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE ISLAND
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. IN ADDITION...WILL LIKELY SEE A FEW
STREAMERS OFF THE WESTERN HALVES OF THE USVI AFTER 16Z.

FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...EXPECT CONTINUED AMPLE LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE COMBINED WITH SEMI FAVORABLE MID TO UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE TUTT LOW AS IS EVENTUALLY FILLS AND BECOMES
PART OF A LARGER TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE...WILL ALLOW FOR GOOD
AFTERNOON SHOWER COVERAGE OVER THE INTERIOR AND WESTERN SECTIONS
OF PUERTO RICO...WITH MORE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWER ACTIVITY
EXPECTED ELSEWHERE. A NOTABLE DRYING TREND IS FORECAST BY THE
LATEST COMPUTER MODELS TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK...WHICH WILL
HELP TO LIMIT...BUT NOT ELIMINATE...SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS BY FRIDAY. THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BEING MONITORED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AROUND 45 WEST...IS NOT EXPECTED TO HAVE
AN IMPACT OF THE LOCAL WEATHER AS IT TRACKS NORTH AND EAST OF THE
LOCAL ISLANDS LATE IN THE PERIOD.


&&

.AVIATION...EXPECT PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS
AND AT MOST LOCAL TAF SITES TODAY AND TONIGHT. HOWEVER...EXPECT
DEVELOPING MVFR OR POSSIBLY EVEN BRIEF IFR CONDITIONS AND LOCAL
MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS AGAIN IN SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN
INTERIOR...WEST AND NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING
TJMZ AND TJBQ...BETWEEN 17Z AND 23Z.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 89 77 88 77 / 40 40 40 30
STT 88 79 88 78 / 40 40 40 30

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

PR...NONE.
VI...NONE.

&&

$$

06/04
0 likes   

User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

#2396 Postby Gustywind » Sun Sep 20, 2009 5:15 am

000
AWCA82 TJSJ 200856
RWSVI

WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
456 AM AST SUN SEP 20 2009

THERE WERE VARYING AMOUNTS OF CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND AN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO WERE NOTED...MAINLY ACROSS THE COASTAL
WATERS. LOW TEMPERATURES WERE IN THE UPPER 70S TO AROUND 80 DEGREES.
THE WIND WAS MAINLY EAST AT AROUND 15 MPH OR LESS.

THERE WILL BE A MIXTURE OF SUNSHINE AND CLOUDS ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS TODAY. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND JUST OFF OF THE
WEST AND NORTHWEST COASTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90 DEGREES. THE WIND
WILL BE EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 20 MPH.

AVAILABLE MOISTURE WILL COMBINE WITH LOCAL EFFECTS AND FAIRLY
FAVORABLE MID TO UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON...TO PRODUCE
SOME CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND A COUPLE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS
OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS.

ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS...MARINERS SHOULD GENERALLY EXPECT WINDS
OF 17 KNOTS OR LESS AND SEAS OF 5 FEET OR LESS THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$
0 likes   

User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

#2397 Postby Gustywind » Sun Sep 20, 2009 5:23 am

From SSD :darrow:
:rarrow: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/tdpositions.html
Atlantic Ocean Basin: Imagery

DATE/TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION STORM
20/0600 UTC 15.2N 44.1W T1.0/1.5 98L
0 likes   

User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

#2398 Postby Gustywind » Sun Sep 20, 2009 5:32 am

98L is struggling and stays poor-organized this morning....

Image
Image

Invest #98L
Tropical Disturbance Summary
Invest #98L
Location: Central Atlantic Lat: 14.5N Lon: 43.8W Moving: NW 17 mph (15 kts) Pressure: 29.77 in (1008 mb)

Invest #98L Track History
Date Position Moving Speed Pressure Winds
(UTC) Lat Lon mph (kts) in (mb) mph (kts)
0000 SUN SEP 20 14.5N 43.8W NW 17 (15) 29.77 (1008) 29 (25)
0 likes   

User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

#2399 Postby Gustywind » Sun Sep 20, 2009 5:38 am

Quiet in the Tropics
Mark Avery, Lead Meteorologist, The Weather Channel
Sep. 20, 2009 6:08 am ET
:rarrow: http://www.weather.com/newscenter/tropical/
ATLANTIC

The remnant low pressure of Fred continues to track to the west. It is now located about 450 miles east-northeast of the northwestern Bahamas. There is little shower or thunderstorm activity with Fred's remnants, however the instability associated with Fred's remnants will enhance the chance of rain in the Southeastern U.S. early in the week. Fred is not expected to regenerate.

Another area of low pressure is being monitored for development. It is about 1100 miles east of the Lesser Antilles and is poorly organized, lacking much shower or thunderstorm activity this morning. Upper level winds are forecast to become more favorable for development in the next couple of days.
0 likes   

User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

#2400 Postby Gustywind » Sun Sep 20, 2009 7:00 am

98L

Code Orange
Image
000
ABNT20 KNHC 201146
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN SEP 20 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1050 MILES EAST OF THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS REMAINS POORLY-ORGANIZED. ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM
STILL HAS SOME CHANCE FOR DEVELOPMENT...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BECOME LESS CONDUCIVE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION AS
IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.


ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG
0 likes   


Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 23 guests