ATL: TROPICAL LOW ex-FRED (ex-07L)

[HURAKAN]

Long track

[LarryWx]

Still there...

I don't know if anyone else noticed, but interestingly enough, convection is increasing AGAIN, this time in the vicinity of where the 1016 mb sfc low/trough is on that map. Based on recent history, I'll assume for now that it isn't anything of significance. However, due to its location and progged movement into the SE US within a few days due to a persistent high to its north and also considering that it is likely going to be moving over warmer SST's (warmest of its entire existence) assuming it moves past 77W, I don't think it should be completely ignored in case it decides to do some developing at the very last minute.

Anyone else notice this latest convection increase that appears to be colocated near the lowest pressures?

[Aric Dunn]

Still there...

I don't know if anyone else noticed, but interestingly enough, convection is increasing AGAIN, this time in the vicinity of where the 1016 mb sfc low/trough is on that map. Based on recent history, I'll assume for now that it isn't anything of significance. However, due to its location and progged movement into the SE US within a few days due to a persistent high to its north and also considering that it is likely going to be moving over warmer SST's (warmest of its entire existence) assuming it moves past 77W, I don't think it should be completely ignored in case it decides to do some developing at the very last minute.

Anyone else notice this latest convection increase that appears to be colocated near the lowest pressures?

hehe you beat me to it on here have been talking with other over it..

That and i want it too die cause its killing me .. lol but this is the most convection i have seen near the center.. not going to say much more cause it might hear me .. lol
but of course we cant ignore it till its over land or out to sea ..

[carolina_73]

Is Freddy trying to make a comeback

[IvanSurvivor]

Oh, you've got to be kidding me!

[IvanSurvivor]

Next year, I'll just block out 2-3 weeks to watch the "F" storm. Last year, you know who...this year Fred.

[Aric Dunn]

Oh, you've got to be kidding me!

I specifically did not look at today at all till about an hours ago .. cause i was sick of it,.

[HURAKAN]

It's really getting annoying!!!

[IvanSurvivor]

You can't help but to look...no matter how hard you try
Is this thing going to east coast now or still towards Florida/GOM?

[ozonepete]

Long track

Very cool, Hurakan. Thanks for putting it up. I as just wondering what the whole track must look like.

[ozonepete]

You can't help but to look...no matter how hard you try
Is this thing going to east coast now or still towards Florida/GOM?

Looks like the Carolinas, IvanSurvivor. Believe it or not, it looks like it's flaring up again. hehe

[Aric Dunn]

You can't help but to look...no matter how hard you try
Is this thing going to east coast now or still towards Florida/GOM?

looks west now after a reform north today..

anywhere from north central florida to carolinas

[IvanSurvivor]

Probably the wrong thread, but are we at all concerned about that blob in the Gulf? I have know idea what I'm looking at, so just asking.
Fred...so disappointing! I guess I'm a little sick, but even though we were devastated by Ivan, I still can't help but to watch and be fascinated with storms. I enjoy just a good ole TS...nothing major, just a little exciting!

[Ptarmigan]

No, that Raid was for TC's and pesky invests only. You'd need this Raid:

Thanks! What's the difference between them? I will bulk order this and use when we have heat waves. Meanwhile I can use the other one against invest and TC's.

[Aric Dunn]

well eclipse time again.. which means sleep .

[Macrocane]

This is the most ridiculous system I have seen in my whole life it's not even funny... well it's funny for mother nature she must be laughing at us right now.

[IvanSurvivor]

Before u go Aric, what's that in the GOM?

[LarryWx]

well eclipse time again.. which means sleep .

The 11:30 PM sat. photo suggests warming of the coldest cloud tops. However, the overall area of convection seems to be spreading out/growing in size all around the area of lowest pressure. So, I can't tell that this is necessarily a sign that the convection is pretty much going to go poof. Any other opinions? Aric, before you hit the sack, any comments? Otherwise, good night.

[ozonepete]

well eclipse time again.. which means sleep .

I'm with you. See you tomorrow.

[deltadog03]

Larry, I think this dosn't look half bad right now. YA its still getting sheared, but convection still really firing on the llc (E side mostly). Also, inflow looks pretty good and structure looks to get better. I am not sure this fully regenerates, but this could take off if the shear wasn't high. (It is lessening)